Strategy 2023: Round 3 Trades

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He scored 178 last year v North before throwing in that 41 on the weekend ;)

His CBA's & hitout numbers are very similar to previous years, the 2 big drop areas are his Hitout to Advantage numbers & his Disposal Efficiency.

HTO's down from 33.3 to 22.7 (HTO worth 5 points) so almost 11 down from last year which is close to 55 less points. To me there seems to be a connection issue with his midfield for there to be such a drop off or opposing teams have worked out his preferred hitting areas & targets. O'Meara replacing Mundy in the midfield mix from last year, Serong & Brayshaw still the main 2 guys :-

Screen Shot 2023-03-27 at 1.21.54 pm.png

Here are last year's numbers as a comparison :-

Screen Shot 2023-03-27 at 1.23.42 pm.png

Interesting that Brodie's numbers well down on the weekend compared to week 1 & all of last year.

Darcy's disposal efficiency has dropped from 67% from last year to 58% which is hurting his scoring also.

So from the limited data over 2 rounds it looks like it is a form issue (which is strange considering he looked so good in the 2 preseason games v Ade & Port) & Freo have some issues with how their midfield is functioning/ not working well.

Question now is do we we back Darcy/Freo to turn it around or jump off now before he drops in price? BE of 182/ a projected score of 87 sees him drop 43K.

Big opportunity this week v WCE with Williams likely leading the ruck again (Simmo mentioned today that NN is unlikely).

My issue is Cameron looked excellent v Port (yes I know Lycett is very average) & is projected to rise 40K/ has DP which will be very handy later on (potential pair with Gawn later in the season)

Cameron had 68% CBAs on the weekend :-

Screen Shot 2023-03-27 at 1.35.32 pm.png

So he is still the clear main ruck at the pies which was a concern before the start of the year (I was worried 50/50 split with Cox) but it seems the same as last year except for round 19 (not sure why for that round) :-

Screen Shot 2023-03-27 at 1.36.49 pm.png

Here are Cameron's scores from round 7 to 16 when Grundy went down & he became the main ruck :-

Screen Shot 2023-03-27 at 1.41.32 pm.png

He did start to look tired towards the end of the season as first time being the main man at AFL level so no surprise (maybe that's why the pies when more with Cox in round 19) but we can see when he is the main man he scores very well.

The other factor for me is I am looking to free some cash up with so many good targets this week.Very important week before the first price changes, there is every chance Darcy scores well this week v WCE but I think Cameron will also score well also this week (108 v Richmond/Nank last year) at 100K cheaper than Darcy.

Some risk involved for sure but the above is my thought process, why I am still leaning towards making that trade.
 
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Want to get Setters and Chandler and Bowes in, at the expense of Cumming, Uwland and Chesser.

Just can't find a way to do it, frustratingly will have to get Cole instead of Chandler.

My team before trades (yes, it's crap), if any one has a clue

View attachment 54660
First up, you don’t need Bowes til next week. Second up getting Cole is simply trading in another problem as he will average 50, and he’s 180k.

Chesser to Chandler via Uwland looks smart, then maybe downgrade Doch to Daicos. That should give you the cash to get setterfield in, although he could miss if the quad injury is worse than first thought.
 
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Super torn between options for my side below. Thoughts?

Removing Bytel or Callaghan not ideal, but they get me some great ins.

Option #1 – Bytel / Bruhn / Darcy > LDU / Chandler / English (leaves 4.5k)
Option #2 – Chesser / Bruhn / Darcy > Setterfield / Ziebell / Cameron (leaves 61.7k)
Option #3 – Callaghan / Bruhn / Darcy > Setterfield / Ziebell / Cameron (leaves 66.7k)


Screenshot 2023-03-27 at 4.52.27 pm.png
 

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He scored 178 last year v North before throwing in that 41 on the weekend ;)

His CBA's & hitout numbers are very similar to previous years, the 2 big drop areas are his Hitout to Advantage numbers & his Disposal Efficiency.

HTO's down from 33.3 to 22.7 (HTO worth 5 points) so almost 11 down from last year which is close to 55 less points. To me there seems to be a connection issue with his midfield for there to be such a drop off or opposing teams have worked out his preferred hitting areas & targets. O'Meara replacing Mundy in the midfield mix from last year, Serong & Brayshaw still the main 2 guys :-

View attachment 54664

Here are last year's numbers as a comparison :-

View attachment 54666

Interesting that Brodie's numbers well down on the weekend compared to week 1 & all of last year.

