Opinion Questions For Rowsus
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Hi expl0it,
KK is shouldn't be leaking too much cash this week, so he isn't a must fix. I don't like grabbing Whitecross this week, even if it facilitates getting Sloane, that applies to Krakouer as well. We should avoid getting one week Rookies where possible. The Fwds are looking prett hard to chosse between right now, so that leaves Option 1. It turns a hopeful Keeper (Wines) into a should be D1/3, so that seems like a decent swap to me.
KK is shouldn't be leaking too much cash this week, so he isn't a must fix. I don't like grabbing Whitecross this week, even if it facilitates getting Sloane, that applies to Krakouer as well. We should avoid getting one week Rookies where possible. The Fwds are looking prett hard to chosse between right now, so that leaves Option 1. It turns a hopeful Keeper (Wines) into a should be D1/3, so that seems like a decent swap to me.
Hi Rowsus,
Aaron Young.
Was in my team until he didn't make the Round 1 side.
He scored really well last round for his TOG. With WInes out, doesn that open up more game time for him through the mids?
I didn't see the match but don't know where he played. Guessing forward & through the middle maybe.
Would you look at him again as a sneaky inclusion if he scores fairly well against the Hawks?
Aaron Young.
Was in my team until he didn't make the Round 1 side.
He scored really well last round for his TOG. With WInes out, doesn that open up more game time for him through the mids?
I didn't see the match but don't know where he played. Guessing forward & through the middle maybe.
Would you look at him again as a sneaky inclusion if he scores fairly well against the Hawks?
Hi Pro,
I don't like any of the individual bets, but I might make a little "gutless" Dutch bet on the sweet 16.
Something like:
Swan $8.34 @ $12
Pendlebury $10.00 @ $10
Prestia $7.15 @ $14
Selwood $3.71 @ $9
Sloane $4.18 @ $8
Outlay $33.38, Swan, Pendlebury and Prestia return $100, and Selwood or Sloane gets my money back.
In other words, it's like backing Swan, Pendlebury, Prestia at $3 concession, with Selwood/Sloane the "place" section of the bet.
I don't like any of the individual bets, but I might make a little "gutless" Dutch bet on the sweet 16.
Something like:
Swan $8.34 @ $12
Pendlebury $10.00 @ $10
Prestia $7.15 @ $14
Selwood $3.71 @ $9
Sloane $4.18 @ $8
Outlay $33.38, Swan, Pendlebury and Prestia return $100, and Selwood or Sloane gets my money back.
In other words, it's like backing Swan, Pendlebury, Prestia at $3 concession, with Selwood/Sloane the "place" section of the bet.
I can see the idea in the Mumford to Goldy trade, and wouldn't talk anyone out of it. Goldy looks like a near certainty, if he stays fit, to be a Top 2 Ruck. The new Ruck thread I posted might give you something to think about, but don't let it sway you too much!
I'm not sold on McGrath to Krak yet, I hate taking one week Rookies.
I'm not sold on McGrath to Krak yet, I hate taking one week Rookies.
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As you may be aware, I was a big fan of having Young in the lead up to Round 1, and I was quite disappointed when he didn't make the cut. I will be looking at him closely this week, and won't need much of an excuse to bring him in NEXT WEEK. That's the key here. His JS has to be considered a little questionable, given he missed the first 3 games, and has a near 50% vest record last season. I would like to see him selected, and be on the bubble, before I bring him in. I wouldn't say it is crazy, just that it has a pretty decent amont of risk attached. Remember, each trade needs to stand alone as a good idea, and not just be made to facilitate another trade that week. Bartel to Young might turn out to be brilliant, but I just like the safety net of waiting a week. Worst case scenario, he goes missing after round 4, and it's like you used 2 trades just to go Wines to Selwood!
Youngs SC/100%TOG reveal he might be a hidden gem, if he can string a few games together.
2012 12 games at 42.2 SC/100%TOG - 70
2013 3 games at 65.7 SC/100%TOG - 112
2014 14 games at 45.5 SC/100%TOG - 105
2015 1 game at 98.0 SC/100%TOG - 134
He also scored at around 130 for his SC/100%TOG in the NAB this year.
Wines being out might help him a little in the short term, but he will play a different role to Wines, and Young is really no good to us, if he only keeps his spot because Wines is out.
Keeping in mind, that 130 SC/100%TOG is what you are looking for in a M8 Keeper, and 115 is ok for a F6 Keeper, he has to be worth considering if he can get some JS! He only has to play ok this week, and get selected not in the vest next week, and at $245k he's in my team!
Youngs SC/100%TOG reveal he might be a hidden gem, if he can string a few games together.
2012 12 games at 42.2 SC/100%TOG - 70
2013 3 games at 65.7 SC/100%TOG - 112
2014 14 games at 45.5 SC/100%TOG - 105
2015 1 game at 98.0 SC/100%TOG - 134
He also scored at around 130 for his SC/100%TOG in the NAB this year.
Wines being out might help him a little in the short term, but he will play a different role to Wines, and Young is really no good to us, if he only keeps his spot because Wines is out.
Keeping in mind, that 130 SC/100%TOG is what you are looking for in a M8 Keeper, and 115 is ok for a F6 Keeper, he has to be worth considering if he can get some JS! He only has to play ok this week, and get selected not in the vest next week, and at $245k he's in my team!
