Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,

Quick question. Am all but locked into Kennedy this week as my mid upgrade, but have really been contemplating the thought of going Boak instead, but only until the round 13 bye. Has such a good draw and has always had the ability to go big but really struggles with the tag. I know Kennedy is perfectly priced and is the safe and prob best option, but wondering whether you have any stats/ideas that support (or don't) going with Boak?

Thanks in advance..
 

THCLT

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Hi Rowsus,

Is having 2 FD's one too many?

Having C Adamson has given me the opportunity to maximise my Rookies D/M bench scoring so thinking of bringing in H Goddard to complete the D/F set with S Higgins.

I'm comfortable at the moment that I have enough cash cows to enable me to upgrade during the MBRs. I will be doing one up and one down trade wise over the next 2 rounds, which would give me a team premium structure of 5-6-2-3 going into Round 8. I would probably hold off on trading until the MBRs with the exception of maybe getting Rockliff when his price has bottom out. I planned on using 6 trades over the MBRs to complete my MID and get in another 2 FWD premiums, leaving me with a team missing 1 DEF and 1 FWD premium and 10-12 trades left. Sounds like a plan?
 
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Hi Rowsus

I have a general trading question.

Many teams (mine included) will have rookies such as Oxley, Saad, McKintosh, CEY, Vandenberg, Miller and possibly Cripps. There are also a few others in the mix but I suspect barring injuries/injury affected scores (which is why Heeney is not included in those just named) many of these rookies will peak in price within a period of 2 or 3 rounds or each other. There is no way you can upgrade or trade that many rookies within 2 or 3 rounds nor is there any guarantee that suitable downgrade rookies will appear at the appropriate time.

I have normally always taken the trade opportunity when a new rookie becomes available and given up the chance to make more $ but not always sure this is the best strategy and especially this year. Any thoughts appreciated.
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,
I like to keep to keep this game simplistic. I occasionally refer to some of the seminal posts that you, Jay and others have posted over the years as to how to play the game. I still refer back to 'Loose Change' and others.

Would you consider, modified to suit today, posting a brief guide to what decisions are paramount. I guess that would be pointed from here on in.

Now that is a big ask, but what really stands out to you? I think cash generation, DPP, get the right premium in, one up one down, no sideways, conserve those trades, etc.

