Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Suits · 3 May 2015

Hi Rowsus

Do you think Parker is worth picking up at $480k? He averaged 108 last year, but it was a breakout, is this one of those years where he maybe can't live up to the breakout year as you've preached for so long?

Thanks

Blue Dragons · 4 May 2015

Hey Row,

Back for my weekly questions. How is your team travelling?

Just wanted your opinion on this weeks trades. Kelly is out this week so i have 4 options in mind..so far:

1) straight swap for another defender (maybe B.Smith / Docherty)
2) downgrade to McKenzie and upgrade Salem to Gray
3) downgrade to McKenzie and upgrade Salem to any mid (via Krak)
4) downgrade to Adamson (i had Oxley on the bench and couldnt loophole to get his score) and the second trade the same as 2 or 3 being Gray or any mid

Thanks!

benlions · 4 May 2015

Hi Rowsus,

I have a question about the general trading patterns required coming up to the byes. In the couple of years I have played I haven't given it a huge amount of consideration but getting more serious this year.

Im not sure which approach of these two to take..

1) Upgrade Rookies Hogan, Salem, Lonie, Clark etc.. who look like they'll be reaching their peak around round 7-9 and bring in Premos Sloane, B. Smith etc.. who will be at their lowest ebb around this time.

2) Hold the rookies a for a few extra weeks when they have plateaued then trade them to my advantage around the Bye weeks. Eg. Take Heeneys Round 11 score and then trade him out for Rockliff / Sloane (both Byes in round 11) before the start of round 12.

Thanks for your advice. Will be interested in your approach to Mikebray6 post above. Have James Kelly aswell. The other scenario I was thinking was Downgrade Kelly to Mckenzie and Salem to Glenn via Krak...Have a ton of money to straight swap Lonie --> Sloane (via Gray) and Hogan/Newnes/Gregson premo def/mid/fwd.

jones711 · 4 May 2015

Hello Rowsus,

Thank you for your time and effort put into these pages. I'm fixing my backline this week and after culling T Hunt and Newnes I will have enough in the bank to pick two of the following (selected on the basis of form and <90 B/E): H Taylor, Harbrow, Murphy, Pittard, Seedsman. Concerned about the track record of Pittard and Harbrow, whilst Seedsman some injury worries. All these guys are roughly around the same price/BE .... what would your preferences be ? Cheers

Loboda1963 · 4 May 2015

Hiya Rowsus

I have $561K to spend on a premium forward. I currently have Gray, D Martin and Swan.

Who would you say represents the best value?? I was looking at Dahlhaus, Bontempelli or Goddard but would welcome your thoughts. Anyone else I could pick up??

Lobo

Bobbie · 4 May 2015

Hey Rowsus. I hope round 5 treated you well!

I just wanted to run my trade plans past you. I have used 5 trades and have $156K in the bank.

I am thinking of downgrading Newnes to McKenzie and then either Salem > Dahlhaus or Lumumba > McDonald. I would need to run with Saad, McIntosh and Oxley on field though. I think now is the time to make a decision re Newnes - if he's not traded soon then I think I will almost be resigned to keeping him (Lumuma is probably in the same boat).

_Slip_ · 4 May 2015

Hi Rowsus

I hope you had a good weekend. My Sunday sucked lol, SC carnage and crap scores followed up with losing $50 on the Dees to beat Freo (Yes, probably a dumb bet lol).

I'm interested in your opinion on Burgoyne. He is averaging 80 for the season and I still believe he can improve this to 88-90 average for the season. With the Hawks brain fades this round I expect him to have greater time on ball in the next month. Do you believe he can still be a top 8-10 defender this season as I'm considering Newnes to Burgers.

I'm also interested in your thoughts of Nic Nats output vs S.Martin moving forward for the rest of the season as I'm highly likely to pull the trigger on this one as I already have Goldy.

Thanks in advance.

Slip

dicksilverman · 4 May 2015

Hey Rowsus, looks like you'll be busy this week! Hope you get time to answer all the 'Dear Dolly's'!

Mine is brief, does it make sense to trade Newnes for H Goddard, as I can't handle anothe Newnes week, and then upg Heeney to JPK? Or is it too late to offload Newnes. Would make my mids 6 premo strong and catching JPK as he bottoms out. Team is attached. Have Sloane out this week most likely but plenty of bench coverage.

Cheers mate!

