Opinion Questions For Rowsus

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus;

Last weekend I kept NvB, hoping he'd get a 70-odd to gain a bit of cash (and to sit on the bench if any of my Sunday Mids like Sloane happened to be a late out), unfortunately he went backwards in price; but I've got a bit of cash in the bank so I'm looking for analysis about moving him on.

Last night, I was pretty sure that NvB out was a given, but with news that Richard Douglas is out for 6 weeks, and Rory Sloane is highly likely to be rested, I'm wondering if NvB might have a second wind; with scores around 80+ rather than 40.

Now that I've spoken about who I'm thinking of getting out; here is my trade target: Jack Ziebell. Now when I'm bringing Ziebell in, I'm planning to swing Newnes or Saad into the Middle, and swing Higgins into defence, thereby opening up Def/Mid and Mid/Fwd swing sets. If Ziebell is a good trade in, but I, in light of the situation in Adelaide, keep NvB, then I can trade Goodes out instead.

If I don't go Ziebell in, and I wish to bring in a top of the line premium, with 235k in the bank meaning that I'd have about $520k if I traded NvB out directly. With that, I can get Harley Bennell, who is under consideration, Kieren Jack, who has a massive B/E, Tom Mitchell, whose JS is on about as solid a foundation as Venice. I cannot get Dangerfield (annoyingly about 3k too expensive for a straight swap) or Kennedy (seems to be nicely positioned at about 113 B/E, however he is too expensive for a straight swap.)

If I did decide to get Kennedy, I could use a Goodes - McKenzie or Goodes-Glenn via Higgins and Krakouer to fund the NvB - Kennedy trade; but it is worth trading either of those two rookies in a week early, and which one would you prefer if you had to pick?

Hi Eagling,
I think you need to read the changes this week at Adelaide before you decide. If M Crouch comes in for example, then NvB is probably just going to play the same role he did on the weekend.
I'm not in love with the Ziebell pick, either. Too many problems attached for mine.
I'd be getting JPK, using Glenn, or Bennell, who also come with problems attached!

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus. Do you think the point gain justifies trading a Lumumba or Newnes for a Murphy/Birchall this week?

And if so, who would you a) trade out of the two and b) trade in of the two.

I have been to the footy every week to watch the Prince in action and he is playing a number of roles each week from tagging, to being tagged, to wing to half back. The tagging role against Freo concerned me the most. Newnes isn't great either but at least he is playing the same role as he was penciled for (apart from the one tagging match against Carlton) so I feel there's more room for improvement with him over Lumumba. Having the two of them just makes my defence look weak.

Thanks mate.

Hi ZP, summed up my dilemma and thoughts well. Lumumba is Lumumba, and we were a bit foolish to think the zebra would change stripes in a new team. Newnes has potential to improve, but is getting close to being "untradeable".
I'd grab Murphy, as he seems more reliable and resilient than Birch. As to which to trade out, I am not sure, but I am leaning towards Lumumba right now.

 

[benlions]

Hi ben,
a lot depends on your season goal, and how you are placed. In general terms it's really good to have some Round 12 and 13 bye Rookies to use for trading during the byes. Having said that, don't stall the progressive improvement of your team, just to have some neat by trading during the byes. Keep trading and upgrading, but as we get closer to the byes, keep an eye on who you trade, and who you keep. If you have a choice of trading a Round 11 bye Rookie, or a Round 13 bye Rookie, then trade out the Round 11 bye Rookie.

Thanks for the advice.

A few unforseen trades had to be made secondary to injuries but I will continue to use to upgrade! Sitting just outside top 20,000 which I'm not too happy about considering I was around 8,000 last year with half the effort!

 

[Tamuhawk]

Hi Tam,
I do like the neatness of Salem to Dahlhaus/Bennell in one trade. But I also like turning Newnes into Danger. I'd probably go the Danger route. It generates cash for future trading, and I would be more worried about my Fwd line being "locked" this early, than I would be about starting 3 Def Rookies in the short term, unless you are 100% sure your completed Fwd line is about as close to being right as you can get it.

Thanks Rowsus.

Yeah I do have doubts about my fwd line being "locked" this early, I just didn't know how to put it in words. (Hence my complicated explanation about my dpp mids, sorry if u didn't get it from that haha) Last year I completed my fwd line just b4 the byes... I thought the upside of it was that I would not have to worry about it anymore. The downside of completing it early last year was that I had to miss out on Boomer/Gray as I didn't leave a spot open for them. With that being said I will keep an extra spot up for a fwd in case I miss out on the next boomer/gray. Will do the danger trade and finally be rid of newnes. Here's hoping newnes doesn't start turning it around and pump out 100s for both of our sakes seeing as you are getting rid of him too. Thanks again Rowsus.

 

[whiteTiga2k]

Hi Rowsus

I have used 5 trades, and I'm unsure how many is a lot at this time of the year. I have 2 trades earmarked for this week, and I was wondering what your thoughts were on them.

First trade is pretty simple, Salem to Dangerfield (via Bont to fwd) and that seems pretty easy and I don't think I need to think much about that.