Slainte,

Keith
Hey Courtesans,
you could write volumes on this topic! I will try and keep it short and simple, but I am sure my brevity may cause me to miss some possibly important points.
For those that aren't used to, or adept at, playing SC at a frenetic pace, my two keywords are: Efficiency and Patience.
It's great to read stories of how Jay/Chewy/Dimma traded aggressively, and quickly, to bring about the ultimate glory, but what some fail to see and appreciate is, it took skill, and a smattering of luck. Those that try to emulate such feats without at least some skill level are destined to crash, hard and fast. Looking at the better players trading is very educational, but trying to emulate it is very tricky, a lot trickier than it looks. You wouldn't try and drive your 2005 Astra like Lewis Hamilton drives his F1 Mercedes, and if you do it will only end in tears. Just like driving your car too quickly, one bad decision can usually lead to another, and things quickly spin out of control. You may think you are trading like the better/smarter players, but chances are you are not. Just like the bigger Poker Tournaments see a lot the same players getting through to that last 30 and last table, there are players that regularly get through to the top 1,000 and top 100 in SC. Just like watching and learning in Poker, watch and learn here as much as you can, but play within your limitations, until the lessons are learnt. You can try and do what you see them do, but you will likely run out of trades/poker chips before your season/tournament has reached a satisfactory level.
How do you avoid this?
Efficiency. Side trading is inefficient. Speculating on "value" picks once the season has started is inefficient. Culling a Rookie early to get that Prem you want can be a good idea, but in itself is inefficient. You only get 30 trades. Likely you will burn 4 on corrective trades early, another 6-8 on injury/suspension fixes, that leaves you around 18 trades to fill your team. In a basic one up/one down trading pattern that's 9 upgrades. Given you probably started with 12 - 14 solid Keepers, you can see why so many Coaches get to the end of the season without 22 starting Prems in their team. It's a lot harder to achieve than it appears at the start of each season! You either need luck, and/or to trade efficiently. One bad trade can cause what I call chain trading. That one bad trade can sometimes lead to 3, 4 or even 5 other trades getting burnt trying to fix it. We've all seen it happen to someone we know, I'm sure. As we saw in the trade breakdown. you can't afford to get caught burning one trade after another on the one problem. Learn the downside of every decision, as well as the upside. Too many Coaches get caught looking only at the upside. Have an exit plan! Before you commit to the trade, imagine it goes wrong, and then try to plan how you fix it down the track. If you can't see a fix/exit strategy, then reconsider that trade. Stick to the known, and leave the unknown until you have no choice but to deal with it. This seasons example of that would seem to be the Def line. While it is important to try get each line growing in sync, if you can't see a clear upgrade in your Def line, but you only have say 5 Mid Prems, then get JPK/Selwood/Sloane/Rocky as a safer decision, and choose your Def upgrade when you have more information later on. Every single trade should have a positive side to it. That sounds too simple, right? But time and time and time again, I read on this site, of people talking themselves into a "twofor". They want Pendles, but fall just short of getting him. That's ok, I will trade Abercrombie to Fitch, and that gives me the extra dollars to get Pendles. DON'T DO IT!!!! If the Abercrombie to Fitch trade doesn't stand alone as a good trade, if you wouldn't make that trade if you weren't looking to get Pendles, then don't do it! You are not only burning 2 trades to get Pendles, you are also getting Fitch, and losing Abercrombie. 9 times out of 10, if Abercormbie to Fitch is only done to get Pendles, you will regret losing Abercrombie early, and hate having Fitch clogging up your bench!
Efficiency also applies to dollars, as well as your trades. You will never complete your team if you are paying top dollar for your upgrades. Don't jump on the flavour of the month, because he has just posted 3 120+ scores in his last 4 matches! You will pay too much for him, and he will likely let you down anyway! If you needed to make 9 upgrades at the start of the season, and you are paying $40-50k too much for each upgrade, that's an extra $400-500k you need to raise out of your Rookies. What you need to realise is, that isn't from your great Cash producers like Cripps, that has to come from 10th, 11th and 12th Cash Cows! You will be lucky if the 3 of them make $400k, and that's an extra 3 trades used! Everybody has the Cripps, CEY's etc, you are trying to raise $400k more than everyone else, because you traded inefficiently!
The next thing to learn is patience. If you trade impatiently, you will trade with regret. You will get to the end of the season, and regret 2 or 3 trades you didn't make, but regret 4 or 5 trades you did make! Most regrettable trades are from axing a player too quickly. What you thought was an under-performing Prem, that you traded out a bad price, probably became another Coach's fallen Prem/bargain player, that they picked up cheaply. If you are going to trade out a non-injured, non-suspended Prem, be sure! For the most part, don't do it, unless there is very solid reasoning behind it. Are they carrying a niggle that just won't go away, or has it gone away the week you traded them out? That type of thing can drive you crazy, particularly if you react (over-react?) early in the season. If you're not sure, be patient, and trust your judgement that brought them in to start with. Let me be clear here, I am talking genuine Prems, and better performers, not the Newnes/Lumumba's etc that people label as Prems, because they selected them as potential Keepers at the start of the season! Be patient, give them a chance to do what you thought they would!
The other bit of advice I would give, is grab opportunities, particularly first half of the season Cash Cows on the bubble, when they are there! You can't assume there will be another along in 3 or 4 weeks. It may mean culling a Cow earlier than you liked, but some rules need to be broken some times.
It's an incredibly hard balancing act! I liken it to the Walking events in the Athletics at the Olympics. I once heard the Walking described as a ridiculous contest, like trying to find who can whisper the loudest! You have to hurry, but be patient, and not make rash moves. React quickly, but don't be caught over-reacting. It's an incredibly hard balancing act. It really is a skill to manage Cash production and upgrade trading, efficiently, and patiently. Try to emulate the best, but be prepared to have late season crashes when your trades and Cash run out. Or play a bit slower, a bit more patiently, and possibly get your best result ever, even if you remove any chance of the big prize. Both can be enjoyable, but depending on your make up/personality, the better result will be more satisfying, than trying to play with the big boys, only to crash and burn later.
I will equate this to the young golfer you were/are, and the older wiser golfer you are/will be. The young golfer tries to hit every drive as long as possible, and sees avery par 3 as a hole in one opportunity. The older golfer plays control and position with a lot of his drives, and will play centre of green at a lot of par 3's to avoid the bunkers. The young golfer walks off the course satisfied with those one or two booming drives that found the fairway, and that Birdie on the par 3. He's a little disappointed he shot an 86 though. The older golfer walks off satisfied with his days effort. No Birdies or booming drives today, but he shot a 78. You can choose which golfer/SC Coach you want to be.

