Opinion Questions For Rowsus

[Adrenaline]

thanks row for your advice last week. absoultely nailed it. i picked up walters instead of rocky and it has paid off so far. its still a long seaon. a similar question to last week, i was hoping to bring in another forward this week. i was reviewing boak, hogan and buddy. buddy is under an injury cloud and his bye isnt great. hogan scores really well when he kicks goals. he seems to have gone to a new level and i am not sure he can sustain it. in saying that melbourne has an ok run from here on. boak plays 8 out of 12 games in adelaide. who is your preference out of the three or would you suggest someone else?

thanks

 

[anfa18]

Hey again Rowsus! I believe you're somewhat a fan of slingshotting through the byes. I have 3 slingshot trades in mind and i'm not sure which (if any) have the best value.

Round 12: Fyfe (suspended) to Westhoff/Gray. With the intention of trading Holman to Fyfe after round 14.

Round 13: Stefan Martin to Nic Nat. Hopeful Nic Nat's TOG remains at 75%+.

Round 14: Dusty to Oliver/Gaff. Due to Dusty somewhat slowly turning into a list clogger. Something has changed for him whether he's playing with an injury, different role to last season, only recording 11 tackles in his last 9 games or was 2017 a spike year for him? Something seems off to me.


I'm currently ranked 1,505, have 14 trades and 180k in the bank. Any thoughts or ideas would be appreciated.

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Rowsus, do your reckon your sentiment on Tom Rockliff has changed after witnessing his game against Hawthorn? would you attribute such performance to variance or a more fundamental change. His price tag and bye look incredibly appealing and is still seemingly playing a decent chunk of midfield minutes.

Hey Steuby,
I think Rocky is a great candidate to sit at M9, and loophole him where possible. Not everybody can afford the cash, or trade, to make that happen though.
I wouldn't be trading him in right now, if the plan was for him to be your final M8, unless you are struggling to fill your team, and you need to take some value risks, to get the job done. I'm sure he has some good scores left in him, but unfortunately, it would seem he will be unreliable, and serve up a bit of poison, too.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus,
my concern is Tom McDonald. I was planning to trade him in (to compliment my Def/Fwds Sicily and Keeffe), but I am not sure if he will replace Lever. if so, then I would expect his SC scoring to drop and then be not worth trading in.
Since you are a Melbourne supporter, I thought I would....
Go right to the source
And ask the horse
He'll give you the answer that you'll endorse
He's always on a steady course

Hi Bermi,
just let me put my Wilbur Post hat on.
(As an aside, when we were around 18, and going to the footy and drinking lots, if someone hit the post, we'd always exclaim "He hit the Wibur!")
I was a little surprised when we recruited Lever, because the one thing we had, was tall Defs. Then we also drafted one. I would say that Goodwin is completely happy with our Forward line structure, and there is no way he is going to mess with it. Keeping in mind, TMac has made some short trips to Defence in the past few games, they were only short. I would say the chances of TMac replacing Lever is about 2%, and around a 70% chance it is Frost.

 

[Rowsus]

Right again Rows..Nice work! Ha Ha... Always the way.
Brought Smith and Rocky in for ZGL and Kelly.... What a disaster...
Just wondering if it is worth considering TLynch. Are you thinking of bringing him back in?
My concern is that the team is just playing very badly and he will not get much of a look in.

As you said, Slam, always the way!
I'm not even considering T Lynch. GC are playing terribly, and it doesn't look like he can kick enough goals consistently to score well.

 

[Slammer]

As you said, Slam, always the way!
I'm not even considering T Lynch. GC are playing terribly, and it doesn't look like he can kick enough goals consistently to score well.

Thanks Rows. Exactly what I thought.
Just another query if I may. TMac.. I stayed away purely because of his injury, however it seems, particular after last week that he is ok.
Am I mad paying overs for him now even if it suits my structure in the long term ?
With the carnage of injuries and suspensions this week I am trying to salvage a little.
TMac would allow me flexibility with Sicily.
Will need to offload Coniglio who will probably miss or Fyfe (leaning towards Coniglio now JKelly is back up and running). But with a couple of rookie offloads aswell i would have cash to replace him through the byes with a Bont, Treloar or even JKelly himself.