Tamuhawk · 5 May 2015

Hi Rowsus,

Originally I wanted to do Salem to Dangerfield with the 1 trade this week but sadly I fall 1k short of doing this. I currently have 2 dpp fwd/mid prems in my midfield line. Have experimented with a few scenarios and have narrowed them down to these:

Option1:
Newnes to Mckenzie
Salem to Dangerfield (via dpp)

Pros: Gives me a 5th pure mid premium. Pushes one of my dpp fwds back to the fwd line. It fixes the Newnes problem that we are all having. It gives me roughly $274k for next week.
Cons: It burns 2 trades. Left with a 3 premium defence forcing me to play 3 of Oxley/Saad/McIntosh/Mckenzie.

Option 2:
Salem to one of Goddard/Bennell/Dahlhaus

Pros: It only uses up 1 trade. My forward line would be complete (with the exception of 2 of them currently stuck in my midfield line.) Would give my team 16 premiums overall.
Cons: Stuck with 2 dpp premiums still in the midfield. Only have $14K roughly for next week.

Would appreciate any thoughts you have on these 2 options. My team is linked by the way if that helps. Thanks in advance.

Eagling · 5 May 2015

Hi Rowsus;

Last weekend I kept NvB, hoping he'd get a 70-odd to gain a bit of cash (and to sit on the bench if any of my Sunday Mids like Sloane happened to be a late out), unfortunately he went backwards in price; but I've got a bit of cash in the bank so I'm looking for analysis about moving him on.

Last night, I was pretty sure that NvB out was a given, but with news that Richard Douglas is out for 6 weeks, and Rory Sloane is highly likely to be rested, I'm wondering if NvB might have a second wind; with scores around 80+ rather than 40.

Now that I've spoken about who I'm thinking of getting out; here is my trade target: Jack Ziebell. Now when I'm bringing Ziebell in, I'm planning to swing Newnes or Saad into the Middle, and swing Higgins into defence, thereby opening up Def/Mid and Mid/Fwd swing sets. If Ziebell is a good trade in, but I, in light of the situation in Adelaide, keep NvB, then I can trade Goodes out instead.

If I don't go Ziebell in, and I wish to bring in a top of the line premium, with 235k in the bank meaning that I'd have about $520k if I traded NvB out directly. With that, I can get Harley Bennell, who is under consideration, Kieren Jack, who has a massive B/E, Tom Mitchell, whose JS is on about as solid a foundation as Venice. I cannot get Dangerfield (annoyingly about 3k too expensive for a straight swap) or Kennedy (seems to be nicely positioned at about 113 B/E, however he is too expensive for a straight swap.)

If I did decide to get Kennedy, I could use a Goodes - McKenzie or Goodes-Glenn via Higgins and Krakouer to fund the NvB - Kennedy trade; but it is worth trading either of those two rookies in a week early, and which one would you prefer if you had to pick?

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

Suits said:

Hi Suits,
Parker had a double whammy to over come to go with it this season. One, it is hard to back up a break out season, but two, it's doubly hard to back up a "conditional" breakout season. By that I mean, that his breakout season really depended on one or both of JPK or Hannebery being out.
He played 14 games with both JPK and Hannebery, and averaged 100.6 in those games, and he played 8 games without one of JPK or Hannebery playing, and averaged 122.4. That's a big difference, and it really needs a leap of faith to think he can average 110, unless one of those two get an LTI. I am sure he represents good value, on a point/dollar basis on his current price, but unless he can average at least 108 then he will just become a problem for you. I'd go without him.

Zoku Pops · 5 May 2015

Hi Rowsus. Do you think the point gain justifies trading a Lumumba or Newnes for a Murphy/Birchall this week?

And if so, who would you a) trade out of the two and b) trade in of the two.

I have been to the footy every week to watch the Prince in action and he is playing a number of roles each week from tagging, to being tagged, to wing to half back. The tagging role against Freo concerned me the most. Newnes isn't great either but at least he is playing the same role as he was penciled for (apart from the one tagging match against Carlton) so I feel there's more room for improvement with him over Lumumba. Having the two of them just makes my defence look weak.

Thanks mate.

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

mikebray6 said:

Hi Mike,
I managed 2,222 this week, so I'm happy with that, but I haven't had one round yet that hasn't been affected by an injured Prem! I can live with that, but burning 5 trades on injuries this early is a bit wearing!

I like the Adamson/Gray option, and it is very similar to what I'll be doing this week. There's enough JS in the other Defs you have to carry Adamson on your Def line, until the opportunity presents itself in the coming weeks to get him in your Mids, and complete a D/M link, and use him as a FD instead of just a loophole.

