Strategy Round 5: Trades

Are you trading Fyfe out?

  • Yes

    Votes: 14 25.5%
  • No

    Votes: 20 36.4%
  • Don’t own him

    Votes: 21 38.2%

  • Total voters
    55
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Option 1: Trade Fyfe
Howe > Ridley
Fyfe > Bont
200k in bank for Whitfield next week.

Option 2: Keep Fyfe
Howe > Hill
C.Taylor > Bont
15k in bank, hard to get Whitfield in next week.

Thoughts? Any feedback appreciated.
option 2

i am doing same thing, however i have whitfield so not worried about that
are you trying to only have to do one trade for whitfield? then do option 1
but if you were going to do 2 trades anyway then option 2 probs
 
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option 2

i am doing same thing, however i have whitfield so not worried about that
are you trying to only have to do one trade for whitfield? then do option 1
but if you were going to do 2 trades anyway then option 2 probs
Nah the extra trade isnt an issue. More so that I won't be able to do a 1 up 1 down next week to get Whitfield with option 2. Id have to do 2 downgrades next week and then get him the week after. If he scores high this week he will prob have a lowish break even so potentially missing out on his basement price.
 
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Not sure where the hype is coming from by staying away from Ridley. I’m a little confused why he is so highly touted (currently at 410k now). Off limited data is he playing that well to justify him as a keeper (or top 6 defender) - someone mentioned him as a calmer version of Sicily. If you had him from 2 rounds ago I’d say probably worth it

I personally think that there are myriad options - Houli/Laird/Sicily/Haynes/Daniel/Crisp/Hurn that aren’t that much more expensive than Ridley but almost a better guarantee (at least in my opiniin) to be a top 6 defender by the end of the year (I have Lloyd/Doch/Howe)

Each to their own I suppose but I think I’ve just provided reasoning as to why I won’t be picking Ridley this season
Not only are their prices wildly different, but some of their scoring as well.

Laird is averaging ~20ppg less than Ridley this season and has fallen 10ppg in his scoring again this season after a 10ppg drop in 2019.

Other than Jake Lloyd, no other defender has a sustained track record of excellence in scoring in defence (>100ppg for 2 seasons prior to this year) either.

So Ridley seems like a reasonable risk/reward at his current price given
- none of his peers are 'almost guaranteed' to score so much higher; and
- each is already priced $70-150k more expensive.

and with trades less of a premium this season, the price of error is even less.
 

Connoisseur

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C Serong:
Q1: 14 SC
2 Disposals (1 Contested) and 1 Mark

Q2: 9 SC= 23 SC
1 Contested Possession and 1 Tackle
Plays Adel in RD5

Q3: 14 SC= 37 SC
4 Disposals, 1 Mark and 1 Tackle

Q4: 34 SC= 71 SC
6 Disposals, 1 Mark, 3 Tackles and 3 Contested Possesions


Plays Adel in RD5
Attended 10CBA in his debut match
8 players used in RD4 Fremantle centre bounces (6 with 10+ and 6 with 4+, Serong 6th with 10)
 
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I find this fascinating.

Does anyone see any issue with this?
I'm confused. All hypothetical, depends whether you have funds to buy the premium.
Exactly. I don't think we have the funds this year where we are easily upgrading week after week.

Logic looks fine if you can do 1-2 upgrades over next week, although, it will not be like for like with Fyfe I expect.

I just cannot easily get there. Is Fyfe 1-2 or really 3 weeks makes a difference. I could get to Simpkin in 2nd week (or this week if I delay Serong) or maybe Neale in week (would be a weak defence to get there).
 

Darkie

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@Professor @The Experiment @GrainFedBeef

That's basically what I was thinking.

The key assumption seems to be that you're able to go one up, one down indefinitely, so the extra cash generated this week is therefore not used productively for many weeks. This may be the case if you have fat cows that allow you to get good quality premiums each week, but if you're a little short, or want to get a top priced name like Neale, arguably it breaks down a bit.

I really like the thinking though, and find his thoughts well worth following. There's nothing wrong with simplifying things in my view, even if sometimes you have to oversimplify a little to illustrate a point.
 
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I find this fascinating.

Does anyone see any issue with this?
Can't see how you can downgrade/upgrade 2 rookies at this stage of the season unless you have a large bank.

eg $ 300 k - $ 125 k gives you $ 175 k

$ 300k + $ 175 k gives you $ 475 k , hardly buying a premium at that price

doubt any of the rookies are even close to $ 300k at the moment
 
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Can't see how you can downgrade/upgrade 2 rookies at this stage of the season unless you have a large bank.

eg $ 300 k - $ 125 k gives you $ 175 k

$ 300k + $ 175 k gives you $ 475 k , hardly buying a premium at that price

doubt any of the rookies are even close to $ 300k at the moment
Mr Rowell says hello, he's also waiting for Danger to go to him this week.😜
 
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Can't see how you can downgrade/upgrade 2 rookies at this stage of the season unless you have a large bank.

eg $ 300 k - $ 125 k gives you $ 175 k

$ 300k + $ 175 k gives you $ 475 k , hardly buying a premium at that price

doubt any of the rookies are even close to $ 300k at the moment
Most are currently low to mid $200's. You will make around $100-120K max on them, and they are the better scoring ones.
 
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