Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Slammer · 6 Jul 2016

Hey Rowsus,

Looking at a league win and conserving trades. 11 remaining but with a strange side that consists of fairly good coverage (except for Rucks) but albeit with up and down midpricers or rookies that I have held onto to. Still lacking D6 and F5/F6 premos and don't have Ruck back up now with Currie going down again.
Just wondering what you think is currently my priority in terms of finishing my team as I continue to be concerned of the dreaded GS that is sure to happen in the last couple of home and away rounds. I have been burnt before by not having enough trades for finals.

Fwds are:

Kerridge (F5) & Hutchings (F6)
Bench - Phillips & Tippa

Rucks
I have no back up with Currie going down again

Mids
Libba M8 & Cripps M9
Bench - Petracca, Trengove,

Backs
Ruggles/Collins at D6
Bench T.Cole

Looking at Zorko and/or Merrett to bring in fwds, Boyd or McVeigh down back or go a bit left field in bringing in someone else.
But really confused in which way to go as I do have options.
Do I need to bring in a FD now? I think Phillips and/or Petracca will get dropped/rested this week
Would ideally like to hang onto a Kerridge/Hutchings or a Tippa for decent bench cover as they seem more likely to get a game each week even though that is alot of cash to have on your bench.
I guess my aim this year is to try and time my run for league win by completing my team just before finals with enough trades up my sleeve for GS or luxury trades.
Any suggestions appreciated..

minidee · 6 Jul 2016

Courtesans said:

Thanks Courts. Hasn't translated to a very high ranking though. Not yet anyway...

TopGrizzly · 6 Jul 2016

Hi Rowsus!

Unfortunate weekend with Trengove leaving me with 17 on the field, but I'm feeling confident about future weeks having saved so much cash with your crazy value picks.

I can only see a couple of possible moves this week. With Adams out, I'll probably be trading him (initially was considering him as a keeper).

Bank: 68k
8 trades
Kerridge to Silvagni (bench cover)
Adams to Simpson
Leftover: 193k

Super appreciative of your thoughts as always!

Team: http://supercoach.heraldsun.com.au/afl/classic/other_teams/?tid=140872

d-buzzz · 6 Jul 2016

Goodie's Guns said:

thanks for the suggestion but Mitchell is probably not a good option for me, i already have too many of those almost premiums. i will need to bring dangerfield in but ill save that for league finals and pay whatever he costs at that time.

a_gups · 6 Jul 2016

Hey Rowsus

Im bringing in a D6 and F6 this week, moving on AMT and Petracca. Any stats/recommendations between JJ/McVeigh, and Montagna/JJK?

I like McVeigh's game style but his role sometimes changes week to week which can affect his scoring, and JJ is coming back from a long term injury

Montagna vs JJK is a bit trickier i think since the former should slow down considering the age factor, but still seems to be going well. And JJK has a soft run left in the year but is also a KPP.

Happy to hear other suggestions too! I'll be bringing dahlhaus into my fwd line too once he drops to 400-420k coming back from his injury

Cheers

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

Juzzo said:

Hi Rowsus, I would appreciate some expert thoughts.

4 trades
$17,500

DEF: Shaw, Simpson, Boyd, Rance, Laird, Collins (Lee, Almir)
MIDS: Hanners, Neale, Selwood, Sloane, Ward, Ablett, Rocky, B Crouch, (McVeigh, Trengove, Mathieson)
RUCKS: Gawn, Goldy (Goetz)
FOR: Martin, Montagna, T Lynch, Hall, Lids, Barlol (Phillips, Uber)

Looking at these plans

Round ? (not sure)
Lee/Aliir/Collins to D/M FD Clayton to switch with McVeigh who is currently in mids.

Round 17ish (players will depend on funds, hopefully Dahl)
Trengove and Mathieson to Dahlhaus MF/Motlop MF type and Adelaide M/F FD

This will leave me with a complete backline with hopefully some sort of bench cover.
Complete forward line (Barlol out for a few weeks) with bugger all cover but can swing Dahl from mids with Hall, Martin, Barlow etc. and have Uber to loop.
Crouch as mid cover. Mids not quite complete but with Crouch and Dahl at M8 M9 it will have to do. Probably won't be able to get Danger back in or Pendles.
Rucks complete with no cover anywhere.

Or none of above and hold my 4 trades and possibly cop donuts here and there and only use them for LTIs etc.

