Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

I posted this in the Round 7 trades thread, but would love your opinion too.

After some thoughts on my trade senarios this week

Option 1

Heeney -> McKenzie
Hogan -> Jacobs

Cash left $25,500

Removes the major weakness of having to start TBC at R2, but leaves my midfield light on, with Fyfe, Pendles, Selwood, Danger, Griffen then rookies, if CEY was playing then it would not be a major problem, but having to start Cripps, Vandenberg + Anderson or Krakour is problematic.

Option 2

Hogan -> McKenzie
CEY -> Ward/JPK (probably Ward due to byes)

Cash left $56,700

Leaves TBC as R2, but that will be the next problem to be solved. Stengthens the midfield up to 6 keeper mids (yes I am now resigned to the fact that Griffen and Danger will have to be keepers, at least for now).

I want to do option 2, but feel at this stage that option 1 probably should be the proirity.

Or I take a punt and do Option 3

Hogan -> McKenzie
Heeney -> Mitchell

Cash left $137,900

Can anybody please give me your thoughts?

Cheers in advance!
 
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Ben's Beasts

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Hi Rowsus.

What are your thoughts on Tom Mitchell?

I am mighty tempted to bring him in this week before he has a big jump in price.

Cheers mate.
 

Blue Dragons

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Hey Row,

Im stuck on what I should do this week / next week.

Potential outs are:
McIntosh
Vandenberg
Hogan

Potential ins are:
McKenzie
Lever
Mitchell
Rocky (in 1-2 weeks)

My first issue is I only have 20 trades left so I might need to save some.

I am not really sold on McKenzie or Lever as good picks but will the cash made on their increase and selling McIntosh be needed later on? Is it too good to pass up? There may not be too many more defensive cows to come.

I can go Vanders to Mitchell with only one trade used which will leave me with only $100 to spare. Hes a jet and can easily average keeper levels..but there is still some doubt about js / vest issues although Heeney out helps him.

In a week or two I would really like to get Rocky as long as im happy with his form.

Round 7 ($76k)
Hogan - Mitchell
McIntosh - McKenzie

Round 8 ($121,400)
Vanders - Rocky

They are my thoughts at this stage. Im not sure if that last trade would work out money wise. If it does then that leaves me with 17 trades left.

Would love your opinion on what you think is the best way to go. Thanks mate!

Edit: just had another idea..

Out:
Hogan
McIntosh

In:
Yeo
McKenzie

Then next week Vanders for Rocky (and maybe Lumumba for Smith)

My reasoning for Yeo is that his last 3 games he has played in the midfield and played well. If he moves back again then he probably wont be a good pick but if he stays there I think he can be a keeper. Weighing him up against Mitchell he has better js and I already have 4.5 keepers in the forward line (Bell being the .5) compared to probably 2 keepers in the back line.

Sorry about the length of the msg!
 
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I'd wait, and go Smith next week.
Rowsus, I've kept faith with the mantra: "Don't trade your premiums, don't trade your premiums, hold on". Well, I've had enough - I want desperately to trade Smith out. I bear him a grudge because I traded him in at his peak for Bartel via dpp, only to see points and dollars evaporate each week. But I see you are advising to trade him in. Arggggh.

I've done some homework. He has only averaged more than 86 against two opponents - Collingwood (102) and North (100). Who did he play in the first two weeks, and will not play again this year? I'll let you join up the dots. We've been deceived by an early round bubble. OK, the stats sample is a bit small for meaningful averages, but that raises another issue - should you get 'premium' status on the back of one good year?

Looking at the HS stats for last week ( Adelaide v GCS) he was 30% down on his season average for no. of kicks, metres and uncontested possessions. I didn't see the game but that suggests to me that he is now being anchored in the backline somewhere.

So, should I save the trade and keep reciting the mantra? Or Thurlow is tempting - he's got about $80K growth in him, is scoring well and is unlikely to get a tag given the strong Geelong backline. I can then upgrade him later when he has restored some cash.

Your advice would be much appreciated.
 

Bobbie

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Hi Rowsus. I am really stumped this week - the Sloane injury has thrown my trade plans. I have $227,200 and 23 trades left. I'm not keen on spending too much on replacing Sloane but want to avoid bringing in a "stop gap" player (e.g. Tom Mitchell) at this stage. Is there any merit on just keeping him (especially if CEY returns) and hope he returns after his bye?

So after a bit of a tinker I could actually just use one trade this week to upgrade a Hogan to Bont ($58K left) or Goddard (only $8K left). I could move a forward to the mids via Krak to cover Sloane until I decide what to do with him. Next week I could trade Heeney to Lever via McKenzie to mids (gives a handy DPP). This means holding onto KMac though at the risk he may lose a bit of value.

Another option is to trade Hogan to a midfielder via Krak but I'm not sure if I could make the most of the $545K I would have (Priddis, Dangerfield, Neale?) Forwards obviously present a bit more value.

