Analysis BBL|09 Player's Price & Break Even Projections by TAILS

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Round 13 BE calcs:

- Please point out any gremlins as this is a combined formula / manual process ...
- MN has been amended with input from @THCLT
- It had jumped higher than i was expecting but forgot to take into account my down time as well

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IDIG

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Round 12 Game 4 update:

Note: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

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Glad that I now don’t have to find $238,105 for that -78 BE for a SGW player this week ;)
Round 12 combined summary:

- Please note that the "New BE proj" and "New Price Proj" figures are forward looking before the start of next round ...
- I will provide another update before the start of next round with the "actual" BE's
- So if a player didn't play then there will be no price change
- Also if a player hasn't played 3 games yet then the starting BE for the next round will actually be different (hence point 2)

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Round 13 BE calcs:

- Please point out any gremlins as this is a combined formula / manual process ...
- Will keep the MN stable for now ... but will amend if it needs to be ...
- I know it isn't perfect but should be close enough to give an indictative view in this format (BBL) ... much easier in other sports !!

View attachment 15008 .

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Just to confirm Short’s BE is actually -124 and not -78?

Would you be kind enough to provide projected price movements if he scores 0, 50, 100 please. That certainly complicates things. Might need to grab him for the injection of cash.
 

Diabolical

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Just to confirm Short’s BE is actually -124 and not -78?

Would you be kind enough to provide projected price movements if he scores 0, 50, 100 please. That certainly complicates things. Might need to grab him for the injection of cash.
I’m guessing there is an error in the BE because the table shows Shorts price as $195.3k where it is actually $244.5k.
 
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Hey all.....the player prices in the above table all appear to be from last round.....does this mean all the breakevens are incorrect?
 
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Just to confirm Short’s BE is actually -124 and not -78?

Would you be kind enough to provide projected price movements if he scores 0, 50, 100 please. That certainly complicates things. Might need to grab him for the injection of cash.
With the new MN his BE will be approx -88

Projected price movements will be approx 266k (0), 279k (50) and 291k (100)
 
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Round 13 Game 1 update:

Note 1: MELR players have another game to play yet so price changes will change yet again because of the DGW !!
- Only one price change will occur based on each players last 3 games scores ...
- So this is not a "true" reflection yet until the next game is completed ...

Note 2: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

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Round 13 Game 2 update:

Note 1: BRI players have another game to play yet so price changes will change yet again because of the DGW !!
- Only one price change will occur based on each players last 3 games scores ...
- So this is not a "true" reflection yet until the next game is completed ...

Note 2: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

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Darkie

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Morkel could be cheap next season.

Or do they include finals in players’ averages for pricing purposes?
 
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