Opinion Questions For Rowsus
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Hi Row, my team is far from complete and need some advice for trades this week.
I need to get rid of Kerridge this week but who to bring in is the question, only have 2 targets and that's Zorko or Lycett.
If Lycett, he will be my F6 and ruck cover for the rest of the season but that mean's missing out on Zorko.
If Zorko, Hall will be pushed down to F6 and I will get one of the top scoring forwards but won't have any ruck cover for the season.
Thoughts on which is more critical? Getting a top 6 forward or getting a ruck cover?
Also, I am thinking of upgrading Libba to a proper mid premo and have Neale/Parker in my sights.
Who do you think is a better pick from here on in? I am conscious that the cash saved on Parker could come in handy down the road when I do my final defence upgrade.
Thanks!
I need to get rid of Kerridge this week but who to bring in is the question, only have 2 targets and that's Zorko or Lycett.
If Lycett, he will be my F6 and ruck cover for the rest of the season but that mean's missing out on Zorko.
If Zorko, Hall will be pushed down to F6 and I will get one of the top scoring forwards but won't have any ruck cover for the season.
Thoughts on which is more critical? Getting a top 6 forward or getting a ruck cover?
Also, I am thinking of upgrading Libba to a proper mid premo and have Neale/Parker in my sights.
Who do you think is a better pick from here on in? I am conscious that the cash saved on Parker could come in handy down the road when I do my final defence upgrade.
Thanks!
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I'm not the great man, though the way i'd look at it:
Hanners over Libba will net you around 15 points per game over the remaining 8. So 120 points. Depending on your bench cover, this equates to a single game where you're forced to field a donut. In my opinion, 4 trades over 8 rounds isn't enough to deal with the issues that will arise when finals-bound teams begin resting their stars or if a LTI strikes.
On the other hand, if you think your cover across all lines would be better than those around/infront of you, the extra points from Hannebery could be what delivers the top-100 finish.
Hanners over Libba will net you around 15 points per game over the remaining 8. So 120 points. Depending on your bench cover, this equates to a single game where you're forced to field a donut. In my opinion, 4 trades over 8 rounds isn't enough to deal with the issues that will arise when finals-bound teams begin resting their stars or if a LTI strikes.
On the other hand, if you think your cover across all lines would be better than those around/infront of you, the extra points from Hannebery could be what delivers the top-100 finish.
Hi Rowsus, I would appreciate some expert thoughts.
4 trades
$17,500
DEF: Shaw, Simpson, Boyd, Rance, Laird, Collins (Lee, Almir)
MIDS: Hanners, Neale, Selwood, Sloane, Ward, Ablett, Rocky, B Crouch, (McVeigh, Trengove, Mathieson)
RUCKS: Gawn, Goldy (Goetz)
FOR: Martin, Montagna, T Lynch, Hall, Lids, Barlol (Phillips, Uber)
Looking at these plans
Round ? (not sure)
Lee/Aliir/Collins to D/M FD Clayton to switch with McVeigh who is currently in mids.
Round 17ish (players will depend on funds, hopefully Dahl)
Trengove and Mathieson to Dahlhaus MF/Motlop MF type and Adelaide M/F FD
This will leave me with a complete backline with hopefully some sort of bench cover.
Complete forward line (Barlol out for a few weeks) with bugger all cover but can swing Dahl from mids with Hall, Martin, Barlow etc. and have Uber to loop.
Crouch as mid cover. Mids not quite complete but with Crouch and Dahl at M8 M9 it will have to do. Probably won't be able to get Danger back in or Pendles.
Rucks complete with no cover anywhere.
Or none of above and hold my 4 trades and possibly cop donuts here and there and only use them for LTIs etc.
Interested in your thoughts.
Thanks.
4 trades
$17,500
DEF: Shaw, Simpson, Boyd, Rance, Laird, Collins (Lee, Almir)
MIDS: Hanners, Neale, Selwood, Sloane, Ward, Ablett, Rocky, B Crouch, (McVeigh, Trengove, Mathieson)
RUCKS: Gawn, Goldy (Goetz)
FOR: Martin, Montagna, T Lynch, Hall, Lids, Barlol (Phillips, Uber)
Looking at these plans
Round ? (not sure)
Lee/Aliir/Collins to D/M FD Clayton to switch with McVeigh who is currently in mids.