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

benlions said:

Hi ben,
a lot depends on your season goal, and how you are placed. In general terms it's really good to have some Round 12 and 13 bye Rookies to use for trading during the byes. Having said that, don't stall the progressive improvement of your team, just to have some neat by trading during the byes. Keep trading and upgrading, but as we get closer to the byes, keep an eye on who you trade, and who you keep. If you have a choice of trading a Round 11 bye Rookie, or a Round 13 bye Rookie, then trade out the Round 11 bye Rookie.

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

jones711 said:

Hello, jones711, happy to help.

I have Murphy, and I'm really pleased with him. Last week he was in less 3% of teams, and he's Captain in a young team, which helps when he "commands" the ball, and he has good D/E.
I don't like Harbrow, too many chances, and his best season is an 86, 5 seasons ago.
Taylor is Taylor. He will have good scores and bad. He will be just in, or just outside the best Defs this season, like he nearly always is. He's probably a safe-ish pick, but may not quite give you what you want.
Seedsman and Pittard are young and have upside. One or both are more likely to give you a 95 season than Taylor, but also more likely to give you a sub 85 season than Taylor. I like the role Pittard has been playing, and I would probably take the chance on him. Seedsman has more competition in the "creative Def" department at Collingwood than Pittard appears to have at Port.

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

Loboda1963 said:

Hiya Lobo,
I like Dahlhaus more than the other two, and he's more likely to hold a season together than Bont, who we can't be sure can maintain the rage in just his second season. The other one I'd consider is Bennell. with Swallow out he could shine, but he is a bit of a FTB, which means his scores can and will fluctuate quite a bit.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way!

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

Bobbie said:

Hey Bobbie, Round 5 was my best so far, but I'm hoping there is better to come.
You are contemplating a similar path to me. I am going one of Lumumba/Newnes to Fyfe this week. I will bring Adamson in, and then possibly bring in McKenzie next week. You are absolutely correct in your thinking, that both, particularly Newnes, are heading towards that not worth trading/too late to trade line. I don't have a problem with starting Saad, Ox and Mc in the short term, but wouldn't want to do it too many weeks. McDonald is a risk, but it's possible there's been some sort of shift at CD that we haven't been told about, that's affecting the tall Defs scoring. Some of them have been quite head-scratching scores! I keep thinking of Hooker last season. He averaged 100+ in the first 8 Rounds, then about 60 after that. The difference this year is, it seems there are a LOT more tall Defs scoring well. If you think it's a shift, take McD, if you think it's a "short term" abberation, take Dahlhaus. I'm still not sure!

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

_Slip_ said:

Hi _Slip_,
I had an ok weekend. Our syndicate landed the footyquad (50% of the $19k div), and apart from Sloane and Selwood, my SC went ok, too.

Burgoyne has the potential to get his average up around 90, I am just worried he is over 32, and while he managed it last season, he didn't do it the 3 seasons before that. Having said that, we all seem to be guessing on the Defs right now, and Burgoyne could be as a good a guess as any. At least he has done what you are hoping for in 6 previous seasons, and we can't say that about too many others!

If you new Leuey wasn't coming back, you'd be all over Martin. He regularly get's 20 possessions, which makes him nearly bullet proof as a Ruck pick. If he was cheaper, you'd say damn the torpedoes, full steam ahead, but there is more risk in high priced players. I still think he may be worth the risk though. If he continues to score well, he obviously will become popular, but right now, he's a pretty decent POD at 2.7% ownership.

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

dicksilverman said:

Hey ****, it's definitely not too late to fix Newnes, and as you have probably read already, I will be using him or Lumumba to get Fyfe this week, Goddard is a suitable choice, as he can help potentially make trades easier down the track, with his DPP. I think Ox/Saad/Mc have enough JS to remove the risk of being caught with a donut, unless 2 injuries hit!

Rowsus · 5 May 2015

Tamuhawk said:

Hi Tam,
I do like the neatness of Salem to Dahlhaus/Bennell in one trade. But I also like turning Newnes into Danger. I'd probably go the Danger route. It generates cash for future trading, and I would be more worried about my Fwd line being "locked" this early, than I would be about starting 3 Def Rookies in the short term, unless you are 100% sure your completed Fwd line is about as close to being right as you can get it.

Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Suits

Draftee

Blue Dragons

Rising Star Nominee

benlions

Rising Star Nominee

jones711

Loboda1963

Bobbie

Best and Fairest

_Slip_

dicksilverman

Tamuhawk

Leadership Group

Eagling

Rowsus

Statistician

Zoku Pops

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

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Rowsus

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Rowsus

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Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

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