Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Sorry Rowsus as I was not clear in my post with regards to the Lycett scenario. Indeed, Bartel will be turned into a forward premium. However, I was trying to compare running Lycett at F4 as ruck cover versus running a genuine premium at F4 (and losing my ruck cover). Lycett has been underwhelming so far and coupled with a struggling WCE outfit decimated with injuries, I think that he'll be more a 70-75 player which is about 15-20 points lower than what I had hoped at the start of the season. I can turn Lycett into any MID premium, probably Sloane at this stage.

The question that is STILL bugging me is...Mumford or Lycett OUT? Which will benefit my team in the long run? I acknowledged that they both have their pros and cons. I think there's only 3 options available, team link available if you want to have a squiz.

1. Mumford OUT, moving Lycett to R2: Pocket the 170K difference over trading Lycett which allows me to bring in 2 MID premiums by the start of round 8. The points difference from running Mumford v Lycett at R2 is sweetened by the fact I'll have a 6 premiums MID by round 8. I can live with Lycett mediocre score at R2 for the meantime and deal with it as necessary. Obviously, I'm deviating from my initial ruck cover strategy but the potential increased scoring output for my team cannot be ignored.

2. Lycett OUT, leaving Mumford at R2: Lose my ruck cover and running an injury prone R2 with no guarantee of premium output. Lack of funds generated will delay my MID upgrade. Potential positive is Mumford may stay on the park for the season and be a top 3 ruckman saving me a trade in the process, history would suggests that this is unlikely to happen.

3. Stick FAT with Mumford & Lycett: Ignore their performances to date and hope that they will come good eventually. Wait for things to happen rather than 'pre-empting' what will happen.

I must admit that after reading through my options, Option 1 gives my team the greatest potential going forward provided that Lycett delivers on his potential (I'm happy enough with 70-75 as this won't be too far short from other R2 alternatives) and doesn't get axed due to poor form. Thank goodness I already have Goldy at R1 as this is giving me much comfort at the moment.

I've been guilty in that past of sitting back and 'meandering' through the season without going early on those tough bold 50/50 decisions. I've had to deal with Ablett, Rockliff and Bartel so surely something good is just around the corner.

Thinking aloud...Lycett at R2 versus Mumford at R2...risk versus reward...which one has the lowest associated risk?

Lycett: Risk - may continue to underwhelmed or worst gets dropped and needs trading; Reward - 6th MID premium by round 8
Mumford: Risk - injury, lose trade value over the next 3 rounds; Reward - may surprise and stay on the park, top 3 ruckman

I think keeping Mumford will only benefit if I have ruck cover, so I guess this rules out Option 2 from above.

Am I over thinking this whole scenario? You can be honest here...
in regards to lycett i wonder if he will score well when darling is back??

i made the initial mistake of picking lycett along with to many others as well
 

Rowsus

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in regards to lycett i wonder if he will score well when darling is back??

i made the initial mistake of picking lycett along with to many others as well
We can't be 100% sure, but my own opinion is, that it will have very little affect on Lycett's scoring.
 
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So i'm back again :rolleyes: My team is linked ----->

I have 240k in the bank and need to trade Bartel out. I can swing Gray back to the forward line, so i can get any midfielder or forward.

Who would be your go to player to bring in at this stage? Sloane, JPK, Hannebery, Watson, The Bont or someone else i don't have?

Secondary question. I also have McGrath in the forward line and Anderson in the midfield. Would it be wise to trade in Gregson (154k and B/E -48) for Anderson or hold? Or maybe Krakouer for McGrath 1 week early or hold?
 
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Rowsus

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So i'm back again :rolleyes: My team is linked ----->

I have 240k in the bank and need to trade Bartel out. I can swing Gray back to the forward line, so i can get any midfielder or forward.

Who would be your go to player to bring in at this stage? Sloane, JPK, Hannebery, Watson, The Bont or someone else i don't have?

