This might sound very stupid... but I am wondering what the best way is to attack 2020 in pursuit of full premo.
Value, value, value and get the team done quickly,
500k mids, 450k fwds and defs
Proven scoring options with a heftier price tag,
600k mids, 550k fwds, 525k defs
The balanced approach
550k mids, 500k fwds, 475k defs
For this case study, my 'full premo' includes all players that score 80 - 90, even though this output would not be acceptable in a regular season, i.e. Pittonet R2, Dev Smith F6, Viney M8, Houston D6... you get the point. The bottom line is, there are no rookies on field. Luxury sideways trades can be made later.
I suppose that if we take the balanced approach, we might be full premo by the start of round 12 or 13 (this is best case, without LTI's to popular players, unlikely). Let's say you are full premo at the start of round 13.
By going the value path, we probably only hit full premo one or maximum two games earlier. We target players like Yeo, Cogs, Baz Smith, Jack Steven, etc. We use less trades to achieve full premo because we save $$$ on every trade. After trading in 3 x 450k players instead of 3 x 600k players means you have already saved 450k which could essentially be another value premo. Full premo at the start of round 12.
The old 'aim for the top 6 - 8 in each position could take another trade or two compared to the balanced approach, delaying full premo by approximately 1 more week... full premo at the start of round 14.
But of course for rounds 14 - 17, you have the strongest 22 onfield, and the bargain hunters are leaking points but they already opened up a lead by reaching quasi-premo two rounds earlier.
The balanced approach seems the obvious answer but this really seems to me like the $50k question. Keen to hear the wisdoms of the community and would be especially keen to hear an opinion on this from someone who fancies their maths skills.
Great post.
Thought it would have generated greater interest and responses.
I for one will be continuing down the "value" route having recently brought in Butler , Ceglar & Ridley and just hope they continue/maintain their scoring to be viable season long keepers.
One of the issues I see is the lack of $$$ the likes of Budarick , Brown , McInerney have made so far (and 2 of them are likely to start losing $$$ if they keep their spots)
You almost need 3 $ 250k downgrade trades (making $ 125 k profit each trade) to then fund a single $ 625 upgrade trade , it simply is not going to work multiple times especially in the mids.
Hence why I see the likes of Hurn (?) , Menegola , Bailey Smith , Whitfield , Yeo etc etc as almost must have trade in targets the next 3-4 rounds.
Based on my own situation , I currently have 6 onfield rookies (not all guaranteed to play this week) that on current value I will need $ 1,471,500.00 to find them all to $ 500 k players (not taking into account current price / price drops for those trade in targets mentioned).
My current bank should be able to fund 3-4 of them.
My current bench consists of 4 DNP from last round and a couple with JS concerns so hoping that they can actually generate enough $$$ for the final 2 onfield rookie upgrades.
After that I will hope that everyone is scoring at that 90+ range and then possibly will be able to do "luxury sideways" trades.
Pittonet at R2 will be the biggest issue along with the likes of Sloane , D Smith , TJL etc etc.
I guess then the concern is will we even have adequate cover at D7 , M9 & F7 or even enough trades to fix things.
I am just taking the view of trying to fix my team week by week and hopefully be getting some competitive scores sooner rather than later.
I also need to work out what to do with Rowell , have a feeling tonight's teams might be bringing some rookie carnage.