Discussion 2023: Rate My Team
- Thread starter KLo30
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Which included two games below 65. Exclusive of injury and inclusive of finals, Stewart has only managed one game below 65 in his 76 matches between RD1 2019 and RD20 2022.
In regards to “teams really started putting work into limiting his impact” what tactics did opposing sides utilise to curb his influence?
In regards to “teams really started putting work into limiting his impact” what tactics did opposing sides utilise to curb his influence?
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First draft done for the year with pre-season form to take into consideration. Have landed on this for now which feels about right, having dropped Stewart for Yeo and using the cash to get Hopper in the mids. Concerns are:
- Mids feel too stacked? I've been bullish on a LDU breakout since end of last year though and feel I need Hopper as well.
- Yeo has burned me many times, but feel its a big risk not picking him
- Rucks are an absolute chook lotto but feel everyone will be in same boat.
Any feedback welcomed, feels good to be back!
- Mids feel too stacked? I've been bullish on a LDU breakout since end of last year though and feel I need Hopper as well.
- Yeo has burned me many times, but feel its a big risk not picking him
- Rucks are an absolute chook lotto but feel everyone will be in same boat.
Any feedback welcomed, feels good to be back!
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Guess I really have to respond to a challenge like that @randomcliche
Firstly, I rather like your team, perhaps because its not too GNR
- reckon you're not going to be an easy-beat .. interestingly we have both just won a spot in the SCS league, so an on-going comparison will be easily tracked.
A couple of thoughts.
I think I previously said I dont really ever factor in keepers as such.
I get that its a win if you do keep a player all the way to the end, but at the start of the season its not much more than wishful thinking to me.
Using last years winner again - You counted 10 keepers excluding Hewett, Witts, Cogs & Brodie, but only 5 of the ten were realised keepers - so what does that tell us? I'm not sure. Note - Witts, Cogs & Brodie turned into keepers so he did achieve 8 in total.
I do work thru my my team set-ups in Excel, but I've never gone so far as to calculate a predicted team score.
But that kind of thinking does underpin my general approach to team selection - the driver is what I call free-points.
Eg. You have picked Laird priced at at nearly 128 ppg for $703K. I'd say you couldnt expect to get more than 128 pts for your investment - so no free points.
I'm picking LDU priced at at nearly 101 ppg for $557K. His second half of 2022 and his pre-season form so far suggest he can get to 110 ppg. so I'm hoping for (at least) 9 free points.
The wider theory being that the more free points I buy, the better placed I am.
So taking that further, the more value picks I have (assuming they work out of course) I should be ahead of GNR teams - unless they get a big free point haul from their on-field rookies who they will have more of than I do.
That's hard to accurately assess and will vary from year to year depending on the relative strengths of the seasonal rookie crops.
You'll see that I do have the most popular rookies like Ashcroft, Ginbey, McLean on-field, so I'm talking about players such as Phillips or Wilmot that I have on my bench whilst others have them on-field. If they fire it doesnt help my score & I'm missing out free-points that are advantageous to most others.
Looking at it from a cash-gen point of view, again I reckon if I do my job correctly I will have close to the best 10-11 rookies in my squad.
In that case I should also be $$ ahead of GNR teams - unless the second tier 4-5 rookies they have perform strongly.
My thought on the players you queried.
Fyfe - Definitely a risk, but as I said earlier he's a favourite & at $313K (57 ppg) I'd really kick myself if he comes off. Contingency is to swap him to Ziebell at round 3 if that looks the better way to go.
Haynes - A bit more confident here: Also priced at 57 ppg but has a proven SC track record over time prior to 2022 (which I think was due to injuries) Not too old and reportedly back in form.
Jackson - Admittedly this one is a lot more speculative.. He does provide ruck cover as I do have a decent F7. Also his age and switch to Freo should/could see him do better than 85ppg.
Cunnington - Unless his midfield role isn't evident in this weeks praccy match, I cant see this one failing - surely there's ~20 free pts coming my way!
Lycett - as above if he's Port's #1 ruck
As for your team, it does look pretty good to me, but you are banking a lot on your E-Saver investment at R2.
