Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Rowsus

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Thanks mate
I guess in regards to Leunberger, I am just looking for that cheaper R2 to free up some cash. Might just play Lycett as my R2 with no back up.
I considered that, and had exactly that for a week or two. I think it is a viable strategy, but you'd want a R1 with a good record of getting on the ground, as you don't want a problem in the first 6-8 weeks.
 
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I've never seen a prospectus, but some of the numbers quoted in it concern me. Are they talking SC scores, or are they talking some sort of rating system? When they released the figures about how the changes in Ruck scoring would affect last years Rucks numbers, the numbers they quoted didn't resemble SC scores at all! Either way, I'm not too concerned about it. He's been around a long time now, and he's had plenty of tags over the years, and still averages 115+ consistently.
The 'statistic' for Selwood quoted in the prospectus is indeed for SC. But the sample size is an issue.
From the 3 of Selwood's games that were labelled a "hard tag" in 2014, Selwood averaged 92.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus

I promise this will be my last question pre-season :eek:

I am playing two set and forget ruckman (x fingers) and a F/R at R3 (currently my choice is Read), but after analyzing the first 10 rounds (please see below) I am seriously considering Frampton as rounds 6-8 with Read give me no loophole!!!

I think I am better off targeting a genuine ruckman upgrade midseason at R3 as a backup and ignoring the R/F combo, as only Lycett and potentially Bellchambers or Lycett jump out at me as options at R3.

Whats your thoughts?

Hi _Slip_,
I think that's a good piece of work. If I was picking an R3 for the purpose of nothing other than using in the Captain's loophole, I would probably favour Frampton over Read. I think we'll find enough non-playing members of our team to use as a loophole tools without picking one specifically for it. I've very rarely had all 30 players playing in Round 3 in a season, let alone beyond. For that reason, I am putting O'Brien in at R3, in case something happen to Sauce, or they just want to give Sauce a break.
 

Rowsus

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The 'statistic' for Selwood quoted in the prospectus is indeed for SC. But the sample size is an issue.
From the 3 of Selwood's games that were labelled a "hard tag" in 2014, Selwood averaged 92.
Thanks for clearing that up Bont. It would be interesting to know the team and opponent in those 3 games, though with not much work, we can work the teams out. As you say, it is a small sample, and as I said, he's been around for a while now, tags are nothing new, and his record speaks for itself.
Two of the greatest sins in SC - trying to find a reason why a proven poor scorer will now score well, and reasons as to why a proven good scorer, will score poorly. Most of the time it leads to tears, and you very rarely get either right!
 
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Well, I've just given away Bugg as my D5, so I guess that reveals my "hardest to find" Def. I have 4 in the $400-$500k bracket including MJ at D2, then Bugg and Goodes at D5/6, and 2 Rookies on the bench.
Hey Rowsus

I think if someone was to go back through all your posts over the last couple of weeks it would pretty much reveal most of your team. At the end of the day we should all pick our own teams partly based on the great tips from Rowsus and KLo30. It just wouldn't be fun otherwise. I'll be going 0.4.4 in defence if four rookies are likely starters. Mini guns & rookies :).
 

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Hey Rowsus

I think if someone was to go back through all your posts over the last couple of weeks it would pretty much reveal most of your team. At the end of the day we should all pick our own teams partly based on the great tips from Rowsus and KLo30. It just wouldn't be fun otherwise. I'll be going 0.4.4 in defence if four rookies are likely starters. Mini guns & rookies :).
Hey Blossoms,
yeah, now that Bugg is out of the bag, they could nearly nail it. But that's ok. I still have a couple of picks that will currently have low %'s of ownership, and to be honest, I can't see too many jumping on the Bugg type selections, just because I have him.
If it's a mini G'n'R Def line, do you mean 4-0-4, rather than 0-4-4. 0-4-4 would be 4 Midpricers and 4 Rookies. Of course it is all open interpretation anyway. Some people count Newnes as a Keeper, some count him as a Midpricer, and nobodies right or wrong about it. It's all up to the individual.
 