Round 17ish (players will depend on funds, hopefully Dahl)
Trengove and Mathieson to Dahlhaus MF/Motlop MF type and Adelaide M/F FD
This will leave me with a complete backline with hopefully some sort of bench cover.
Complete forward line (Barlol out for a few weeks) with bugger all cover but can swing Dahl from mids with Hall, Martin, Barlow etc. and have Uber to loop.
Crouch as mid cover. Mids not quite complete but with Crouch and Dahl at M8 M9 it will have to do. Probably won't be able to get Danger back in or Pendles.
Rucks complete with no cover anywhere.
Or none of above and hold my 4 trades and possibly cop donuts here and there and only use them for LTIs etc.
Interested in your thoughts.
Thanks.
Well, it will obviously depend on any other trade you make, which might alter your cash balance. Let's just look at it without worrying about that for now.
Hannebery $546,200 B/E 119
Cox $279,100 B/E 49
To make up $6,700 requires a 6700 / 440 = 16 point difference.
For Cox to get his price $6,700 closer to Hannebery's, he needs to score within 119 - 49 - 16 = 54 points of Hannebery.
I rate him about a 45% chance of achieving this.
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Is it worth trading Libba out?
As I see it, you only really have 3 tradeable players right now. Libba, Kerridge, and Cox.
Libba $487,500 B/E 125, Ave 98, 5 game ave 98
Kerridge $419,500 B/E 116, Ave 84, 5 game ave 82
Cox $279,100 B/E 49, Ave 61, 5 game ave 56
If one of these is going to take a big hit to their value, it would most likely be Kerridge. Even if Wells isn't picked this week, I'd be going Kerridge to Hannebery, via Montagna. If Wells isn't picked, loophole Nankervis and Cox through Wells.
Whether you pull the second trigger, on Libba to Ward (value pick) or Sloane (points pick), comes down to your goal from here. If you are playing for League glory, I'd wait, if you are playing for ranking, I'd jump.
--
As indicated above, the cautious or full steam ahead approach should be determined by your season goal. 9 trades is plenty to keep being aggressive, if ranking is your goal, but should be used with an eye on having 4 or so left for the last 3 or 4 weeks, to support your finals tilt. You are running short of cash cows, as is everyone, so if you want to upgrade your cover, you may need to consider trades like Ward/Parker over Sloane.
Hannebery $546,200 B/E 119
Cox $279,100 B/E 49
To make up $6,700 requires a 6700 / 440 = 16 point difference.
For Cox to get his price $6,700 closer to Hannebery's, he needs to score within 119 - 49 - 16 = 54 points of Hannebery.
I rate him about a 45% chance of achieving this.
---
Is it worth trading Libba out?
As I see it, you only really have 3 tradeable players right now. Libba, Kerridge, and Cox.
Libba $487,500 B/E 125, Ave 98, 5 game ave 98
Kerridge $419,500 B/E 116, Ave 84, 5 game ave 82
Cox $279,100 B/E 49, Ave 61, 5 game ave 56
If one of these is going to take a big hit to their value, it would most likely be Kerridge. Even if Wells isn't picked this week, I'd be going Kerridge to Hannebery, via Montagna. If Wells isn't picked, loophole Nankervis and Cox through Wells.
Whether you pull the second trigger, on Libba to Ward (value pick) or Sloane (points pick), comes down to your goal from here. If you are playing for League glory, I'd wait, if you are playing for ranking, I'd jump.
--
As indicated above, the cautious or full steam ahead approach should be determined by your season goal. 9 trades is plenty to keep being aggressive, if ranking is your goal, but should be used with an eye on having 4 or so left for the last 3 or 4 weeks, to support your finals tilt. You are running short of cash cows, as is everyone, so if you want to upgrade your cover, you may need to consider trades like Ward/Parker over Sloane.
Hey ****,
first let me say, congratulations on HUGE bye period! 844th to 124th is an amazing effort.