Any help would be much appreciated. I think I am out of overall contention (!) so leagues are my focus. Much appreciated.
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus, Picken has been playing quite well the last couple games but he scored a couple 50's in the first couple of rounds. Was this due to someone getting injured and him playing a better role? Interesting to hear your thoughts
Hey Jordan,
Picken has been playing career best football the last 3 weeks. The obvious change is, that it came about when Wallis got injured. The question becomes, do the roles revert to what they were in the first 3 weeks, when Wallis comes back, or does Beveridge run with what's working now?
No one knows the answer to that, so it probably puts Picken in the too hard basket for now. Well, it does for me, anyway.
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus

Was wondering what is the MAXIMUM price I should be paying for:

Defenders
Midfield
Forwards

for upgrade time.

I either pay too much for a player, attracted by their current scoring or spend the coin on a "fallen premium" who just keeps on falling!!

Hopefully this year I can make some shrewd decisions and find my ranking going upwards, instead of coming down like Xmas decorations.

Thanks for your time.

Lobo
Hey Lobo,
with the exception of missing the obvious biggest guns, if you don't already have them (Fyfe, Pendlebury, Gray etc) sitting at DMF1/2, I would be setting most of my targets at.
Defs $460-$480k
Mids $560-$580k
Fwds $490-$510k
It's always a tough call, like a lot of us face with Smith at the moment. Is he a fallen Prem, or did he just have a season out last season?! It's tough to know the answer, and getting right, and another 3 or 4 questions like that, really shape your season!
 

Rowsus

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Rowsus please remind you to why you (and I) picked Young.
1 point at quarter time.
My logic was, cheap mid/fed capable of averaging 80. Had excellent SC/TOG in the past, and an excellent NAB (for the first time). Seemed to be freed up from sub vest and was playing attacking role. Port draw opens up nicely which should allow for some points.

Where did we go wrong??.
McC, it was because of the reasons you stated, mainly his SC/100%TOG was showing he had the potential to be a bargain, especially with the prospect of an improved role with Wines out. Maybe the key is he needs to take a step back, instead of a step up. I traded him in with full intention of keeping him, and using him as F7/M9 cover. I hope he's still around to do that for me/us, as I have no intention of trading him out.
 

Rowsus

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Interested to hear your thoughts Rowsus.

Would it be a horrible call to bring in Rockliff this week (despite his huge break even)?

I have $506k to spend on a mid upgrade and think Rockliff is the best option at that price.

I know just about everyone will bring him into their team in a fortnight, but I'm tossing up going a week early and potentially getting a big score that others might miss out on.

EDIT - I've managed to swing enough cash to bring in Robbie Gray this week. Rocky can wait a week.
I think Gray's a better call than Rockliff. You'd love to see Rocky post a score, even if you miss it, just to give you confidence to seal the deal.
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,

Who goes first in your opinion... McIntosh vs. Hogan ?? :confused:

Cheers,

Goodie
Hey GG,
I'd say McIntosh. His VFL stats last season, and his stats from Round 2 on this season, suggest he's a 55/game player, and as such only has $20k growth left in him. Hogan looks like a 75/game player, so could still grow $50k. I think Hogan is more likely to get a kick start score, too. ie put up a 90 or 100 and kick start his growth a bit again.
 
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Hey GG,
I'd say McIntosh. His VFL stats last season, and his stats from Round 2 on this season, suggest he's a 55/game player, and as such only has $20k growth left in him. Hogan looks like a 75/game player, so could still grow $50k. I think Hogan is more likely to get a kick start score, too. ie put up a 90 or 100 and kick start his growth a bit again.
Seems like quite a risk in NOT trading Hogan this week. With a B/E of 77, he's every chance to go backwards also.

I do have another question, what do you believe is the best strategy for handling players like Heeney? I want to trade out a MID rookie this week (as part of my 1-up, 1-down trades), and ordinarily it would be Vandenberg (he's already made $200k, and his B/E is 61). However, I have a little cash in the bank, and can afford to keep him and trade out Heeney instead.

I suppose the question is, is there any value in trading out Heeney, or do you have to accept that he'll be stuck on your bench for the next couple of months doing nothing?
 
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Hi Rowsus, I'd love your opinion on Boomer and Bennell. Probably getting one this week and can't decide who I'd rather. I think Bennell has more potential to average higher, especially over the next few weeks. He has averaged 95 the last 3 seasons playing predominantly half forward so surely midfield time will boost his average up to 100? Boomer I like as a POD and still wish I'd gotten him last year after his bye when he was cheap and was huge over the back half of the year.

Also, any love for Stevie J? If you'd told me pre season I could have gotten him at sub 450 I'd have jumped without second guessing but now not so sure.

Thanks mate.
 
