Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Thoughts on Luke McDonald? Massive preseason prior to JLT. Rubbish JLT1 and not playing JLT2. In the under 22yr old squad last year. BOG in the north intra club. North’s midfield is a little skinny... thoughts?
 

Rowsus

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Hmmm.. Thanks Rows ... thought it would be a little different.
Gibbs addition may also assist him as he is another good user of the ball and may hit him a bit more on the lead

Stepping Stones

Was looking at Ellis-Yomen but not sure anymore. Is he still on your radar?
Also JOM.. do you consider him as a stepping stone?
Injury risk is my concern but looks to be moving ok.
I currently have Cripps and JOM but not confident on either.
Cripps I find interesting. Awkwardly priced. Everyone is jumping on him but he still has
to step it up a notch and remain there all season to be a keeper. Is he in your side?
CEY is very much an option for anyone running a 5, maybe 6 Prem Midfield. I can see him making somewhere around $100-$125k, and providing solid on field points.

JOM I'd be surprised if he can fill a decent season long M8, so anyone taking him must be thinking Stepping Stone, I would think. If he can stay on the park, and average near 90, he has done his job. I think this is well within his scope, but I won't be having him.

Cripps is in my team, but I am running deep in my Mids. There's no doubt there is risk involved with him, and he's one of 3 Mids I am still asking myself, keep him or dump him? At this stage, I have had him so long in my team, I will probably keep him.
 

Rowsus

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Thoughts on Luke McDonald? Massive preseason prior to JLT. Rubbish JLT1 and not playing JLT2. In the under 22yr old squad last year. BOG in the north intra club. North’s midfield is a little skinny... thoughts?
I think it is the toughest year ever to sort out the Defs. McDonald is well priced compared to some of the other likely candidates, so that makes him attractive. The problem is, I think North will struggle, and possibly even have no season long good SC picks. McDonald is unlikely to get out of trade in range, so unless you really like him, or want a POD, i'd go without him, and see if he's worth picking up later.
 
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Hey mate,

With so much uncertainty in the ruck line (almost every year), is there any merit in going very POD at R1 and R2?

I have Goldstein locked as my R1 and i'm very surprised he's only in 4-5% of teams especially after his JLT games. Can you see a clear reason for his low ownership? I've had Gawn all pre-season and i'm considering dropping him for either Nankervis or Sandilands. I feel Nank has a more upside due to his age and it wouldn't surprise me if he averaged close to 100 this season. I'm not ruling out Sandi for the first 6 weeks (4 home games) and then trading him to the standout ruck. What are your thoughts on Nank and Sandi?

Cheers.
 
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Hi Rowsus,

What role and average do you see Lobb returning this year?

I ask as i have a pretty settled Mid and Ruck spots (so far) but am tossing and turning between defender and forward options.
Although the structure hasn't changed too much, I can't make my mind up on which players i want.

I have locked in Laird and Hibberd from the start and have just recently locked in Savage as well in defense. I'm looking at 4 rookies with the potential to move that to 5 in defense (2 on the bench) with that structure meaning i change my forward line around. The situation in play at the moment is Heeney, Smith, Petracca, Sicily in the forward line and 4 rookies (of which i don't have a heap of confidence).

Having this structure means I am going to either be running 4 400k+ defenders and 4 400k+ forwards or 3 400k+ defenders and 5 400k+ forwards.

The dilemma is: I'm not confident in the role Shaw will be playing, I'm not confident in the role/scoring output of JJ and don't like many other defenders in the 350-450k bracket.
The other dilemma i'm having is; If i switch the 450k player to the forward line, there isn't anyone I like outside of Lobb at 395k and that is purely dependent on him playing 70+% of time in the ruck this year (as his potential of big scores and a 90+ average is solely dependent on his ruck time this year imo).

Alternatively I could still run with a 4/4 lineup if i switch Sicily to the back line but I'm not confident on the forward rookies compared to the defensive rookies at the moment.

What are your thoughts on Lobb there as a F5 (having 3 defenders 450+) or are there any other guys you could throw up for suggestion between 350-460k in defense or the forward line that I haven't thought about? The only other couple of guys I could really see in that bracket are Barlow, Parish (breakout potential), Hartlett (Can he get back to 2011-2015 averages) or Mills (breakout potential)

Any opinions on those specifically or can you suggest any others worth looking at between 350-460k in the Defensive or Forward lines?

Thanks Rowsus
 
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Hi Rowsus.

I seem to remember you posting about Mathieson earlier in the year, and I know he was on an early value pick list. Has the JLT given you any extra thoughts about him?
 
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Hey mate,

With so much uncertainty in the ruck line (almost every year), is there any merit in going very POD at R1 and R2?