Without belittling your effort, a lot (but certainly not all!) of the teams you passed might have planned their bye's poorly, but are now playing you on a more even foot. I think you need to try maintain some aggression. Obviously when we are talking about a top 100 finish, you can't be giving an on field edge to anyone, or they will make you pay. I think you need to finish your starting 22, and I'm guessing, barring some sort of Mid Premium injury run, or a sudden form surge by Libba, there won't be too many teams that finish in the top 100, that are taking Libba's score at M8. Some, but not too many.
I'd make the trade, but tread carefully from here.
Good luck, I hope you get to achieve your goal!
Hi MMM,
there certainly is quite a difference in the prices of the players you are looking at! Depending on trades left, cash generating options, and what your relative opinion of the players involved scoring potential is, you might need to shop smart, over shopping to your wishes.
If we were to ignore the above, I'd say you got here without Ruck cover, go Zorko over Lycett. Depending on who you have sitting at F7, who your Rucks are, and how often you think you might need the cover, Lycett could be the smarter choice. If you think your F7 is worth 65 points, and you'll need the cover twice, then Zorko (assuming he and Lycett play all the remaining games) needs to outscore Lycett by around 16/game to be a better pick. I actually think Lycett can give us something around 95-100 with NicNat out, leaving Zorko to get 111-116 to be a better pick, IF ruck cover is required twice. A tall order, as I believe Zorko might be more 100-105.
There are so many things you need to factor in here, before making your decision. In general, I wouldn't be paying $60,000 extra to get 5/game, if you have other areas that need attention as well. If you think the $60,000 will get you 10/game, then you start to get into an area, where you'd say "Hang it, I will pay the difference!".
Really tough decision, and I probably haven't helped much (sorry), but it's a bit hard to know, without having all the information at hand.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way.
there certainly is quite a difference in the prices of the players you are looking at! Depending on trades left, cash generating options, and what your relative opinion of the players involved scoring potential is, you might need to shop smart, over shopping to your wishes.
If we were to ignore the above, I'd say you got here without Ruck cover, go Zorko over Lycett. Depending on who you have sitting at F7, who your Rucks are, and how often you think you might need the cover, Lycett could be the smarter choice. If you think your F7 is worth 65 points, and you'll need the cover twice, then Zorko (assuming he and Lycett play all the remaining games) needs to outscore Lycett by around 16/game to be a better pick. I actually think Lycett can give us something around 95-100 with NicNat out, leaving Zorko to get 111-116 to be a better pick, IF ruck cover is required twice. A tall order, as I believe Zorko might be more 100-105.
There are so many things you need to factor in here, before making your decision. In general, I wouldn't be paying $60,000 extra to get 5/game, if you have other areas that need attention as well. If you think the $60,000 will get you 10/game, then you start to get into an area, where you'd say "Hang it, I will pay the difference!".
Really tough decision, and I probably haven't helped much (sorry), but it's a bit hard to know, without having all the information at hand.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way.
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Hi MMM,
there certainly is quite a difference in the prices of the players you are looking at! Depending on trades left, cash generating options, and what your relative opinion of the players involved scoring potential is, you might need to shop smart, over shopping to your wishes.
If we were to ignore the above, I'd say you got here without Ruck cover, go Zorko over Lycett. Depending on who you have sitting at F7, who your Rucks are, and how often you think you might need the cover, Lycett could be the smarter choice. If you think your F7 is worth 65 points, and you'll need the cover twice, then Zorko (assuming he and Lycett play all the remaining games) needs to outscore Lycett by around 16/game to be a better pick. I actually think Lycett can give us something around 95-100 with NicNat out, leaving Zorko to get 111-116 to be a better pick, IF ruck cover is required twice. A tall order, as I believe Zorko might be more 100-105.
There are so many things you need to factor in here, before making your decision. In general, I wouldn't be paying $60,000 extra to get 5/game, if you have other areas that need attention as well. If you think the $60,000 will get you 10/game, then you start to get into an area, where you'd say "Hang it, I will pay the difference!".
Really tough decision, and I probably haven't helped much (sorry), but it's a bit hard to know, without having all the information at hand.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way.
there certainly is quite a difference in the prices of the players you are looking at! Depending on trades left, cash generating options, and what your relative opinion of the players involved scoring potential is, you might need to shop smart, over shopping to your wishes.
