Analysis BBL|09 Player's Price & Break Even Projections by TAILS

[Beast_Mode]

@Tails @THCLT
Have you looked at the scorchers last price increase in the game?
It looks wrong, looks like for their 3 game average they have used the first game from their dgw against canes and not 2nd game against stars.

ie Jyhe Richardson's last 4 scores have been 144, 40, 61, 26 so his 3 game average is 42.3 but he went up $200 this round.
We can see in your latest chart his b/e was 129 but still went up in price with a 26.

Jyhe's 144 was in his 3-game rolling average rather than the 40, hence the price increase. This anomaly has occured a few times this season.

 

[Tails]

@Tails @THCLT
Have you looked at the scorchers last price increase in the game?
It looks wrong, looks like for their 3 game average they have used the first game from their dgw against canes and not 2nd game against stars.

ie Jyhe Richardson's last 4 scores have been 144, 40, 61, 26 so his 3 game average is 42.3 but he went up $200 this round.
We can see in your latest chart his b/e was 129 but still went up in price with a 26.

Sorry .. had NBN issues so haven't looked at it ... normally I would have but out of my hands !!

 

[Tails]

So now that the NBN has come back to the party I'll continue on ... might add some retrospective stuff later today but still have NBA stuff to catch up on ...

Round 12 Game 1 update:

Note 1: HOB players have another game to play yet so price changes will change yet again because of the DGW !!
- Only one price change will occur based on each players last 3 games scores ...
- So this is not a "true" reflection yet until the next game is completed ...

Note 2: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[jaca]

Thanks so much @Tails. You only realise how much of an ordinary fantasy player you are when you’re missing expert insight! Appreciate all the time and effort you put in and the valuable info you share!

 

[All is Wells]

So now that the NBN has come back to the party I'll continue on ... might add some retrospective stuff later today but still have NBA stuff to catch up on ...

Round 13 Game 1 update:

Note 1: HOB players have another game to play yet so price changes will change yet again because of the DGW !!
- Only one price change will occur based on each players last 3 games scores ...
- So this is not a "true" reflection yet until the next game is completed ...

Note 2: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

View attachment 14893

View attachment 14894

They almost pay you these days to get Ellis. In all honesty thanks for these over the course of the season.

 

[Tails]

They almost pay you these days to get Ellis. In all honesty thanks for these over the course of the season.

Error seen and amended .. was nearly in bed when the NBN came back on ... no excuse though !!

 

[Tails]

Think this will do it for now ... whilst I'm in catch up mode and in need of sleep !!

For the remaining team (ADE) with a DGW still to go this round I have the following:

 

[thumping pandas]

Thanks Tails your info really helps

 

[MattyP]

Thanks Tails, your work is outstanding and greatly appreciated. Now to decide which Strikers to bring in today..

 

[Tails]

Round 12 Game 2 update:

Note 1: ADE players have another game to play yet so price changes will change yet again because of the DGW !!
- Only one price change will occur based on each players last 3 games scores ...
- So this is not a "true" reflection yet until the next game is completed ...

Note 2: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[Diabolical]

Does anyone have BE’s for Lynn, Laughlin and Lalor?

 

[Tails]

Does anyone have BE’s for Lynn, Laughlin and Lalor?

Here is what I have for BRI players

 

[Diabolical]

Here is what I have for BRI players

View attachment 14943

Thank you.

 

[Tails]

Round 12 Game 3 update:

Note: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[OnTopBar]

Thanks @Tails

You're a champignon

 

[Tails]

Round 12 Game 4 update:

Note: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[Diabolical]

Glad that I now don’t have to find $238,105 for that -78 BE for a SGW player this week

 

[Herbie66]

Glad that I now don’t have to find $238,105 for that -78 BE for a SGW player this week

only got 117 SC points at AO last season as well.

 

[Tails]

Round 12 Game 5 update:

Note: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[Tails]

Round 12 combined summary:

- Please note that the "New BE proj" and "New Price Proj" figures are forward looking before the start of next round ...
- I will provide another update before the start of next round with the "actual" BE's
- So if a player didn't play then there will be no price change
- Also if a player hasn't played 3 games yet then the starting BE for the next round will actually be different (hence point 2)