Strategy 2024: Round 8 Trades

Joined
14 Jun 2013
Messages
1,781
Likes
2,685
AFL Club
Melbourne
#63
What's everyone's take on Dawson?

2 big scores in a row, one without Crouch and one against North. Back to only 60% CBAs this week after being in 80% the week before, two weeks in the 50s before the Essendon non-Crouch spike.

Obviously offers really good value but can get go 110+ with the heavy midfield rotations at the Crows?
 
Joined
13 Mar 2012
Messages
2,790
Likes
2,985
AFL Club
Adelaide
#65
Depending on Rozee's injury.

If it's 1 week will keep.
If it's 3, he can be turned into a Serong/Zerrett proper premo type.
If it's 2, well no idea... o_O
Sweet to be the most traded in.

For the few who own Rozee, looks like a trade out.
Just on Rozee, some of you may recall an article on the old Twitter 2 years ago showing that during upgrade time you are better off holding injured premiums and doing your normal upgrades around them. Provided you have downgrade opportunities which I think we have.
Worth crunching your own numbers on for your team.
It does seem counter intuitive but the numbers didn’t lie.
 
Last edited:
Joined
8 Jan 2020
Messages
6,262
Likes
26,151
AFL Club
Geelong
#66
What's everyone's take on Dawson?

2 big scores in a row, one without Crouch and one against North. Back to only 60% CBAs this week after being in 80% the week before, two weeks in the 50s before the Essendon non-Crouch spike.

Obviously offers really good value but can get go 110+ with the heavy midfield rotations at the Crows?
Im just meh on him, is the only premo mid I could afford this week, contemplating just going double down to Rogers and Garcia and sitting on cash for the moment.
 
Joined
17 Apr 2013
Messages
1,436
Likes
2,961
#67
Im just meh on him, is the only premo mid I could afford this week, contemplating just going double down to Rogers and Garcia and sitting on cash for the moment.
Agreed. I already have one of that type in my midfield with LDU, couldn't afford another. I reckon he will be a yo yo for the rest of the season (and probably his career) for SC.
 
Joined
27 Jan 2014
Messages
6,769
Likes
14,766
AFL Club
Fremantle
#69
What's everyone's take on Dawson?

2 big scores in a row, one without Crouch and one against North. Back to only 60% CBAs this week after being in 80% the week before, two weeks in the 50s before the Essendon non-Crouch spike.

Obviously offers really good value but can get go 110+ with the heavy midfield rotations at the Crows?
There's a good post somewhere with Jaiden Popowski's analysis on him. Has more tough games up until rnd 12 and then his draw opens up. Rnd 15 bye is not ideal as it would be preferred to trade in premiums at that time after their bye.
 
Joined
13 Mar 2012
Messages
2,790
Likes
2,985
AFL Club
Adelaide
#71
Can just do:

Rozee > Touk
Powell > Sweet
Massimo > Yeo

Wish I went earlier on Yeo but was just waiting for that injury…
Yeo very pricey! Esp considering the injury risk. I got him $80k cheaper but still a bit nervous.
You’ve got Serong and/or Butters?
And have you got rookies you can trade instead of Powell? I feel we should be upgrading him last once the first year rookies are upgraded.
 
Joined
27 Mar 2015
Messages
4,906
Likes
5,442
AFL Club
Carlton
#73
Have a few different plans this week

Cadman out and Sweet in is locked. The plan being have Sweet R3 since he plays Thurs (swing Livingston forward for Cadman). If Sweet performs well this week, I’ll trade Meek (moving Livingston to R2)

Depending on what rookies look good later this week, may Tripple downgrade. Green my number 1 target, along with Dale. Trades will be dependant on if I get Meeks money
 
Joined
27 Mar 2015
Messages
442
Likes
761
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
#74
Having slept on this I think I need to go Powell and Sexton to Sweet and Dale, moving Reid to forwards and Roberts to mids. If I got rid of Dempsey instead of Sexton, my forward bench would be Livingston and Sexton, meaning that R. Garcia would have to be F6, which leaves me too exposed to his vest potential. I'm choosing to keep Dempsey over Powell due to vast differences in breakeven and potential for cash loss. Watch Clarko put Powell back into the mids this week and his scores shoot back up. Then watch Bevo change Dale's role.
If Rozee is only out for a week or two then I can cover him looping Wilson and Graham, any more and he probably has to be boosted out.
And..... Dempsey to Rogers as long as the Rozee injury is 2 weeks or less. Leaves 200k in the sky rocket for next week.
 