 

[Bones]

Hi Rowsus,

I have 13 trades left with 5 upgrades to go including Billings, Doedee and Fritsch. Being low on trades is it worth potentially holding on to Doedee and Fritsch as potential keepers (or at least delaying upgrading them to see if they maintain their recent performance)? If I upgrade all I estimate I will be down to 4 trades.

Also noticed you have Boak and not Walters (or Westoff) in your Top 6 forwards - I was bringing in Austin and Walters this week so just wondering would Boak be a better bet - the extra game would be useful?

Cheers...Bones

PS - congrats on your win against me last week - a tight affair

 

[JLK5]

Hi Rowsus,

While I realise my question might be vague, I was hoping you could help me point my team in the right direction as this the next few weeks are looking crucial for me as not only are the bye rounds upon us, but I am one of the few that did not start Laird and Dusty. This is my team below before making any trades this week -

17 trades left, $342,000 in the bank

Def: Yeo, L Ryan, Simpson, McGovern, Doedee, Cole (Murphy, Ridley)

Mid: Dangerfield, TMitchell, Fyfe, Cripps,
J Kelly, Neale, Coniglio, Walters (Holman, Spargo, E Phillips)

Rucks: Gawn, Lycett (Olango)

Forwards: Heeney, Franklin, D Smith, Lambert, C Dixon, Fritsch (Guelfi, Smith)

I am solely focused on league this year and i believe I am in a strong position with trades and cash however I am in need of a few wins to entrench myself in the top 8 of my leagues.

Am pretty keen to bring in Austin for Murphy this week and am considering bringing in Treloar for Cogs if he is not named. While bringing in Ahern up forest and swapping for Walters is on my agenda too.
So, looking at my team, do you see any trades or strategies worth implementing to fully take advantage of my position? Or any weaknesses I should be aware of? As always, really looking forward to hear what you have to say. Thanks mate

 

[Darkie]

Hope you can take advantage of some of these high ownership outs Row.

 

[Seedsman]

Hi Rowsus,

Which Port forward do you see as being the best option - Westhoff, Gray or Boak?

Cheers

 

[Darkie]

Hi Row - I am reassessing my final upgrade targets for a few reasons.

If you were picking two mids, and one fwd or def amongst the below, who would you pick/who would go close?

Let's assume byes are manageable and cash is relevant but not the main driver.

Mids
Bont
Cripps
Dusty
Macrae
Oliver
Treloar

Fwds/defs
Boak
JJK
Lloyd
McDonald
Westhoff

Thanks very much.

 

[Steuby]

Hey Rowsus could i get your thoughts on Duncan?
I've always been very interested in him and i'm actually a bit surprised as to the change in his stats compared to previous years. Most notably, his kick to handball ratio has completely changed and still averaging the same despite fewer possies, goals/game, tackles/game.

Do you reckon he's actually a valid pick (planning dusty for him) or am i trying too hard to force a POD?

 

[Rowsus]

thanks row for your advice last week. absoultely nailed it. i picked up walters instead of rocky and it has paid off so far. its still a long seaon. a similar question to last week, i was hoping to bring in another forward this week. i was reviewing boak, hogan and buddy. buddy is under an injury cloud and his bye isnt great. hogan scores really well when he kicks goals. he seems to have gone to a new level and i am not sure he can sustain it. in saying that melbourne has an ok run from here on. boak plays 8 out of 12 games in adelaide. who is your preference out of the three or would you suggest someone else?

thanks

Happy it worked well for you, Ad.
All 3 of those look like good picks, and could serve you well. If it's a case of you need one now, and one further down the track, then I'd take Buddy this week. I think he is travelling ok, and he could possibly really do a number on the Saints this week. If he does, you nearly miss the boat on him, as it's his monsters that make him worth having, and you can't afford to miss one ........ then take him!
To be upfront, I am likely getting both Buddy and Boak this week, but Boak is a bit of a compromise decision. It's more given the carnage, that he meets my needs more than my wants. Hogan has been great, and he could possibly keep it up, but gee it's hard not see the wheels getting shakey, or even dropping off at some stage. It's a big progression he's made this season, and even if the wheels did get a bit wobbly, and he averaged say 80 in his last 9 games, he still gets a pass mark for those that risked him early, but becomes regrettable for those jumping on the bandwagon now.

