Hi Rowsus,
RE: you said "Ceglar $417,000 - strikes me more as a Place Holder, than a Stepping Stone. ie, will likely stay around his current value, just keeping the seat warm until you upgrade him."
I expect Ceglar to increase his avg, hoping over 90 SC pts, but if he stays around his current value (77 SC pts), then his scoring is not good enough to be in the Fwd starting 6. My main purpose to having Ceglar in the Fwd line, besides being a serviceable scorer for the whole season, is to be a back up for any short term injury to Grundy and Gawn. Grundy (26yo) and Gawn (28yo) only missed 1 game in the past 2 years.
1. Is this a good plan and stick to it?
2. Or select a player that I am more confident will score 90 plus SC pts, like a Heeney? (I have Whitfield, Dusty and Petracca, but actually not sure who will be the top 6 Fwds, hmmm.)
In the past I have always been conservative, and the conservative me says play safe and select Ceglar, but for the first time, I'm going to try something different. I'm going to play to finish higher up the ranks, so this is new to me (I'm blaming @Connoisseur 's Quartet's Competition for this change, as I don't want to let the team down
). I'm thinking I have to be more aggressive and take more risks and go for players that I think will be higher scorers, to rake in as many points as I can.
So is being aggressive the way to go? Take chances on potentially high scorers like a Tom Mitchell?
Another example of me playing safe is to select Def/Fwd J Dawson to swap around with a D/Fs Hill or Brander, if I have a short term injury in Fwd or Def. But I'm not sure if Dawson will be a 90 plus scorer? I could select Docherty instead, who you said could be a good pick.
RE: you said "Ceglar $417,000 - strikes me more as a Place Holder, than a Stepping Stone. ie, will likely stay around his current value, just keeping the seat warm until you upgrade him."
I expect Ceglar to increase his avg, hoping over 90 SC pts, but if he stays around his current value (77 SC pts), then his scoring is not good enough to be in the Fwd starting 6. My main purpose to having Ceglar in the Fwd line, besides being a serviceable scorer for the whole season, is to be a back up for any short term injury to Grundy and Gawn. Grundy (26yo) and Gawn (28yo) only missed 1 game in the past 2 years.
1. Is this a good plan and stick to it?
2. Or select a player that I am more confident will score 90 plus SC pts, like a Heeney? (I have Whitfield, Dusty and Petracca, but actually not sure who will be the top 6 Fwds, hmmm.)
In the past I have always been conservative, and the conservative me says play safe and select Ceglar, but for the first time, I'm going to try something different. I'm going to play to finish higher up the ranks, so this is new to me (I'm blaming @Connoisseur 's Quartet's Competition for this change, as I don't want to let the team down
). I'm thinking I have to be more aggressive and take more risks and go for players that I think will be higher scorers, to rake in as many points as I can.So is being aggressive the way to go? Take chances on potentially high scorers like a Tom Mitchell?
Another example of me playing safe is to select Def/Fwd J Dawson to swap around with a D/Fs Hill or Brander, if I have a short term injury in Fwd or Def. But I'm not sure if Dawson will be a 90 plus scorer? I could select Docherty instead, who you said could be a good pick.
this is what makes this game so good. Everyone can have, and back in, their own opinion. Your opinion of Ceglar is obviously higher than mine. I expect him to be in that 80-85 area, and you expect him to be in that 90-95 area. For Ceglar to hold his price, he needs to average aound 82-83. If he averages low 90's he makes around $50k. Having him as a back up Ruck option changes his value calculation. Basically everytime you use him to cover your R1/R2 you add around 3 points/game to Ceglar's value. So if he averages your 92, and covers Gawndy twice, he has effectively averaged around 98. The reason it adds 3 points is that you have received the score of your F7 to replace whichever of Grundy/Gawn is missing. Ceglar moves from F5/6 to R2, and F7 moves onto the field to cover Ceglar. Your F7 we'll assume is a 60/game, so you are getting 60 points you wouldn't have gotten, if you didn't have Ceglar. For that reason, if you are of the belief that Ceglar can make low 90's, then it's a perfectly reasonable plan.
As for "Take chances on potentially high scorers like a Tom Mitchell", well that's exactly where around at least $6.5-$7.0 million of your starting bank should be going. They're not cheap, but you pay the price for the assumed security that they'll be safer picks, and better scorers.
The Dawson/Hill/Brander swing-set will be very very popular in starting teams, and apart from Hill being made of tissue paper, I see nothing wrong with it. That plan aside, if Docherty looks ok in the Marsh series, he should nearly be an automatic selection in your team. Nearly.
