Opinion Questions For Rowsus

[Rowsus]

Hey Row,

Would be keen to hear your thoughts. With Wells out, would you trade or hold him if you had him?

Hey t.t6,
your position is a little different others. A lot comes down to trades left, and available cover.
If your cover is dodgy, you might have to jump, but if your cover is ok, I'd probably be tempted hold him. There's not many we can be confident will average around 100 from here, but if Wells comes back, he could, and save you a trade.
I'm not sure which other Fwd Prems you have, outside of: Martin, Merrett, Montagna and Hall. I'll guess Zorko.
The candidates would appear to be Deledio, or JJK, but to be honest, I'm not sure of either. Deledio is a candidate to miss games, especially if it looks like he needs off season surgery. They might send him off early, so he has more prep time for 2017. JJK may not have many monster games left, looking at his Draw.
I'd try and hold, or look at N Riewoldt. Very risky pick, and it really depends on his legs, and St Kilda's form.
If he can stay fit, he has a Draw where he can potentially go big.
Ess (Eti), Melb (Eti), WB (Eti), Nth (Eti), Carl (MCG), Syd (Eti), Rich (MCG), Bris (Eti).
I hope all your decisions from here are pure gold. Good luck!

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Rowsus; rehashing old ground, but with Cox out, there is another angle to this.

What is the maximum Hannebery can score to allow me to trade Cox to him next week with one trade, knowing that I have $260,400 in the bank - $6,700 away from a straight swap?

Projected to score 98 with a BE of 118. If that occurs he is projected to lose 9.0K. So you are looking at around low 100s.

Hey Eagling,
on KLo30's figures, which I trust without checking, the answer is 102.

 

[Tamuhawk]

Hi Rowsus. Originally I was going to get Hanners & Lycett... however thought of a radical plan.

OPTION A: Keep D7/F7 Cover in Adams
Kerridge & Smith to Lycett (F6) & Hanners (M8)

Bench would be:
DEF: Adams, Collins.
MID: Trengove, Phillips, Joyce
FWD: Rose, Ueber
Leaves roughly 50k to turn Adams into Suckling the week after. Lycett becomes ruck cover. Keeps DPP on all lines.

OPTION B: Go For Broke
Kerridge & Adams to Merrett (F6) & Coniglio (M8)

Bench would be:
DEF: Collins, Joyce
MID: Smith, Trengove, Phillips
FWD: Rose, Ueber
Lose my D7/F7 in Adams and lose M/D dpp as Joyce moves back. No R/F cover. Gain Smith as a valuable M9. Literally $200 leftover with not much cover.

Would like your thoughts if you have time on whether I should stick to my original plan or switch to my new option. Thanks in advance.

 

[lappinitup]

Tamuhawk - in Option A, Lycett would become F6 wouldn't he, not forward cover? He has the potential to swing as ruck cover if you have a r/f in the rucks?

 

[Tamuhawk]

Tamuhawk - in Option A, Lycett would become F6 wouldn't he, not forward cover? He has the potential to swing as ruck cover if you have a r/f in the rucks?

He is F6, what I meant is he would provide ruck cover if goldy/stef go down and Adams/Rose would be the forward cover.

 

[Slammer]

You've been pretty patient with your trades.
Unless you need to trade, to win an important match up, maybe just ride the week out.
If you have to trade, i'd be more inclined to hold Collins, and trade Ruggles.

Cheers mate.
Just realised Wells is still not back so thinking Zorko or ZMerrett ? Cannot make up my mind

 

[Prochard]

Hey rowsus who is the best defence floating donut from now onwards?

 

[KLo30]

Hey rowsus who is the best defence floating donut from now onwards?

Which positions do you want them to float between?

As a pure defender Alex Keath is the best because Adelaide have lastest match times (7,6,5,9,6,9,6) remaining the rest of the year with game 5 their earliest starting time.

 

[Daizy]

Gday Rowsus,
Have been reading this thread for years. Such a massive fan. Have learnt so much about this incredible game that consumes us all from ur knowledge. Thank u mate.
To my question. What are ur thoughts on Tom Mitchell? 6 scores under 100 in his last 8 sandwiched between 178 and a tag 133 on Gaz? I have a finished team with 6 trades. Midfield of :
Danger Gaz Selwood Rocky Parker Shiel Gray Mitchell
72k in the bank. $582k to spend.
Is it a wasted trade to go to Neale or possibly hannerbery?
Possibly the most stuck I've been on a decision this year and really needed to call on the big gun. Thanks mate. Probably won't get to u before tonites game but still valid for next week

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus. Originally I was going to get Hanners & Lycett... however thought of a radical plan.

