Strategy 2024: Round 6 Trades

[XabiFernando]

A reminder that last year's #1 was around 700 points off the lead at this stage of the season

 

[Feerits Elf]

Wonder how many trades he would have used so far as he has a few rookies that are not making him money.

12.

Rd 2:

Z Reid > D'Ambrosio
Liberatore > M Crouch
Flanders > Heeney

Rd 3:

Whitfield > McGovern
Green > Serong
Miller > Butters

Rd 4:

Daicos > Stewart
Jordon > Flanders
Windsor > Darcy

Rd 5:

Howes > Clohesy
Grundy > Xerri
Heeney > Bolton

Sideways trades bolded

 

[Matt]

North are screaming out for a forward marking target to give them the option of long, down the line kicks and Larkey can't be everywhere. My only worry with Comben is that he becomes that player and Nyuon, Dawson and Corr form the nucleus of the defence. The 129 drops out next week which, combined with a move, will stunt his cash growth. That being said he only needs a 50 to make $55k and a small move the week after should see him push $300k and if needed could be cashed out. It's not ideal, but it's a fall back option

There was a good article on the AFL website about him & all his injuries , he's not switching forward

https://www.afl.com.au/news/1105883...aroo-charlie-comben-finally-gets-his-breakout

 

[Hondo]

I think its pretty risky to pass on a guy that has the capacity to pump out a 129 in a tough matchup at that price personally been a little surprised how many people are fading, on the weekend could have easily been a 90 aswell, dropped a pretty simple intercept mark and had a woeful clanger that led to a goal, one more ceiling game and non owners will be in real trouble, run of Hawks,Crows and Saints with 2 under the roof in perfect conditions is alot easier than the matches to date also.

But if you can skip and take a $100K option who could also make $150K and that $100K allows you to get say Walsh or Touk etc, and if you currently have Reid at F6, then I think Comben becomes a luxury.

It's easy to justify the 75 as though the 129 was the norm rather than the other way around. Probs in the middle maybe he averages 85 and then you still need to upgrade him later.

 

[quite ironic]

Clark -> Graham
Sexton -> Comben
McKercher -> Walsh

2k in the bank.

Also considering N.Martin (and move him to the backline post round 6), or Yeo (and flip him to the when upgrading/downgrading Williams or Massimo) instead of Walsh.

 

[OnTopBar]

But if you can skip and take a $100K option who could also make $150K and that $100K allows you to get say Walsh or Touk etc, and if you currently have Reid at F6, then I think Comben becomes a luxury.

It's easy to justify the 75 as though the 129 was the norm rather than the other way around. Probs in the middle maybe he averages 85 and then you still need to upgrade him later.

I think a lot are planning on both if it's the Nyuon v Comben scenario, I know I am and would be very surprised if there's many teams running with Reid at F6 particularly if they have Dempsey, Cadman and Darcy

 

[Shaunpro1]

But if you can skip and take a $100K option who could also make $150K and that $100K allows you to get say Walsh or Touk etc, and if you currently have Reid at F6, then I think Comben becomes a luxury.

It's easy to justify the 75 as though the 129 was the norm rather than the other way around. Probs in the middle maybe he averages 85 and then you still need to upgrade him later.

I just think trading into a Biggie/Drury/Garcia/McAuliffe solely so you can upgrade is stupid, especially when theres a better alternative to bring in even if it means holding an upgrade back temporarily for the better of your team in the long run, all will be lucky to be playing in 2 or 3 weeks time.

Getting an upgrade done falls apart if you've got another dead rookie inside a month.

 

[Feerits Elf]

But if you can skip and take a $100K option who could also make $150K and that $100K allows you to get say Walsh or Touk etc, and if you currently have Reid at F6, then I think Comben becomes a luxury.

That $100k difference isn't lost though, it's carried by Comben to be realised later when he's traded. To truly compare the options you need to compare their estimated return irrespective of price. Comben is in the mix with cheaper rookies to offer a competitive return because a) the 129 is now in his rolling average for this week and b) he's very recently demonstrated an ability to score 129.

What you're advocating is holding money in cash versus investing it in something that is a better than even chance of returning 100% over 3 weeks. There are plenty of good reasons to hold money in cash but if you can structure up your finances to release cash when you need it, you're ahead if your money is paying you a return.

 

[Old Big 'Ead]

12.