The second trade I'm not so sure, either upgrade Newnes to either Shaw, Pittard or Rance (which would you prefer? or can you name any better?) or, Sheed to Goddard or Bennell, which I will then move to the forward line later on when Hogan, Lonie or Clark are ready to be traded out.

 

[MC's Mix]

Don't mean to hijack the thread from Row, but I have to say that Shaw stands out from those options as being more reliable - he's been the best defender on average over the past 6-7 years. Pittard especially seems more like a flash in the pan for mine.

 

[Blue Dragons]

Hi Mike,
I managed 2,222 this week, so I'm happy with that, but I haven't had one round yet that hasn't been affected by an injured Prem! I can live with that, but burning 5 trades on injuries this early is a bit wearing!

I like the Adamson/Gray option, and it is very similar to what I'll be doing this week. There's enough JS in the other Defs you have to carry Adamson on your Def line, until the opportunity presents itself in the coming weeks to get him in your Mids, and complete a D/M link, and use him as a FD instead of just a loophole.

Thats a solid week good work!

Good option i think i will go with that one. Thanks again.

 

[Bobbie]

Hi Rowsus. Thanks for the previous advice. Hoping you can give me your opinion on Dahlhaus vs Goddard (for Salem)? Do you see both being in the top 8 forwards?

 

[brad182]

Hey Rowsus, what to do with Griffin? A lot of people jumping off him this week being very frustrated with him. I think I should give him another few weeks to see where he's at. Would love your thoughts

 

[Adrenaline]

Hi row
I kept Salem however I will be trading him and I am not sure who to trade in. I am cossidering improving my fwd line structure and bringing in Goddard or the Bont. Goddard has the round 12 bye which suits me ok for now and he has a very good scoring history. He can easily go 105-110. I am a bit concerned he might not get alot of midfield time when Chappy and coonie returns. The Bont is playing more midfield seems to be doing well and he gone up 60k from his original price. I'm not sure of his,scoring potential or 2nd year blues. I was also considering bringing in Salem for Kennedy using lambert. Kennedy is a consistent player likely to be in the top 8 midfielders. What do you think? Is it best to wait and see Goddard or the Bont performances? Or would,you recommend to,fix the forward line as the rookies have less scoring potential. I did consider Dalhaus however I am not sold on him. I appreciate your thoughts row.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus

I have used 5 trades, and I'm unsure how many is a lot at this time of the year. I have 2 trades earmarked for this week, and I was wondering what your thoughts were on them.

First trade is pretty simple, Salem to Dangerfield (via Bont to fwd) and that seems pretty easy and I don't think I need to think much about that.

The second trade I'm not so sure, either upgrade Newnes to either Shaw, Pittard or Rance (which would you prefer? or can you name any better?) or, Sheed to Goddard or Bennell, which I will then move to the forward line later on when Hogan, Lonie or Clark are ready to be traded out.

Don't mean to hijack the thread from Row, but I have to say that Shaw stands out from those options as being more reliable - he's been the best defender on average over the past 6-7 years. Pittard especially seems more like a flash in the pan for mine.

I think your Def line looks a little thin, and Bennell might have made the decision a little easier.
Shaw will likely give you the best average, but has missed games every season, which discounts his value.
Pittard is a risk, but I like the role he's currently playing, and he is value. He does have the potential to be swapping one problem for another though.
Rance is usually just outside the top Defs, and we might have missed half of his seasons good scores already
Murphy R is the other to consider. Will probably average less than Shaw, but will on history, play more games.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way.

 

[Slammer]

G'day Rowsus,

Another poor showing for me this week. Absolute shocking season so far me and with Sloane probably out it doesn't get any better.
Have Newnes and Broadbent struggling for me in backline and still have Wallis on bench.
Thinking I finally need to get Pendles. Apart from Fyfe my mids have been shocking. Selwood, JPK, Sloane
The rookies are outscoring the premos so I have no hope really
Was thinking of downgrading Newnes to McKenzie and upgrading Wallis to Pendles. Not the move I wanted to make as it brings Saad onto the field at D8 (Oxley at D7) with bench of McKenzie and McIntosh.
But it seems with the defensive line so up and down I think its time to just leave it alone. (brought in Hibberd last week - )
Any thoughts?

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus. Thanks for the previous advice. Hoping you can give me your opinion on Dahlhaus vs Goddard (for Salem)? Do you see both being in the top 8 forwards?

Hi Bobbie, always happy to help.
History would say Goddard, but there does seem to be a role shift for him so far this season. It may be temporary, or it may be more or less where he is at as he's getting older. He certainly is, as he himself has said, spending more time playing a Fwd Flank type role.
I saw in another thread, that someone claimed that Dahlhaus starts a season well, but gets tired, and drops off. That was certainly his scoring pattern in 2012 and 2014, but it was the opposite in 2013. He's certainly in the right age and game count area for a break out season.
With Dahlhaus being in a quarter of the teams Goddard is in (3.5% to 14%), and him having more upside, and a massive personel change to dictate his role change, I think I'd go with him. He's riskier than Goddard, but would seem to have a good opportunity to pass Goddard this season.
Potentially they are both top 8 Fwds, and if they miss, I don't think it will be by much.