If we were to ignore the above, I'd say you got here without Ruck cover, go Zorko over Lycett. Depending on who you have sitting at F7, who your Rucks are, and how often you think you might need the cover, Lycett could be the smarter choice. If you think your F7 is worth 65 points, and you'll need the cover twice, then Zorko (assuming he and Lycett play all the remaining games) needs to outscore Lycett by around 16/game to be a better pick. I actually think Lycett can give us something around 95-100 with NicNat out, leaving Zorko to get 111-116 to be a better pick, IF ruck cover is required twice. A tall order, as I believe Zorko might be more 100-105.
There are so many things you need to factor in here, before making your decision. In general, I wouldn't be paying $60,000 extra to get 5/game, if you have other areas that need attention as well. If you think the $60,000 will get you 10/game, then you start to get into an area, where you'd say "Hang it, I will pay the difference!".
Really tough decision, and I probably haven't helped much (sorry), but it's a bit hard to know, without having all the information at hand.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way.
I am happy to keep Libba as M8 for the moment as I think the rest of my midfield is going OK, the forwards and defence is where I need to focus on.
My team is as below:
DEF
Shaw, Simpson, Bartel, Rance, Laird, Collins (Adams/Lee)
MID
Danger, Hanners, Pendles, Gaz, Sloane, Ward, Priddis, Libba (Trengove/Jansen/Phillips)
RUC
Gawn, Goldy (Wyatt)
FWD
Dusty, Merrett, Montagna, Gunston, Hall, Kerridge (Paine/Ueber)
Kerridge and Adams are my main trade out targets this week and I have around $970k to play with if I trade them out.
Obviously I need another defender and another forward, just not sure which combination of players works best?
Lycett at F6 gives me enough to get a Boyd type defender but say one of my rucks misses and Lycett goes up to cover the hole, I am still one forward short as Paine and Ueber are both not playing.
Who would you bring in Row? Thanks!
Big dilemma mate!
Lycett seems to be of no benefit at all to your side it seems as you don't have a solid F7 unfortunately with Adams going down for a while.
I think in your position I'd be strongly considering a D/F for Adams. That way you can use Collins to cover any injuries up forward with your DPP switch. It's a pretty dangerous situation to be in with Paine/Ueber on your forward bench.
They are not the most attractive options but I think Suckers or Howe are your only choices.
Seems like with the pricing you could afford Zorko and Suckers so I think I'd just settle for that combination. Potentially if Suckers is really not working out, you could throw Collins on field or emergency loophole with Lee (if dropped) down the track.
Your other option could be just to get Zorko, hold Adams and play Collins for a few weeks. I don't mind that move either as you save a trade and keep the D/F link which you really badly need. Potentially later you can trade Collins to a better def in two weeks (when his price maximises). If Collins smashes out another 100 as your D6 you'll be laughing! You might only need 2 weeks out of him, and he's done it 2/5 times so with my basic probability knowledge, it's a 40% chance every week
Lycett seems to be of no benefit at all to your side it seems as you don't have a solid F7 unfortunately with Adams going down for a while.
I think in your position I'd be strongly considering a D/F for Adams. That way you can use Collins to cover any injuries up forward with your DPP switch. It's a pretty dangerous situation to be in with Paine/Ueber on your forward bench.
They are not the most attractive options but I think Suckers or Howe are your only choices.
Seems like with the pricing you could afford Zorko and Suckers so I think I'd just settle for that combination. Potentially if Suckers is really not working out, you could throw Collins on field or emergency loophole with Lee (if dropped) down the track.
Your other option could be just to get Zorko, hold Adams and play Collins for a few weeks. I don't mind that move either as you save a trade and keep the D/F link which you really badly need. Potentially later you can trade Collins to a better def in two weeks (when his price maximises). If Collins smashes out another 100 as your D6 you'll be laughing! You might only need 2 weeks out of him, and he's done it 2/5 times so with my basic probability knowledge, it's a 40% chance every week
Thanks again for taking the time to look over my question, Rowsus.
It seems like the general consensus would be to trade Kerridge to Hannebery. I'm beginning to feel like that would be the best option too.
