Discussion General Discussion
- Thread starter Impromptu
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Agree, the facts were presented for people to make their own assumptions.
He would not have written the book if he was happy to go along with the whole charade, so you can read into everything he said as slanted a certain way if you choose to.
The AFL has non-disclosure agreements in place with all it's former staff. Thankfully, someone like Warner can elicit information from such people without identifying them. If he had made it all up I think we would have heard a lot more about it.
Silence, then an unexpected resignation, says quite a lot in my book.
He would not have written the book if he was happy to go along with the whole charade, so you can read into everything he said as slanted a certain way if you choose to.
The AFL has non-disclosure agreements in place with all it's former staff. Thankfully, someone like Warner can elicit information from such people without identifying them. If he had made it all up I think we would have heard a lot more about it.
Silence, then an unexpected resignation, says quite a lot in my book.
View: https://mobile.twitter.com/RealGilbert/status/1513960910217486342
I know @Connoisseur among others was a huge fan. RIP.
I know @Connoisseur among others was a huge fan. RIP.
This might be old news but I only just updated the AFL app and this was welcome news.
“
The AFL is giving fans access to state league and talent pathway football like never with free live streaming via afl.com.au and the AFL Live Official App.
More than 500 matches will be live streamed free and in full in 2022 across a range of competitions including VFL, VFLW, WAFL, NAB League Girls and Boys and NAB AFL/AFLW National Championships.
As part of the commitment, the AFL and West Australian Football Commission have agreed to all 72 WAFL matches not shown on the Seven Network in the WA market to be live streamed free and exclusively on AFL platforms.
Meanwhile, all VFL and VFLW matches will be live streamed throughout 2022, with VFL matches and a weekly VFLW feature match available on AFL platforms and remaining VFLW matches live streamed on VFLW channels.
All NAB League Girls and Boys matches will be live streamed also, with one match from each competition exclusive to NewsCorp channels and the remaining matches via the NAB League App. Some NAB AFL/AFLW National Championships matches, featuring the future stars of men’s and women’s football across the country, will also be live streamed as part of the commitment.”
“
The AFL is giving fans access to state league and talent pathway football like never with free live streaming via afl.com.au and the AFL Live Official App.
More than 500 matches will be live streamed free and in full in 2022 across a range of competitions including VFL, VFLW, WAFL, NAB League Girls and Boys and NAB AFL/AFLW National Championships.
As part of the commitment, the AFL and West Australian Football Commission have agreed to all 72 WAFL matches not shown on the Seven Network in the WA market to be live streamed free and exclusively on AFL platforms.
Meanwhile, all VFL and VFLW matches will be live streamed throughout 2022, with VFL matches and a weekly VFLW feature match available on AFL platforms and remaining VFLW matches live streamed on VFLW channels.
All NAB League Girls and Boys matches will be live streamed also, with one match from each competition exclusive to NewsCorp channels and the remaining matches via the NAB League App. Some NAB AFL/AFLW National Championships matches, featuring the future stars of men’s and women’s football across the country, will also be live streamed as part of the commitment.”
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I wonder if they factored in Layability?
When a Bookmaker frames early odds, it isn't just based on what he/she thinks the probability of XvY is.
There is also a factor of (sometimes), am I going to be able to make a book at these odds?
In sports markets, a lot of that comes down to the popularity of the team, amongst those that can bet large enough, to shift the market.
As an overly simple example.
Collingwood v GC.
Collingwood have LOTS of supporters, GC not so many.
A Bookmaker might think "I reckon Collingwood a $1.30 chance. But I think their punters will take $1.25", so he puts them up $1.25, not $1.30.
The market tilts towards how easy it is to work it!
When a Bookmaker frames early odds, it isn't just based on what he/she thinks the probability of XvY is.
There is also a factor of (sometimes), am I going to be able to make a book at these odds?
In sports markets, a lot of that comes down to the popularity of the team, amongst those that can bet large enough, to shift the market.
As an overly simple example.
Collingwood v GC.
Collingwood have LOTS of supporters, GC not so many.
A Bookmaker might think "I reckon Collingwood a $1.30 chance. But I think their punters will take $1.25", so he puts them up $1.25, not $1.30.
The market tilts towards how easy it is to work it!
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Like It Or Not, A Close AFL Game Really Is A Coin Flip
https://www.statsinsider.com.au/blog/afl/like-it-or-not-a-close-afl-game-really-is-a-coin-flip
https://www.statsinsider.com.au/blog/afl/like-it-or-not-a-close-afl-game-really-is-a-coin-flip
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