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Good morning Row, haven't been in here for quite some time but thought I'd ask you a question in regards to Mr. Brownlow (Priddis)
Do you think he will be a top 10 Mid from here onwards? If yes, this is probably the best time to bring him in I assume?
His first 4 rounds have been quite mediocre but he went bang bang in his last 2!
Did something change or perhaps just a form thingy?
Thanks mate!
 
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Hey Rowsus,
Just wondering if you can assist in my train wreck of a season.
It is just spiralling out of control with poor form and injuries to every player I have.
My main concerns are Broadbent who I thought would be a decent POD after Hinkley at the start of the season said he would get more midfield time. (only one ton to his name and leaking cash)
Sloane who as a Ablett replacement is now out for 4-6 weeks
TBC as R2 who was just a bad choice on my behalf and not sure why I picked him.
Throw in Heeney who is out and may struggle to get back, CEY likewise, Saad now out, McIntosh who has not made enough.
All other rookies are starting to get to their peak as far as cash generation is concerned eg, Hogan, Vandenburg
Only have 21 trades left, $32K and winless in one of my leagues.
Where to next?
Do I look at trading Sloane? Offloading Broadbent or finding cash to upgrade TBC?
Have thought about seriously downgrading Broadbent to Lever early (already have McKenzie) for cash but would leave me with only Hibberd, Docherty, MJ in backline plus 3 rookies with Saad on bench.
Then look at Sloane for Treloar/Goddard and try and hope Rocky drops to $450 and get him next week via Heeney
Still leaves my weak backline and TBC but I am just stuck for options and thought that risking the backline is the best place to do it I guess.
Or do I keep Sloane and Broadbent (stick with Premiums) and go McIntosh for Lever and TBC for Grundy?
Any suggestions appreciated..help!!!
 

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Hey Row i was wondering who would you choose out of Beams and Priddis. Beams who seems to be able to go big more so but has the no.1 tag now or Priddis who is more durable but over 30(byes not counted)? Note around i am around 20k and need to make ground.
 
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Good morning Row, haven't been in here for quite some time but thought I'd ask you a question in regards to Mr. Brownlow (Priddis)
Do you think he will be a top 10 Mid from here onwards? If yes, this is probably the best time to bring him in I assume?
His first 4 rounds have been quite mediocre but he went bang bang in his last 2!
Did something change or perhaps just a form thingy?
Thanks mate!
I will answer this for Rowsus.
Hell yes barring injury.
His first 4 rounds have been ok, hasnt set the world on fire, but to be fair, your JPK's, Selwood's, Watson's etc havent set the world on fire too.
I just look at his stats, 3rd in the comp in contested possessions, 4th in the comp in clearances, 1st in the comp in tackles, 2nd in comp in centre clearances, 5th in the comp in disposals, equal 4th in goal assists.
Now looking at that data, I have a feeling he will be in top 5 at seasons end.
All those stats get rewarded in this game and if he keeps it up I cant see why he cant be a top 5.
 
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Hi row

I was wondering if you could assist me. It is not a big problem. I was hoping to trade Macintosh for Mckenzie this week. Next week trade in lever for someone not sure who and vanderberg for a jpk or rocky. I will hold Sloane as I feel he will return early but bc he will be sitting on my bench I want to try and fit another upgrade in the midfield. Goodes could go but I would prefer to hold him and hope he makes some cash.

My question is who do I trade out for lever.?

Thanks for your help row
 
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I will answer this for Rowsus.
Hell yes barring injury.
His first 4 rounds have been ok, hasnt set the world on fire, but to be fair, your JPK's, Selwood's, Watson's etc havent set the world on fire too.
I just look at his stats, 3rd in the comp in contested possessions, 4th in the comp in clearances, 1st in the comp in tackles, 2nd in comp in centre clearances, 5th in the comp in disposals, equal 4th in goal assists.
Now looking at that data, I have a feeling he will be in top 5 at seasons end.
All those stats get rewarded in this game and if he keeps it up I cant see why he cant be a top 5.
Can't deny his stats are pretty amazing but he currently has 45 kicks and 127 handballs. In his last 3 games he has had 18 kicks and 70 handballs and is likely why his scores are probably 20-30 points lower than what they should be. If he could get a handful more effective kicks and drop a handful handballs, he would add an extra 100+ meters gained and his scores would probably get those 20-30 missing points.
 

darkshines

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Can't deny his stats are pretty amazing but he currently has 45 kicks and 127 handballs. In his last 3 games he has had 18 kicks and 70 handballs and is likely why his scores are probably 20-30 points lower than what they should be. If he could get a handful more effective kicks and drop a handful handballs, he would add an extra 100+ meters gained and his scores would probably get those 20-30 missing points.
If he was just average by foot, he'd be in top 3 SC wise. Unfortunately he's below average. A low risk pickup, but not for me
 
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