Questions for Rowsus

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus!

Around what round would Beams fall to about $590K? Lets say he he would average around 105?
Given he scored 134 today, if he scores 105's from here on in, he won't be below $590k until he has played round 20.
 

Bobbie

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Hey Rowsus

I need to trade Goodes - have 4 trades and $21, 300 left.

Thinking I have two options....

1. Trade to a premium. I think I'm about 1k short of McKenzie.

2. Downgrade to def/fwd so I can switch Staker to D6. Options are Richards, Oxley or McGrath ($212k but at least guaranteed to play). If I go the cheaper options at $96k it leaves me with around $364k in the bank just in case I need to make other trades come finals

Thoughts? Perhaps you will identify another option. Cheers in advance.
 
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I should be looping Staker/Duffield as my D6 for the rest of the season.
So which FWD does Goodes go out for?
Already have Bartel/Cox/Martin/Rocky/JJK/Stevie J...
Should I get Roughie so that he can DPP with McBean when needed? Or is there any other good FWD that I should be looking at?
Thanks for your wisdom Rowsus!
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus

I need to trade Goodes - have 4 trades and $21, 300 left.

Thinking I have two options....

1. Trade to a premium. I think I'm about 1k short of McKenzie.

2. Downgrade to def/fwd so I can switch Staker to D6. Options are Richards, Oxley or McGrath ($212k but at least guaranteed to play). If I go the cheaper options at $96k it leaves me with around $364k in the bank just in case I need to make other trades come finals

Thoughts? Perhaps you will identify another option. Cheers in advance.
I guess the answer depends on your goal for the season. High ranking, or League success?

If it's high Ranking, you obviously need to replace Goodes, and/or possibly upgrade other spots.
High Ranking usually involves taking a few more risks around this time of the season, where as League success usually means playing it safer, and keeping at least 2 trades up your sleeve.

Basically, it's the difference between 2 trades this week, and one.

Your one trade options, which can fit a high Ranking strategy if your selection is good, appear to be (in price order):

Ibbotson - $459,200 - Has the Ross Lyon question mark hanging over him, as well as the "has he just been in a purple patch, that is now over?" question mark. Didn't start until round 5, and proceeded to look very good for a Def. His first 9 games produced four 100+ scores, and only one 80-! He averaged 103 in that time. But are there signs a corner has been turned? His last 3 have been 70, 113, 58. Also, it is interesting to note, he is averaging 108 at home, and only 83 away this season! Freo have 3 more home games to come. Risky, but so are all Defs in this price range!

Taylor - $457,200 - I'm a hater of the "If you take out these games, then he has done this" type logic. Having said that, Harry's season without his first 2, and last game, looks good! Six 100+ scores, and only two 80-'s with an average of 102 without those 3 games. Currently sitting 7th on the Def's aggregate ladder, even though he has missed a game!

Henderson - $449,100 - Gives you the poor man's DPP with Staker. I call it the poor man's DPP, because DPP links with 2 players expected to be in your 22 only cover those 2 players. Young player with improvement still to come. His role and importance has changed as the season has progressed (the only time I will allow the "if you take out" type logic). Since round 5 he has played 11 games, for seven 100+'s and two 80-'s. He has averaged 97 since he grown in importance. Some might point at Waite, and say he will/might drop when Waite returns. I think they're wrong. Waite hardly played at all round 15, so let's just look at Henderson, when Waite played from rounds 6 to 14 (excl rnd 7). In those 7 games Henderson had four 100+'s, two 80-'s, and averaged 93, so no great effect.

Hibberd - $434,300 - Big plus, he has the biggest average of all the players you can afford. Bigger minus, been in steady fall since round 11. His return in those 6 games shows: 6 scores between 74 and 93 for an average of 85. Another young player, with room for improvement. Possibly has been copping the Fwd tag lately. Either way, it's a risk taking players in steady decline.