I have Goldstein locked as my R1 and i'm very surprised he's only in 4-5% of teams especially after his JLT games. Can you see a clear reason for his low ownership? I've had Gawn all pre-season and i'm considering dropping him for either Nankervis or Sandilands. I feel Nank has a more upside due to his age and it wouldn't surprise me if he averaged close to 100 this season. I'm not ruling out Sandi for the first 6 weeks (4 home games) and then trading him to the standout ruck. What are your thoughts on Nank and Sandi?

Cheers.
Very interested to hear your response on this aswell Rows.
Pretty sure you are locking in Goldy and Gawn.
My query is around Nankervis. I am thinking he could be value being solo Ruck
Thought he was impressive in JLT2 and looks like he has improved his endurance.
Was taking some decent grabs across the ground.
 

Rowsus

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Hey mate,

With so much uncertainty in the ruck line (almost every year), is there any merit in going very POD at R1 and R2?

I have Goldstein locked as my R1 and i'm very surprised he's only in 4-5% of teams especially after his JLT games. Can you see a clear reason for his low ownership? I've had Gawn all pre-season and i'm considering dropping him for either Nankervis or Sandilands. I feel Nank has a more upside due to his age and it wouldn't surprise me if he averaged close to 100 this season. I'm not ruling out Sandi for the first 6 weeks (4 home games) and then trading him to the standout ruck. What are your thoughts on Nank and Sandi?

Cheers.
Hey anfa,
firstly, I think it is crazy to go very POD at both R1 & R2, especially if you had Danger in your team prior to yesterday! :confused:
If you go very POD in your R1 & R2, you nearly have to commit 4 trades to your Ruck line, to upgrade them to the preferred Rucks. It would seem really unlikely that a very POD Ruck will carry you through the season. If you had Danger, you probably are planning a scenario to get him in sooner, rather than later, so now you have committed yourself to using 6-7 trades, just to get Danger, and the 2 preferred Rucks. I think you have to try and nail at least 1 of your finishing Rucks, in your starting team.

My thoughts on Goldy's low ownership is, that it is a combination of things. Too much poor form last year, confessed personal problems (even though he claims he's past them), the Preuss factor, and North players in general probably going to struggle this season.

Surprisingly, Nank is in 6.7% of teams, compared to Goldy's 4.2% (and Sandi's 3.2%). There is only around $40k between the 3 of them in price. I was pretty confident Nank would drop off last season, and he did. I'm also confident he is going to have a dry run somewhere in the 2nd half of the season, this season too. I'd be surprised if he can average 100, but not bowled over. As far as Ruck's go, Richmond have one of the toughest Draw's in the first 8 or 9 Rounds, and Freo has one of the easiest. Unless you are really confident in Nank carrying you through to at least the byes, and Soldo not getting a game or 3, if you want to ditch Gawn to a more POD option, Sandi looks as good as any. The only proviso is, we can't be sure what happens when Darcy is fully fit.
 

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Hi Rowsus,

Do you see a major issue in 4 Freo midfielders.. I prefer Neale to Bont who I currently have, but already have Fyfe, Bradshaw, Banfield.
 

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Hi Rowsus,

Do you see a major issue in 4 Freo midfielders.. I prefer Neale to Bont who I currently have, but already have Fyfe, Bradshaw, Banfield.
Two premiums and two rookies. You're after Neale going 110+, has the history and able to do so with Fyfe in the team. Bradshaw you're after 85-90 at his price and 75 for Banfield (at his price). There should be no concerns that they are in the same team. If you need all 4 to go 100+ with 2 110+, then that would be a different story.
 
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Two premiums and two rookies. You're after Neale going 110+, has the history and able to do so with Fyfe in the team. Bradshaw you're after 85-90 at his price and 75 for Banfield (at his price). There should be no concerns that they are in the same team. If you need all 4 to go 100+ with 2 110+, then that would be a different story.
You're a hard marker for the rookies!
 
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Hi Row,
Hope you're well mate. In a 10 person 22 player league, any guys outside the top 220 that could be draft gold this year?
Thanks for all your help mate
 
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CEY is very much an option for anyone running a 5, maybe 6 Prem Midfield. I can see him making somewhere around $100-$125k, and providing solid on field points.

JOM I'd be surprised if he can fill a decent season long M8, so anyone taking him must be thinking Stepping Stone, I would think. If he can stay on the park, and average near 90, he has done his job. I think this is well within his scope, but I won't be having him.

Cripps is in my team, but I am running deep in my Mids. There's no doubt there is risk involved with him, and he's one of 3 Mids I am still asking myself, keep him or dump him? At this stage, I have had him so long in my team, I will probably keep him.
Thanks Rows. I had Cripps and JOM but still not sure. Cripps ownership puts me off and the loss of Gibbs may hurt.
Taking a different approach this year and trying to be more selective in mids and not go with masses.

I have just another couple of queries. Apologies for bombarding you.
Sloane is an interesting one. I am looking at him but do you think Gibbs addition will hinder or hurt scores??
He is a bit like Duncan. The addition of Ablett may affect his scores but also may not.