Darcy's disposal efficiency has dropped from 67% from last year to 58% which is hurting his scoring also.

So from the limited data over 2 rounds it looks like it is a form issue (which is strange considering he looked so good in the 2 preseason games v Ade & Port) & Freo have some issues with how their midfield is functioning/ not working well.

Question now is do we we back Darcy/Freo to turn it around or jump off now before he drops in price? BE of 182/ a projected score of 87 sees him drop 43K.

Big opportunity this week v WCE with Williams likely leading the ruck again (Simmo mentioned today that NN is unlikely).

My issue is Cameron looked excellent v Port (yes I know Lycett is very average) & is projected to rise 40K/ has DP which will be very handy later on (potential pair with Gawn later in the season)

Cameron had 68% CBAs on the weekend :-

View attachment 54667

So he is still the clear main ruck at the pies which was a concern before the start of the year (I was worried 50/50 split with Cox) but it seems the same as last year except for round 19 (not sure why for that round) :-

View attachment 54668

Here are Cameron's scores from round 7 to 16 when Grundy went down & he became the main ruck :-

View attachment 54670

He did start to look tired towards the end of the season as first time being the main man at AFL level so no surprise (maybe that's why the pies when more with Cox in round 19) but we can see when he is the main man he scores very well.

The other factor for me is I am looking to free some cash up with so many good targets this week.Very important week before the first price changes, there is every chance Darcy scores well this week v WCE but I think Cameron will also score well also this week (108 v Richmond/Nank last year) at 100K cheaper than Darcy.

Some risk involved for sure but the above is my thought process, why I am still leaning towards making that trade.
HTO should be HTA (Hitout to Advantage) and the percentage has been used instead of the amount of Hitouts to advantage. 33.3% HTA equated to 11.3 per game and 22.7% equates to 7.5 per game and thus a drop of 3.8 on avg per game which would be close to 20 points per game rather than 55, without factoring in sharked hitouts which lose a point.

Little importance or weight should be placed on centre bounce attendances for rucks given ruck contests attended are readily accessible which eliminates the need for inference.
 
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He scored 178 last year v North before throwing in that 41 on the weekend ;)

His CBA's & hitout numbers are very similar to previous years, the 2 big drop areas are his Hitout to Advantage numbers & his Disposal Efficiency.

HTO's down from 33.3 to 22.7 (HTO worth 5 points) so almost 11 down from last year which is close to 55 less points. To me there seems to be a connection issue with his midfield for there to be such a drop off or opposing teams have worked out his preferred hitting areas & targets. O'Meara replacing Mundy in the midfield mix from last year, Serong & Brayshaw still the main 2 guys :-

View attachment 54664

Here are last year's numbers as a comparison :-

View attachment 54666

Interesting that Brodie's numbers well down on the weekend compared to week 1 & all of last year.

Darcy's disposal efficiency has dropped from 67% from last year to 58% which is hurting his scoring also.

So from the limited data over 2 rounds it looks like it is a form issue (which is strange considering he looked so good in the 2 preseason games v Ade & Port) & Freo have some issues with how their midfield is functioning/ not working well.

Question now is do we we back Darcy/Freo to turn it around or jump off now before he drops in price? BE of 182/ a projected score of 87 sees him drop 43K.

Big opportunity this week v WCE with Williams likely leading the ruck again (Simmo mentioned today that NN is unlikely).

My issue is Cameron looked excellent v Port (yes I know Lycett is very average) & is projected to rise 40K/ has DP which will be very handy later on (potential pair with Gawn later in the season)

Cameron had 68% CBAs on the weekend :-

View attachment 54667

So he is still the clear main ruck at the pies which was a concern before the start of the year (I was worried 50/50 split with Cox) but it seems the same as last year except for round 19 (not sure why for that round) :-

View attachment 54668

Here are Cameron's scores from round 7 to 16 when Grundy went down & he became the main ruck :-

View attachment 54670

He did start to look tired towards the end of the season as first time being the main man at AFL level so no surprise (maybe that's why the pies when more with Cox in round 19) but we can see when he is the main man he scores very well.

The other factor for me is I am looking to free some cash up with so many good targets this week.Very important week before the first price changes, there is every chance Darcy scores well this week v WCE but I think Cameron will also score well also this week (108 v Richmond/Nank last year) at 100K cheaper than Darcy.