I liked the idea of keeping Kerridge, as supposing someone like Wells missed Rounds 17 & 18. Kerridge might get 160+ points in those two weeks, whereas someone else might have 120-150 points of cover, or have to use a trade. And perhaps Hannebery might be kept around 100ish, and Kerridge might score around 100ish, and Cox might score well enough to facilitate a straight swap next week. But I'm coming around to thinking that I'm risking too much on what-ifs. Hannebery hasn't gone ballistic this season - what if he scores a 170? I reckon I'm going to get him in. Hopefully Cox will score a tonne or two to generate some more cash; and perhaps a straight swap to Dahlhaus @420k could be on the cards, effectively pushing Libba to M9; or a defender, pushing Yeo to M9 in the future.
With the injuries to Fyfe and Beams, we're missing those sort of big scoring targets, so I reckon it is safer to take a gamble or running with a Libba type for awhile.
It seems like the general consensus would be to trade Kerridge to Hannebery. I'm beginning to feel like that would be the best option too.
I liked the idea of keeping Kerridge, as supposing someone like Wells missed Rounds 17 & 18. Kerridge might get 160+ points in those two weeks, whereas someone else might have 120-150 points of cover, or have to use a trade. And perhaps Hannebery might be kept around 100ish, and Kerridge might score around 100ish, and Cox might score well enough to facilitate a straight swap next week. But I'm coming around to thinking that I'm risking too much on what-ifs. Hannebery hasn't gone ballistic this season - what if he scores a 170? I reckon I'm going to get him in. Hopefully Cox will score a tonne or two to generate some more cash; and perhaps a straight swap to Dahlhaus @420k could be on the cards, effectively pushing Libba to M9; or a defender, pushing Yeo to M9 in the future.
With the injuries to Fyfe and Beams, we're missing those sort of big scoring targets, so I reckon it is safer to take a gamble or running with a Libba type for awhile.
Big dilemma mate!
Lycett seems to be of no benefit at all to your side it seems as you don't have a solid F7 unfortunately with Adams going down for a while.
I think in your position I'd be strongly considering a D/F for Adams. That way you can use Collins to cover any injuries up forward with your DPP switch. It's a pretty dangerous situation to be in with Paine/Ueber on your forward bench.
They are not the most attractive options but I think Suckers or Howe are your only choices.
Seems like with the pricing you could afford Zorko and Suckers so I think I'd just settle for that combination. Potentially if Suckers is really not working out, you could throw Collins on field or emergency loophole with Lee (if dropped) down the track.
Your other option could be just to get Zorko, hold Adams and play Collins for a few weeks. I don't mind that move either as you save a trade and keep the D/F link which you really badly need. Potentially later you can trade Collins to a better def in two weeks (when his price maximises). If Collins smashes out another 100 as your D6 you'll be laughing! You might only need 2 weeks out of him, and he's done it 2/5 times so with my basic probability knowledge, it's a 40% chance every week
Lycett seems to be of no benefit at all to your side it seems as you don't have a solid F7 unfortunately with Adams going down for a while.
I think in your position I'd be strongly considering a D/F for Adams. That way you can use Collins to cover any injuries up forward with your DPP switch. It's a pretty dangerous situation to be in with Paine/Ueber on your forward bench.
They are not the most attractive options but I think Suckers or Howe are your only choices.
Seems like with the pricing you could afford Zorko and Suckers so I think I'd just settle for that combination. Potentially if Suckers is really not working out, you could throw Collins on field or emergency loophole with Lee (if dropped) down the track.
Your other option could be just to get Zorko, hold Adams and play Collins for a few weeks. I don't mind that move either as you save a trade and keep the D/F link which you really badly need. Potentially later you can trade Collins to a better def in two weeks (when his price maximises). If Collins smashes out another 100 as your D6 you'll be laughing! You might only need 2 weeks out of him, and he's done it 2/5 times so with my basic probability knowledge, it's a 40% chance every week
Hi Rowsus, appreciate your expert advice on how to go forward with my team.
