Strategy 2022: Round 3 Trades

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I have been looking at Bowey. But I also do not have Hinge in def so have been considering which one to bring in.

My rough (very rough) calcs have it looking like this. Due to the 151 Bowey could go back to 70 for three games in a row and still go up 100k. Hinge could go 75 three times in a row and go up about 120k. It is a tricky one. If Bowey produces another 100 in the next two or three rounds he could push up towards 400k and could be upgraded to a premium from there. Hinge is unlikely to get that high and is more of a cash cow. He could go 100. 100, 75 and will make 150-160k but still only be around the 350k mark.
Be mindful the time frame is quite short of 5 weeks, better to think 7-9 weeks.

Hinge had a 40 1H game1 then followed up with 80. Bowey could be impacted by players coming back, yet could do well with Salem out of the side, scored high 80's in the AAMI game when Salem was out and the other players missing.

Think Bowey high chance to make $150k ($100k guaranteed with that 150 score) and Hinge $130k, Bowey gets there faster which is important although does the extra investment impact you in next week or two.
 
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Be mindful the time frame is quite short of 5 weeks, better to think 7-9 weeks.

Hinge had a 40 1H game1 then followed up with 80. Bowey could be impacted by players coming back, yet could do well with Salem out of the side, scored high 80's in the AAMI game when Salem was out and the other players missing.

Think Bowey high chance to make $150k ($100k guaranteed with that 150 score) and Hinge $130k, Bowey gets there faster which is important although does the extra investment impact you in next week or two.
Unless is M McGovern to Bowey via SDK which also sets up a D/F switch with P McCartin?
 
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whitfield > bowey
berry > cripps
maginness > ginnivan
worth it or no
ps: i dont have the money to get xerri instead of ginnivan
 
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Unless is M McGovern to Bowey via SDK which also sets up a D/F switch with P McCartin?
I dont think I could see who you were trading from.

SDK forward doesn't impact who goes out, so McGov vs which player you were looking at.

Whitfield would be out for me for Bowey or Hinge, over a McGov in case you are looking at that.

Not guaranteed McGov stays in my team in next two weeks, will give him every opportunity where I can given his DPP advantage.

Dont think SDK forward is that helpful yet as our forwards re stacked with midpricers who are doing well, so we would be unlikely to swing Paddy forward, unless he is sitting on your bench.

I would be slightly biased to Hinge vs Bowey despite the slower capital gain. Ideally both in works fine with me.

I have Whitfield and currently judging if to go to Bowey or Hewett from Whitfield. Have chapman just treading water. Bowey doesn't free up enough money to take McGov up to Heeney. Whits to Hewett and Chapman to Bowey is ok. Still deciding where Nic Martin fits in if he delivers game 2.
 
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Gee Whitfield to Bowey is a ballsy move even if Whitfield is carrying. I think really, depending how deep you bat in defence it needs to be Whitfield to a premium but that's just my structure.

I do see why people are looking at that Berry/McGov/Chapman to Bowey trade - I'm not sure I'm as bullish as others but for me there's money tied up in those guys that doesn't need to be. None have shown they have the potential to make $150k that's for sure.
 
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Bowey has played one blinder in his 6 game career.
Thats right Courts and may not again.

However, he does have a 150 which even with 60's makes you 100k and with all likelihood should make $120k, maybe $150k.

If trading for someone who is going to lose money then it can make sense. It will depend on your views on why that person is underperforming.
 
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Thats right Courts and may not again.

However, he does have a 150 which even with 60's makes you 100k and with all likelihood should make $120k, maybe $150k.

If trading for someone who is going to lose money then it can make sense. It will depend on your views on why that person is underperforming.
Too true. Whitfield is a damn enigma.
 
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I dont think I could see who you were trading from.

SDK forward doesn't impact who goes out, so McGov vs which player you were looking at.

Whitfield would be out for me for Bowey or Hinge, over a McGov in case you are looking at that.

Not guaranteed McGov stays in my team in next two weeks, will give him every opportunity where I can given his DPP advantage.

Dont think SDK forward is that helpful yet as our forwards re stacked with midpricers who are doing well, so we would be unlikely to swing Paddy forward, unless he is sitting on your bench.

I would be slightly biased to Hinge vs Bowey despite the slower capital gain. Ideally both in works fine with me.

I have Whitfield and currently judging if to go to Bowey or Hewett from Whitfield. Have chapman just treading water. Bowey doesn't free up enough money to take McGov up to Heeney. Whits to Hewett and Chapman to Bowey is ok. Still deciding where Nic Martin fits in if he delivers game 2.


My def is Crisp, Ryan, Ridley, Hewitt, Gibcus, McCartin, bench SDK and donut. Hinge is the only def rookie prospect I don't have.

Forward rookies are Xerri, Rachele, Hayes bench N Martin and McGovern.

So the plan being considered was SDK forward and take the McGovern cash and get Bowey on field in def. Gibcus can then go to the bench. McGovern might come good but for quick cash generation and getting to a trade up position Bowey beats him to the punch.
 
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I'm going to throw some ideas around:

A
1. Gawn > Jackson
2. Whitfield > Hewett
3. Long > Ginnivan
(237k in bank)

B.
1. Gawn > Jackson
2. SKD > Hewitt (ie. Keeping Whitfield.)
(59k in bank)

I need to change up my game this year - be a little less conservative. Went from 35k overall into top 6k this week. May as well go for the green while there's any sort of chance.


I like your attitude Zimmer. I think I'll be doing the same.
 
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Gee Whitfield to Bowey is a ballsy move even if Whitfield is carrying. I think really, depending how deep you bat in defence it needs to be Whitfield to a premium but that's just my structure.

I do see why people are looking at that Berry/McGov/Chapman to Bowey trade - I'm not sure I'm as bullish as others but for me there's money tied up in those guys that doesn't need to be. None have shown they have the potential to make $150k that's for sure.
Do you see Hewett as a premium?

When assessing all the in's, the way I see it and please correct me:

Hewett - Cerra will eat away, did plays a cooler role for a little while on Bont, didn't hugely impact his scoring. Cooler vs Tagger roles look to be large difference in scoring for all players involved. Less CBA's may see him be 100 player. Probably ok if you have space still for Hall and his friends at the top end.

Bowey - 150 ensure fast track on initial capital gain, scoring from here though are what you get and impact his ability on whether he maxes at 350k or 400k.

Heeney - limited CBA's yet seems to be scoring well, bags of goals since preseason. Did notice he lined up on wing too, Swans fast scoring mode and chaos attack helps him. Papley back could help his midfield time.

Brayshaw - had strong 2H to last season and good start, form better or benefits from Fyfe out of the team through these two periods. Gun player who will keep getting better, does he get more attention. Is he top 8?

Ginnivan - looks like Bowey, could be 60-70 player most weeks and should make $150k. Tail risk in scoring still key to final value unless he can knock out another big score. Many forget Tex had two large scores last year then backed up a third to go from $300k to $480k.

Cripps - looks amazing, will get attention which like Neale, does reduce their scores, yet his style and with support now, should wear it better. Has Walsh which will be interesting to see late in season who gets the attention.

Skinner - really disappointed as would have gone early on him for Chapman which helps a fwd upgrade. Played forward apparently in last quarter, any views on him. Started on Mitch Lewis who did well (vs everyone who played on him).

Jackson - went big on Gold Coast last year, is Gawn lacking a bit of fitness which may benefit Jackson early in season.
 
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