OPTION A: Keep D7/F7 Cover in Adams
Kerridge & Smith to Lycett (F6) & Hanners (M8)

Bench would be:
DEF: Adams, Collins.
MID: Trengove, Phillips, Joyce
FWD: Rose, Ueber
Leaves roughly 50k to turn Adams into Suckling the week after. Lycett becomes ruck cover. Keeps DPP on all lines.

OPTION B: Go For Broke
Kerridge & Adams to Merrett (F6) & Coniglio (M8)

Bench would be:
DEF: Collins, Joyce
MID: Smith, Trengove, Phillips
FWD: Rose, Ueber
Lose my D7/F7 in Adams and lose M/D dpp as Joyce moves back. No R/F cover. Gain Smith as a valuable M9. Literally $200 leftover with not much cover.

Would like your thoughts if you have time on whether I should stick to my original plan or switch to my new option. Thanks in advance.

Tamuhawk - in Option A, Lycett would become F6 wouldn't he, not forward cover? He has the potential to swing as ruck cover if you have a r/f in the rucks?

He is F6, what I meant is he would provide ruck cover if goldy/stef go down and Adams/Rose would be the forward cover.

Hi Tam,
while I concede option B has the potential to deliver more points than option A, I'm still picking option A.
I'm concerned about Rose's long term JS, and Joyce's as well. Your cover could very quickly become just Collins and Smith. I also like the comfort of having multiple DPP set ups at the end of the season.
B has potential, but something tells me A might be less hair-pulling, and deliver more points in the long run.

 

[Rowsus]

Cheers mate.
Just realised Wells is still not back so thinking Zorko or ZMerrett ? Cannot make up my mind

Zorko (25.4% ownership) for the potential highs, but he's due for a low score or two, or Merrett (16.7%) for the flatter less bumpy ride?

Bris: GC (Met), GWS (Gab), Ess (Eti), Port (Gab), Ade (AO), Carl (Gab), Geel (Gab), StK (Eti)
Ess: StK (Eti), Rich (MCG), Bris (Eti), Ade (AO), Geel (Eti), GC (Eti), WB (Eti), Carl (MCG)

I prefer Essendon's Draw to Brisbane's. I also get the feeling Zorko has a "corrective" low score or two to come yet. combine all that, and add in Merrett is more likely to play pure Mid than Zorko, and Merrett's 109 average at Etihad, with 5 games still to come there, and I'll say Merrett.

 

[Tamuhawk]

Hi Tam,
while I concede option B has the potential to deliver more points than option A, I'm still picking option A.
I'm concerned about Rose's long term JS, and Joyce's as well. Your cover could very quickly become just Collins and Smith. I also like the comfort of having multiple DPP set ups at the end of the season.
B has potential, but something tells me A might be less hair-pulling, and deliver more points in the long run.

Cheers for the word of wisdom Rowsus!

 

[Rowsus]

Hey rowsus who is the best defence floating donut from now onwards?

Which positions do you want them to float between?

As a pure defender Alex Keath is the best because Adelaide have lastest match times (7,6,5,9,6,9,6) remaining the rest of the year with game 5 their earliest starting time.

6.9 - Adelaide - 7, 6, 5, 9, 6, 9, 6, ? - no Def FD options
6.0 - Brisbane - 4, 9, 7, 6, 6, 2, 8, ? - D/F Skinner $117,300 - D/M Clayton $123,900
7.4 - Essendon - 9, 3, 7, 9, 8, 7, 9, ? - none (D/M Francis $198,300)
5.9 - Fremantle - 6, 2, 3, 8, 9, 9, 4, ? - D/F Uebergang $106,900
5.9 - Melbourne - 6, 8, 4, 7, 3, 6, 7, ? - none
6.1 - St Kilda - - 9, 8, 6, 5, 7, 5, 3, ? - none

So it looks like Skinner, Clayton or Uebergang

 

[Rowsus]

Gday Rowsus,
Have been reading this thread for years. Such a massive fan. Have learnt so much about this incredible game that consumes us all from ur knowledge. Thank u mate.
To my question. What are ur thoughts on Tom Mitchell? 6 scores under 100 in his last 8 sandwiched between 178 and a tag 133 on Gaz? I have a finished team with 6 trades. Midfield of :
Danger Gaz Selwood Rocky Parker Shiel Gray Mitchell
72k in the bank. $582k to spend.
Is it a wasted trade to go to Neale or possibly hannerbery?
Possibly the most stuck I've been on a decision this year and really needed to call on the big gun. Thanks mate. Probably won't get to u before tonites game but still valid for next week

G'day Daizy, welcome aboard. Thanks for the good words.
If I was to do it, I'd probably choose Hannebery. He has a more consistent record in the last season and a half than Neale.
If you had 4 or less trades, or an incomplete team, I'd say hold off. But given your situation, and looking at Sydney's Draw, I can see a number of games where Mitchell might be stuck with Run With roles again.
I say do it, just because you have that safety of 6 trades, and a completed team.

