Staying clear of risky pod's has served me well in the past. Burned badly last year with a good start and stalled between 100-400 up until round 22 when I got smashed and plummeted to 900 odd. I stalled because I wasn't risky enough and didn't have enough difference to make up ground. I think the days of playing conservatively and getting a good rank are almost over because too many people have become too good at this game. The average player is now a lot better informed than before mainly thanks to good websites like this one.
My theory with pod has been to pick one or two and hope they come off. Having any more than that will almost guarantee a couple of backfires which will lose any ground your good pod's have made. That's without factoring in correction trades.....
Winner last year smashed it. Starting with R.Gray, Swallow and Parker was inspired and an amazing boost. I didn't start any and stubbornly stayed off Jacobs (And Gray and S.Martin) as well. Swallow and Parker were my first two upgrades but I had missed a good chunk of that party.
Conservative and finish 300-1000 or take on a lot more risk and hope to push higher. Not sure I want to risk blowing out into the 1000/10,000's by being risky but I'm more tempted this year than ever before to try it.
For the record my pod's I've looked at are Adcock/Giles and Gibbs. Adcock priced at 78. Giles priced at 68 and Gibbs at 106. Conservative pods. Adcock I can't see going lower than that and likely to nudge 90, a club captain, improving side and I am scratching to find other defensive options I like. Giles will be No.1 ruck. Bellchambers will play predominately forward because we need him there and they are the only 2 rucks on our list. Bellchambers goes down (very likely) and Giles becomes 95% gametime in ruck. Gibbs I reckon can hit 110-120. More a hunch than anything. Won't get tag (thanks Murph) and I reckon Malthouse will leave him in the middle most of the time. Also good by foot and can hit the scoreboard. Not cheap, but durable and I can see him being very very pod. Also have an inkling that there is good value in Wingard.
Pair these guys with Deledio, Goddard, Ablett, pendles, Jelwood, Simpson and hope I that can put in a competitive side. I'm also hoping like hell my trading record improves......