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Hi _Slip_,
I think that's a good piece of work. If I was picking an R3 for the purpose of nothing other than using in the Captain's loophole, I would probably favour Frampton over Read. I think we'll find enough non-playing members of our team to use as a loophole tools without picking one specifically for it. I've very rarely had all 30 players playing in Round 3 in a season, let alone beyond. For that reason, I am putting O'Brien in at R3, in case something happen to Sauce, or they just want to give Sauce a break.
Thanks mate... I'm going Frampton he looked good pre-season till he went down with Shins and is due back in 3-4 weeks but already training and if Ryder goes out with Redden's injury history I think he might get a go later. Either way I'm now starting Frampton at R3.
 
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If it's a mini G'n'R Def line, do you mean 4-0-4, rather than 0-4-4.
That is four b/w 400,000 & 500,000 and four sub 150.

The problem I find with selecting a team a this stage is that you can become over committed to a lot of players in your side. Probably better to have priority lists for each line and then make a solid selection when we can actually see the REAL teams. I've never played supercoach before but rookie selection is obviously make or break.
 
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The pricing can be tricky to wrap your head around, until you get used to it. I like Swallow as chance to fill a cheap M8, but he's probably not the one I'd pick for the role you want to use him for. I would use Steven. He's got a great early draw, and when you are taking a risk like this, the cheaper the player you use, as long as you aren't sacrificing quality too much, the better. Judd looks like he is running better than ever, but that can quickly change, plus he still might get nursed now and then, just to get him through the season. Steven has a much better draw than Neale, that's why if I was looking for a sacrificial lamb for Gaz, it would probably be him.
Thanks a heap Rowsus, decision made. I really appreciate the time and effort you put into these responses for everyone.
 
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I'm considering starting a POD as my R2 and i'm keen to hear your thoughts and what average you have them pegged for.

Lobbe (P/A $541,300) - Only if Ryder is suspended.
Pyke (SYD $417,600)
Smith (GC $409,600)
Giles (ESS $396,600) - Only if TBC is suspended.
 
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Hi Rowsus,
In post #3567 you said 'Gibson or Burgoyne look to be the only ones that have SC relevance (I exclude Hodge, as he gets managed and red vested every season), but even their inconsistency scares me.'

Any reason why you don't think Suckling is relevant? Averaged 77 last year coming off his year off, 83 and 91 the previous two seasons.

Thanks!
 
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Hi Rowsus

Interested to know if players generally perform better in a wing role or half-back flank role. It appears KK and Adcock will be moving from hbf to the wing this season and would like to know if recent history suggests it will actually result in an increase in supercoach scoring.

Any help or info you can offer at this late stage of the preseason would be much appreciated!

Cheers
Tom
 
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Hey again Rowsus,

I want your thoughts on this. Teams not starting Ablett may be able to start a six premo mid, for example: Pendles, Fyfe, Selwood, Parker, Dangerfield and Griffen. But if they want to get Ablett when his price drops, they might need to swap Parker to a stepping stone like Jack Steven. Do you think that teams without Ablett that are looking to get him cheaper must have a plan in place, or do you think things could work out alright without a stepping-stone player?

Thanks,
BomberSam.
 
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Hey Alex_26,
I was umming and aahing over him, but decided against risking him. I then read that he is under consideration to take a tagging role while Macaffer is out, and I was even happier I decided against him. Unless he takes a hard tagging role, he probably won't lose Cash, but my gut feel tells me he won't be a "happy" selection either. As you and the boys point out, his DE% can be too low, and I do worry about players that don't get scores to match their possessions. Douglas from Adelaide springs to mind. There can be fewer frustrating Things, than having your value pick have one of his better games, clocking up 30 possessions, and scoring a "measly" 100. Those are the games you need him to get his 130 scores, if he is going to average what you want/need. He's not the worst risk you could take, but he is a bit too risky for mine.
For some crazy reason I keep getting drawn back to TAdams. Rowsus, what ppg average (whole year and/or through to end of bye's) would be a break-even result (factoring potential up-grade trade, cash gen vs a rookie foregone) if taken?
 