Rd 2:

Z Reid > D'Ambrosio
Liberatore > M Crouch
Flanders > Heeney

Rd 3:

Whitfield > McGovern
Green > Serong
Miller > Butters

Rd 4:

Daicos > Stewart
Jordon > Flanders
Windsor > Darcy

Rd 5:

Howes > Clohesy
Grundy > Xerri
Heeney > Bolton

Sideways trades bolded

They're atrocious. Can't wait to see the Rd 12-15 moves...

 

[Feerits Elf]

They're atrocious. Can't wait to see the Rd 12-15 moves...

Can't make bad Rd 12-15 moves if you ragequit in Rd 11

 

[OnTopBar]

They're atrocious. Can't wait to see the Rd 12-15 moves...

And here I am, berating myself for trading out Young who just might come back in. Whereas this guy has done the Flanders out and in move as well as the Heeney in and out move.

 

[Beg2Differ]

Just posted what the current leading team has done here.

 

[Hondo]

I just think trading into a Biggie/Drury/Garcia/McAuliffe solely so you can upgrade is stupid, especially when theres a better alternative to bring in even if it means holding an upgrade back temporarily for the better of your team in the long run, all will be lucky to be playing in 2 or 3 weeks time.

Getting an upgrade done falls apart if you've got another dead rookie inside a month.

Upgrading is the game here. Points on the board. Comben for some teams is just delaying an upgrade waiting for him to rise in price.
And we never know who will be playing in 3 weeks time, given Comben’s injury record he’s arguably just as risky.

 

[Hondo]

I think a lot are planning on both if it's the Nyuon v Comben scenario, I know I am and would be very surprised if there's many teams running with Reid at F6 particularly if they have Dempsey, Cadman and Darcy

My team has Reid at F6.
Jackson, Heeney, Flanders, Powell, Fyfe, Reid (Cadman, Darcy)
I never got Dempsey, rightly or wrongly,
Does that make it clearer why at least in my case I’d rather downgrade Cadman for $140k instead of $30k?

 

[Eagling]

Would anyone consider trading out Zac Reid/Livingstone/Coffield et al just to get maximum cash generating slots over the next 6 weeks versus consistently upgrading but with dead rookies?

 

[Hondo]

That $100k difference isn't lost though, it's carried by Comben to be realised later when he's traded. To truly compare the options you need to compare their estimated return irrespective of price. Comben is in the mix with cheaper rookies to offer a competitive return because a) the 129 is now in his rolling average for this week and b) he's very recently demonstrated an ability to score 129.

What you're advocating is holding money in cash versus investing it in something that is a better than even chance of returning 100% over 3 weeks. There are plenty of good reasons to hold money in cash but if you can structure up your finances to release cash when you need it, you're ahead if your money is paying you a return.

No i am advocating using the cash this very round, at least in my case.
For me it genuinely delays a mid upgrade.
Not holding it
Every team is differently structured so it’s not one rule for all that I am suggesting

 

[Feerits Elf]

Sorry, let me rephrase: taking the money as cash rather than investing it.

I can cash out my investments and buy a Lambo this week, or I can leave my money invested and buy 2 Lambos in a month.

 

[OnTopBar]

My team has Reid at F6.
Jackson, Heeney, Flanders, Powell, Fyfe, Reid (Cadman, Darcy)
I never got Dempsey, rightly or wrongly,
Does that make it clearer why at least in my case I’d rather downgrade Cadman for $140k instead of $30k?

For sure and that's why so many trades are team dependent. I'm running Reid at M8 with (next week) Rankine at F5 so Comben is handy at F6.

 

[GrainFedBeef]

12.

Rd 2:

Z Reid > D'Ambrosio
Liberatore > M Crouch
Flanders > Heeney

Rd 3:

Whitfield > McGovern
Green > Serong
Miller > Butters

Rd 4:

Daicos > Stewart
Jordon > Flanders
Windsor > Darcy

Rd 5:

Howes > Clohesy
Grundy > Xerri
Heeney > Bolton

Sideways trades bolded

Libba to Crouch not bolded, upgrade or downgrade? Not exactly sure myself.

Wild trading

 

[Shannon]

12.

Rd 2:

Z Reid > D'Ambrosio
Liberatore > M Crouch
Flanders > Heeney

Rd 3:

Whitfield > McGovern
Green > Serong
Miller > Butters

Rd 4:

Daicos > Stewart
Jordon > Flanders
Windsor > Darcy

Rd 5:

Howes > Clohesy
Grundy > Xerri
Heeney > Bolton

Sideways trades bolded

Those round 3 trades ...

Miller scored 116 in round 0, 137 in round 1 & 115 in round 2 for a 3 round average of 122.67 - yep makes perfect sense to trade him out