Interested in your thoughts.
Thanks.

Hi Juzzo,
I'd go none of the above, and hold your trades. You need to get the maximum value out of them from here, and with no cows mooing, and no major distress happening (pending tonights selections!), I'd just bide my time, and try and get a cow to moo, or only trade where necessary.

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

Monya Meow Meow said:

Bomber18 said:

MrMurdoch said:

Happy to help, MMM.
I agree with B18, given your situation, and the latest NicNat news (possibly back sooner than we think), you need to isolate Lycett in your thinking, and look at him as a Fwd only. If he wasn't R/F, and he was just Fwd, would you still want him? Probably not.
I also think it might be prudent to try and maintain some sort of D/F link, for flexibility/cover. That means riding Adams, or trying to unearth someone. With a budget of $970k it Means taking a compromise, or a hopeful selection. If you are going to do that, it is better compromise/hope in the backline. That being the case, riding Adams (for now), with Collins as cover (for now), is possibly not that much worse than anything any of the current $400-450k Defs might give you. You seem to be keen on Zorko, so maybe just go Kerridge to Zorko this week.
Sorry it isn't anything more exciting or inspiring!

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

d-buzzz said:

Goodie's Guns said:

d-buzzz said:

Hi d-buzzz,
I agree, I wouldn't be strengthening my D9, while I had B Smith at D5/6.
I'd be going Kerridge/Smith to Laird/Rance. You've done well to get here with 10 trades, but it's time to work on a strong starting 22. I know these trades upset some DPP links, but you have tthe time, and the trades, to re-establish them.
T Mitchell is going to give us mixed bags, depending on the role he is given. You might eventually fix him, or do as Goodie's suggested, and get a decent M9, and loophole him. either way, I'd be holding on to him, at least until your 22 is done.

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

freowho said:

Ohhhh if only we were talking about Denmark in W.A., life would be a bit simpler!

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

t.thomas6 said:

Docherty has exceeded our expectations, and by more than what would seem to be a reasonable amount. Looking at his season in a probably far too simplistic way, you get:
Rnds 1 - 6 ........ 6/580 - ave 97
Rnds 7 - 12 ...... 6/743 - ave 124
Rnds 13 - 15 .... 2/197 - ave 99
I would prefer to think of his Rnds 7 - 12 as a mini hot streak, and have an expectation that me might average something in the 93 - 98 area from here. Let's give him say 96, and that would make his season 22/2288, for an average of 104. Still well above most people's expectations, I would think.

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

GoGeta said:

ok, you?
You had good reasons for not having Hall before now, and through his rough patch, you probably felt vindicated in not getting him. I wouldn't let one good game, and one good 4th quarter change your mind now. One game isn't proof he is back, and you must remember Ablett was quietish last week. You can't rely on that every week. I think you'd be better to go Merrett. I hope things are well with you, too.

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

minidee said:

Courtesans said:

minidee said:

mini,
I agree with Courtesans. You've done well to complete a team with so many trades left! I'm sure the Ranking improvements can't be far away!
I don't think there is any problem having 3 Mids from the one team. History has shown us this can work.
2012 is a great example of this. You had Collingwood with Swan, Pendlebury & Beams 2nd, 3rd and 4th in the Mid averages, and Richmond with Deledio, Cotchin and Tuck at 9th, 10th and 11th.

Creeker · 7 Jul 2016

Hey there Row.
Seeking your guidance once again. (just a quick one this time)

Backline consists of Shaw, Boyd, Rance, McVeigh, Laird, Smith. (Collins, Lee.)
Have some coin banked and looking to upgrade Smith with 1 trade.
Basically trying to find the defender who will score the most points on the run home for under 485.8k.
Gibson seems safe but up and down, very keen on Zac Williams. Others considered would be Enright and JJ.

Can you see any other hidden gems out there ?
Thought I had to run this question by you before committing to the trade, your JJK call in 2014 worked so well for me towards the end of that season.
Many thanks mate.

