Strategy Round 4: Trades

Will you trade Whitfield?

  • Yes (even if he plays)

    Votes: 6 9.5%
  • Yes (only if he doesn’t play round 4)

    Votes: 24 38.1%
  • No (he’s a keeper)

    Votes: 33 52.4%

  • Total voters
    63
Joined
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Sometimes the eye test tells you something that the rules doesn't really cater for - both Simpkin and Rowell have shown a degree of poise in close and an ability to hit targets as well as doing the defensive stuff which really stands out.

I also suspect that they are heavily benefiting from the "must use 3300 points" phenomenon, where in virtually every game the 1-3 players who are standouts for the winning and losing teams score 20-30+ points more heavily than the next group for their team as a result of the heavy in-quarter and end of game scaling.

In past seasons this has been a lot more spread out and gradual, but this year in almost every game there has been that small group who have outscored everyone else heavily.
Important point there.
 
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My trades
Out: Tristan Xerri, In: Trent Rivers (via B. Williams)
Out: Curtis Taylor (BE: 0, yeah bit early) In: Christian Petracca was $2k short of Simpkin... so didn't have that option...
thoughts? (Post trade team below).
1592826526456.png
 
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My trades
Out: Tristan Xerri, In: Trent Rivers (via B. Williams)
Out: Curtis Taylor (BE: 0, yeah bit early) In: Christian Petracca was $2k short of Simpkin... so didn't have that option...
thoughts? (Post trade team below).
View attachment 18081
Like the trades, but I assume you haven't heard about Dunkley. Out for 6 weeks.
 
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Looking at trading Kelly and Long out for Hugh Greenwood and Simpkin.
Means once I've eventually swung Greenwood fwd I'll have my 6 forwards (Dusty, Whitfield, Petracca, Ceglar, Simpkin, Greenwood) and my 2 rucks (Grundy & Gawn) locked in.
Then I'll try to pick off remaining Mids and Defs as they drop in price. That's the plan anyway
 

lappinitup

2006 AFL SuperCoach Winner
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Once again the guidelines around close contact triggers are based on social distancing guidelines and research which shows that it takes on average 15 minutes for people in the same enclosed space to facilitate surface-based contact transfer. It's not about making up a definition - it's just common sense that when players are exerting themselves in close-contact training drills the risk of transfer is far greater.

This more than anything is why AFL teams and officials are in the bubble, as their best (and realistically only) defence is keeping the virus out of the AFL system because once it takes hold even to a small degree it's game over for the season.

It'll be interesting to see how DHHS assesses this, we'll just have to wait and see how this all pans out as it will set a precedent for the inevitable future cases we'll see.
Once again, I don't understand why you think the close contact definition / guidelines displayed by both Victorian and Australian health departments are not relevant here? Why do you think your theories / opinion / "common sense" override the health department advice and clear messaging?

If you have any government and legislative information that isn't made public as to why the players will be held to a different definition of close contact, please share. Otherwise, I will stick to the official messaging and guidelines of close contact over your "common sense".

Training is going to be agonizingly scrutinised to determined which players came in to "close contact" with McKenna. Those players will be forced in to the 14 day quarantine. All in line with the health departments advice and consistent messaging.

It won't matter what a few people on online forums and social media think should happen, it won't matter if people keep retweeting him blowing his nose at training and it won't matter if people think the close contact definition changes from scenario to scenario

What will matter is that a) it is a confirmed test result and 2) Quarantine is imposed on all those individuals deemed to be a "close contact" as defined by the department and outlined by myself earlier.

The situation is fluid, and people are learning daily, so every chance rules and guidelines continue to be updated. However, in the current circumstance we can only go on the current policies in place.

I wouldn't be surprised if it is a number less than his whole bubble who get quarantined. It appears to be self interest of fear mongering for those claiming the whole squad should be deemed close contact!
 

lappinitup

2006 AFL SuperCoach Winner
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My trades
Out: Tristan Xerri, In: Trent Rivers (via B. Williams)
Out: Curtis Taylor (BE: 0, yeah bit early) In: Christian Petracca was $2k short of Simpkin... so didn't have that option...
thoughts? (Post trade team below).
View attachment 18081
As @aleceee pointed out, Dunkley is set for an extended time on the sidelines.

Unfortunately I think your trades would have been a good step forward, however you will have to action Dunkley now!

Glass half full view - it actually helps you achieve what you wanted.
Dunkley down to Simpkin or Petracca, you can now choose who you believe is the better option for the season.
Keep Taylor to ride out another couple of price rises and maximise this cow.
 

Connoisseur

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My trades
Out: Tristan Xerri, In: Trent Rivers (via B. Williams)
Out: Curtis Taylor (BE: 0, yeah bit early) In: Christian Petracca was $2k short of Simpkin... so didn't have that option...
thoughts? (Post trade team below).
View attachment 18081
Out: J Dunkley and T Green
In: J Simpkin and C Petracca
 

Connoisseur

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Sounds good, but he would be a bit over 100K short of that.
C Taylor to C Petracca required $250,000 and Xerri to Rivers banked minimal or no cash. Therefore once trades are reversed he would have approximately $250,000 which is increased to around $370,000 if the above Dunkley to Simpkin move is made which allows Green to Petracca.
 
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C Taylor to C Petracca required $250,000 and Xerri to Rivers banked minimal or no cash. Therefore once trades are reversed he would have approximately $250,000 which is increased to around $370,000 if the above Dunkley to Simpkin move is made which allows Green to Petracca.
Yeah my mistake, just looked quickly at the team posted and saw the 12K in the bank, didn't realise that was after trades.
 
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Excerpt from a member's update I just received to my email:

"The DHHS identified James Stewart as the only player who has been deemed as having close contact under the DHHS guidelines and James will be required to self-isolate for a 14-day period. After being re-tested on Monday afternoon, James pleasingly returned a negative result.

The club will continue to provide support to Conor and James through this period in preparation for when they return to the club and training with the playing group in 14 days' time.

In addition, all players and staff underwent testing on Monday and these results have all since returned negative."
 
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