The other question is are you running with many high end rookies?
I can only really see Brayshaw and maybe Naughton as any that may go ok.
However I cannot remember how you do all the calcs but I would believe they are a risk at their price. In particular Brayshaw who may get squeezed out of that midfield.
Is your intention to keep $100K up your sleeve for a rookie or two that we must have after Rd 2?
Eg. Leave Brayshaw out initially and if he fires then maybe bring him
 
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Hi Rowsus.

Any thoughts on Lewis Taylor. Do you believe he can step up to 95 - 100 average?

He has put up two handy JLT scores and I am looking for a POD around his price

I have it in my head that last preseason you had some interest in him
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

What role and average do you see Lobb returning this year?

I ask as i have a pretty settled Mid and Ruck spots (so far) but am tossing and turning between defender and forward options.
Although the structure hasn't changed too much, I can't make my mind up on which players i want.

I have locked in Laird and Hibberd from the start and have just recently locked in Savage as well in defense. I'm looking at 4 rookies with the potential to move that to 5 in defense (2 on the bench) with that structure meaning i change my forward line around. The situation in play at the moment is Heeney, Smith, Petracca, Sicily in the forward line and 4 rookies (of which i don't have a heap of confidence).

Having this structure means I am going to either be running 4 400k+ defenders and 4 400k+ forwards or 3 400k+ defenders and 5 400k+ forwards.

The dilemma is: I'm not confident in the role Shaw will be playing, I'm not confident in the role/scoring output of JJ and don't like many other defenders in the 350-450k bracket.
The other dilemma i'm having is; If i switch the 450k player to the forward line, there isn't anyone I like outside of Lobb at 395k and that is purely dependent on him playing 70+% of time in the ruck this year (as his potential of big scores and a 90+ average is solely dependent on his ruck time this year imo).

Alternatively I could still run with a 4/4 lineup if i switch Sicily to the back line but I'm not confident on the forward rookies compared to the defensive rookies at the moment.

What are your thoughts on Lobb there as a F5 (having 3 defenders 450+) or are there any other guys you could throw up for suggestion between 350-460k in defense or the forward line that I haven't thought about? The only other couple of guys I could really see in that bracket are Barlow, Parish (breakout potential), Hartlett (Can he get back to 2011-2015 averages) or Mills (breakout potential)

Any opinions on those specifically or can you suggest any others worth looking at between 350-460k in the Defensive or Forward lines?

Thanks Rowsus
Hi qi,
my current opinion on Lobb is that he'll be something like 17-18/88-90 this season. Given he appears a little fragile, I can't see him carrying a 70% Ruck load through a complete season. An 18/90 season PIT60's out at a 84.5 season average. You don't want him on those figures, but I guess he could do better, we just haven't seen enough of him in that sort of role to be confident.
Having said that, there is no other players in that $350-$460k price range I'm really keen on, so in those terms, if you need a player in that range, Lobb is as good a risk as any.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus.

I seem to remember you posting about Mathieson earlier in the year, and I know he was on an early value pick list. Has the JLT given you any extra thoughts about him?
Hi Eagling,
I've gone off Mathieson. I wanted to see more from him in the JLT, particularly with the players they had missing.
 

Rowsus

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Very interested to hear your response on this aswell Rows.
Pretty sure you are locking in Goldy and Gawn.
My query is around Nankervis. I am thinking he could be value being solo Ruck
Thought he was impressive in JLT2 and looks like he has improved his endurance.
Was taking some decent grabs across the ground.
Not locking in Goldy/Gawn a this stage, I may replace one of them with Martin.
I' not 100% Nank will solo Ruck the season through, and I'm also not convinced he won't he hit a "tired" patch in the 2nd half of the season. There are certainly things to like about him, but he's definitely a risk.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

Do you see a major issue in 4 Freo midfielders.. I prefer Neale to Bont who I currently have, but already have Fyfe, Bradshaw, Banfield.
Two premiums and two rookies. You're after Neale going 110+, has the history and able to do so with Fyfe in the team. Bradshaw you're after 85-90 at his price and 75 for Banfield (at his price). There should be no concerns that they are in the same team. If you need all 4 to go 100+ with 2 110+, then that would be a different story.
I agree with KLo30. Absolutely no problem whatsover. Rookies scoring 60-80 should have no affect on your Prems scoring 105+.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Row,
Hope you're well mate. In a 10 person 22 player league, any guys outside the top 220 that could be draft gold this year?
Thanks for all your help mate
Hi bender, I'm good thanks, I hope you are too.
The 220th player this year is AMT priced at $405,600.
Below him in price you have:
JOM, Sicily, Armitage, who all seem obvious, and probably get picked anyway.
I'd be looking at late picks on players like:
Hogan, Harmes, J Kolodjashnij and J Thomas.
Good luck.
 
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