I traded in Henderson for NicNat last week, so I am a little biased. Of the one trade options, I think he is best, just in front of Taylor.

The two trade option is not something I would do, if League victory is your priority. If High Ranking is your priority, I think you nearly have to do two trades.
It would seem downgrading Goodes to a D/F DPP is the best option, as you currently have good coverage in your Fwd and Ruck. Having said that, Bartel, NicNat, Franklin could cause problems this week, especially if Staker is swung Fwd!
I have been looking through options, of upgrading Rowe to Minson or Goldy. Or even as leftfield as Dawson Simpson! The loopholing isn't perfect, due to Nth's draw you'd only get proper loopholing in 4 of the 6 weeks. Simpson actually could be an interesting, but risky option, though loopholing reduces the risk a little. It would allow you to upgrade NicNat to Petrie (currently very high up on both average and aggregate tables!), and also allow Deledio/JPK to be upgraded as well!

I'm guessing you want to win your League first, then see what Ranking you can achieve, as long as winning your League doesn't cost you too much in Ranking positions. That being the case, I think I'd go Goodes to Henderson, or Taylor. With what is possibly going to happen this week at the selection table, it's probable you may need Staker in the Fwd's anyway.
Good luck, which ever way you jump! :)
 

SC FANATIC

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Hey Rowsus,
Once again i am in need of your wisdom. I want to trade out either Allen Christensen or Marc LeCras (via DPP Christensen) for Ryan Griffen. Who should I trade out?
 

Rowsus

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I should be looping Staker/Duffield as my D6 for the rest of the season.
So which FWD does Goodes go out for?
Already have Bartel/Cox/Martin/Rocky/JJK/Stevie J...
Should I get Roughie so that he can DPP with McBean when needed? Or is there any other good FWD that I should be looking at?
Thanks for your wisdom Rowsus!
How much cash do you have, MMM?
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,
Once again i am in need of your wisdom. I want to trade out either Allen Christensen or Marc LeCras (via DPP Christensen) for Ryan Griffen. Who should I trade out?
LeCras is playing to about his historic level. Christiansen is young, with potential improvement. Keep Christiansen, if it comes down to those two.
 

Saintellica

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Hi Rowsus,

Got some great advice from you a couple of weeks ago which I used to create more dpp links - went Macaffer to McBean and has been very handy moving Nic Nat to forward line and making use of Nicholls.

Now with Goodes gone and Nic Nat on his last legs, hoping you can provide your perspective on my team leading to league finals. Not too concerned about rankings now.

Goddard, Shaw, Gibbs, Hartlett, Terlich, Ellis (Goodes Thurlow)
Ablett, Pendles, Selwood, Danger, Cotchin, Johnson, Fyfe, Mitchell (K Martin, Colquhoun)
Cox, Nicholls (Nic Nat, Currie)
Walker, Rockliff, Bartel, Martin, J Kenndy, Franklin (Staker, McBean)

7 trades left and $340k

Like the thought of Beams in the mids as a POD (great ball user) but want to see how he goes for another week or so. Think Fyfe might be my wildcard in the finals with Freos last 4 if he can up his accuracy (getting lots of possessions lately but low efficiency).

cheers
 

Rowsus

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I should be looping Staker/Duffield as my D6 for the rest of the season.
So which FWD does Goodes go out for?
Already have Bartel/Cox/Martin/Rocky/JJK/Stevie J...
Should I get Roughie so that he can DPP with McBean when needed? Or is there any other good FWD that I should be looking at?
Thanks for your wisdom Rowsus!
$113,200.
Getting a FWD in means I lose my DPP between Richards and Staker.
Worth to do?
I think you would be compromising your structure too much. I think you are best just to upgrade Goodes to SD Thompson or McKenzie.
If you do want to go down the road of getting a Fwd, then Roughie is a good option. I would also consider Petrie or Harvey, though neither help your flexibility.
Your Fwd line is a little full, and it means you need to make bench decisions every week. But that can quickly change. Hold your depth for now, and hope Richards doesn't play too many more. Then you can obviously switch him and Staker and get some loophole use. with a big possibility of further Def pain to come, I think you'll be thankful of still being able to switch Staker around later.
Good luck :)
 
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I have a question for Rowsus.