At this stage I'm not convinced, but I will be looking at the score he puts up this week.
Firstly, I rather like your team, perhaps because its not too GNR
- reckon you're not going to be an easy-beat .. interestingly we have both just won a spot in the SCS league, so an on-going comparison will be easily tracked.A couple of thoughts.
I think I previously said I dont really ever factor in keepers as such.
I get that its a win if you do keep a player all the way to the end, but at the start of the season its not much more than wishful thinking to me.
Using last years winner again - You counted 10 keepers excluding Hewett, Witts, Cogs & Brodie, but only 5 of the ten were realised keepers - so what does that tell us? I'm not sure. Note - Witts, Cogs & Brodie turned into keepers so he did achieve 8 in total.
I do work thru my my team set-ups in Excel, but I've never gone so far as to calculate a predicted team score.
But that kind of thinking does underpin my general approach to team selection - the driver is what I call free-points.
Eg. You have picked Laird priced at at nearly 128 ppg for $703K. I'd say you couldnt expect to get more than 128 pts for your investment - so no free points.
I'm picking LDU priced at at nearly 101 ppg for $557K. His second half of 2022 and his pre-season form so far suggest he can get to 110 ppg. so I'm hoping for (at least) 9 free points.
The wider theory being that the more free points I buy, the better placed I am.
So taking that further, the more value picks I have (assuming they work out of course) I should be ahead of GNR teams - unless they get a big free point haul from their on-field rookies who they will have more of than I do.
That's hard to accurately assess and will vary from year to year depending on the relative strengths of the seasonal rookie crops.
You'll see that I do have the most popular rookies like Ashcroft, Ginbey, McLean on-field, so I'm talking about players such as Phillips or Wilmot that I have on my bench whilst others have them on-field. If they fire it doesnt help my score & I'm missing out free-points that are advantageous to most others.
Looking at it from a cash-gen point of view, again I reckon if I do my job correctly I will have close to the best 10-11 rookies in my squad.
In that case I should also be $$ ahead of GNR teams - unless the second tier 4-5 rookies they have perform strongly.
My thought on the players you queried.
Fyfe - Definitely a risk, but as I said earlier he's a favourite & at $313K (57 ppg) I'd really kick myself if he comes off. Contingency is to swap him to Ziebell at round 3 if that looks the better way to go.
Haynes - A bit more confident here: Also priced at 57 ppg but has a proven SC track record over time prior to 2022 (which I think was due to injuries) Not too old and reportedly back in form.
Jackson - Admittedly this one is a lot more speculative.. He does provide ruck cover as I do have a decent F7. Also his age and switch to Freo should/could see him do better than 85ppg.
Cunnington - Unless his midfield role isn't evident in this weeks praccy match, I cant see this one failing - surely there's ~20 free pts coming my way!
Lycett - as above if he's Port's #1 ruck
As for your team, it does look pretty good to me, but you are banking a lot on your E-Saver investment at R2.
At this stage I'm not convinced, but I will be looking at the score he puts up this week.
Personally I would hesitant to start Mills - Horse loves to throw him around the field depending on what is required, he is very versatile.
My suggestion would be to drop him to a rookie (maybe McVee to give you a def/mid link on the bench 123K who looks likely round 1) so Phillipou on the ground, Sinn (unlikely round 1, Injury issues this preseason) > Coniglio so Greene goes to your fwd bench.
My suggestion would be to drop him to a rookie (maybe McVee to give you a def/mid link on the bench 123K who looks likely round 1) so Phillipou on the ground, Sinn (unlikely round 1, Injury issues this preseason) > Coniglio so Greene goes to your fwd bench.
Not my preferred team at the moment, just wondering folks thoughts on the balance of the side with Parish in as the fifth midfielder (but at the cost of Daicos at D2 AND losing about $100k on rookie spend)?
For me I think it's just a little too wonky; it could work if the rookies get lucrative roles and Daicos doesn't explode but the risk is probably too great.
For me I think it's just a little too wonky; it could work if the rookies get lucrative roles and Daicos doesn't explode but the risk is probably too great.
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