Opinion Questions For Rowsus

[Eagling]

Hey Eagling,
I can't give you a specific reason, but I'm a bit wary with Roberton. Has he had his time in the sun, and now he'll drop back to what you used to expect from him? I don't know. Hurley has been super consistent, and we know TMc can get on a run. As I suggested last week, the return of a genuine Ruck really helps him. When Hogan and Watts are both in the team, TMc won't get to go Forward as often, but the other key to him scoring better late last year, was his brothers improvement. His brother is playing even better now, so I'm quite bullish on TMc doing ok from here. I'd choose from TMc and Hurley.



The other part of the equation was "a couple of key Mids", so no, Barlow going isn't enough.

Thanks once again. I did consider starting TMac, and I'll bring him into my side.

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Rowsus,

Which defenders do you think average the most from here? I've got Doch, Adams, Laird and Lloyd, and I'm having trouble splitting Rance, Howe and Roberton. In my mind Rance is #1 but Howe has a bit of a POD factor

Hey dyii,
outside of those you have, I'd be looking at: Howe, Rance, Hurley and T McDonald. As you might have read above, I'm a bit wary of Roberton. Hurley might be the most consistent.

 

[Ricky Bobby]

Hi Row

Could you let me know your thoughts on Lynch (GCS) ? I know we should expect some up and down with KPF's but I didn't sign up for they type of scores he's dished up the past few weeks. He looks down on confidence & form and with another big price drop forecast ths week I'm thinking it might be the last chance I get to cut my losses and shift him to someone else.
My other Fwds are Yeo, Macrae, Dahl, Nank & Heeney (with Greenwood, Ainsworth & DCJ available on the bench). if you think that trading Lynch out is the right call, can you name one or two players worth targeting as a replacement (assume $150k cash available)?

Ps. Earlier this season you steered me away from Tex Walker and that proved to be really good advice - I'm very grateful for that and hoping you can help me out with this decision as well

 

[Snowman]

Hi Row

Could you let me know your thoughts on Lynch (GCS) ? I know we should expect some up and down with KPF's but I didn't sign up for they type of scores he's dished up the past few weeks. He looks down on confidence & form and with another big price drop forecast ths week I'm thinking it might be the last chance I get to cut my losses and shift him to someone else.
My other Fwds are Yeo, Macrae, Dahl, Nank & Heeney (with Greenwood, Ainsworth & DCJ available on the bench). if you think that trading Lynch out is the right call, can you name one or two players worth targeting as a replacement (assume $150k cash available)?

Ps. Earlier this season you steered me away from Tex Walker and that proved to be really good advice - I'm very grateful for that and hoping you can help me out with this decision as well

Your not alone Ricky and I'm going to be most interested to read Rowsus response. Personally I'm tempted to just accept it was a massive error bringing him in,
and treat him like a 400k rookie and downgrade him, take the $ and move on. This however will only really be possible for me if both Selwood and Fyfe get up this week.
Sadly watching Lynch the last 2 weeks he reminds me of a baby giraffe, all arms and legs with no coordination!

 

[freowho]

I'm stuck with Lynch too bit I feel sorry for the young bloke. He's been watching the ball go up the other end of the ground for 7 years and he's now realised he might have to wait another 4 or 5 before it starts landing on his chest. Think I'll just hope Eade gets a redundancy and the caretaker coach says "lets just enjoy our footy".

 

[MrMurdoch]

Hey Rowsus

Would love it if you could share your wisdom in regards to my trading plans.

I have two options:

Option A
This week:
Salem -> Witherden
Lynch -> Rocky

Next week:
Greenwood -> Gawn

- Leaves me with Witherden at D6 for a while
- 2 trades left
- relies on Greenwood being within 195k of Gawn next week, which I think is a good chance

Option B
This week:
Salem -> Birchall

Next week:
Parsons -> Witherden
One of Lynch/Greenwood to Rocky

- Birchall at D6
- 2 trades left
- Lynch/Greenwood at F6

Option A - Witherden 65 + Rocky 115 + Gawn 115 = 295
Option B - Birchall 85 + Rocky 115 + Lynch 85 = 285

Am I wrong in thinking that option A looks better even though it leaves Witherden at D6 for the time being?

 

[Adrenaline]

hi row

i was wondering who is the best midfield player to bring for beams out of tmitch, neale, cripps?

 

[Juzzo]

I think people are selling Lynch a little short. I have watched a lot of GC games over the past couple of years and he is a gun. It has to be a combination of a form slump/confidence and Gold Coast in general not playing fantastic.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Row

Could you let me know your thoughts on Lynch (GCS) ? I know we should expect some up and down with KPF's but I didn't sign up for they type of scores he's dished up the past few weeks. He looks down on confidence & form and with another big price drop forecast ths week I'm thinking it might be the last chance I get to cut my losses and shift him to someone else.
My other Fwds are Yeo, Macrae, Dahl, Nank & Heeney (with Greenwood, Ainsworth & DCJ available on the bench). if you think that trading Lynch out is the right call, can you name one or two players worth targeting as a replacement (assume $150k cash available)?