Secondary question. I also have McGrath in the forward line and Anderson in the midfield. Would it be wise to trade in Gregson (154k and B/E -48) for Anderson or hold? Or maybe Krakouer for McGrath 1 week early or hold?
I'd probably go Bartel to Sloane. Then wait and see if Lonie plays. If he plays, you've got cover for the week, if he doesn't then maybe McGrath to Krak, if Krak isn't green vested. If Lonie plays, you may as well hold off the second trade until you have more info next week.
Anderson to Gregson is probably less than a 50/50, and I would delay that trade.
 
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I'd probably go Bartel to Sloane. Then wait and see if Lonie plays. If he plays, you've got cover for the week, if he doesn't then maybe McGrath to Krak, if Krak isn't green vested. If Lonie plays, you may as well hold off the second trade until you have more info next week.
Anderson to Gregson is probably less than a 50/50, and I would delay that trade.
Thanks mate, the Sloane Ranger is locked and loaded to trade IN for me now. I was really tossing up between him and Hannebery, so thanks for the affirmation. Will hold off on other trades for now.
 
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Rowsus,
I'm normally all about league but I am ~1200th overall and want to push on and see how high I can get overall.

I have had to rid Ablett, Rocky & also binned Goodes after Rd1.

I now also have Bartel to deal with but have all the rookies I need (I missed Lang tho).

My trade thoughts are Bartel & Salem/Sheed/Anderson out for Motlop & Jack Martin.

I could also potentially get a mid premo in but I am not sure what to do with the other trade then. I have $120k currently.
 
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Hey Rowsus,
http://supercoach.heraldsun.com.au/other_teams/?tid=3788
Strong doubts over my trade plans this week

I have a few options
1. For maximum point generation : Mumford+Wines>Fyfe+Goldstein (40% will go with this)
2. For cash generation and better asset at my disposal during the upgrade/downgrade stage: Wines>Cripps, Anderson>Greyson/Tarrant/Kelly (15% chance)
3. A more balanced approach: Wines>Cripps, Anderson>Smith/Franklin/Motlop/Watson/Murphy (45% chance)

Slightly favouring 3 over 1, think I have too many non-playing rookies in def, mid, fwd atm, thoughts?


Cheers
Prochard
 

Rowsus

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Rowsus,
I'm normally all about league but I am ~1200th overall and want to push on and see how high I can get overall.

I have had to rid Ablett, Rocky & also binned Goodes after Rd1.

I now also have Bartel to deal with but have all the rookies I need (I missed Lang tho).

My trade thoughts are Bartel & Salem/Sheed/Anderson out for Motlop & Jack Martin.

I could also potentially get a mid premo in but I am not sure what to do with the other trade then. I have $120k currently.
Shaahorn, going to Motlop and JMart would probably define your season.
You either lock in one or two cheap POD Keepers, or set of a chain of regrettable events.
Individually I don't mind them as a risk, as a pair, it is probably a step too far. It's too early for desperate Hail Mary shots at climbing the ladder. Looking at it, you are trading out one player that was expected be top 4 in his position, and bringing in 2 players you are hoping will be top 8 or 10 in the same position. Too risky, given your position and goal. I'd try and turn Bartel into a safer Keeper you are happy to have in your team, or if you are really set on a POD, pick just one of those two.

Edit - only 2.2% of us found Lang! :cool: - he's no must have though!
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,
http://supercoach.heraldsun.com.au/other_teams/?tid=3788
Strong doubts over my trade plans this week

I have a few options
1. For maximum point generation : Mumford+Wines>Fyfe+Goldstein (40% will go with this)
2. For cash generation and better asset at my disposal during the upgrade/downgrade stage: Wines>Cripps, Anderson>Greyson/Tarrant/Kelly (15% chance)
3. A more balanced approach: Wines>Cripps, Anderson>Smith/Franklin/Motlop/Watson/Murphy (45% chance)

Slightly favouring 3 over 1, think I have too many non-playing rookies in def, mid, fwd atm, thoughts?