 

[Rowsus]

Hey again Rowsus! I believe you're somewhat a fan of slingshotting through the byes. I have 3 slingshot trades in mind and i'm not sure which (if any) have the best value.

Round 12: Fyfe (suspended) to Westhoff/Gray. With the intention of trading Holman to Fyfe after round 14.

Round 13: Stefan Martin to Nic Nat. Hopeful Nic Nat's TOG remains at 75%+.

Round 14: Dusty to Oliver/Gaff. Due to Dusty somewhat slowly turning into a list clogger. Something has changed for him whether he's playing with an injury, different role to last season, only recording 11 tackles in his last 9 games or was 2017 a spike year for him? Something seems off to me.


I'm currently ranked 1,505, have 14 trades and 180k in the bank. Any thoughts or ideas would be appreciated.

Hey anfa,
yes, I'm a big fan of slingshotting, but not a fan of forcing them.

Depending on how your numbers look, I'm not sure I like your Fyfe slingshot. If you can mange 18 players this week, without sacrificing Fyfe, ask yourself this "would I be trading Fyfe out, if he wasn't suspended for 1 game?". I'm pretty sure the answer is no, so I would hang onto him. I don't think you are getting full value by trading him out, and nearly straight back in.

S Martin to NicNat has potential merit, and I am tossing it up myself. Martin has been known to drop off as the season goes on, usually through a combination of carrying injuries/niggles and another Ruck getting wedged into the team to support him. It doesn't mean it will happen this year though.

Your question was posed before Dusty was confirmed out, and I think we have to assume he misses next week, too. The question then becomes complicated.
Does 3 weeks off give us back the 2017 Dusty?
Will enough people in the top 2,000 trade Dusty out, that keeping him actually becomes a POD?
Does he miss 3 weeks, and just churn out 100-105 for the rest of the season anyway?

Given you have 14 trades, I think you can afford to trade Dusty out this week, and see what happens.
That eliminates Oliver as a choice, but depending on your onfield numbers, does still leave Gaff/Westhoff/Gray as possibilities. If you need the numbers, I'm not as dark on Gray as many here seem to be.

 

[Rowsus]

Thanks Rows. Exactly what I thought.
Just another query if I may. TMac.. I stayed away purely because of his injury, however it seems, particular after last week that he is ok.
Am I mad paying overs for him now even if it suits my structure in the long term ?
With the carnage of injuries and suspensions this week I am trying to salvage a little.
TMac would allow me flexibility with Sicily.
Will need to offload Coniglio who will probably miss or Fyfe (leaning towards Coniglio now JKelly is back up and running). But with a couple of rookie offloads aswell i would have cash to replace him through the byes with a Bont, Treloar or even JKelly himself.

TMac is overpriced for what he'll likely produce from here, but the swing set of Sicily/TMac/DFFD does look really good. I'll likely end up, after the byes, with Sicily and TMac in my Def line, and a D/F FD in my Fwd line.

I'm not a fan of trading Fyfe. Coniglio I can see as a trade out option though. I'll likely turn Coniglio into Bont this week, assuming I have 18 bodies on the field, so I have the Bont ready to run next week. Round 13 is my problem round for the byes, so Coniglio to Bont this week helps ease that a bit.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus,

I have 13 trades left with 5 upgrades to go including Billings, Doedee and Fritsch. Being low on trades is it worth potentially holding on to Doedee and Fritsch as potential keepers (or at least delaying upgrading them to see if they maintain their recent performance)? If I upgrade all I estimate I will be down to 4 trades.

Also noticed you have Boak and not Walters (or Westoff) in your Top 6 forwards - I was bringing in Austin and Walters this week so just wondering would Boak be a better bet - the extra game would be useful?

