Discussion 2019: Super Early Player & SC Game Change Discussion
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On paper he is a terrible pick. Never got near a full season, highest average 89, uncertain role, plays for Ross Lying.
But then on paper David Swallow, Rory Laird and Taylor Adams were all terrible picks!!!
I'll probably pick him because I can't help myself. Would a backline with Blakely, Milera and Francis be too speculative?
But then on paper David Swallow, Rory Laird and Taylor Adams were all terrible picks!!!
I'll probably pick him because I can't help myself. Would a backline with Blakely, Milera and Francis be too speculative?
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Blakely could be a great pick or a bust, he played well in a hot patch last year in the midfield before playing even better for 4 weeks in defence with stints in midfield. This year he was average as a defender but scored 113, 96 and 103 in his 3 games in midfield (I'm guessing these were midfield games because he had 4, 6 and 8 clearances compared to 0 every other week except week 1). He's also an injury risk. Probably too expensive for me without a strong body of evidence of his capacity to play in the middle. Milera was used in too many roles for me to get a sense of what he will produce.
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C Blakely:
2017 Disposals Avg: 23.88
SC avg when disposals equal/exceed 24: 109.55 from 11 (low of 68 and a high of 130, 2/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)
2018 Disposals Avg: 23.77
SC avg when disposals equal/exceed 24: 100.5 from 6 (low of 62 and a high of 115, 2/6 below 100)
2017 Contested Possessions Avg: 8.35
SC avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 9: 109.6 from 10 (low of 74 and a high of 130, 2/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)
2018 Contested Possessions Avg: 5.77
SC avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 6: 88.43 from 7 (low of 62 and a high of 115, 4/7 below 100)
2017 Contested Possession Rate: 34.80%
2018 Contested Possession Rate: 23.66%
2017 Tackles Avg: 3.94
2018 Tackles Avg: 2.54
DS/Optus Stadium Avg since 2017: 98.63 from 16 (9/16 below 100, 2/16 120+)
Interstate Avg since 2017: 74.57 from 14 (10/14 below 100, 1/14 120+)
Wins Avg since 2017: 97.69 from 13 (low of 60 and a high of 130, 6/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)
Losses Avg since 2017: 79.53 from 17 (low of 7 and a high of 121, 2/17 below 20, 11/17 below 100, 1/17 120+)
2017 Disposals Avg: 23.88
SC avg when disposals equal/exceed 24: 109.55 from 11 (low of 68 and a high of 130, 2/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)
2018 Disposals Avg: 23.77
SC avg when disposals equal/exceed 24: 100.5 from 6 (low of 62 and a high of 115, 2/6 below 100)
2017 Contested Possessions Avg: 8.35
SC avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 9: 109.6 from 10 (low of 74 and a high of 130, 2/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)
2018 Contested Possessions Avg: 5.77
SC avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 6: 88.43 from 7 (low of 62 and a high of 115, 4/7 below 100)
2017 Contested Possession Rate: 34.80%
2018 Contested Possession Rate: 23.66%
2017 Tackles Avg: 3.94
2018 Tackles Avg: 2.54
DS/Optus Stadium Avg since 2017: 98.63 from 16 (9/16 below 100, 2/16 120+)
Interstate Avg since 2017: 74.57 from 14 (10/14 below 100, 1/14 120+)
Wins Avg since 2017: 97.69 from 13 (low of 60 and a high of 130, 6/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)
Losses Avg since 2017: 79.53 from 17 (low of 7 and a high of 121, 2/17 below 20, 11/17 below 100, 1/17 120+)
RE: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1064272851799171073
I like Preuss determination and attitude, but like he said, he has a long way to go.
If he is going to play in the same side as Gawn, he will need to be able to play another role on the field, hmmm, can he?
I like Preuss determination and attitude, but like he said, he has a long way to go.
If he is going to play in the same side as Gawn, he will need to be able to play another role on the field, hmmm, can he?
http://www.afl.com.au/news/2018-11-...m=feed&utm_campaign=RSS+feed:+AFL+Latest+News
Tom Mitchell banished any thoughts of his injured AC joint hampering his preparations with an early return to Hawthorn's pre-season training on Monday.......….I had shoulder surgery at the end of the year, but that's fully recovered.
Tom Mitchell banished any thoughts of his injured AC joint hampering his preparations with an early return to Hawthorn's pre-season training on Monday.......….I had shoulder surgery at the end of the year, but that's fully recovered.
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/...y/news-story/89a5d89e195773770d634994092663a3
Lance Franklin has had groin surgery and won’t train fully until January...…..“It was planned that rest would be the optimal form of recovery post-season for Lance, however it hasn’t healed at the rate we would have liked and surgery was determined as the best course of action,” new Swans head of football Charlie Gardiner said.
