Discussion 2021: Strategy, Team & Player Discussions

[freowho]

Marcus Adams played 1 game for 28 points.

 

[Under The Dome]

Serong only going to be priced at an avg of 81. Contested beast and a smokey for my mid5-6.

 

[Bomber18]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1307650681105346561

Dunkley an interesting prospect for next season. Couldn’t beat the +20ppg breakout curse in 2020, but in 2021, he just needs to bounce back to 110 to be a good pick.

 

[Bomber18]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1307876562646175744

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1306939018886537217

He really should be on my never again list due to his terrible injury record but I am always a sucker for these sorts of “injury prone, high ceiling” picks

 

[Bontempele]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1307650681105346561

Dunkley an interesting prospect for next season. Couldn’t beat the +20ppg breakout curse in 2020, but in 2021, he just needs to bounce back to 110 to be a good pick.

Only concern is that the Doggies have five midfielders to fit into four spots (three on-field + bench rotation). I think I might be avoiding all but Macrae (who can't really play anywhere else) at the start of the year.

 

[Bomber18]

Only concern is that the Doggies have five midfielders to fit into four spots (three on-field + bench rotation). I think I might be avoiding all but Macrae (who can't really play anywhere else) at the start of the year.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1307620352235773952

Can never trust Bevo!

 

[lavenderbandit]

Only concern is that the Doggies have five midfielders to fit into four spots (three on-field + bench rotation). I think I might be avoiding all but Macrae (who can't really play anywhere else) at the start of the year.

surely Dunkley is a lock as Mid/Ruck/fwd eligible


(tongue in cheek obviously)

 

[Herbie66]

surely Dunkley is a lock as Mid/Ruck/fwd eligible


(tongue in cheek obviously)

Can he link with Blicavs as a D/M/R though ?

 

[Herbie66]

Only concern is that the Doggies have five midfielders to fit into four spots (three on-field + bench rotation). I think I might be avoiding all but Macrae (who can't really play anywhere else) at the start of the year.

maybe Hunter is the safest of them all then

I gather the 5 are Bazlenka , Bont , Dunks , Libba & Macrae

 

[Herbie66]

Cripps finishing on around a 97.5 avg. Will be around 530-540k I think. I think he’ll be locked for me at that price.

Heppell and Cripps locked in!

I have him at $ 529,425.00.

Looks like I am about $ 20-30k under Brice Mitchell's calculations though.

I am sure he will have price projections for 2021 up and available for every single player at the end of tonight's game though.

He is a machine.

 

[Bomber18]

I have him at $ 529,425.00.

Looks like I am about $ 20-30k under Brice Mitchell's calculations though.

I am sure he will have price projections for 2021 up and available for every single player at the end of tonight's game though.

He is a machine.

I am using 5450 as the magic number which I think I reverse engineered from one of Brice’s predictions. Just only a rough estimate though and it has Cripps at 531k.

 

[Herbie66]

I am using 5450 as the magic number which I think I reverse engineered from one of Brice’s predictions. Just only a rough estimate though and it has Cripps at 531k.

I am using 5430 as it it easier to remember (and was Fyfes exact number for his price this year) , so I am not sure what % it will increase by next year.

 

[freowho]

I am using 5430 as it it easier to remember (and was Fyfes exact number for his price this year) , so I am not sure what % it will increase by next year.

It will be interesting to see how they handle smaller list sizes if it happens. Total pool each year is about $250 million. Gawn might be $900k!!!

 

[Herbie66]

It will be interesting to see how they handle smaller list sizes if it happens. Total pool each year is about $250 million. Gawn might be $900k!!!

That's a very good point.

Been seeing 35 floating around which I guess is the main list.

Not sure if their are then extras for the different rookie categories.

I wonder if clubs might recruit more mature aged players as rookies in case they need them ready to play.

 

[Goodie's Guns]

Perryman as a DEF is one I would be very interested in.

Perryman classified as a Wing (MID) at this stage per the summaries. Played all over the ground so will be interesting to see if his move to the defence is enough to grab him DEF eligibility.

FWIW AFL Player Ratings summary table has Harry Perryman still as a Wing (MID).
His percentage breakdown would be really interesting to see, feel like he could genuinely be ~30% DEF, ~40% MID, ~30% FWD type numbers.

 

[Goodie's Guns]

Fyfe MID per the AFL Player Ratings summary tables.

However, we did see a mistake a week or two back with Whitfield being listed as MID/FWD, and then corrected the following week.
So who knows, still might get him as a MID/FWD, certainly started forward of at a lot of the stoppages with Walters and Tabener out in Round 18. Be interesting to see if it might've been enough to get FWD eligibility for him.

 

[Bomber18]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1307991238503624704

Seems like another to lock away for next season

 

[Bomber18]

FWIW AFL Player Ratings summary table has Harry Perryman still as a Wing (MID).
His percentage breakdown would be really interesting to see, feel like he could genuinely be ~30% DEF, ~40% MID, ~30% FWD type numbers.

That's probably the worst result... I'm dreading Devon being a mid only with similar numbers (it would really hurt me in SCSUL as that wasn't what I was expecting!)

 

[spark]

To future Tamuhawk

Lloyd, Neale, Macrae, Grundy. Lock them in and throw away the key. Will need to revisit this when round 1 2021 starts.

Never again list:
Hurn, Yeo, Shiel.

I would add Gawn and Oliver and the Bont to that list. And I agree with the "never Again" list. Spot on.

 

[Herbie66]

Have used @Bomber18 figure for price calculations.

Based on position eligibility 2020.

As @freowho said given the list reductions next season who knows how they will start the total players salary pool

So pretty much all conjecture and speculation until official prices are released but here goes.

Lloyd 665,900
Howe 656,725 maybe Discounted
Ryan 584,785
Laird 572,795
Sicily 560,085
Maynard 558,080
Ridley 555,355
Daniel 553,175
Mills 552,630
Stewart 545,545

Neale 732,480
Steele 667,625
Oliver 665,990
Macrae 659,450
Bontempelli 632,745
Merrett 630,020
Hunter 627,295
Kelly 624,570
Dangerfield 620,775
Mitchell 618,575

Gawn 762,455
Grundy 657,270
Goldstein 610,400
Naitanui 602,225
O'Brien 578,790

Petracca 640,375
Hawkins 576,610
Greenwood 575,520
Whitfield 569,525
Brayshaw 552,085
Martin 549,360
Walters 539,005
Mathieson 528,650 maybe Discounted
Ryder 513,390
Heeney 512,300 maybe Discounted