Ridiculous trade by the Bulldogs. On what they're giving away it is like Boyd is guaranteed to be a "Buddy" or NRoo. He's not!
They were like the guy at the carnival that keeps paying $5 for 3 balls, and ends up paying $40 for a $20 teddy bear!
I think they got too focussed on the prize, and forgot to keep track of the price!
I will be honest, and say there is a lot I don't like about Collingwood (I won't go into that here!), but I will give them their due. Each and every trade period they play hard-ball and end up level or in front on their trades. Brisbane have probably paid overs for Beams, and Collingwood mark another small win on their trade score card!
The logic to your post is all there and correct.
BUT lol as a supporter I'm thrilled with the move.
The risk is blowing money we need to spend anyways. The potential reward we all know what it is.
However sometimes the message is important too. And for long suffering fans it's the message we wanted. I struggle to find a Bulldog fan who is unhappy. We all agree we have paid well overs but we all agree we had to do it. My whole life all I have heard is "the doggies are great but lacking that big FWD" my whole life we have had band aid solutions. The only power forward that was anything decent was Barry Hall. But that was for only one season. One season too late. All he did was replace Johno and Aka's goals that they stopped scoring.
The way I see Boyd is we have an up and down straight draw after already having the 2nd highest pair on the table, and also have a flush draw. There are about 15 cards left in the deck to make our hand. GWS have gone all in and we have called with still an ok sized stack to work from if the card does not drop lol.
I know two families that took a punt on "useless" farm land 30 years ago. Sold their house and at that time paid a whopping $300k. The bank balance of these families is now $120 million and $70 million lol. Sometimes you need to make the far fetched play. And if your not going to make the play when your salaries are low and can juggle this easily, your so called captain demands to leave or wont play, you coach resigns, your members have had enough, then when will you lol.
All in all even if he is a flop, Bulldog fans themselves wont say we farked up hard and attack the club, we will say at least we showed everyone we can pull off and have the balls to make a move. It's restored the faith and hope that was lost only a week ago. It's shown in the free agency era we can attract players in high demand, not just lose them. We are not insignificant.
The way I also see it is Griffen was a dead ship thats 28/29. His value plummeted with the perception being he either played at GWS, or stayed home. There was talk of pick 4 but I dont see it, why would GWS pay high knowing at 1:30 we would crumble to accept pick 7 and steak knives. If that. They would have played us at our game and taken pick 1 off the saints next year for Boyd. And get Griffen for free.
So essentially I view it as we have swapped pick 6 in exchange for Tom Boyd. Compo picks could be gone next year, if they stay then it was pick 6 + Griffen compo pick for a player that would have been #1 again this season if he was in the draft. Considering last season Griffen + 4 (Bontemempelli) probably wouldn't have been enough to get pick 1 (Boyd) I think we have done extremely well to end up with both bonts and boyd.
We have also covered our bases with a 7 year deal. Most likely he will be a great player. So if clubs come chasing they have to pay.
All in all I'm very happy to have taken the risk