Sorry Courtesans, a little longer, and not quite the list you were looking for, but it's probably better to help the newbies, and perennial 30,000 finishers get the tools to help them finish higher/play better/get more enjoyment from the game, than to remind the better players that regularly get top 5,000 how to suck eggs! ;)

If I'm too wide of the mark, just let me know, and I will tackle it again, early next week.
 
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Great post Rowsus - one of the reasons why this thread has had over quarter of a million views :D
 

Bobbie

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Excellent post Rowsus! It has certainly given me food for thought. I have been trying the "patient" approach which is hard given my personality is quite the opposite!

I think the biggest learning for me over the years is not to trade out premiums unless they suffer an LTI. In past years I would have probably sideways traded an under-performing Selwood to the "next big thing" only to regret that trade later.
 
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Yup, brilliant stuff Row. Between you and Court I feel I've locked in some good trades (teams depending!)
 
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Rowsus, is a Sheed to Barlow (only requires 1 trade due to bank) a good idea this round? Sheed B/E ~33, Barlow B/E ~135.

Also I see Hodge as a D1-4 for the season and I currently have him. Should I trade him or hold him? I think I should hold.
 

THCLT

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I will trade Abercrombie to Fitch, and that gives me the extra dollars to get Pendles. DON'T DO IT!!!! If the Abercrombie to Fitch trade doesn't stand alone as a good trade, if you wouldn't make that trade if you weren't looking to get Pendles, then don't do it! You are not only burning 2 trades to get Pendles, you are also getting Fitch, and losing Abercrombie. 9 times out of 10, if Abercormbie to Fitch is only done to get Pendles, you will regret losing Abercrombie early, and hate having Fitch clogging up your bench!
This trade is pure GOLD!
 