Monya Meow Meow · 7 Jul 2016

Rowsus said:

Thanks for the advice guys, looking likely to give Lycett a miss now and just do the 1 trade to get Zorko in.
In regards to unearthing a D/F player, what are your thoughts on Hipwood who is on the bubble this week? His JS seems OK due to Lions wanting to play the young guys.
My problem with Adams is that while he seems to have a high-ish ceiling, he seems to get injured far too easily and that really beats the purpose of having him as swing cover if he can't stay on the park.
Would I be better off downgrading him to Hipwood, bank the extra cash and play Collins for D6 temporarily until I can upgrade him to Docherty/Boyd? That would mean Hipwood becomes my D7/F7 swingman.
Thanks again!

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

Slammer said:

Hey Slammer,
I think you hold off getting your FD for now. He can be one of the last pieces of the puzzle, or an option when you have no downgrade targets. If you want to hang onto Kerridge, I'd upgrade in the Def line this week. Hutchings is playing North, and North have been conceding some decent Mid scores since Jacobs has been out, even to 3rd and 4th stringers. I'd roll the dice on Hutchings this week.
I think either of Boyd and McVeigh are good options. Boyd has a good run home, with 5 games to come at Etihad, where averaged 106 last season, and 103 this season. Given the way the season has been structured, I think he's only an outside chance to get rested from here. McVeigh has a bit of travelling in his Draw, but he averaged roughly the same interstate last year, as he did at home. He does have 6 small gounds, 1 medium and 1 large ground game to come. Last season his averages were: Sm 13/97, Med 5/106, Lge 2/112 so we can see he prefers larger grounds. Maybe that is the tipping point between him and Boyd, though I think they will both be good picks.

Bomber18 · 7 Jul 2016

Monya Meow Meow said:

Don't really like the Hipwood move. I think it'd be better just keeping Adams. I agree that he's missing far too many games, this is the 3rd time he's out. But in terms of D/F options (which you need desperately), at least Adams has JS which I don't think Hipwood has much of either. You'd hate to get Hipwood and then for him to get dropped. I think it's a lot safer to just roll with Collins for a while and keep Adams for cover.

Rowsus · 7 Jul 2016

TopGrizzly said:

Hi TG,
as can often be the case around this time of the season, it doesn't look like there is a lot of good downgrade options open to us. If you go down the Kerridge to Silvani path, you have to do it with the expectation, that Silvagni will probably be a good chance to be not playing, the week you want him for cover!
Simpson's pretty expensive, for what you are trying to achieve. I'd be looking more at Pittard, Williams and Enright, or even hanging off on Silvagni for a week, and going Adams to Birchall in one trade.
The sneaky value pick in Defence at the moment is Malceski. With Rosa out injured, I can see him filling that role, and getting more Wing/Half Forward time, like he did at Sydney in his good season. The question is, can he make it his role again, and still keep it, when Rosa is back in 3 weeks?

THCLT · 7 Jul 2016

Rowan,

It's going to be about 10 degree Celsius in Melbourne for tonight's game between PTA and HAW. I'm home alone and have 4 PTA players running around, so should I...

1. Get a slab of Carlton Draught OR
2. Go exotic and get a slab of International Beer to keep me company?

XabiFernando · 7 Jul 2016

THCLT said:

I'm not the great man, but i'm reasonably certain that a statistically significant relationship exists between number of players playing and quality of beverage.

TopGrizzly · 7 Jul 2016

Rowsus said:

Hi TG,
as can often be the case around this time of the season, it doesn't look like there is a lot of good downgrade options open to us. If you go down the Kerridge to Silvani path, you have to do it with the expectation, that Silvagni will probably be a good chance to be not playing, the week you want him for cover!
Simpson's pretty expensive, for what you are trying to achieve. I'd be looking more at Pittard, Williams and Enright, or even hanging off on Silvagni for a week, and going Adams to Birchall in one trade.
The sneaky value pick in Defence at the moment is Malceski. With Rosa out injured, I can see him filling that role, and getting more Wing/Half Forward time, like he did at Sydney in his good season. The question is, can he make it his role again, and still keep it, when Rosa is back in 3 weeks?

Some ripper ideas, thanks! I believe that sometimes you need to risk it to get the biscuit, that being said...

Adams to Malceski
Dempsey to Birchall

Thanks again,

TG

Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Slammer

minidee

TopGrizzly

Rookie

d-buzzz

a_gups

Draftee

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Rowsus

Statistician

Creeker

Monya Meow Meow

Rowsus

Statistician

Bomber18

Leadership Group

Rowsus

Statistician

THCLT

BBL|05 Winner

XabiFernando

TopGrizzly

Rookie