Position 2021: Ruck Discussion

Which ruck setup are you planning on starting with?

  • Gawn/Grundy/Flynn

    Votes: 82 47.4%
  • Gawn/Grundy/Meek

    Votes: 5 2.9%
  • Gawn/Grundy/Hunter

    Votes: 8 4.6%
  • Gawn/Flynn/Meek

    Votes: 25 14.5%
  • Gawn/Flynn/Hunter

    Votes: 11 6.4%
  • Gawn/Meek/Hunter

    Votes: 2 1.2%
  • Grundy/Flynn/Meek

    Votes: 14 8.1%
  • Grundy/Flynn/Hunter

    Votes: 9 5.2%
  • Grundy/Meek/Hunter

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other

    Votes: 17 9.8%

  • Total voters
    173
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Collingwood
@Connoisseur

Is it time for another Big O ride ?

Would you have his stats from last season with and without Martin please ?

TIA
Back from the shopping mall where I had to buy a new battery for my calculator

So Big O:-

with Martin 70.5 from 6
without Martin 89.09 from 11

also played both finals games together

Big O scored 98 in the QF & 80 in the PF
 
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I've seen a lot of people saying that Flynn will score a '50' against Grundy & Gawn but does anyone actually have the avg scores that a ruck scores against these guys over the last couple of seasons?

I had a quick look last night at Grundy and it wasn't all that grim. A few of the really bottom tier rucks struggled but some solid scores by some of the other guys.
 
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The Flynn at R2 discussion is entirely about contingency.

If Flynn plays 8 games and averages anything over 60, you've won and every point over that is just gravy. Even if he scores in the 50s, you're fine. He really just needs to be playing and not scoring 30s consistently!

The problem is if Flynn doesn't play for whatever reason. If there are other rookies who look set to play, then they could cover. McEvoy is the obvious other cover choice to me but the problem with him is you have to lock in Biggie from the first game and couldn't take another rookie ruck if they were named or you need to trade him in when Flynn misses that could derail upgrade plans/cost you a cow and effectively undermine all the value. It's a shame that Biggie is the only D/R option. You might end up losing another valuable cash cow for cover you don't even need, although everyone is probably missing him at least.

The difference with Flynn to any other rookies (non-rucks) is the pure amount of contingencies. If 123k rookie at other position isn't playing you move him to the bench and get on with things, if it's your R2, you panic or pray.

If Marshall was fit, there would be no discussion here, you'd just lock him in at F2 and Flynn at R2 and hope you don't start the right one of Grawndy!
 
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It’s such a tough one. Mostly because Flynn, if he stays starting solo ruck, will likely be the best scoring/value rookie we have - and yet he’ll be wasting away on the bench...
 
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Yes, would definitely want to see some sort of confirmation that Meek is ahead of Darcy, or that Darcy is a month or so off, before factoring him in as a positive to the move. But to me he is a big supplementary factor to the Flynn play that has to be taken notice of.

Maybe should have just framed it around the simpler proposition that a way Flynn burns is if he is 20+ points worth of value better than the on field rookie that he is replacing. I do think D6 is becoming another interesting leverage spot though. Maybe we just have to back Cox in. But one of the reasons people shy away from the gamble at R2 is that it's very hard to fix if it goes wrong. It's possible the same will be true for D6 this year. If it really is only Cox and Koschitzke as playing rookies then there's a very short step to some pretty difficult restructures in the same way there are if Flynn got dropped. I don't love the premo at D6 either but I see a lot of dodgy picks being used to fill out the def line and it's starting to appeal as a spot to target with a different strategy.

I don't know really. Certainly not predicting it. But we've seen it happen a few times now and don't think it's outside of the realm of possibility. That upside has to be part of the appeal of the pick.

Definitely agree. Big high upside/downside gamble which is part of the fun.
My Flynn option at R2 has Young at D6 with an extra mid prem . It is very tempting
 
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[do] bottom tier rucks struggle [?]
perhaps not so much against Grundy but they don't excell, against Gawn, I remeber tracking for half a year and everyone laid dogs droppings except McEvoy (and Grundy) and even he only got 85 or so. The gladiator battle only went a touch over 200 combined that time.


The Flynn at R2 discussion is entirely about contingency.

If Flynn plays 8 games and averages anything over 60, you've won and every point over that is just gravy. Even if he scores in the 50s, you're fine. He really just needs to be playing and not scoring 30s consistently!

The problem is if Flynn doesn't play for whatever reason. If there are other rookies who look set to play, then they could cover. McEvoy is the obvious other cover choice to me but the problem with him is you have to lock in Biggie from the first game and couldn't take another rookie ruck if they were named or you need to trade him in when Flynn misses that could derail upgrade plans/cost you a cow and effectively undermine all the value. It's a shame that Biggie is the only D/R option. You might end up losing another valuable cash cow for cover you don't even need, although everyone is probably missing him at least.

The difference with Flynn to any other rookies (non-rucks) is the pure amount of contingencies. If 123k rookie at other position isn't playing you move him to the bench and get on with things, if it's your R2, you panic or pray.