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Hey Courtesans,
you could write volumes on this topic! I will try and keep it short and simple, but I am sure my brevity may cause me to miss some possibly important points.
For those that aren't used to, or adept at, playing SC at a frenetic pace, my two keywords are: Efficiency and Patience.
It's great to read stories of how Jay/Chewy/Dimma traded aggressively, and quickly, to bring about the ultimate glory, but what some fail to see and appreciate is, it took skill, and a smattering of luck. Those that try to emulate such feats without at least some skill level are destined to crash, hard and fast. Looking at the better players trading is very educational, but trying to emulate it is very tricky, a lot trickier than it looks. You wouldn't try and drive your 2005 Astra like Lewis Hamilton drives his F1 Mercedes, and if you do it will only end in tears. Just like driving your car too quickly, one bad decision can usually lead to another, and things quickly spin out of control. You may think you are trading like the better/smarter players, but chances are you are not. Just like the bigger Poker Tournaments see a lot the same players getting through to that last 30 and last table, there are players that regularly get through to the top 1,000 and top 100 in SC. Just like watching and learning in Poker, watch and learn here as much as you can, but play within your limitations, until the lessons are learnt. You can try and do what you see them do, but you will likely run out of trades/poker chips before your season/tournament has reached a satisfactory level.
How do you avoid this?
Efficiency. Side trading is inefficient. Speculating on "value" picks once the season has started is inefficient. Culling a Rookie early to get that Prem you want can be a good idea, but in itself is inefficient. You only get 30 trades. Likely you will burn 4 on corrective trades early, another 6-8 on injury/suspension fixes, that leaves you around 18 trades to fill your team. In a basic one up/one down trading pattern that's 9 upgrades. Given you probably started with 12 - 14 solid Keepers, you can see why so many Coaches get to the end of the season without 22 starting Prems in their team. It's a lot harder to achieve than it appears at the start of each season! You either need luck, and/or to trade efficiently. One bad trade can cause what I call chain trading. That one bad trade can sometimes lead to 3, 4 or even 5 other trades getting burnt trying to fix it. We've all seen it happen to someone we know, I'm sure. As we saw in the trade breakdown. you can't afford to get caught burning one trade after another on the one problem. Learn the downside of every decision, as well as the upside. Too many Coaches get caught looking only at the upside. Have an exit plan! Before you commit to the trade, imagine it goes wrong, and then try to plan how you fix it down the track. If you can't see a fix/exit strategy, then reconsider that trade. Stick to the known, and leave the unknown until you have no choice but to deal with it. This seasons example of that would seem to be the Def line. While it is important to try get each line growing in sync, if you can't see a clear upgrade in your Def line, but you only have say 5 Mid Prems, then get JPK/Selwood/Sloane/Rocky as a safer decision, and choose your Def upgrade when you have more information later on. Every single trade should have a positive side to it. That sounds too simple, right? But time and time and time again, I read on this site, of people talking themselves into a "twofor". They want Pendles, but fall just short of getting him. That's ok, I will trade Abercrombie to Fitch, and that gives me the extra dollars to get Pendles. DON'T DO IT!!!! If the Abercrombie to Fitch trade doesn't stand alone as a good trade, if you wouldn't make that trade if you weren't looking to get Pendles, then don't do it! You are not only burning 2 trades to get Pendles, you are also getting Fitch, and losing Abercrombie. 9 times out of 10, if Abercormbie to Fitch is only done to get Pendles, you will regret losing Abercrombie early, and hate having Fitch clogging up your bench!
Efficiency also applies to dollars, as well as your trades. You will never complete your team if you are paying top dollar for your upgrades. Don't jump on the flavour of the month, because he has just posted 3 120+ scores in his last 4 matches! You will pay too much for him, and he will likely let you down anyway! If you needed to make 9 upgrades at the start of the season, and you are paying $40-50k too much for each upgrade, that's an extra $400-500k you need to raise out of your Rookies. What you need to realise is, that isn't from your great Cash producers like Cripps, that has to come from 10th, 11th and 12th Cash Cows! You will be lucky if the 3 of them make $400k, and that's an extra 3 trades used! Everybody has the Cripps, CEY's etc, you are trying to raise $400k more than everyone else, because you traded inefficiently!
The next thing to learn is patience. If you trade impatiently, you will trade with regret. You will get to the end of the season, and regret 2 or 3 trades you didn't make, but regret 4 or 5 trades you did make! Most regrettable trades are from axing a player too quickly. What you thought was an under-performing Prem, that you traded out a bad price, probably became another Coach's fallen Prem/bargain player, that they picked up cheaply. If you are going to trade out a non-injured, non-suspended Prem, be sure! For the most part, don't do it, unless there is very solid reasoning behind it. Are they carrying a niggle that just won't go away, or has it gone away the week you traded them out? That type of thing can drive you crazy, particularly if you react (over-react?) early in the season. If you're not sure, be patient, and trust your judgement that brought them in to start with. Let me be clear here, I am talking genuine Prems, and better performers, not the Newnes/Lumumba's etc that people label as Prems, because they selected them as potential Keepers at the start of the season! Be patient, give them a chance to do what you thought they would!
The other bit of advice I would give, is grab opportunities, particularly first half of the season Cash Cows on the bubble, when they are there! You can't assume there will be another along in 3 or 4 weeks. It may mean culling a Cow earlier than you liked, but some rules need to be broken some times.
It's an incredibly hard balancing act! I liken it to the Walking events in the Athletics at the Olympics. I once heard the Walking described as a ridiculous contest, like trying to find who can whisper the loudest! You have to hurry, but be patient, and not make rash moves. React quickly, but don't be caught over-reacting. It's an incredibly hard balancing act. It really is a skill to manage Cash production and upgrade trading, efficiently, and patiently. Try to emulate the best, but be prepared to have late season crashes when your trades and Cash run out. Or play a bit slower, a bit more patiently, and possibly get your best result ever, even if you remove any chance of the big prize. Both can be enjoyable, but depending on your make up/personality, the better result will be more satisfying, than trying to play with the big boys, only to crash and burn later.
I will equate this to the young golfer you were/are, and the older wiser golfer you are/will be. The young golfer tries to hit every drive as long as possible, and sees avery par 3 as a hole in one opportunity. The older golfer plays control and position with a lot of his drives, and will play centre of green at a lot of par 3's to avoid the bunkers. The young golfer walks off the course satisfied with those one or two booming drives that found the fairway, and that Birdie on the par 3. He's a little disappointed he shot an 86 though. The older golfer walks off satisfied with his days effort. No Birdies or booming drives today, but he shot a 78. You can choose which golfer/SC Coach you want to be.

