The Daniel Wells discussion reminds me of Shaun Higgins version of 2014. Higgins was cut down with injury in 2013 and only played 3 games for the year, with an average game count of 17-18 for the period between 2009-2012. His highest average year was in 2009 where he averaged 89.0 from a total of 17 games, and has established his scoring in the 80-85 mark. He was priced at $254,600 going into 2014 and could be selected as a FWD only from memory. He ended the 2014 season with 20 games at an average of 76.4, the table below provides a summary of his SC scores and prices throughout that season. His average peaked at 87 in round 11 and would've made you a handy profit of $175,500 if you traded him out that round. I did not start with him, but he was not a complete failure for those that did.
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 500"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="width: 48, bgcolor: white"]Round[/TD]
[TD="width: 68, bgcolor: white"]Price[/TD]
[TD="width: 68, bgcolor: white"]Profit[/TD]
[TD="width: 63, bgcolor: white"]SC score[/TD]
[TD="width: 57, bgcolor: white"]SC total[/TD]
[TD="width: 81, bgcolor: white"]SC average[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$254,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$-[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]69 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]69 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]69 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]2[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$254,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$-[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]68 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]137 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]69 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]3[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$254,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$-[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]76 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]213 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]71 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]4[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$281,400 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$26,800 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]115 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]328 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]82 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]5[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$321,200 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$66,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]55 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]383 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]77 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]6[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$343,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$89,000 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]87 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]470 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]78 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]7[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$365,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$111,000 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]125 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]595 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]85 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]8[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$387,800 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$133,200 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]65 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]660 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]83 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]9[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$407,200 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$152,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]BYE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]660 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]83 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]10[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$407,200 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$152,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]104 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]764 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]85 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]11[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$430,100 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$175,500 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]104 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]868 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]87 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]12[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$436,700 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$182,100 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]59 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]927 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]84 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]13[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$439,200 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$184,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]46 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]973 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]81 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]14[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$415,900 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$161,300 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]88 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,061 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]82 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]15[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$392,400 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$137,800 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]79 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,140 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]81 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]16[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$383,400 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$128,800 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]48 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,188 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]79 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]17[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$377,500 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$122,900 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]DNP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,188 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]79 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]18[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$377,500 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$122,900 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]DNP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,188 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]79 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]19[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$377,500 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$122,900 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]56 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,244 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]78 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]20[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$358,300 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$103,700 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]109 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,353 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]80 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]21[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$357,600 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$103,000 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]73 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,426 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]79 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]22[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$368,100 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$113,500 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]56 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,482 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]78 [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]23[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$374,400 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]$119,800 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]47 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]1,529 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: white"]76 [/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
There's a little bit of 'deja vu' with the Daniel Wells situation of this year. He has been cruelled with various injuries over the past 2 years, 7 games in 2014 and 2 games in 2015. The 4 years prior, he played 81 of a possible 88 games for a combined average of 97.0, with 2011 being his highest where he averaged 104.2 from 21 games. When fit, he has shown that he can average 90-95.
So what to expect of Wells in 2016 if fit? I'd say that it's reasonable to expect him to average 80-85 and make you around $150,000 by around the midpoint of the season. I don't think he'll end up being a Keeper in the forward, so you either have to trade him or if he can repeat Higgins feat in 2014, than can be a handy F7/M9 backup towards the later part of the season.