If Marshall was fit, there would be no discussion here, you'd just lock him in at F2 and Flynn at R2 and hope you don't start the right one of Grawndy!
You can switch McEvoy mid trade without a D/R link player. And lets face it, we're trading most weeks. I do recall doing this with the original Mid/Ruc, Mark Blicavs back in the day when 3rd man up was still a thing (and many other times brining in other players via DPP links, which I'm sure you've done).
 
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You can switch McEvoy mid trade without a D/R link player. And lets face it, we're trading most weeks. I do recall doing this with the original Mid/Ruc, Mark Blicavs back in the day when 3rd man up was still a thing (and many other times brining in other players via DPP links, which I'm sure you've done).
The problem with relying on McEvoy as cover is the DEF rookie options are already pretty thin on the ground so if you're forced to trade out Flynn and swing McEvoy to R2, you still need to find a player to trade into DEF and if Flynn has made little or no money at that point, you could be hamstrung. Also you're then stuck with McEvoy at R2. Sure you could move him back at some point by upgrading a defender to your desired premo ruck, but it feels like a scenario where you're going to bleed points in the interim.

I agree it gives you another option and therefore flexibility but I'm not sure it's worth all the positional wrangling.
 
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The problem with relying on McEvoy as cover is the DEF rookie options are already pretty thin on the ground so if you're forced to trade out Flynn and swing McEvoy to R2, you still need to find a player to trade into DEF and if Flynn has made little or no money at that point, you could be hamstrung. Also you're then stuck with McEvoy at R2. Sure you could move him back at some point by upgrading a defender to your desired premo ruck, but it feels like a scenario where you're going to bleed points in the interim.

I agree it gives you another option and therefore flexibility but I'm not sure it's worth all the positional wrangling.
A really good point, you might be covering a ruck donut with a back donut :LOL:

Theoretically I guess you could go with Laird in the mids to cover this issue up but it's an awful lot of sacrifice and contingency planning just to start a rookie.

I think you really just roll the dice on the play if you're doing it and bare that risk. FWIW I think Flynn is really only at risk of injury right now, they seem pretty committed to giving him a go but that's still a very real issue. Would hate to have to dump say Dangerfield in the forwards because a rookie get's hurt.
 
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Id be staggered if Meek played ahead of a fit Darcy.
What even is a fit Darcy? Hard to see how a guy who took 14 weeks to play himself into WAFL shape last season is going to have gone well from a month off his feet in the lead up to round one. I rate Darcy as a prospect but his feverish love for hamburgers and beers and obvious hatred for any form of cardio has been a major problem and if Meek were to play round 1 and play well I reckon that's all the incentive the coaching staff would need to try and light a fire under that enormous ass of his! Darcy is hardly on that Gawn or Grundy level of walking back in, he's more in the Nank category of if the backup plays well you're gonna have to earn that spot back.
 
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Rookie Hunter was pretty good for the Saints tonight. Is he a better option than Flynn at R3 ?
I know some people rated him highly as a mobile ruck when he played for Redlands in the NEAFL and thought the Lions should draft him. Not sure how his state league form's been since Adelaide picked him up. As an alternative to Flynn I'd say absolutely not. His best chance at a good run of games would have to be a Ryder injury or McKernan playing the first couple of rounds and doing absolutely nothing (90% chance of that happening, 10% he plays a blinder and secures his spot for a while).
 
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Ryder didn't play and isn't Marshall due back in Round 3 ?

If he is named Round 1 how many games does he play ?

From all reports Flynn is the # 1 ruck.
Fair points, but weren’t the Saints playing 2 rucks tonight ?
Ryder might be back, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Marshall is out for a few more weeks as a precaution.
Probably too much risk to start him but worth considering, especially if Flynn doesn’t play as well as expected.
 
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Fair points, but weren’t the Saints playing 2 rucks tonight ?
Ryder might be back, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Marshall is out for a few more weeks as a precaution.
Probably too much risk to start him but worth considering, especially if Flynn doesn’t play as well as expected.
Ok so Round 1 Ryder & McKernan/Hunter

Marshall returns so more than likely Ryder & Marshall

If you think Hunter is playing ahead of both Ryder & Marshall then he could be a genius starting pick

Flynn gets dropped for Briggs (D/F) we suddenly have a rookie defender

Much rather start a clubs # 1 ruck than a 3rd or 4th in line
 
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I know some people rated him highly as a mobile ruck when he played for Redlands in the NEAFL and thought the Lions should draft him. Not sure how his state league form's been since Adelaide picked him up. As an alternative to Flynn I'd say absolutely not. His best chance at a good run of games would have to be a Ryder injury or McKernan playing the first couple of rounds and doing absolutely nothing (90% chance of that happening, 10% he plays a blinder and secures his spot for a while).
Played 9 games for South Adelaide last year and made the SANFL team.of the year (bench spot).

4 seasons with the Crows , couldn't get a senior game with Sauce then ROB.

Seen him on TV against Ladhams in the SANFL and went quiet well.
 
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Only way Hunter plays over Ryder and Marshall is injury to them both.

He might be the main ruck alongside Ryder if they prefer Ryder forward 50/50 which they might to manage his work load after some interruptions in the preseason but my money would be on Smack and Ryder.
 
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