Out of 10 (good), what would you rate my team? Hit me hard, I can handle it.

B - Goddard, Hanley, Taylor, Gibbs, Duffman, McKenzie, [Goodes, Doc]
M - GAJ, Pendles, JPK, Barlow, Hannebery, Masten, Fyfe, Ball, [TMitch, LolRicho]
R - McEvoy, Nicholls, [McBean, Currie]
F - Cox, Dusty, Rocky, JJK, SJ, Gunston, [Staker, BKennedy]
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

Got some great advice from you a couple of weeks ago which I used to create more dpp links - went Macaffer to McBean and has been very handy moving Nic Nat to forward line and making use of Nicholls.

Now with Goodes gone and Nic Nat on his last legs, hoping you can provide your perspective on my team leading to league finals. Not too concerned about rankings now.

Goddard, Shaw, Gibbs, Hartlett, Terlich, Ellis (Goodes Thurlow)
Ablett, Pendles, Selwood, Danger, Cotchin, Johnson, Fyfe, Mitchell (K Martin, Colquhoun)
Cox, Nicholls (Nic Nat, Currie)
Walker, Rockliff, Bartel, Martin, J Kenndy, Franklin (Staker, McBean)

7 trades left and $340k

Like the thought of Beams in the mids as a POD (great ball user) but want to see how he goes for another week or so. Think Fyfe might be my wildcard in the finals with Freos last 4 if he can up his accuracy (getting lots of possessions lately but low efficiency).

cheers
Hi Saintellica,
the shift from overall Ranking to League glory is something a lot of Coaches do around now each season.
What is best depends on your ladder position, and how your opponents look in the next 2 weeks.
That aside, you are in a strong position with cash and trades left. If you weren't looking at League glory I would suggest getting Beams this week. Yes, he has a huge B/E (186), but against that, he could score 150 this week against GWS. If he does, he only drops about $16k, and you've missed a big score to save $16k! I think in your position, as you are not going for high Ranking now, you are best to wait a week to get him. I watched his game this last weekend, and he did look good!
For starters, I think you need to upgrade Goodes to SD Thompson or McKenzie. Your other trade, if you do another one this week, comes down to if Buddy is selected, and how important this weekend's match is to your ladder position.
Let me know you ladder position, and how likely you are to move into/stay in the top 4, and how strong your opponent is this week. Then when the teams are announced this week, you'll be in a better position to decide if you need another trade. :)
 

Rowsus

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I have a question for Rowsus.

Out of 10 (good), what would you rate my team? Hit me hard, I can handle it.

B - Goddard, Hanley, Taylor, Gibbs, Duffman, McKenzie, [Goodes, Doc]
M - GAJ, Pendles, JPK, Barlow, Hannebery, Masten, Fyfe, Ball, [TMitch, LolRicho]
R - McEvoy, Nicholls, [McBean, Currie]
F - Cox, Dusty, Rocky, JJK, SJ, Gunston, [Staker, BKennedy]
To be tough, but fair, I'm going to give you a 6.8/10.
I'm worried about your backline depth. Your Mid lacks a little depth, as do your Rucks. Your Fwd line shows some imagination, and is your best line, I think.
Now that I've been tough on your team, I guess it's only fair that you rate my messed up team.
I have 2 trades left, and $56,800.