Joined
11 Mar 2019
Messages
566
Likes
1,996
AFL Club
Essendon
#75
Yeo very pricey! Esp considering the injury risk. I got him $80k cheaper but still a bit nervous.
You’ve got Serong and/or Butters?
And have you got rookies you can trade instead of Powell? I feel we should be upgrading him last once the first year rookies are upgraded.
Have got Serong but not Butters. Just feel like the defence line needs an upgrade as have 7/8 premiums in midfield. Can’t afford Ryan, however could wait a week for Stewart as Yeo is pricey, can just go very big!
No other rookies look right for culling, either too early or have restarted their cash gen (Wilson, Darcy).
 

Connoisseur

Leadership Group
Joined
3 Jul 2017
Messages
38,955
Likes
126,605
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
#76
Can just do:

Rozee > Touk
Powell > Sweet
Massimo > Yeo

Wish I went earlier on Yeo but was just waiting for that injury
But after averaging 117 over the first six rounds does the perceived injury risk magically disappear and given the proposition was too risky at sub $450k, what has changed at $610k?

Starts at 0, so will need to sustain this for an extended period and avoid missing matches to provide a solid return on investment relative to the alternatives.
 
Joined
13 Mar 2012
Messages
2,790
Likes
2,985
AFL Club
Adelaide
#77
Have got Serong but not Butters. Just feel like the defence line needs an upgrade as have 7/8 premiums in midfield. Can’t afford Ryan, however could wait a week for Stewart as Yeo is pricey, can just go very big!
No other rookies look right for culling, either too early or have restarted their cash gen (Wilson, Darcy).
You’re never going to be able to time rookie cash outs perfectly. Once over $300k I reckon they are fair game if it gets you the premium you want. You are going to trade them eventually. Points on board can’t be taken away from you.
Don’t be reckless of course but don’t be overly patient trying to get them all out at the perfect time.
I wouldn’t feel bad trading Darcy this round for example. Not ideal but he won’t get 3 goals every week.
Unless you’re more leagues focussed.
 

Ben's Beasts

Leadership Group
Joined
6 Jan 2013
Messages
19,071
Likes
80,327
AFL Club
Melbourne
#78
After the worst performance during a round since I can remember, I need to make wholesale changes so here they are;

OUT: Rozee (inj), R Marshall, Massimo
IN: T Green, Gawn, B Dale

Brought in Sweet last round. R Garcia would have been sub if Libba wasn’t a late out and Rogers was great last round but won’t play WC every week and scored just 28 on debut. I don’t see either Garcia or Rogers as must-haves.

Appears to be plenty of downgrade options the following round with some impressive showings from several playing their first matches of the season last round.
 
Joined
2 Mar 2023
Messages
1,931
Likes
7,042
AFL Club
Essendon
#79
What's everyone's take on Dawson?

2 big scores in a row, one without Crouch and one against North. Back to only 60% CBAs this week after being in 80% the week before, two weeks in the 50s before the Essendon non-Crouch spike.

Obviously offers really good value but can get go 110+ with the heavy midfield rotations at the Crows?
I think I am going to have a go at getting him. Value with potential reward is ideal IMO.

Powell & Sharp > Sweet and Dawson. I could go a Zerret or Bont, but Dawson's value is just too good.
 
Joined
2 Mar 2023
Messages
1,931
Likes
7,042
AFL Club
Essendon
#80
After the worst performance during a round since I can remember, I need to make wholesale changes so here they are;

OUT: Rozee (inj), R Marshall, Massimo
IN: T Green, Gawn, B Dale

Brought in Sweet last round. R Garcia would have been sub if Libba wasn’t a late out and Rogers was great last round but won’t play WC every week and scored just 28 on debut. I don’t see either Garcia or Rogers as must-haves.

Appears to be plenty of downgrade options the following round with some impressive showings from several playing their first matches of the season last round.
Why trade Rozee? It is most likely 1 week. Don't know at this stage of course.
 
Top