Ps. Earlier this season you steered me away from Tex Walker and that proved to be really good advice - I'm very grateful for that and hoping you can help me out with this decision as well

Your not alone Ricky and I'm going to be most interested to read Rowsus response. Personally I'm tempted to just accept it was a massive error bringing him in,
and treat him like a 400k rookie and downgrade him, take the $ and move on. This however will only really be possible for me if both Selwood and Fyfe get up this week.
Sadly watching Lynch the last 2 weeks he reminds me of a baby giraffe, all arms and legs with no coordination!

I'm stuck with Lynch too bit I feel sorry for the young bloke. He's been watching the ball go up the other end of the ground for 7 years and he's now realised he might have to wait another 4 or 5 before it starts landing on his chest. Think I'll just hope Eade gets a redundancy and the caretaker coach says "lets just enjoy our footy".

I think people are selling Lynch a little short. I have watched a lot of GC games over the past couple of years and he is a gun. It has to be a combination of a form slump/confidence and Gold Coast in general not playing fantastic.

I'm really disappointed in myself, for trading Lynch back in! (out after Rnd 2, back in Rnd 13). He's averaged 54 in my team, 95 out of it!
I think Lynch doesn't own enough games, from the top of my head, he's had 2 x 140+ scores in his career, where as JJK and NRoo have 3 or 4 a season. Also, his bad games seem worse than those 2 players, too. So not a high enough ceiling, and doesn't reach it often enough. A lower cellar, and visits it too often.
Watching him, he has lost all confidence, and isn't presenting enough, or in the way he should. As much as we malign Eade, his advice to Lynch was spot on, "get on your bike". Start running up the ground more, run at the ball carrier, and keep presenting yourself! His leading has become oblique, where as early in the season he was leading straight. That could be a by-product of his total lack of confidence. Mostly in himself, and partly in his team mates. You can see by the way he's kicking, when he gets the ball, his body language reeks of "I have no idea where this ones going"! There's no cure for it, other than working and playing your way through it. He needs an attitude adjustment, and that's what Eades trying to get across to him. I lay no blame on Eade for this at all, though hind-sight says he shouldn't have been made Captain!
So what to do with him?
That really comes down to: trades left, cash available, and season goal.
He's very close to the same situation as JJ. I believe JJ is now "unfixable" for most people, and you are best putting him at D6, and see if you can loophole him. You need to be in a position of plenty of trades, and/or plenty of cash, to be considering fixing him, and there's not many in that position.
I actually have higher hope for Lynch's scoring from here, than Nank's. I know it's not quite comparing apples with apples, but I've been pushing for 3 or 4 weeks now, for people to either dump Nank, or get him to F7. I know Nank is giving you Ruck cover, but I'd be more tempted to trade Nank, before I traded Lynch!
Personally, I have 2 Selwoods, Beams and Lynch to worry about, and only 3 trades left. If I had a donut I could use on my Fwd line, I would loophole Lynch and Greenwood. For those that can, and are running short of trades, that's my best advice this week. Even if you can't, I think you'd want a complete team, 5 trades and some cash, before you considered fixing Lynch. You probably want 7 trades if you are 1 short of complete, and at least 8, if you are 2 short. I'll be holding Lynch, and my breath, and hoping he comes good.
If you are going to fix him, it has to be this week, or he has little trade value to most of us. RB, I'd be going to Greene, but if you have a set against him, I'd be risking Billings.
Good luck, whatever you decide!

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Rowsus

Would love it if you could share your wisdom in regards to my trading plans.

I have two options:

Option A
This week:
Salem -> Witherden
Lynch -> Rocky

Next week:
Greenwood -> Gawn

- Leaves me with Witherden at D6 for a while
- 2 trades left
- relies on Greenwood being within 195k of Gawn next week, which I think is a good chance

Option B
This week:
Salem -> Birchall

Next week:
Parsons -> Witherden
One of Lynch/Greenwood to Rocky

- Birchall at D6
- 2 trades left
- Lynch/Greenwood at F6

Option A - Witherden 65 + Rocky 115 + Gawn 115 = 295
Option B - Birchall 85 + Rocky 115 + Lynch 85 = 285

Am I wrong in thinking that option A looks better even though it leaves Witherden at D6 for the time being?

Hey MrM,
I think I'd be trying to hang onto Greenwood, if you can, he could be good floating coverage.
"A" probably does look better, with a couple of good points to it, like getting Ryder to your Fwd line, but it does look ugly, with Witherden at D6. In a lot of seasons we end up with a compromise somewhere, and usually D6 is the best place to do it!

 

[Rowsus]

hi row

i was wondering who is the best midfield player to bring for beams out of tmitch, neale, cripps?

Hi Ad,
while Cripps is finding some form, Carlton's Draw gets a bit tougher. Both tmitch and neale can sometimes rack up big numbers, for low SC scores. It's a tough one. Fremantle and Hawthorn both have friendly Draws, but there's no Lyon factor at Hawthorn, and I really expect Ross to pull out some tricks later in the season. Rotating different people through the midfield etc. Mitch just, but no confidence he beats Neale.

 

[Santoz]

Hi Rowsus,

My team is linked below.