Cheers...Bones

PS - congrats on your win against me last week - a tight affair

Hi Bones,
depending on your seasom goal, 13 trades isn't that low.
Of Fritsch and Doedee, if I was looking to the future, and possibly keeping one, it would more likely be Doedee. I think he'll be a disappointing D6, but I think potentially Fritsch would be a more disappointing F6.

Boak was the last one added to that list, and it could have been any of 10 players. Walters has a higher ceiling, and gets a game with no Fyfe, which might see him hit one of his big scores. That could off-set the extra game Boak gives you. Walters has 7 of his last 11 at home, and Boak has 8 of his last 12 at home. Boak has a better SC history, and seemingly misses less games than Walters. As I say, there's not much between them. Boak is really unlikely to give you a couple of 140's from here, and if you like that sort of action, then it is Walters. I am trading Boak in this week, but it is a trade of convenience, and not a trade I'm 100% in love with, I must admit.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus,

While I realise my question might be vague, I was hoping you could help me point my team in the right direction as this the next few weeks are looking crucial for me as not only are the bye rounds upon us, but I am one of the few that did not start Laird and Dusty. This is my team below before making any trades this week -

17 trades left, $342,000 in the bank

Def: Yeo, L Ryan, Simpson, McGovern, Doedee, Cole (Murphy, Ridley)

Mid: Dangerfield, TMitchell, Fyfe, Cripps,
J Kelly, Neale, Coniglio, Walters (Holman, Spargo, E Phillips)

Rucks: Gawn, Lycett (Olango)

Forwards: Heeney, Franklin, D Smith, Lambert, C Dixon, Fritsch (Guelfi, Smith)

I am solely focused on league this year and i believe I am in a strong position with trades and cash however I am in need of a few wins to entrench myself in the top 8 of my leagues.

Am pretty keen to bring in Austin for Murphy this week and am considering bringing in Treloar for Cogs if he is not named. While bringing in Ahern up forest and swapping for Walters is on my agenda too.
So, looking at my team, do you see any trades or strategies worth implementing to fully take advantage of my position? Or any weaknesses I should be aware of? As always, really looking forward to hear what you have to say. Thanks mate

Hi JLK5,
having no Laird or Dusty is a big plus for you this week.
I'm assuming there is one League you are focussed on over the others. Given one of the keys to League success is to conserve trades, I'd be having a real good look at my opponents team this week, and see how you line up. He'll likely have both Dusty and Laird, but it is probably a 50% chance to trade Dusty out.
If it looks like you have him coverd, I'd save as many trades as you can.
with that in mind, I'm really not a big fan of Murphy to Austin. You $48,300, and are trading in a player with questionable JS. Does he survive, when Carlisle comes back? It doesn't seem to be worth the trade.

Coniglio to Treloar seems an option, particularly if you looking up against it in your match up after the first 2 games.
where possible, unless it is absolutely needed, I would avoid bringing in Ahern early.

If your match up looks closish, then you need to be pro-active. Without knowing anything about your opposition, conserve trades where you can, but don't put winning this Round at risk!

 

[Rowsus]

Hope you can take advantage of some of these high ownership outs Row.

You'd think a popular carnage week like this, would play right up my alley! I don't have Fyfe or Laird, but I do have all the other problems.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus,

Which Port forward do you see as being the best option - Westhoff, Gray or Boak?

Cheers

Hi Seedsman,
my order is Gray, Boak, Westhoff.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Row - I am reassessing my final upgrade targets for a few reasons.

If you were picking two mids, and one fwd or def amongst the below, who would you pick/who would go close?

Let's assume byes are manageable and cash is relevant but not the main driver.

Mids
Bont
Cripps
Dusty
Macrae
Oliver
Treloar

Fwds/defs
Boak
JJK
Lloyd
McDonald
Westhoff

Thanks very much.

Hi Darkie,
the Bont is coming into my team, probably this week, in preparation for next week. Next it's a toss up between Treloar and Oliver, but I have a slight leaning to Treloar. I keep thinking Oliver is so young and inexperienced, that he has to show some signs of jading from the past 2 seasons, at some point. I do concede it may not happen though.
From a pure points point of view, plus the bonus of the flexibility he offers, I'd go TMac, though he is slightly overpriced, compared to how he will probably score.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way(s).