Some risk involved for sure but the above is my thought process, why I am still leaning towards making that trade.
Fantastic analysis mate. This is why SCS is the best. Could easy have kept this to yourself if you’d wished and chose to share it anyway.

Love Cameron as an in, especially if you need to free up the cash to jump on one or a couple of the Daicos/Ziebell/Setterfield types.
 
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Gawn - Cameron
Steele - Ziebell
Chesser - Daicos

Leaves me with 250k to either try and swing in an extra mid price next week or stash away in the “Get Clarry before he wrecks your season with all those MCG games” fund.
 
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He scored 178 last year v North before throwing in that 41 on the weekend ;)

His CBA's & hitout numbers are very similar to previous years, the 2 big drop areas are his Hitout to Advantage numbers & his Disposal Efficiency.

HTO's down from 33.3 to 22.7 (HTO worth 5 points) so almost 11 down from last year which is close to 55 less points. To me there seems to be a connection issue with his midfield for there to be such a drop off or opposing teams have worked out his preferred hitting areas & targets. O'Meara replacing Mundy in the midfield mix from last year, Serong & Brayshaw still the main 2 guys :-

View attachment 54664

Here are last year's numbers as a comparison :-

View attachment 54666

Interesting that Brodie's numbers well down on the weekend compared to week 1 & all of last year.

Darcy's disposal efficiency has dropped from 67% from last year to 58% which is hurting his scoring also.

So from the limited data over 2 rounds it looks like it is a form issue (which is strange considering he looked so good in the 2 preseason games v Ade & Port) & Freo have some issues with how their midfield is functioning/ not working well.

Question now is do we we back Darcy/Freo to turn it around or jump off now before he drops in price? BE of 182/ a projected score of 87 sees him drop 43K.

Big opportunity this week v WCE with Williams likely leading the ruck again (Simmo mentioned today that NN is unlikely).

My issue is Cameron looked excellent v Port (yes I know Lycett is very average) & is projected to rise 40K/ has DP which will be very handy later on (potential pair with Gawn later in the season)

Cameron had 68% CBAs on the weekend :-

View attachment 54667

So he is still the clear main ruck at the pies which was a concern before the start of the year (I was worried 50/50 split with Cox) but it seems the same as last year except for round 19 (not sure why for that round) :-

View attachment 54668

Here are Cameron's scores from round 7 to 16 when Grundy went down & he became the main ruck :-

View attachment 54670

He did start to look tired towards the end of the season as first time being the main man at AFL level so no surprise (maybe that's why the pies when more with Cox in round 19) but we can see when he is the main man he scores very well.

The other factor for me is I am looking to free some cash up with so many good targets this week.Very important week before the first price changes, there is every chance Darcy scores well this week v WCE but I think Cameron will also score well also this week (108 v Richmond/Nank last year) at 100K cheaper than Darcy.

Some risk involved for sure but the above is my thought process, why I am still leaning towards making that trade.
Top post. Are you considering English as an alternative?
 
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Top post. Are you considering English as an alternative?
I would if I didn't need to free cash up to get Daicos... it's almost irrational how much I want this kid in my team after seeing him the first 2 weeks :LOL: Probably going to be my first picked for the next decade, the most talented 2nd year player I have ever seen play at this level.
 
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I would if I didn't need to free cash up to get Daicos... it's almost irrational how much I want this kid in my team after seeing him the first 2 weeks :LOL: Probably going to be my first picked for the next decade, the most talented 2nd year player I have ever seen play at this level.
Legitimate reasoning, he is a must.
 
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Super torn between options for my side below. Thoughts?

Removing Bytel or Callaghan not ideal, but they get me some great ins.

Option #1 – Bytel / Bruhn / Darcy > LDU / Chandler / English (leaves 4.5k)
Option #2 – Chesser / Bruhn / Darcy > Setterfield / Ziebell / Cameron (leaves 61.7k)
Option #3 – Callaghan / Bruhn / Darcy > Setterfield / Ziebell / Cameron (leaves 66.7k)


View attachment 54673

I really like this option :-

Option #2 – Chesser / Bruhn / Darcy > Setterfield / Ziebell / Cameron

If Setterfield is fit/ Ziebell all clear for his hit, you get a keeper in Ziebell at F5 that you can then flick to your defence if required in round 6 when he gets DP (along with Sheezel), get a mid pricer in Setterfield that is scoring at premium levels & getting Cameron who has DP already so later on a potential pair with Gawn when he returns & giving your side lots of options/flexibility in the future.
 