Jarrad Waite has probably bottomed out & looking at North's draw they get a look at a few weak teams come the last month of footy. There are obviously risks involved, like injury or being rested for a kid seeing he's 34. North's position on the ladder has me concerned also as they haven't been where they are in years.

If there is one player that is going under the radar that could go on an absolute tear and put a Supercoach team in contention, it's him.

I have Higgins as you may notice and I think his time is nearly due. He hasn't lasted this long into a season without injury this long into his career (pretty much) and also isn't scoring like a F6 should.

I also have Lynch (GC) but I'll be sticking fat with him. Bookmakers still have him thereabouts in the Coleman race despite being a fair way off the lead which says to me that at least they still rate him a chance of finishing solidly from here out. Bookies aren't often foolish with their money as you can porbably attest.

So my question is, do I take the gamble and swap Higgins for my 'under the radar' forward?

 

[Fiasco]

Hi Row,

I just wanted to get your thoughts on Rockliff as a Beams replacement. I've been wanting to get him in all season but the last few weeks has me a bit worried. Do you think he can get back to his best? The other options I'm considering are JPK as he usually finishes the season well and Lachie Neale.

 

[bunlit]

Hi Rowsus,

Would like to know when is the best time to do the Nank to Gawn trade. Have enough cash and trades (6) to do it but am stuck whether to go this week or wait. My calculations have given me about 30 points vs 30k.

Thanks Liam

 

[Cattleherder]

Personally, I have 2 Selwoods, Beams and Lynch to worry about, and only 3 trades left. If I had a donut I could use on my Fwd line, I would loophole Lynch and Greenwood. For those that can, and are running short of trades, that's my best advice this week. Even if you can't, I think you'd want a complete team, 5 trades and some cash, before you considered fixing Lynch. You probably want 7 trades if you are 1 short of complete, and at least 8, if you are 2 short. I'll be holding Lynch, and my breath, and hoping he comes good.
!

Hello Rowsus

Very useful advice here. I have 10 Trades and 3 positions short ( One in DEF, SSelwd in MID and one FWD), 214K cash but cash is a limiting factor in completing my team.

The planned trades are:
RD15:
1. Beams to Pendles (could go Martin but that will mean severe compromises in DEF and FWD choices)
2. Barret to Witherden
RD 16:
3. Sharenberg to Montana ( Montana looks a solid 90's ppg)
4. Parsons to Cox (D_F)
RD 17:
5. SSelwood to Sloan (running out of cash for a better premium)
6. Rookie to Rookie
RD 18:
7. Stewart to FWD premium
Left with 3 trades

My question is: am I trading too conservatively? I see it is taking me 4 extra rounds than you to complete my team, though you have 3 trades to get you through the season from here while I have more of a risk buffer to respond to any carnage. Interested in your thoughts

 

[Eagling]

Hi again Rowsus; what is the % likelihood, in your opinion, that Shai Bolton and Max Gawn will be within $269, 600 difference of each other next week?

 

[jaca]

Hi again Rowsus; what is the % likelihood, in your opinion, that Shai Bolton and Max Gawn will be within $269, 600 difference of each other next week?

I would say slim.

A quick calc from my side says if Gawn scored 90, Bolton would need 180 to make up the difference.

 

[THCLT]

Hi again Rowsus; what is the % likelihood, in your opinion, that Shai Bolton and Max Gawn will be within $269, 600 difference of each other next week?

If Gawn score a 100, Bolton would need to score at least 120.
If Bolton score a 60, Gawn would need to score less than 40.

With the above scenarios, I'd rate the likelihood that Bolton's price will be within $269,600 of Gawn's price after this round at <1%.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Santoz,
upside scenario - Higgins gets injured this week, or soon, or averages low 80's from here. Waite gets on a tear and averages 110+
downside scenario - Higgins plays the season out, and averages 100 from here, and Waite goes missing.
Even though they are miles apart, both scenarios seem possible. One thing for certain, Waite has more upside, and history, of getting on a streak than Higgins. I'd only being doing it, if you feel you need to pull a leftfield move, to keep your interest in the season alive. Sometimes it can feel like we can coast through the last part of the season, and lose a little interest, as we haven't quite achieved what we wanted. If your season is in danger of this, I say go for it. If not, it looks potentially a risk too far, unless you have about 6+ trades left, and a completed team, that will let you correct it, if it quickly goes off the rails.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Row,

I just wanted to get your thoughts on Rockliff as a Beams replacement. I've been wanting to get him in all season but the last few weeks has me a bit worried. Do you think he can get back to his best? The other options I'm considering are JPK as he usually finishes the season well and Lachie Neale.

Hi Fiasco,
amazingly enough, Rocky and Beams have only played about 8 or 10 games together, where both could be considered fit and firing. That means we still don't really know how one affects the other yet, properly. If Rocky says fit, I will back him to get back to his high scoring best. It just seems that is potentially a big "if" with him these days though. He does have a REALLY big B/E of 172, so if you can wait a week, and get more info, I would.Otherwise, if you want to a high reward POD that comes with some risk attached, I say get him in now.