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Hey Rowsus, so far I have Goldy locked in my rucks,
Really wanted to know your opinion of having Sam Jacobs this year. I believe he has the highest % of taps going to advantage in the league and with the new rules is he really going to be worth the 620k to get him?
I'm tempted to start Nic Nat as a cheaper option, but who knows what kind of scores we will get with him and he may break down, who knows.
Atleast with having Jacobs I'll be able to have 2 ruckman locked for the year assuming they don't get injured.
Also, not many people are starting Jacobs so I think he could well be worth the risk. Cheers
 

Rowsus

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I'm considering starting a POD as my R2 and i'm keen to hear your thoughts and what average you have them pegged for.

Lobbe (P/A $541,300) - Only if Ryder is suspended.
Pyke (SYD $417,600)
Smith (GC $409,600)
Giles (ESS $396,600) - Only if TBC is suspended.
Lobbe - I like the way he gets involved, and lays lots of tackles. 20 games at 103
Pyke - hit his level, no further improvement left. 19 games at 82
Smith - predicting he might start ok, and drop off. Maybe 17 games at 84, but a low 90's ave early on.
Giles - too hard to predict because of ASADA, but I can't see much value in him.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,
In post #3567 you said 'Gibson or Burgoyne look to be the only ones that have SC relevance (I exclude Hodge, as he gets managed and red vested every season), but even their inconsistency scares me.'

Any reason why you don't think Suckling is relevant? Averaged 77 last year coming off his year off, 83 and 91 the previous two seasons.

Thanks!
Hi DM,
it might be Suckling's turn this year. It nearly seems they take it in turn to have half decent seasons, but I just have no confidence in him. I know some players can take an extra season to get over something like a knee, but I'm just not confident enough that one season with a SC relevant Keeper average in 5 seasons so far will get repeated. He seems to be a lot higher risk than even Hodge, even though we know Hodge will get managed.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus

Interested to know if players generally perform better in a wing role or half-back flank role. It appears KK and Adcock will be moving from hbf to the wing this season and would like to know if recent history suggests it will actually result in an increase in supercoach scoring.

Any help or info you can offer at this late stage of the preseason would be much appreciated!

Cheers
Tom
Hi thommus,
yes, a move from H/B to Wing usually means an increase in SC score.
You are closer to more of the action.
The further up the ground you play, the more likely you are to have score involvements, or actually score a goal yourself. SC Gold.
The less likely you are to play a Lock Down role.
I can't see much downside to a move like that.
 

Rowsus

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Hey again Rowsus,

I want your thoughts on this. Teams not starting Ablett may be able to start a six premo mid, for example: Pendles, Fyfe, Selwood, Parker, Dangerfield and Griffen. But if they want to get Ablett when his price drops, they might need to swap Parker to a stepping stone like Jack Steven. Do you think that teams without Ablett that are looking to get him cheaper must have a plan in place, or do you think things could work out alright without a stepping-stone player?

Thanks,
BomberSam.
Hey again BS,
I think they will have a plan, but I don't think you necessarily have to use a Stepping Stone to do it. I also think there will be many that start without Ablett that will still only have 4 or 5 Mid Prems. You don't have to have/use a player that is increasing in value to target Ablett, though it's good if you can. Most teams start with 12+ Keepers, I'm sure some will just sacrifice a poor performing/injured Keeper to get Ablett, rather than thinking they must have a Stepping Stone player.
 

Rowsus

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For some crazy reason I keep getting drawn back to TAdams. Rowsus, what ppg average (whole year and/or through to end of bye's) would be a break-even result (factoring potential up-grade trade, cash gen vs a rookie foregone) if taken?
If I took him, I would want 92-95 (anything under 90 leaves you feeling flat) so he makes cash as well as points. You can then use him in an upgrade, or use him as M9/F7 cover late in the season.
 
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