Discussion 2019: Super Early Player & SC Game Change Discussion
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R Laird:
Avg at AO since 2015: 103.52 from 44 (21/44 below 100, 13/44 120+)
Avg at AO since 2017: 108.58 from 24
AO Wins Avg since 2015: 103 from 33 (16/33 below 10, 9/33 120+)
AO Losses Avg since 2015: 105.09 from 11 (5/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)
8/13 games pre bye at Adelaide Oval in 2019.
Wins Avg since 2015: 103.94 from 53 (24/53 below 100, 15/53 120+)
Losses Avg since 2015: 91.96 from 26 (18/26 below 100, 5/26 120+)
Pre Bye Avg since 2015: 102.95 from 41 (18/41 below 100, 13/41 120+)
Post Bye Avg since 2015: 96.51 from 39 (25/39 below 100, 7/39 120+)
2016 was the only season he has averaged more post bye than pre bye (2016- Pre Bye-95.75 from 8, Post bye- 97.78 from 9)
Since 2017 he has averaged 108.70 post bye from 23 games compared to an averaged of 98.37 from 19 post bye.
Avg at AO since 2015: 103.52 from 44 (21/44 below 100, 13/44 120+)
Avg at AO since 2017: 108.58 from 24
AO Wins Avg since 2015: 103 from 33 (16/33 below 10, 9/33 120+)
AO Losses Avg since 2015: 105.09 from 11 (5/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)
8/13 games pre bye at Adelaide Oval in 2019.
Wins Avg since 2015: 103.94 from 53 (24/53 below 100, 15/53 120+)
Losses Avg since 2015: 91.96 from 26 (18/26 below 100, 5/26 120+)
Pre Bye Avg since 2015: 102.95 from 41 (18/41 below 100, 13/41 120+)
Post Bye Avg since 2015: 96.51 from 39 (25/39 below 100, 7/39 120+)
2016 was the only season he has averaged more post bye than pre bye (2016- Pre Bye-95.75 from 8, Post bye- 97.78 from 9)
Since 2017 he has averaged 108.70 post bye from 23 games compared to an averaged of 98.37 from 19 post bye.
Laird is a gun, no question about it. His pre bye/post bye split also means it’s harder to see him being a great upgrade target, so this could be a tough one.
Last year he averaged 32 disposals as a defender, 4th in the league (after Mitchell, Macrae and M Crouch). I just wonder whether he’s allowed to get that much of it again in 2019?
Last year he averaged 32 disposals as a defender, 4th in the league (after Mitchell, Macrae and M Crouch). I just wonder whether he’s allowed to get that much of it again in 2019?
I've never liked the idea of trying to create a market. A license for a team should always be requested. I think Southport might have requested a license many years ago. Even though it doesn't have the name recognition of the Gold Coast at least they would have had an established club with the support of the local community.
I feel St Kilda just had an annus horribilis and they could provide some good picks next year. Brett Ratten as the new midfield coach might free up some of their mids and Simon Leathlean has talked about adding forwards like Kent and Young to allow others into the midfield. Steele, Billings and Gresham could be the ones to benefit. I don't expect Hanneberry to be a keeper again but he will be so cheap. Having the first bye is a bit of a bummer because he could be the perfect player to carry until the byes.
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I can't see Steele getting forward.
I thought that Taranto would get DPP but I've rewatched some games and seen that he actually runs off the back of the square almost as much as he comes off the half forward flank, meaning he might only get mid only because he doesn't qualify for the 35% forward time. Most of the time he starts in the square or runs off a wing. I only watched a bunch of random centre bounces from games but didn't watch anywhere near enough to know for sure. I really hope he gets DPP though.
I thought that Taranto would get DPP but I've rewatched some games and seen that he actually runs off the back of the square almost as much as he comes off the half forward flank, meaning he might only get mid only because he doesn't qualify for the 35% forward time. Most of the time he starts in the square or runs off a wing. I only watched a bunch of random centre bounces from games but didn't watch anywhere near enough to know for sure. I really hope he gets DPP though.
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Some good points above re Steele.
Averaged 116 in his last 7 games, having only reached that level one prior to that spell.
Cherry picking a bit with the starting point, but I do like players who suddenly lift their scoring into (almost) uncharted territory ... rather than simply having a purple patch at a level they've matched before.
This article may also be of interest:
https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl...-best-and-fairest-finish-20180215-p4z0gh.html
Averaged 116 in his last 7 games, having only reached that level one prior to that spell.
Cherry picking a bit with the starting point, but I do like players who suddenly lift their scoring into (almost) uncharted territory ... rather than simply having a purple patch at a level they've matched before.
This article may also be of interest:
https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl...-best-and-fairest-finish-20180215-p4z0gh.html
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J Steele:
2018 Disposals Avg: 23.48
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 24: 105.4 from 10 (5/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
2018 Contested Possessions Avg: 10.24
SC Avg when Contested possessions equal/exceed 11: 104.4 from 10 (5/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
2018 Tackles Avg: 6.67
SC Avg when Tackles equal/exceed 7: 99.38 from 13 (7/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)
2017 Contested Possession Rate: 46.36%
2018 Contested Possession Rate: 42.24%
2017 Time on Ground: 75.6%
2018 Time on Ground: 79.33%
2018 SC Avg when TOG equals/exceeds 80: 104.73 from 11 (6/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)
2018 Wins Avg: 104.5 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
2018 Losses Avg: 91.56 from 16 (12/16 below 100, 3/16 120+)
2018 Pre Bye Avg: 81.42 from 12 (11/12 below 100)
2018 Post Bye Avg: 111.78 from 9 (3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)
2018 Disposals Avg: 23.48
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 24: 105.4 from 10 (5/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
2018 Contested Possessions Avg: 10.24
SC Avg when Contested possessions equal/exceed 11: 104.4 from 10 (5/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
2018 Tackles Avg: 6.67
SC Avg when Tackles equal/exceed 7: 99.38 from 13 (7/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)
2017 Contested Possession Rate: 46.36%
2018 Contested Possession Rate: 42.24%
2017 Time on Ground: 75.6%
2018 Time on Ground: 79.33%
2018 SC Avg when TOG equals/exceeds 80: 104.73 from 11 (6/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)
2018 Wins Avg: 104.5 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
2018 Losses Avg: 91.56 from 16 (12/16 below 100, 3/16 120+)
2018 Pre Bye Avg: 81.42 from 12 (11/12 below 100)
2018 Post Bye Avg: 111.78 from 9 (3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)
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