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I really like this option :-

Option #2 – Chesser / Bruhn / Darcy > Setterfield / Ziebell / Cameron

If Setterfield is fit/ Ziebell all clear for his hit, you get a keeper in Ziebell at F5 that you can then flick to your defence if required in round 6 when he gets DP (along with Sheezel), get a mid pricer in Setterfield that is scoring at premium levels & getting Cameron who has DP already so later on a potential pair with Gawn when he returns & giving your side lots of options/flexibility in the future.
Agreed think it's a really strong option, assuming Bytel comes back in for Steele. Setterfield set to make a lotttttt more cash than Chesser.

Told myself I'd play the value game as much as possible this season.
 
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I really like this option :-

Option #2 – Chesser / Bruhn / Darcy > Setterfield / Ziebell / Cameron

If Setterfield is fit/ Ziebell all clear for his hit, you get a keeper in Ziebell at F5 that you can then flick to your defence if required in round 6 when he gets DP (along with Sheezel), get a mid pricer in Setterfield that is scoring at premium levels & getting Cameron who has DP already so later on a potential pair with Gawn when he returns & giving your side lots of options/flexibility in the future.
Do you have any thoughts on what Darcey and Cameron can average from here on? (very dependent on whether Darcy continues to be impacted by Jackson)
 
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Do you have any thoughts on what Darcey and Cameron can average from here on? (very dependent on whether Darcy continues to be impacted by Jackson)
That's the million dollar question lol.

If Cameron continues to be the main pies ruck (which I suspect he will be) I think he can average 110 from what I have seen first 2 weeks.

Darcy is a very hard one, when in form/ connection with mids on song he can go absolutely huge with 150+ scores. No doubt Freo will be working hard to get this fixed so really it depends when they get that sorted for Darcy to start scoring big again.
 
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Pending any selection shocks, I’m highly likely to go Gawn out, Cameron into the ruck via DPP, L Jones fwd via DPP, Daicos IN.

Second trade will be L.Jones to Ziebell,
Third trade will be Chesser to McKenna in defence.
 
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He scored 178 last year v North before throwing in that 41 on the weekend ;)

His CBA's & hitout numbers are very similar to previous years, the 2 big drop areas are his Hitout to Advantage numbers & his Disposal Efficiency.

HTO's down from 33.3 to 22.7 (HTO worth 5 points) so almost 11 down from last year which is close to 55 less points. To me there seems to be a connection issue with his midfield for there to be such a drop off or opposing teams have worked out his preferred hitting areas & targets. O'Meara replacing Mundy in the midfield mix from last year, Serong & Brayshaw still the main 2 guys :-

View attachment 54664

Here are last year's numbers as a comparison :-

View attachment 54666

Interesting that Brodie's numbers well down on the weekend compared to week 1 & all of last year.

Darcy's disposal efficiency has dropped from 67% from last year to 58% which is hurting his scoring also.

So from the limited data over 2 rounds it looks like it is a form issue (which is strange considering he looked so good in the 2 preseason games v Ade & Port) & Freo have some issues with how their midfield is functioning/ not working well.

Question now is do we we back Darcy/Freo to turn it around or jump off now before he drops in price? BE of 182/ a projected score of 87 sees him drop 43K.

Big opportunity this week v WCE with Williams likely leading the ruck again (Simmo mentioned today that NN is unlikely).

My issue is Cameron looked excellent v Port (yes I know Lycett is very average) & is projected to rise 40K/ has DP which will be very handy later on (potential pair with Gawn later in the season)

Cameron had 68% CBAs on the weekend :-

View attachment 54667

So he is still the clear main ruck at the pies which was a concern before the start of the year (I was worried 50/50 split with Cox) but it seems the same as last year except for round 19 (not sure why for that round) :-

View attachment 54668

Here are Cameron's scores from round 7 to 16 when Grundy went down & he became the main ruck :-

View attachment 54670

He did start to look tired towards the end of the season as first time being the main man at AFL level so no surprise (maybe that's why the pies when more with Cox in round 19) but we can see when he is the main man he scores very well.

The other factor for me is I am looking to free some cash up with so many good targets this week.Very important week before the first price changes, there is every chance Darcy scores well this week v WCE but I think Cameron will also score well also this week (108 v Richmond/Nank last year) at 100K cheaper than Darcy.

Some risk involved for sure but the above is my thought process, why I am still leaning towards making that trade.
Good work mate
 
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