Lance Franklin has had groin surgery and won’t train fully until January...…..“It was planned that rest would be the optimal form of recovery post-season for Lance, however it hasn’t healed at the rate we would have liked and surgery was determined as the best course of action,” new Swans head of football Charlie Gardiner said.
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Various posters on Demonland seem keen to see how Preuss goes in the foreward line. Based on a bit of exposed form and ability to kick long goals this may be an option but it is hard to know whether it is viable ongoing. Time will tell, but I’ll be watching preseason comps closely to see how he goes.
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N Fyfe:
Pre Bye Avg from 2011-2018 (excluding 2012 where he averaged less than 100): 116.05 from 81 (18/81 below 100, 36/81 120+)
Post Bye Avg from 2011-2018 (excluding 2012 where he averaged less than 100): 111.15 from 48 (15/48 below 100, 21/48 120+)
3 of the past 5 years he has averaged 120+ pre bye (2014-120 from 7, 2015-134.27 from 111, 2018-123.75 from 12)
In the past 3 years he has only played 12 games post bye with 29 pre bye.
Pre Bye Avg from 2011-2018 (excluding 2012 where he averaged less than 100): 116.05 from 81 (18/81 below 100, 36/81 120+)
Post Bye Avg from 2011-2018 (excluding 2012 where he averaged less than 100): 111.15 from 48 (15/48 below 100, 21/48 120+)
3 of the past 5 years he has averaged 120+ pre bye (2014-120 from 7, 2015-134.27 from 111, 2018-123.75 from 12)
In the past 3 years he has only played 12 games post bye with 29 pre bye.
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He's one to start but he's not going to be doing full training til late December, just so you're aware. He had a small clean up on his knee.
Edit: He actually said
“There’ll be a balance, easing back in,” Fyfe said.
“I had a slight clean up on my knee, so I’m a bit later with my off-season preparations. I won’t be flying until after Christmas at least.
“This is my tenth pre-season. No records are going to be set by me in December, January, February.
“I really want to play 20 to 25 games of good footy next year. My focus is to train as much as I can and not be hitting straps until around that round one period and try to play the full year next year.”
That certainly makes me wonder whether I should start him
http://www.fremantlefc.com.au/news/2018-11-19/slow-build-for-captains-preseason
Edit: He actually said
“There’ll be a balance, easing back in,” Fyfe said.
“I had a slight clean up on my knee, so I’m a bit later with my off-season preparations. I won’t be flying until after Christmas at least.
“This is my tenth pre-season. No records are going to be set by me in December, January, February.
“I really want to play 20 to 25 games of good footy next year. My focus is to train as much as I can and not be hitting straps until around that round one period and try to play the full year next year.”
That certainly makes me wonder whether I should start him
http://www.fremantlefc.com.au/news/2018-11-19/slow-build-for-captains-preseason
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Plays against NM and GC in the first 2 rounds who he averages 137.11 from 9 and 140.33 from 6 respectively over his premium career (100+ avg years) with none of those 15 games under 100 and 12/15 120+. Plays StK in Rd 3 who are 1 of 2 teams he averages below 100 against and the next time he plays against a team he averages less than 110+ is RD9. Also 5 of his first 8 games at Optus Stadium where he averaged 117.88 from 8 in 2018 which increases to 128.57 from 7 if the injury affected 43 is excluded.
Been looking at a couple of left field selections for discussion. First up Jed Anderson
His 2018 is actually better than it looks. In rd 11 he got injured and spent most of the game on the bench scoring SC 6. Also got knocks in rd 17when he left the ground quarter 3, and had a head clash quarter 1 rd 18 and had a concussion test rd 19. So while his tog ave dropped from 2017 there were extenuating circumstances. His total tog minutes in 2018 was 1470. I took a stab and said he spent 15 min on the ground that game which would make is total tog for the season 1455. Take out the 6 from his total SC season score and it becomes 1663 which then translates into 1.14 pts per min. If he gets an increase in tog to say 80 min per game that puts him around 91pts per game. Then add on some improvement in d/eff, con poss and inside 50 and he could be over 100 per game.
Any Roos supporters have thoughts on the role Jed will play this year. Is he the improver?
His 2018 is actually better than it looks. In rd 11 he got injured and spent most of the game on the bench scoring SC 6. Also got knocks in rd 17when he left the ground quarter 3, and had a head clash quarter 1 rd 18 and had a concussion test rd 19. So while his tog ave dropped from 2017 there were extenuating circumstances. His total tog minutes in 2018 was 1470. I took a stab and said he spent 15 min on the ground that game which would make is total tog for the season 1455. Take out the 6 from his total SC season score and it becomes 1663 which then translates into 1.14 pts per min. If he gets an increase in tog to say 80 min per game that puts him around 91pts per game. Then add on some improvement in d/eff, con poss and inside 50 and he could be over 100 per game.
Any Roos supporters have thoughts on the role Jed will play this year. Is he the improver?
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