Sorry Rowsus as I was not clear in my post with regards to the Lycett scenario. Indeed, Bartel will be turned into a forward premium. However, I was trying to compare running Lycett at F4 as ruck cover versus running a genuine premium at F4 (and losing my ruck cover). Lycett has been underwhelming so far and coupled with a struggling WCE outfit decimated with injuries, I think that he'll be more a 70-75 player which is about 15-20 points lower than what I had hoped at the start of the season. I can turn Lycett into any MID premium, probably Sloane at this stage.
The question that is STILL bugging me is...Mumford or Lycett OUT? Which will benefit my team in the long run? I acknowledged that they both have their pros and cons. I think there's only 3 options available, team link available if you want to have a squiz.
1. Mumford OUT, moving Lycett to R2: Pocket the 170K difference over trading Lycett which allows me to bring in 2 MID premiums by the start of round 8. The points difference from running Mumford v Lycett at R2 is sweetened by the fact I'll have a 6 premiums MID by round 8. I can live with Lycett mediocre score at R2 for the meantime and deal with it as necessary. Obviously, I'm deviating from my initial ruck cover strategy but the potential increased scoring output for my team cannot be ignored.
2. Lycett OUT, leaving Mumford at R2: Lose my ruck cover and running an injury prone R2 with no guarantee of premium output. Lack of funds generated will delay my MID upgrade. Potential positive is Mumford may stay on the park for the season and be a top 3 ruckman saving me a trade in the process, history would suggests that this is unlikely to happen.
3. Stick FAT with Mumford & Lycett: Ignore their performances to date and hope that they will come good eventually. Wait for things to happen rather than 'pre-empting' what will happen.
I must admit that after reading through my options, Option 1 gives my team the greatest potential going forward provided that Lycett delivers on his potential (I'm happy enough with 70-75 as this won't be too far short from other R2 alternatives) and doesn't get axed due to poor form. Thank goodness I already have Goldy at R1 as this is giving me much comfort at the moment.
I've been guilty in that past of sitting back and 'meandering' through the season without going early on those tough bold 50/50 decisions. I've had to deal with Ablett, Rockliff and Bartel so surely something good is just around the corner.
Thinking aloud...Lycett at R2 versus Mumford at R2...risk versus reward...which one has the lowest associated risk?
Lycett: Risk - may continue to underwhelmed or worst gets dropped and needs trading; Reward - 6th MID premium by round 8
Mumford: Risk - injury, lose trade value over the next 3 rounds; Reward - may surprise and stay on the park, top 3 ruckman
I think keeping Mumford will only benefit if I have ruck cover, so I guess this rules out Option 2 from above.
Am I over thinking this whole scenario? You can be honest here...
The question that is STILL bugging me is...Mumford or Lycett OUT? Which will benefit my team in the long run? I acknowledged that they both have their pros and cons. I think there's only 3 options available, team link available if you want to have a squiz.
1. Mumford OUT, moving Lycett to R2: Pocket the 170K difference over trading Lycett which allows me to bring in 2 MID premiums by the start of round 8. The points difference from running Mumford v Lycett at R2 is sweetened by the fact I'll have a 6 premiums MID by round 8. I can live with Lycett mediocre score at R2 for the meantime and deal with it as necessary. Obviously, I'm deviating from my initial ruck cover strategy but the potential increased scoring output for my team cannot be ignored.
2. Lycett OUT, leaving Mumford at R2: Lose my ruck cover and running an injury prone R2 with no guarantee of premium output. Lack of funds generated will delay my MID upgrade. Potential positive is Mumford may stay on the park for the season and be a top 3 ruckman saving me a trade in the process, history would suggests that this is unlikely to happen.
3. Stick FAT with Mumford & Lycett: Ignore their performances to date and hope that they will come good eventually. Wait for things to happen rather than 'pre-empting' what will happen.
I must admit that after reading through my options, Option 1 gives my team the greatest potential going forward provided that Lycett delivers on his potential (I'm happy enough with 70-75 as this won't be too far short from other R2 alternatives) and doesn't get axed due to poor form. Thank goodness I already have Goldy at R1 as this is giving me much comfort at the moment.
I've been guilty in that past of sitting back and 'meandering' through the season without going early on those tough bold 50/50 decisions. I've had to deal with Ablett, Rockliff and Bartel so surely something good is just around the corner.
Thinking aloud...Lycett at R2 versus Mumford at R2...risk versus reward...which one has the lowest associated risk?
Lycett: Risk - may continue to underwhelmed or worst gets dropped and needs trading; Reward - 6th MID premium by round 8
Mumford: Risk - injury, lose trade value over the next 3 rounds; Reward - may surprise and stay on the park, top 3 ruckman
I think keeping Mumford will only benefit if I have ruck cover, so I guess this rules out Option 2 from above.
Am I over thinking this whole scenario? You can be honest here...
i made the initial mistake of picking lycett along with to many others as well