Sorry Courtesans, a little longer, and not quite the list you were looking for, but it's probably better to help the newbies, and perennial 30,000 finishers get the tools to help them finish higher/play better/get more enjoyment from the game, than to remind the better players that regularly get top 5,000 how to suck eggs! ;)

If I'm too wide of the mark, just let me know, and I will tackle it again, early next week.
Fantastic post Rowsus. Reading it made me really rethink my trades for the week. It's really making me think if Heath Shaw is good value.

Is paying 500k for a defender at this point good value? It's making me think I should be going for someone a little bit less like Birchall, Pittard or even Simpson.

How would you rate Kade Simpson at the moment, and do you think that he would return to premium defender scores? Also, Brodie Smith appears great value too at the moment and I am seriously thinking about him as well, even if he did have a stinker last week.

Would you consider keeping a Newnes for a week or two as Simpson and Smith lower in price due to their high BEs or would you go for consistency and hit the trade button on Heater Shaw or Grant Birchall.

Also, do you think that having 2 premium hawks in my backline (Gibbo and Birchall) is a silly move at this point of the season?
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus back for my weekly question

Would trading TBC for Paddy Ryder be justified if I see Ryder outscoring TBC by 20-25 points a game?

Cheers
MrM
Hey MrM,
22 x 17 = 374 points. (assuming they play 22 games). If you got 374 points improvement out of every trade, you could start planning how you'd spend the $50k right now! Definitely sounds like a trade you should be doing, if that's your opinion. (It's not far off my opinion, either!).
 
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Rowsus I am looking at upgrading to both Mundy and Boak over the next few weeks as POD's (as most seem to be looking at JPK, Hannebery and Danger). What are your thoughts on these two being able to average 115 - 120 from now until the end of year?
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,

Quick question. Am all but locked into Kennedy this week as my mid upgrade, but have really been contemplating the thought of going Boak instead, but only until the round 13 bye. Has such a good draw and has always had the ability to go big but really struggles with the tag. I know Kennedy is perfectly priced and is the safe and prob best option, but wondering whether you have any stats/ideas that support (or don't) going with Boak?