10 Trades remaining
My team is currently
Shaw, Boyd, Bartel, McVeigh, B.Smith, Collins (Brand) (Joyce)
Pendles, Ablett, Selwood, Rockliff, Sloane, T.Mitchell, Priddis, Libba (R.Davis) (Trengrove) (T Phillips)
Martin, Barlow, Wells, Franklin, Montagna, Hall (Kerridge) (Petracca)
i have a so many players i thought would be keepers but are just not making the cut. looking at trading out Kerridge this week which will leave me with $673,600. I know i will definately need to bring in a defender and i was looking at Laird or Rance (havent decided yet) but both are at the same price so after that trade I will have $197,700 left.
and i need help on what to do with my second trade. I plan on keeping Barlow and hopefully Wells gets named.
my 3 trade out options are: Libba, B Smith or T.Mitchell. I know you still have Mitchell but do you think he is worth keeping?
what do you think the best trade option be for this week?
B Smith > Laird or Rance
Libba/Mitchell > Hannebery or Ward
Im playing for league only if that matters
Thanks
10 Trades remaining
My team is currently
Shaw, Boyd, Bartel, McVeigh, B.Smith, Collins (Brand) (Joyce)
Pendles, Ablett, Selwood, Rockliff, Sloane, T.Mitchell, Priddis, Libba (R.Davis) (Trengrove) (T Phillips)
Martin, Barlow, Wells, Franklin, Montagna, Hall (Kerridge) (Petracca)
i have a so many players i thought would be keepers but are just not making the cut. looking at trading out Kerridge this week which will leave me with $673,600. I know i will definately need to bring in a defender and i was looking at Laird or Rance (havent decided yet) but both are at the same price so after that trade I will have $197,700 left.
and i need help on what to do with my second trade. I plan on keeping Barlow and hopefully Wells gets named.
my 3 trade out options are: Libba, B Smith or T.Mitchell. I know you still have Mitchell but do you think he is worth keeping?
what do you think the best trade option be for this week?
B Smith > Laird or Rance
Libba/Mitchell > Hannebery or Ward
Im playing for league only if that matters
Thanks
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Whilst I'm not Rowsus, one option that sticks out to me for you second trade, which is simply one upgrade would be to trade Davis to Sam Mitchell.
Leaving you with the 9 'premium' quality MIDs, in which you would look to utilise the loophole throughout the remainder of the season.
However, in doing so you are not getting the top end ultra premos in Hanners/Ward/Neale in which may/may not be an issue, in comparison to the advanatges of the loopholing of a quality M9 compared to Davis.
Leaving you with the 9 'premium' quality MIDs, in which you would look to utilise the loophole throughout the remainder of the season.
However, in doing so you are not getting the top end ultra premos in Hanners/Ward/Neale in which may/may not be an issue, in comparison to the advanatges of the loopholing of a quality M9 compared to Davis.
Hi guys,
I'm sorry I've been a bit slow getting to these.
I've had internet problems, that are now fixed (I'm paying for download speed of 80 but was getting 2!
I'm having all sorts of computer problems, but I'm working on finding a replacement to get me through.
Hopefully I will catch up before the first game kicks off.
I'm sorry I've been a bit slow getting to these.
I've had internet problems, that are now fixed (I'm paying for download speed of 80 but was getting 2!
I'm having all sorts of computer problems, but I'm working on finding a replacement to get me through.
Hopefully I will catch up before the first game kicks off.
G
Hows a going?
Haven't asked a question for a long while but i have been following the thread closely.
My question is regarding Aaron Hall for 400k, Never had him or even thought about him until now, GCS have a much softer run coming up with a Hard/Medium/Easy Team split of 2/4/2 or 2/3/3 depending how you look at it.
Is he worth bringing in for that final premo spot or is playing it safe with someone like Merrett a smarter move, ty in advance and hope things are well with you.
Haven't asked a question for a long while but i have been following the thread closely.
My question is regarding Aaron Hall for 400k, Never had him or even thought about him until now, GCS have a much softer run coming up with a Hard/Medium/Easy Team split of 2/4/2 or 2/3/3 depending how you look at it.
Is he worth bringing in for that final premo spot or is playing it safe with someone like Merrett a smarter move, ty in advance and hope things are well with you.
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