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Rowsus, what to do with Griffin? A lot of people jumping off him this week being very frustrated with him. I think I should give him another few weeks to see where he's at. Would love your thoughts

Hey brad182,
I don't think he's an urgent fix, but I also don't think he will be an effective M8 this season. He's averaging 100 in wins and 73 in losses so far this season, and there's the problem. 100 is too low, and they won't win enough games. That can quickly change if he throws in 1 or 2 of his monster scores, but it seems his "base" scores between his monsters has dropped, as has the frequency of his monsters.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi row
I kept Salem however I will be trading him and I am not sure who to trade in. I am cossidering improving my fwd line structure and bringing in Goddard or the Bont. Goddard has the round 12 bye which suits me ok for now and he has a very good scoring history. He can easily go 105-110. I am a bit concerned he might not get alot of midfield time when Chappy and coonie returns. The Bont is playing more midfield seems to be doing well and he gone up 60k from his original price. I'm not sure of his,scoring potential or 2nd year blues. I was also considering bringing in Salem for Kennedy using lambert. Kennedy is a consistent player likely to be in the top 8 midfielders. What do you think? Is it best to wait and see Goddard or the Bont performances? Or would,you recommend to,fix the forward line as the rookies have less scoring potential. I did consider Dalhaus however I am not sold on him. I appreciate your thoughts row.

Hi Adrenaline,
I'm not as sold on Goddard going 105+ as you are, but if you think he can do that easily, I wouldn't hesitate, I'd get him asap. From my own point of view, I'd be more likely to grab Kennedy, and get more info on Goddard.

 

[Rowsus]

G'day Rowsus,

Another poor showing for me this week. Absolute shocking season so far me and with Sloane probably out it doesn't get any better.
Have Newnes and Broadbent struggling for me in backline and still have Wallis on bench.
Thinking I finally need to get Pendles. Apart from Fyfe my mids have been shocking. Selwood, JPK, Sloane
The rookies are outscoring the premos so I have no hope really
Was thinking of downgrading Newnes to McKenzie and upgrading Wallis to Pendles. Not the move I wanted to make as it brings Saad onto the field at D8 (Oxley at D7) with bench of McKenzie and McIntosh.
But it seems with the defensive line so up and down I think its time to just leave it alone. (brought in Hibberd last week - )
Any thoughts?

G'day Slammer,
I think it seems like a good plan. I wouldn't worry about having to field Saad for a few weeks. It's very similar to my current plans, Lumumba/Newnes to Adamson, and Lang to Fyfe.

 

[Bobbie]

Hi Bobbie, always happy to help.
History would say Goddard, but there does seem to be a role shift for him so far this season. It may be temporary, or it may be more or less where he is at as he's getting older. He certainly is, as he himself has said, spending more time playing a Fwd Flank type role.
I saw in another thread, that someone claimed that Dahlhaus starts a season well, but gets tired, and drops off. That was certainly his scoring pattern in 2012 and 2014, but it was the opposite in 2013. He's certainly in the right age and game count area for a break out season.
With Dahlhaus being in a quarter of the teams Goddard is in (3.5% to 14%), and him having more upside, and a massive personel change to dictate his role change, I think I'd go with him. He's riskier than Goddard, but would seem to have a good opportunity to pass Goddard this season.
Potentially they are both top 8 Fwds, and if they miss, I don't think it will be by much.

I think I am leaning towards Dahlhaus. I know he has consistently built up his tank and is now at the stage where he can run through the guts. A midfield role has always been his for the taking once he built up his fitness.

Now to throw another option into the mix.....Ziebell? His average is pretty good if you take out his injury affected score. I realise he probably won't be in the top mids come season end but at worst he could make a handy F7/M9.

 

[Rowsus]

I think I am leaning towards Dahlhaus. I know he has consistently built up his tank and is now at the stage where he can run through the guts. A midfield role has always been his for the taking once he built up his fitness.

Now to throw another option into the mix.....Ziebell? His average is pretty good if you take out his injury affected score. I realise he probably won't be in the top mids come season end but at worst he could make a handy F7/M9.

I'm not sure where all the love for Ziebell is coming from this week. Since 2012 his longest game streak is 13. Yes, he has a high ceiling, but he's only had one season with a "useable" average, and misses games so consistently. He's not for me.

 

[Courtesans]

Hey Rowsus,
I like to keep to keep this game simplistic. I occasionally refer to some of the seminal posts that you, Jay and others have posted over the years as to how to play the game. I still refer back to 'Loose Change' and others.

Would you consider, modified to suit today, posting a brief guide to what decisions are paramount. I guess that would be pointed from here on in.

Now that is a big ask, but what really stands out to you? I think cash generation, DPP, get the right premium in, one up one down, no sideways, conserve those trades, etc.

Slainte,

Keith

 

[MrMurdoch]

Hey Rowsus back for my weekly question

Would trading TBC for Paddy Ryder be justified if I see Ryder outscoring TBC by 20-25 points a game?

Cheers
MrM