Score: 2,283
Weekly Ranking: 6,058
Season Ranking: 1,114 (From 1,731)
Trades made: Dangerfield to Mills
Intended trades: Spicer - Jordon and potentially Neale to Walsh or Ridley
Heroes: Macrae (C), Impey, Grundy, Short, Dusty, Dunkley, Flynn, Gulden, Warner, B.Campbell
Villians: Neale, Daniel, Rowe, Stewart
Comments: Happy with how the week went but still annoyed at myself for the Mills trade. Already had 5 premo defenders (Lloyd, Laird, Short, Daniel & Stewart) and i thought Mills could fill that 6th spot. Still bullish on his chances of being a top 6 defender due to his inside mid role (not sure if this will last now after Longmire's comments earlier today) and the fact he didn't do a hell of a lot yet scored 93. However it now means i miss out on Ridley and Whit, both likely top 6 - 110avg defenders, until an injury arises to one of my premiums or i have to sideways trade them around the byes.
Should have gone down the standard route of Danger - T.Mitchell or better yet, not traded at all as Danger is a guaranteed top 6 fwd with a great draw on return and i don't need the money the sideways trade generated until my first upgrade which will probably be round 5 or 6. Need to try practice restraint as last year i barely finished my side in a year that had 6 less rounds and 7 more trades, easy to become complacent. If i didn't do the Danger trade i'd also 95% be trading Neale out.
Neale is a genuine 50/50 to be gone from my side this week especially since the back injury he picked up in the last quarter seems to be lingering. Has Collingwood who he traditionally doesn't do great against and then Bulldogs who hog the midfield points. On top of this their #1 ruck is injured which certainly doesn't help and neither does the face he won't be playing home games for a while. The main thing i'll be looking at is getting a premium in that i believe is priced close to their lowest they'll be all season. It's all well and good if Neale drops to 580k and you pocket 140k, but it rarely is close to this amount as the guy you are trading in say Oliver or Mitchell who are priced at 655k and 610k respectively and are likely to be 50k & 30k lower in the next 6 weeks if they throw in a 90 odd. This isn't too far fetched with Oliver playing GWS who he typically scores poor against and Geelong in the next fortnight while Mitchell has needed 40 odd touches to post premium scores the last few weeks against weakish midfields. So the true dollar gain from Neale out is a lot closer to 80-100k if you are trading in a guy that will lose value in the near future and the reason i'm really only really looking at Walsh and Ridley as replacements.
Ridley gives me a 7th premium defender but has played 100% tog in both games, has ridiculous DE, intercepts, hogs kick outs and the ball will more than likely be down there a lot. A real shout to avg 110, however it will mean i technically have my worst defender who will likely avg 95-100 in my M8 spot so will be losing 10-15 ppw in the back half of the season against a true midfielder. Always the possibility of a bye sideways trade though if i can spare it. Ridleys first 3 quarters against hawks didn't instill me with a lot of confidence, was only on 60 odd at 3QT from what i remember so not so clear cut. Walsh has been scoring at premium levels for half a year now and with Cripps being clearly affected he basically has the #1 mid spot. Good DE and tog, might fall off as the season goes on being young and/or cop more attention. However is averaging 113 in 2 losses so i don't think he will drop off too much especially as they start winning a few games. IMO he is a strong top 8 mid shout especially with guys like J.Kelly and Petracca not looking great early. Rookie and midpricer crop seem to be slightly better than previous years which gives me a bit more confidence to correct players like Neale early as i hopefully won't need as many downgrades to finish my side. F5 and F6 also seem like spots than can be filled with mid 90s avg players for 500k so hopefully won't need big upgrades to attain. A lot to think about, apologies for the essay, needed to get my thoughts out on paper.
SCSBOTB with a small rise to 115th overall, the climb begins.
Weekly Ranking: 6,058
Season Ranking: 1,114 (From 1,731)
Trades made: Dangerfield to Mills
Intended trades: Spicer - Jordon and potentially Neale to Walsh or Ridley
Heroes: Macrae (C), Impey, Grundy, Short, Dusty, Dunkley, Flynn, Gulden, Warner, B.Campbell
Villians: Neale, Daniel, Rowe, Stewart
Comments: Happy with how the week went but still annoyed at myself for the Mills trade. Already had 5 premo defenders (Lloyd, Laird, Short, Daniel & Stewart) and i thought Mills could fill that 6th spot. Still bullish on his chances of being a top 6 defender due to his inside mid role (not sure if this will last now after Longmire's comments earlier today) and the fact he didn't do a hell of a lot yet scored 93. However it now means i miss out on Ridley and Whit, both likely top 6 - 110avg defenders, until an injury arises to one of my premiums or i have to sideways trade them around the byes.
Should have gone down the standard route of Danger - T.Mitchell or better yet, not traded at all as Danger is a guaranteed top 6 fwd with a great draw on return and i don't need the money the sideways trade generated until my first upgrade which will probably be round 5 or 6. Need to try practice restraint as last year i barely finished my side in a year that had 6 less rounds and 7 more trades, easy to become complacent. If i didn't do the Danger trade i'd also 95% be trading Neale out.
Neale is a genuine 50/50 to be gone from my side this week especially since the back injury he picked up in the last quarter seems to be lingering. Has Collingwood who he traditionally doesn't do great against and then Bulldogs who hog the midfield points. On top of this their #1 ruck is injured which certainly doesn't help and neither does the face he won't be playing home games for a while. The main thing i'll be looking at is getting a premium in that i believe is priced close to their lowest they'll be all season. It's all well and good if Neale drops to 580k and you pocket 140k, but it rarely is close to this amount as the guy you are trading in say Oliver or Mitchell who are priced at 655k and 610k respectively and are likely to be 50k & 30k lower in the next 6 weeks if they throw in a 90 odd. This isn't too far fetched with Oliver playing GWS who he typically scores poor against and Geelong in the next fortnight while Mitchell has needed 40 odd touches to post premium scores the last few weeks against weakish midfields. So the true dollar gain from Neale out is a lot closer to 80-100k if you are trading in a guy that will lose value in the near future and the reason i'm really only really looking at Walsh and Ridley as replacements.
Ridley gives me a 7th premium defender but has played 100% tog in both games, has ridiculous DE, intercepts, hogs kick outs and the ball will more than likely be down there a lot. A real shout to avg 110, however it will mean i technically have my worst defender who will likely avg 95-100 in my M8 spot so will be losing 10-15 ppw in the back half of the season against a true midfielder. Always the possibility of a bye sideways trade though if i can spare it. Ridleys first 3 quarters against hawks didn't instill me with a lot of confidence, was only on 60 odd at 3QT from what i remember so not so clear cut. Walsh has been scoring at premium levels for half a year now and with Cripps being clearly affected he basically has the #1 mid spot. Good DE and tog, might fall off as the season goes on being young and/or cop more attention. However is averaging 113 in 2 losses so i don't think he will drop off too much especially as they start winning a few games. IMO he is a strong top 8 mid shout especially with guys like J.Kelly and Petracca not looking great early. Rookie and midpricer crop seem to be slightly better than previous years which gives me a bit more confidence to correct players like Neale early as i hopefully won't need as many downgrades to finish my side. F5 and F6 also seem like spots than can be filled with mid 90s avg players for 500k so hopefully won't need big upgrades to attain. A lot to think about, apologies for the essay, needed to get my thoughts out on paper.
SCSBOTB with a small rise to 115th overall, the climb begins.