B - Goddard, Gibbs, Hanley, Ellis, Duffield, Staker [Goodes, Webster]
M - GAJ, Pendles, Swan, Jack, Kennedy JP, Priddis, Fyfe, Mitchell T [Dangerfield, Martin K]
R - Maric, Nicholls [Currie, McBean]
F - Cox, Rocky, Dusty, SJ, Walker A, Henderson [Macaffer, Sumner]

Not happy with depending on Spudfield in Def, so will probably go Goodes --> McKenzie this week, and then only have 1 trade and $34,400 left.
Rate away, and don't be afraid to be cruel! :)
 
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To be tough, but fair, I'm going to give you a 6.8/10.
I'm worried about your backline depth. Your Mid lacks a little depth, as do your Rucks. Your Fwd line shows some imagination, and is your best line, I think.
Now that I've been tough on your team, I guess it's only fair that you rate my messed up team.
I have 2 trades left, and $56,800.

B - Goddard, Gibbs, Hanley, Ellis, Duffield, Staker [Goodes, Webster]
M - GAJ, Pendles, Swan, Jack, Kennedy JP, Priddis, Fyfe, Mitchell T [Dangerfield, Martin K]
R - Maric, Nicholls [Currie, McBean]
F - Cox, Rocky, Dusty, SJ, Walker A, Henderson [Macaffer, Sumner]

Not happy with depending on Spudfield in Def, so will probably go Goodes --> McKenzie this week, and then only have 1 trade and $34,400 left.
Rate away, and don't be afraid to be cruel! :)
Thanks for that, I find it very difficult to judge a team that doesn't have the cookie choices - I was figuring about a 7 for me.

Duffman is a poor back, but I have had him since the start of the year and he was going to warm the bench before Goodes did his arm. My mids are unconventional to put it politely, when they all fire together I get great scores (last two weeks are examples) - when they don't, then bad stuff happens and I lose. Honestly, I am hanging out for next year, now that I know a bit more about how this SC thing works.

Oh and I have 2 trades and $7k in the bank.

For you Rowsus, I think a 7.6/10.

Your backline is very suspect as it stands - Duffman is a spud (as we know), Staker has had a good three week run but will cool off (bench loop for mine), Ellis has a high ceiling but is inconsistent - McKenzie in for Goodes is needed imo.

I like your mids - easily stronger than mine, especially when Danger is back and firing. Your rucks are ok, no cover like me (and Maric has injury concerns). Forward line is excellent, I rate Henderson (if you have L not R!) - definitely (atm) your strongest line.

So me at 16k overall, you at 24k, I think we will end up both about the 20k mark - race you to the finish! ;)
 
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I think you would be compromising your structure too much. I think you are best just to upgrade Goodes to SD Thompson or McKenzie.
If you do want to go down the road of getting a Fwd, then Roughie is a good option. I would also consider Petrie or Harvey, though neither help your flexibility.
Your Fwd line is a little full, and it means you need to make bench decisions every week. But that can quickly change. Hold your depth for now, and hope Richards doesn't play too many more. Then you can obviously switch him and Staker and get some loophole use. with a big possibility of further Def pain to come, I think you'll be thankful of still being able to switch Staker around later.
Good luck :)
Yeah the structure is the one that concerns me the most.
Maybe you're right, I should just keep the DPP open and upgrade Goodes to Cannon.
No other better defenders?
 

Bobbie

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I guess the answer depends on your goal for the season. High ranking, or League success?

If it's high Ranking, you obviously need to replace Goodes, and/or possibly upgrade other spots.
High Ranking usually involves taking a few more risks around this time of the season, where as League success usually means playing it safer, and keeping at least 2 trades up your sleeve.

Basically, it's the difference between 2 trades this week, and one.

Your one trade options, which can fit a high Ranking strategy if your selection is good, appear to be (in price order):

Ibbotson - $459,200 - Has the Ross Lyon question mark hanging over him, as well as the "has he just been in a purple patch, that is now over?" question mark. Didn't start until round 5, and proceeded to look very good for a Def. His first 9 games produced four 100+ scores, and only one 80-! He averaged 103 in that time. But are there signs a corner has been turned? His last 3 have been 70, 113, 58. Also, it is interesting to note, he is averaging 108 at home, and only 83 away this season! Freo have 3 more home games to come. Risky, but so are all Defs in this price range!