 

[KLo30]

Hey Rowsus; rehashing old ground, but with Cox out, there is another angle to this.

What is the maximum Hannebery can score to allow me to trade Cox to him next week with one trade, knowing that I have $260,400 in the bank - $6,700 away from a straight swap?

Projected to score 98 with a BE of 118. If that occurs he is projected to lose 9.0K. So you are looking at around low 100s.

Hey Eagling,
on KLo30's figures, which I trust without checking, the answer is 102.

Of further interest, Hannebery has played Geelong at Geelong on four occasions. His average at Geelong is 72.8 with a highest score of 90 and lowest of 42.

 

[Eagling]

Of further interest, Hannebery has played Geelong at Geelong on four occasions. His average at Geelong is 72.8 with a highest score of 90 and lowest of 42.

Yeah, I was looking at that. I reckon I'm going to hold off for a week; I don't want to ruin my structure to get Hannebery in. I'll go Kerridge-Hannebery if Nankervis gets a game, but otherwise, I think I'll wait a week.

 

[KLo30]

Yeah, I was looking at that. I reckon I'm going to hold off for a week; I don't want to ruin my structure to get Hannebery in. I'll go Kerridge-Hannebery if Nankervis gets a game, but otherwise, I think I'll wait a week.

Kerridge is likely to lose (more) serious coin this week ~$14K, so it's decision time on him with regards to keeper cover or stepping stone to premium.

 

[Eagling]

Kerridge is likely to lose (more) serious coin this week ~$14K, so it's decision time on him with regards to keeper cover or stepping stone to premium.

Yeah, it's a conundrum. I don't mind the idea of keeping Kerridge as bench cover, and I can trade him and get 22 on field, but it throws a spanner in my structure. If Nankervis plays, I can do the trade, keep my structure and avoid a doughnut, but I if I do trade, I'll risk having to play bench players (if they get a game), and risk not being able to play one of my best 22 next week and in rounds to come.

 

[jmack5]

I need your guidance Rowsus!
I just got home from work to see that Rose (my emergency for Wells) scored 31 The only good thing is that I have the E on him, so I'm not locked in to taking his score.
And now to add to that there are rumours Lycett might miss which would cause me to have a donut as I only have the one playing emergency in Rose
If this eventuates I can see myself falling massively in overall ranking, probably outside the top 100!

Currently have $227,800 and 6 trades so have a little bit of flexibility. I was planning on trading Rose to Zorko in a few weeks which would give me 7 forward premiums, but I think those plans are thrown out the window now because of Rose's poor score and the likelihood of him getting dropped next week.
So as I see them, my options are:

A) Trade Wells to Zorko. Basically a straight swap so I still keep my bank. Means if Lycett misses I still have Rose's 31 as emergency.

B) Trade Collins to Howe. Have Uebergang in my forward line so this trade would give me a solid D/F swinger that I could loophole and would provide solid cover for the rest of the season not only in defence and forward but also in my midfield because of M/F DPP. This also gives me Rose's 31 if Lycett is a late out. Cons are that it uses most of my bank and means I'm trading out Collins early before he has a huge price rise (BE of -32). Although with limited trades I was planning on keeping him as cover for the season, so I suppose in that way his price isn't really relevant.

C) Hold trades. Just cop the 31 from Rose and pray that Lycett plays. And then next week when Rose presumably gets dropped or his BE rises, trade him to the best forward available under $475,000 (Buddy, Greene, Boomer, Lynch, etc.). But will Wells even be back next week? Seems like this injury keeps dragging on!

I really value your opinion Rowsus, so please let me know which option you think is the best one for me to take.

EDIT: Just realised that another option could be to go with both options A & B and trade in both Zorko & Howe for Wells & Collins. Leaves me with only 4 trades, but means I wouldn't have to even rely on Rose's 31 if Lycett misses.

 

[Bomber18]

@Jmack

I'd have a read of LITS advice in the games thread. WCE didn't name Giles as an emergency so there's absolutely no way Lycett doesn't play. If there was any doubt, Giles would've been emergency. The rumours have come due to him not training on Monday, so I don't think there's much substance in them.

As for your question, I'd definitely trade Wells to Zorko. Will gain you ~70 points now and probably another 70 points down the track when Wells misses again (you know he will with his history).