Strategy 2024: Round 4 Trades
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Downgrade options looking a little thin
Outside of Defenders which I really want to be an area of upgrades, we have Darcy and maybe Hustwaite (subject to going well) if we go early next week. Defenders are Brown or Draper (decent 2nd score) and maybe Mulin at Geelong.
Assuming there is no rookie who has played three games who was dragged down by a sub role in game one (Carroll technically is this but scored to well as a sub).
Outside of Defenders which I really want to be an area of upgrades, we have Darcy and maybe Hustwaite (subject to going well) if we go early next week. Defenders are Brown or Draper (decent 2nd score) and maybe Mulin at Geelong.
Assuming there is no rookie who has played three games who was dragged down by a sub role in game one (Carroll technically is this but scored to well as a sub).
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I don't like these type of plays, three good scores against 3 average looking teams, typical thing I would ignore.
However, thought may as well look at the data, as I had heard Ryan kicks it a lot to Jordan.
Well, as Randomcliche mentioned, Young into mids is factor which looks about right, so why don't we see how he went last four games of 2024 when Young played mids.
He scored 106, 96, 114 and 88, see knew he would be crap.......hang on.......wait..........what!
Just over 100 in those 4 games for an average of 100.3 vs current average of 115.
His DE has been 88-89% in all three games this year, maybe that could regress against better teams. His 88 and 96 in those 4 games were against Brisbane and Port last year so does suggest he regresses against quality teams.
Either way he does look better than his 82 ave of 2023, wouldn't lock in 115 however, 100-108 possible. Just goes to say look at the data and ignore prior biased opinions, worked for Powell last week.
If we assume Sheezel, Ryan, Daicos, Sicily and Stewart are top 5 defenders, then probably room for one value play. McGovern has injury risk, Houston a little soft, Andrews key position, Whitfield slightly more expensive and probably averages more.
However, thought may as well look at the data, as I had heard Ryan kicks it a lot to Jordan.
Well, as Randomcliche mentioned, Young into mids is factor which looks about right, so why don't we see how he went last four games of 2024 when Young played mids.
He scored 106, 96, 114 and 88, see knew he would be crap.......hang on.......wait..........what!
Just over 100 in those 4 games for an average of 100.3 vs current average of 115.
His DE has been 88-89% in all three games this year, maybe that could regress against better teams. His 88 and 96 in those 4 games were against Brisbane and Port last year so does suggest he regresses against quality teams.
Either way he does look better than his 82 ave of 2023, wouldn't lock in 115 however, 100-108 possible. Just goes to say look at the data and ignore prior biased opinions, worked for Powell last week.
If we assume Sheezel, Ryan, Daicos, Sicily and Stewart are top 5 defenders, then probably room for one value play. McGovern has injury risk, Houston a little soft, Andrews key position, Whitfield slightly more expensive and probably averages more.
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If he averages 120 for the season then missing one match in a best 18 round doesn't bother me as he'll likey be a must have clear F1.
My lingering concerns are his price and the certainty of his role given that Adams, Parker & eventually Mills will be coming back into the midfield mix. I think Parker plays more forward, in Heeney's role, and Mills may be used on a wing to ease his body back into footy.
I also think that as a coach if I have a player who's dominating & near on leading the Brownlow count right now (and more importantly the team is winning) then why change a winning formula?
My lingering concerns are his price and the certainty of his role given that Adams, Parker & eventually Mills will be coming back into the midfield mix. I think Parker plays more forward, in Heeney's role, and Mills may be used on a wing to ease his body back into footy.
I also think that as a coach if I have a player who's dominating & near on leading the Brownlow count right now (and more importantly the team is winning) then why change a winning formula?
If I find someone to take down to Darcy, I can get Jordon up to probably anyone under $600k using the cash from Berry this week.
I'd love a top defender, but with Daicos, Houston and Sheezel already there and spaces 'saved' for Ryan and Stewart there's only a D6 slot left.
So maybe I slot Touk Miller into M5 and wait for the DPP to shore up the backline
I'd love a top defender, but with Daicos, Houston and Sheezel already there and spaces 'saved' for Ryan and Stewart there's only a D6 slot left.
So maybe I slot Touk Miller into M5 and wait for the DPP to shore up the backline