Taylor - $457,200 - I'm a hater of the "If you take out these games, then he has done this" type logic. Having said that, Harry's season without his first 2, and last game, looks good! Six 100+ scores, and only two 80-'s with an average of 102 without those 3 games. Currently sitting 7th on the Def's aggregate ladder, even though he has missed a game!

Henderson - $449,100 - Gives you the poor man's DPP with Staker. I call it the poor man's DPP, because DPP links with 2 players expected to be in your 22 only cover those 2 players. Young player with improvement still to come. His role and importance has changed as the season has progressed (the only time I will allow the "if you take out" type logic). Since round 5 he has played 11 games, for seven 100+'s and two 80-'s. He has averaged 97 since he grown in importance. Some might point at Waite, and say he will/might drop when Waite returns. I think they're wrong. Waite hardly played at all round 15, so let's just look at Henderson, when Waite played from rounds 6 to 14 (excl rnd 7). In those 7 games Henderson had four 100+'s, two 80-'s, and averaged 93, so no great effect.

Hibberd - $434,300 - Big plus, he has the biggest average of all the players you can afford. Bigger minus, been in steady fall since round 11. His return in those 6 games shows: 6 scores between 74 and 93 for an average of 85. Another young player, with room for improvement. Possibly has been copping the Fwd tag lately. Either way, it's a risk taking players in steady decline.

I traded in Henderson for NicNat last week, so I am a little biased. Of the one trade options, I think he is best, just in front of Taylor.

The two trade option is not something I would do, if League victory is your priority. If High Ranking is your priority, I think you nearly have to do two trades.
It would seem downgrading Goodes to a D/F DPP is the best option, as you currently have good coverage in your Fwd and Ruck. Having said that, Bartel, NicNat, Franklin could cause problems this week, especially if Staker is swung Fwd!
I have been looking through options, of upgrading Rowe to Minson or Goldy. Or even as leftfield as Dawson Simpson! The loopholing isn't perfect, due to Nth's draw you'd only get proper loopholing in 4 of the 6 weeks. Simpson actually could be an interesting, but risky option, though loopholing reduces the risk a little. It would allow you to upgrade NicNat to Petrie (currently very high up on both average and aggregate tables!), and also allow Deledio/JPK to be upgraded as well!

I'm guessing you want to win your League first, then see what Ranking you can achieve, as long as winning your League doesn't cost you too much in Ranking positions. That being the case, I think I'd go Goodes to Henderson, or Taylor. With what is possibly going to happen this week at the selection table, it's probable you may need Staker in the Fwd's anyway.
Good luck, which ever way you jump! :)
Cheers! I have given up on overall so concentrating on my cash league now. Currently sitting top by percentage only so want to maintain a top 4 finish. Not sure if this changes your advice? If I have a full forward line this week and therefore can spare Staker would it be best to trade in the cheap swing for Goodes?
 

Rowsus

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Cheers! I have given up on overall so concentrating on my cash league now. Currently sitting top by percentage only so want to maintain a top 4 finish. Not sure if this changes your advice? If I have a full forward line this week and therefore can spare Staker would it be best to trade in the cheap swing for Goodes?
IF you manage to have Staker as a spare in your Fwd line, then Xavier Richards probably is your best option. Fortunately, Hawthorn play on Friday night, so if Buddy is a late out you can react accordingly.
Just be sure to pick out one or two upgrade options you'd like, and keep an eye on their B/E's. Even with League as your goal, you don't want to miss a good potential upgrade, just because you played too cautious with your remaining trades.
Good luck :)
 
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Well with Hanley out, it has made my choices a lot easier.
I now have to upgrade Goodes to a defender.
Who do you recommend besides the Cannon?
 
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