Thanks in advance..
Hey bb,
nope I can't help convince you to do a trade that just looks wrong.
Break it down into individual averages for each player in their next 7 games.
You're obviously of the opinion Kennedy will do ok, so let's mark him at 110/game over those 7 games.
To justify the trade I would want at least a 200 point "advantage". That means Boak needs to average around 140/game!
Yes, he plays: WC, Bris, Rich, Melb, Bull, Geel, Carl - I can see him potentially scoring 3, maybe 4, 140's in that period, but it's hard to see him averaging 140 across the 7 games, to make your plan worthwhile.
If you get less than a 200 advantage it will be a regrettable trade. There is plenty of carnage yet to come this season, I really don't think there is any room to waste trades on Stepping Stones now. They needed to be taken in the pre-season, if at all.
 
Last edited:

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

Is having 2 FD's one too many?

Having C Adamson has given me the opportunity to maximise my Rookies D/M bench scoring so thinking of bringing in H Goddard to complete the D/F set with S Higgins.

I'm comfortable at the moment that I have enough cash cows to enable me to upgrade during the MBRs. I will be doing one up and one down trade wise over the next 2 rounds, which would give me a team premium structure of 5-6-2-3 going into Round 8. I would probably hold off on trading until the MBRs with the exception of maybe getting Rockliff when his price has bottom out. I planned on using 6 trades over the MBRs to complete my MID and get in another 2 FWD premiums, leaving me with a team missing 1 DEF and 1 FWD premium and 10-12 trades left. Sounds like a plan?
Hi THCLT,
I think it's do-able. We're starting to get to that period of the season, where most teams only have around 26 or 27 players selected each week anyway, so why not make use of another non-playing player. My only proviso is, that you are satisfied with cash raising ability outside of these 2 players, AND you are satisfied with the safety and JS of your playing stock, so that you don't face a donut or two, to undo the good work the 2nd FD did for you anyway.
 

THCLT

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Hi THCLT,
I think it's do-able. We're starting to get to that period of the season, where most teams only have around 26 or 27 players selected each week anyway, so why not make use of another non-playing player. My only proviso is, that you are satisfied with cash raising ability outside of these 2 players, AND you are satisfied with the safety and JS of your playing stock, so that you don't face a donut or two, to undo the good work the 2nd FD did for you anyway.
Thanks Rowsus, my reasoning and justification were along similar lines so thanks for the counsel. Injury aside, I do have confidence in the cash generating and JS security of my Rookies stock. The other reason is apart from D McKenzie, there's really no other DEF rookies coming on the scene in the short to immediate future to make them viable trade-ins, hence my thought of why not bring in a FD to complete my D/F swing set which will serve my team well now and give me greater flexibility of switching players towards the later half of the season.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus

I have a general trading question.

Many teams (mine included) will have rookies such as Oxley, Saad, McKintosh, CEY, Vandenberg, Miller and possibly Cripps. There are also a few others in the mix but I suspect barring injuries/injury affected scores (which is why Heeney is not included in those just named) many of these rookies will peak in price within a period of 2 or 3 rounds or each other. There is no way you can upgrade or trade that many rookies within 2 or 3 rounds nor is there any guarantee that suitable downgrade rookies will appear at the appropriate time.

I have normally always taken the trade opportunity when a new rookie becomes available and given up the chance to make more $ but not always sure this is the best strategy and especially this year. Any thoughts appreciated.
Hi Man1,
it's a good point, and every season some of our Rookies "go over the top", and we trade them out after their Price has peaked, and it has started to fall again. That is one of the 2 reasons why it is ok to cull some of them a little short of their peak. The other reason is, you don't want to miss the opportunities like Glenn should represent. It would be crazy to use the excuse that I can't trade Brayshaw to Glenn, because Brayshaw still has $60k or $70k to make before he peaks. The combined cash generation of Brayshaw out early plus Glenn's cash has to be backed as being better than Brayshaw's effort now plus $70k plus some unknown player, you hope turns up later to make you cash. A bird in the hand is the best policy everytime here. It's definitely ok cull early to grab another good Cash cow.
 

