Opinion Player X vs. Player Y

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Hey guys I think I already know the answer to this one but need reassurance.

Option 1: Walsh + Moore
Option 2: Low cost rookie on field + Greene
 

Connoisseur

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Coniglio, Scrimshaw, Bewley
Vs
Oliver, Duursma, Gibbons

M2, D6, M11 for spots.


I guess mainly:

Coniglio V Neale V Oliver
Very hard to split Oliver and Neale but I'd have both in-front of Coniglio.

C Oliver:

Wins: 115.19 from 26 (6/26 below 100, 9/26 120+)
2017: 114.08 from 12
2018: 116.14 from 14
Losses: 110 from 18 (5/18 below 100, 6/18 120+)
2017: 108.3 from 10
2018: 112.13 from 8

2018:
Disposals: 29.77
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 30: 124.67 from 12 (low of 98 and a high of 154, 1/12 below 100, 8/12 120+)
SC Avg when disposals below 30: 102.7 from 10 (low of 59 and a high of 143, 5/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
Contested Possessions: 16.41
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 17: 127.67 from 9 (low of 101 and a high of 154, 7/9 120+)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 17: 105.69 from 13 (low of 59 and a high of 147, 6/13 below 100, 5/13 120+)
Tackles: 6.86
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 7: 127.6 from 10 (low of 89 and a high of 154, 2/10 below 100, 8/10 120+)
SC Avg when tackles below 7: 103.92 from 12 (low of 59 and a high of 136, 4/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)
Time on Ground%: 82.91%
SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 83%: 118.31 from 13 (low of 89 and a high of 154, 2/13 below 100, 7/13 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 83%: 109.44 from 9 (low of 59 and a high of 146, 4/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)

L Neale:
Pre Bye: 111.8 from 50 (14/50 below 100, 20/50 120+)
2015: 111.18 from 11
2016: 113.29 from 14
2017: 114.58 from 12
2018: 108.15 from 13

Post Bye: 106.3 from 37 (13/37 below 100, 8/37 120+)
2015: 97.45 from 11
2016: 111.5 from 8
2017: 101.56 from 9
2018: 117.22 from 9

Disposals: 30.32
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 31: 124.18 from 11 (low of 99 and a high of 159, 1/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)
SC Avg when disposals below 31: 99.55 from 11 (low of 74 and a high of 132, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)
Contested Possessions: 15.05
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 16: 123.1 from 10 (low of 99 and a high of 151, 1/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 16: 102.5 from 12 (low of 74 and a high of 159, 5/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)
Tackles: 4.23
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 5: 113.63 from 8 (low of 74 and a high of 151, 2/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)
SC Avg when tackles below 5: 110.86 from 14 (low of 77 and a high of 159, 4/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)
Time on Ground%: 80.18%
SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 81%: 114.75 from 12 (low of 74 and a high of 159, 3/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 81%: 108.4 from 10 (low of 77 and a high of 134, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Possibly be leaning towards C Oliver due to the larger upside but I think both should be safe 110+ selections.
 
Joined
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Option 2 more keepers. But 85+90+100=275 and 60+115+95=270. Classic conundrum that is pretty similar to all including my own. I think the statistically sound and safe option is B. But so tempting to go 1 for the extra starting nonrookie (but there is no real benefit of an extra starting non rookie if the other option has a similar output which in this case is likely). Your saving yourself a trade though. Hmm, ironically I'll now ask my own equivalent 3 midpricers Vs 2 premos and a rookie question hoping for the godsend answer haha
I think you are underselling option 1 by about 10ppg across the board although your point is still valid.

One less starting rookie can mean one less chance to avoid the dreaded on field rookie 40
 
Joined
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Scrimshaw and Hatley vs. Collins and Bewley/A.N.Other similar priced rookie.

D5 and M8.
 

Ben's Beasts

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Macrae & Brayshaw
vs
Fyfe & Neale

thinking option 2 is the obvious?
Fyfe & Neale for mine.

I'm quite confident that Fyfe and Neale will average 110+ and while I'm also confident that Macrae will, I'm less confident that Brayshaw will.

Plus, I feel Macrae is overpriced so it's easily Fyfe and Neale for me.
 
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