Discussion Rookie Discussion
- Thread starter Herbie66
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Appreciate the reply and comments.
No mention of Pittard.
I guess like any rookies named Round 1 we have to weigh up and select them.
Might need 5-6 correction trades in Round 3 if half of them dissapointing
how is your namesake tracking ? any room for him ?
Cheers
No mention of Pittard.
I guess like any rookies named Round 1 we have to weigh up and select them.
Might need 5-6 correction trades in Round 3 if half of them dissapointing
how is your namesake tracking ? any room for him ?
Cheers
TT is tracking well - liked what I saw in the JLT, but will be surprised if he's selected Round 1.
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I’d say Scott is a fairly safe pick. From our best 22, Anderson, Thompson and Jacobs are likely to miss. Thompson is irreverent for Scott. Someone has to replace the other two, and I think Scott and LDU are the most likely initially. And someone else will probably get injured by the time they’re back.
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https://www.afl.com.au/news/2018-07-04/afl-injury-survey-released
In relation to discussion on multiple previous posts re rookies job security due to players returning from injury, and dont worry i share the same concern.
It is a valid concern that a rookie player picked in round 1 is dropped in r2,3,4.... etc. so thought i would see if i could find any data on injuries, attached in the link above. (couldn't find 2018 data)
Summary
2016: players missed an average 139.8 games from 37 injuries per team
2017: players missed an average 141.3 games from 35.1 injuries per team
So quick n dirty stats check tells me that in any round, on average a club has ballpark 7 players out from injury each week, with 1.5ish new injuries per week. obviously some of these are best 22, some are not.
Point being perhaps we are overly concerned about a rookie losing there spot to a player returning from injury, as unless they suffer the injury themselves there is a good chance that a returning player simply takes the spot of a player who is newly injured if they hvae a similar role. obviously wont work out in every case, but some small comfort in the above data. ps not wishing injury on any player obviously!
(PS Mods feel free to move this to the injury thread if its better placed there.)
PPS i may have read the stats wrong, someone feel free to let me know of a different interpretation.
In relation to discussion on multiple previous posts re rookies job security due to players returning from injury, and dont worry i share the same concern.
It is a valid concern that a rookie player picked in round 1 is dropped in r2,3,4.... etc. so thought i would see if i could find any data on injuries, attached in the link above. (couldn't find 2018 data)
Summary
2016: players missed an average 139.8 games from 37 injuries per team
2017: players missed an average 141.3 games from 35.1 injuries per team
So quick n dirty stats check tells me that in any round, on average a club has ballpark 7 players out from injury each week, with 1.5ish new injuries per week. obviously some of these are best 22, some are not.
Point being perhaps we are overly concerned about a rookie losing there spot to a player returning from injury, as unless they suffer the injury themselves there is a good chance that a returning player simply takes the spot of a player who is newly injured if they hvae a similar role. obviously wont work out in every case, but some small comfort in the above data. ps not wishing injury on any player obviously!
(PS Mods feel free to move this to the injury thread if its better placed there.)
PPS i may have read the stats wrong, someone feel free to let me know of a different interpretation.
Looking like he is out for a long period of time as the club hasnt specified a return date yet. Ben Jacobs also out indefinitely so there will be spots up for grabs. However I think that all of Pittard, Polec, Hall and Tyson will line up Rd 1 so whether or not theres a spot for him remains to be seen. He is however a great talent and will get a game at some stage. Just depends how cautious Scott is at blooding him seeing as LDU only got 7 games last year.
Forgot to add the download link to the Rookie watch file. here it is if anyone would like it to change what ever stats you wish or rankings etc https://www.dropbox.com/s/j9io8p6x06abpum/Rookie Watch 2019.xlsx?dl=0