Rowsus

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Rowsus, is a Sheed to Barlow (only requires 1 trade due to bank) a good idea this round? Sheed B/E ~33, Barlow B/E ~135.

Also I see Hodge as a D1-4 for the season and I currently have him. Should I trade him or hold him? I think I should hold.
Shaahorn, on the surface it looks ok. Barlow under $500k does seem very well priced, I am just concerned that I read he is carrying amongst other things, a back niggle. It would seem prudent to wait another week. Their B/E's suggest you don't lose anything by waiting. You don't want to bring him in, if he is being restricted by a niggle or three.
If you see Hodge as a D1-4 I would definitely hold him. Anyone you traded in to replace him would probably only score 30 more than the Rookie alternative, so why trade him to make 90 points?
 

Rowsus

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Fantastic post Rowsus. Reading it made me really rethink my trades for the week. It's really making me think if Heath Shaw is good value.

Is paying 500k for a defender at this point good value? It's making me think I should be going for someone a little bit less like Birchall, Pittard or even Simpson.

How would you rate Kade Simpson at the moment, and do you think that he would return to premium defender scores? Also, Brodie Smith appears great value too at the moment and I am seriously thinking about him as well, even if he did have a stinker last week.

Would you consider keeping a Newnes for a week or two as Simpson and Smith lower in price due to their high BEs or would you go for consistency and hit the trade button on Heater Shaw or Grant Birchall.

Also, do you think that having 2 premium hawks in my backline (Gibbo and Birchall) is a silly move at this point of the season?
Thanks w2Tk, it wasn't quite where it was headed when I started it, but I guess it made some good points. :)
The Defs really are a proble this year. Shaw, despite his history of missing games, is looking attractive this season. If we look at his 2012 season, we see that he dropped $50k early on, and I really can't see him maintaining his current $500k price. I think I'd wait for a bit of a dip in his price. Remember, that's a double win, it saves you money, and you miss a disappointing score or two that precipitated that price fall.
Simpson's an interesting one. Is it just a form slump, matching Cartlon's own form? Or has age and Docherty caught up with him? Is there a reason for Smith's slide in the last few weeks, or is it just presenting an opportunity for us non-Smith owners? Certainly Smith's draw is about to open up, so the timing is right to get him, apart from his B/E of 168. It's very possible Smith and Newnes could drop the same amount this week, the difference being that Smith scores a 130, and Newnes a 60, so by waiting you save no money, but lose 70 points. It's also possible Smith coughs up another Spud score, and drops $40k, and becomes nearly a straight swap for Lumumba! Decisions, decisions!
I am worried about Birchall's consistency, but things might be falling into place for him with injuries and suspensions. I certainly wouldn't worry about having 2 Hawks in your backline.
I'd wait, and go Smith next week.
 

Rowsus

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Rowsus I am looking at upgrading to both Mundy and Boak over the next few weeks as POD's (as most seem to be looking at JPK, Hannebery and Danger). What are your thoughts on these two being able to average 115 - 120 from now until the end of year?
Mudflap, I don't like either of them, and it seems like you are trying too hard to squeeze in a POD for POD's sake.
Boak looks like a solid 105/game player, and even though Port have a dream run in the next 7 games, I can't see him turning that into a 115+ season. He's played 160 games now, so anything 110+ would have to be considered a spike season. It's very dangerous trying to predict a spike season!
David "Red Rooster" Mundy has played even more games (215), so that makes it even less likely he will suddenly become a 115+ player. Keep in mind, he is already averaging 126 for this season, and you actually want him to be at least 110 from now if you take him. It would appear you have missed a fair few of his good scores for the season. At nearly 30 years old, and over 200 games, I wouldn't want to back him to suddenly go from a solid 102-107/game history to suddenly spike a 115+ season.
As a side note, Mundy actually is in 320 more teams, and Boak is in 1254 more teams than Hannebery right now anyway!
 
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