With Geelong playing game 8, Bartel can possibly be used for loopholing for one week. Just don't miss a good score, because you waited until NeXT week to get the player you wanted, in the hope they'd be $10-$15k cheaper next week!
JPK and Gray would seem to be the obvious choices below $600k, but don't miss the Bont this week, if you like him!
JPK and Gray would seem to be the obvious choices below $600k, but don't miss the Bont this week, if you like him!
Happy to help Slammer,
Swan doesn't look all the way back, but he does look better than last season, and good enough that we can be confident, that if he stays on the park, he'll finish in the top 6 Fwds.
I don't think Dahl or Bont will be affected by Wallis, and it sounds like Wallis will only miss2 weeks anyway.
Swan doesn't look all the way back, but he does look better than last season, and good enough that we can be confident, that if he stays on the park, he'll finish in the top 6 Fwds.
I don't think Dahl or Bont will be affected by Wallis, and it sounds like Wallis will only miss2 weeks anyway.
G'day THCLT,
I've swapped sides on trading Mumford out, but I can understand those that want to do it. I know you've read the new Ruck thread I posted, so you are aware of Mummy's draw opening up. Certainly the way you have layed it out, I would have to say the $170k for a 60 point loss is definitely ok. There would certainly appear to be more doubt on Lycett than Mummy, but if you are confident Mummy won't be Top 3 in the Rucks, then now is the time to trade him out, that's for sure. As I said though, I am going to back his apparantly easy upcoming draw to help him bounce back from last weekss disappointment.
I've swapped sides on trading Mumford out, but I can understand those that want to do it. I know you've read the new Ruck thread I posted, so you are aware of Mummy's draw opening up. Certainly the way you have layed it out, I would have to say the $170k for a 60 point loss is definitely ok. There would certainly appear to be more doubt on Lycett than Mummy, but if you are confident Mummy won't be Top 3 in the Rucks, then now is the time to trade him out, that's for sure. As I said though, I am going to back his apparantly easy upcoming draw to help him bounce back from last weekss disappointment.
Hi dyii,
he's certainly an interesting one, that's for sure. I've watched most of the 2 games he has played, and it seems like at times they are actively looking for him, to get the ball in his hands. A bit like "give it to Motlop, he'll do something creative with it we can't!". He's certainly a POD, as he is in only 2.8% of teams, so that's good. He's averaging 117 in AF, and only 95 in SC, which could be an indicator that his scores might improve, if he keeps his possession count up. His DE is down at 62%, but when your K:H is 5:1, that's not entirely unexpected, even though you'd like it a bit higher. His B/E of 68 means there is little downside to rolling the dice on him. He's 24 and played 70 games, so he's in the breakout zone.
If you were wanting to steer your team away from the masses, I'd say he was worth a punt!
he's certainly an interesting one, that's for sure. I've watched most of the 2 games he has played, and it seems like at times they are actively looking for him, to get the ball in his hands. A bit like "give it to Motlop, he'll do something creative with it we can't!". He's certainly a POD, as he is in only 2.8% of teams, so that's good. He's averaging 117 in AF, and only 95 in SC, which could be an indicator that his scores might improve, if he keeps his possession count up. His DE is down at 62%, but when your K:H is 5:1, that's not entirely unexpected, even though you'd like it a bit higher. His B/E of 68 means there is little downside to rolling the dice on him. He's 24 and played 70 games, so he's in the breakout zone.
If you were wanting to steer your team away from the masses, I'd say he was worth a punt!
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Hi Rowsus,
What is your thoughts on keeping or dumping Malceski. Decided to stick fat with him last week but thought he would do better than another 52 pts, plus I would of gone to Smith but didn't trust him after the concussion. Don't normally like sideways swaps early in the season unless for an injury. Have you seen anything in how he is playing to suggest he won't come good? I think if I don't trade now his price will make it tough to get a quality replacement next week or week after. I haven't used any trades yet so that isn't an issue.
PS good move on Neale, I dumped him for Griffin on Good Friday - ouch - before he had played a game.
cheers
What is your thoughts on keeping or dumping Malceski. Decided to stick fat with him last week but thought he would do better than another 52 pts, plus I would of gone to Smith but didn't trust him after the concussion. Don't normally like sideways swaps early in the season unless for an injury. Have you seen anything in how he is playing to suggest he won't come good? I think if I don't trade now his price will make it tough to get a quality replacement next week or week after. I haven't used any trades yet so that isn't an issue.
PS good move on Neale, I dumped him for Griffin on Good Friday - ouch - before he had played a game.
cheers
Thanks Rowsus...indeed your recent Ruck post does present a compelling case for riding Mumford out. FWIW I'm still confident he'll end up in the top 5 ruck for average. Lycett on the other hand is a different kettle of fish, i feel that i'm giving up too much points to a forward premium. With Bartel gone, i'm of the belief that i need to add more scoring potential to my forward line. Do you think that forgoing ruck cover to attain this is wise move?
I will weigh up further the merits of Mumford vs Lycett out. I must admit that keeping Mumford over Lycett makes my team looks better, abeit Mumford is more likely to miss games.
I will weigh up further the merits of Mumford vs Lycett out. I must admit that keeping Mumford over Lycett makes my team looks better, abeit Mumford is more likely to miss games.
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