Cheers
Prochard
Hey Pro, congratulations on your good start! :)
I remember looking at your team after Round 1, and being a little surprised at some of your Rookies. I really think you need to start a correction process there, this week, so that would exclude option 1.
The main job of the Rookies is to make money, their second job is score points, their third job is to provide cover. That being the case, I don't think Cripps is your best option. You already have Sinclair, so I would bring in Gregson instead of Cripps. It costs you less, and potentially makes you the same amount. I wouldn't go to option 2, as you risk bringing in another dud Rookie, I think you need to wait for the bubble.
That leaves option 3 with Gregson instead of Cripps for me. As to the second trade, it depends on if you want force a POD, or play it safer.
 
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Hi Zim,
in a situation like this, I think you need to forget what he was, and look at what he is.
You can look back, and say WOW! He went up $75k last week, and I missed it, while nearly everyone else got it!
Or
You can look at what he has become. He is a player under $200k, who has the best B/E in the competition (-94), and has scored 116 and 97 in his last 2 games.
If you didn't know anything about Rounds 1 and 2, and were just entering the competition now, would you even hesitate in trading him in? Of course not! So no, it is nowhere near too late to get him!
As to Griffen. Damned if you do, and damned if you don't. If you are really in doubt as to keep him, or chop him, I think you have to keep him. Siding on the decision that doesn't burn a trade is the best idea, if you really can't decide. Having said that, you could easily decide, nope, enough's enough, out you go. I would temper it by saying you'd need to find a suitable replacement, or Cash him out to a Rookie, don't sideways him to a speculative pick!

..... of course, you could always: Griffen out, Saad up to Mids, Oxley in! :eek:
I've pretty much decided to hold Griffen for now. I feel too guilty trading out a player with potential to turn it around that is not injured. Selecting H.Goddard has paid off though already, I just realised I can move him FWD and trade McGrath for Oxley. It wont cost me the 100K to trade Goddard. I'll see after tonight though as I have McIntosh on the bench. If he scores 100 I'm conflicted again lol
 

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Hi Rowsus, me again!

Thanks a lot for your help so far.

I was just wondering whether you believe that it is worth culling Griffen to either Sloane/Lewis/Selwood/Lewis. I can afford any of these players with cash in the bank.

If so, how would you order these 4 in terms of the best trade-in target for this week. I also plan to pick up one of them next week.

Thanks
 

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Hi Rowsus, me again!

Thanks a lot for your help so far.

I was just wondering whether you believe that it is worth culling Griffen to either Sloane/Lewis/Selwood/Lewis. I can afford any of these players with cash in the bank.

If so, how would you order these 4 in terms of the best trade-in target for this week. I also plan to pick up one of them next week.

Thanks
Hi HoM?
I consider it a bit of a luxury trade, and not something has to be done. While I don't believe Griffen will be the cheap 110 player his Coaches were hoping for, I also don't believe he will lose much Cash, so in that regard, he's not a must fix now proposition.
Still, I can understand Coaches wanting to drop off him. If you decide to jump, my order would be:
Selwood - he burns against Nth, working backwards he has scored 148(SF), 148, 113, 103, 140, 140 - WOW!
Sloane - Only injury will stop him being a top 8 Mid
Lewis - coming off a spike year, way less likely than the other 2 to be top 8
and last of all
Lewis - I don't like Hawthorn Mids!
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way!
 
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Hey Row

Is it better trade in a FD for Goodes instead of N Brown? At least Brown is playing but his scores are similar to Goodes when he's the sub. The remaining cash can be used to upgrade McGrath to the Bont leaving me with around 100k in the kitty.

Edit:
Now that Goodes has been omitted by the dogs he can be this weeks FD down back but now the question remains who replaces McGrath. I can only reach to 397k which doesn't get anybody proven. I could go early on Krakouer or get J Martin who has avg 94 but is still not proven. I feel like my gut is telling me to stick with the original plan and get the Bont. It will negate a lot of teams who have him and I won't miss is decent price rise coming up if he goes well again this week.


Thanks minidee
 
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Rowsus

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Hey Row

Is it better trade in a FD for Goodes instead of N Brown? At least Brown is playing but his scores are similar to Goodes when he's the sub. The remaining cash can be used to upgrade McGrath to the Bont leaving me with around 100k in the kitty.

Edit:
Now that Goodes has been omitted by the dogs he can be this weeks FD down back but now the question remains who replaces McGrath. I can only reach to 397k which doesn't get anybody proven. I could go early on Krakouer or get J Martin who has avg 94 but is still not proven. I feel like my gut is telling me to stick with the original plan and get the Bont. It will negate a lot of teams who have him and I won't miss is decent price rise coming up if he goes well again this week.


Thanks minidee
Hey minidee,
right now, the Bont isn't a must have, but if you think you want him, or he will become a must have, then this is the week to get him. I'd just keep my 2nd trade for now, unless you are facing a donut, and have a good solution to it.
If you trade down to a FD in the coming weeks, I'd use Goodes and not Brown. Trading Brown out won't represent much value. He was chosen because you wanted at least one Rookie on your Def bench you were confident would be there when you need cover. He was really chosen as a Keeper, though not in the usual sense.
 
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Hey minidee,
right now, the Bont isn't a must have, but if you think you want him, or he will become a must have, then this is the week to get him. I'd just keep my 2nd trade for now, unless you are facing a donut, and have a good solution to it.
If you trade down to a FD in the coming weeks, I'd use Goodes and not Brown. Trading Brown out won't represent much value. He was chosen because you wanted at least one Rookie on your Def bench you were confident would be there when you need cover. He was really chosen as a Keeper, though not in the usual sense.
Thanks for the quick response Rowsus. After re-reading my original question I remembered why I got such a low score in VCE english. LOL! What I should have have asked was do I trade in a FD or N Brown and trade out Goodes? I fall just short of reaching the Bont from McGrath so the Goodes trade helps me get there. Also I have Gray in my forward line along with Lonie who I don't have too much confidence with for cover.

Thanks again
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Manikato1 View Post

Hi Rowsus

Thanks for the feedback. For the record this week will be the third week out of four that I eat a doughnut in the forward line. I'm starting to get fat eating them. The list of outs reads like this, Lids suspended then inj, Lambert inj, Bartel concussion and now inj, Bonts inj, Lamb inj and now McGrath inj. I have it over Krispy Cremes in spades when it comes to doughnuts LOL.
Hi Man, happy to help.

That's an extraordinary piece of badluck!
None of them bad picks, just bad luck.
hopefully this is your week for some good luck!
Oh by the way now add Gray to that list...
 

Rowsus

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Thanks for the quick response Rowsus. After re-reading my original question I remembered why I got such a low score in VCE english. LOL! What I should have have asked was do I trade in a FD or N Brown and trade out Goodes? I fall just short of reaching the Bont from McGrath so the Goodes trade helps me get there. Also I have Gray in my forward line along with Lonie who I don't have too much confidence with for cover.

Thanks again
Ahhhhh..... now I understand. If I had to choose between N Brown and a FD now, I'd take the FD.
I don't have much faith in Lonie either, but his score will decide my second trade for the week.
 
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Ahhhhh..... now I understand. If I had to choose between N Brown and a FD now, I'd take the FD.
I don't have much faith in Lonie either, but his score will decide my second trade for the week.
Are you going 1 week early on a cash cow for Lamb Rowsus if Lonie stinks it up?
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,
Have limited my options down to a few
Wines>Fyfe/Sloane, Think Sloane this week and Fyfe as my #1 target after the cows are ready to be culled seem like the best choice
Mumford>Goldstein(Really don't want to worry about rucks anymore, Goldstein is 99% chance to be R1, also think Goldstein's draw is significantly better than Mumford's in the up coming games.)
Or
Anderson>Gregson, Greyson looks like an above average rookie and the value gained here might outweigh the points I lose/cash for not trading Mumford this week.'
So realistically 4 possible combinations here
Thoughts
Cheers
Prochard
Hey Pro,
I'd be Wines to Sloane. Lower ownership, and usually plays more games than Fyfe.
Given the number of non-playing Rookies you've got, I would probably go Gregson. I must admit Mumford to Goldstein would seem to be a headache saver, but I'm just worried you might have bigger headaches if you run out of cash producing Rookies. I guess you could always go Goldy this week, and make 3 of your next 4 trades to bubble boys.
 
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