Analysis BBL|09 Player's Price & Break Even Projections by TAILS

[Connoisseur]

Was Qais priced off 2 games or 3 at the start of this season ?

3-

 

[Herbie66]

3-
View attachment 15067

so if the SF was against the Strikers , that mustn't be included in pricing for the following season.

Morkel will probably be given a "adjustment" anyway

 

[Tails]

so if the SF was against the Strikers , that mustn't be included in pricing for the following season.

Morkel will probably be given a "adjustment" anyway

I do recall somewhere in the back of my mind that scores in finals don't count ....

 

[Herbie66]

I do recall somewhere in the back of my mind that scores in finals don't count ....

My initial thought was they don't count either.

 

[Connoisseur]

so if the SF was against the Strikers , that mustn't be included in pricing for the following season.

Morkel will probably be given a "adjustment" anyway

All finals are included as far as I'm aware.
Melbourne Stars inc finals played 16 matches
B Dunk BBL 08:

 

[Tails]

All finals are included as far as I'm aware.
Melbourne Stars inc finals played 16 matches

Yep they count for SC scoring ... no question about that ...

But for next years pricing is what I'm referring to .... I don't know the answer or can find a reference to it .... just something that is stuck in the back of my mind ...

 

[Tails]

After going back to the start of this season:

- His starting price was $148,600 and I believe the MN was ~2878
- That would have put him priced to ave ~51.63

 

[Connoisseur]

Yep they count for SC scoring ... no question about that ...

But for next years pricing is what I'm referring to .... I don't know the answer or can find a reference to it .... just something that is stuck in the back of my mind ...

Closest example I can find from a non-finalist from BBL 08.


(Above image is from prior to SCBBL09 opening)

Started this season at $98,500

B Dunk averaged 0.8 more inc finals and started the season $2400 higher than Swepson at $100,900.

Removing finals, Dunk's average drops from 35.1 to 33.57 thus below Swepson.

 

[Tails]

Round 13 Game 4 update:

Note: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[Bomber18]

Wowee to Short and Wade’s price rises. Hoping the Heat win otherwise it’s gonna be really hard for me to grab DShort for the finals whilst keeping Wade as well....

 

[IDIG]

Kinda regretting not getting Short now

 

[Diabolical]

Kinda regretting not getting Short now

I started him which meant I copped his 11 in round 2 and ? in round 4.

I traded him out when he went to India which meant I lost $70k which seemed like money thrown away but when I realised that he had averaged 71, I figured it is not the end of the world. I felt he owed me so brought him back in when he returned despite him missing the first game of his DGW. I didn’t think many others would be game enough as they had probably focused on his money lost rather than his score, but I thought why not if he can get to his 71 average.

With 275 from 2 matches, whilst most others focussed on DGW players, and now projected to move above his starting price, I am taking it as a win ... even if a ? followed by the luck of a 5fa in the same game has me counting my lucky stars!

 

[Herbie66]

Wowee to Short and Wade’s price rises. Hoping the Heat win otherwise it’s gonna be really hard for me to grab DShort for the finals whilst keeping Wade as well....

Hurricanes can't miss the finals , either 4th or 5th.

Can Curran , Finch , Richo , Rashid get you Short ?

 

[Bomber18]

Hurricanes can't miss the finals , either 4th or 5th.

Can Curran , Finch , Richo , Rashid get you Short ?

I didnt realise it was top 5 this season. I probably can get short but will lead to some compromises!

 

[Herbie66]

I didnt realise it was top 5 this season. I probably can get short but will lead to some compromises!

Quick look their is 3-5 Stars/Sixers that are more than affordable to make Short gettable.

Nevill + 2 x $ 42 k benches , anyway easy to workout Tuesday & Wednesday

 

[Bomber18]

Hurricanes can't miss the finals , either 4th or 5th.

Can Curran , Finch , Richo , Rashid get you Short ?

I see now why Rashid’s name popped up. Strikers are not playing next round...!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1221581359124103169

 

[Tails]

Round 13 Game 5 update:

Note: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[Tails]

Round 13 combined summary:

- Please note that the "New BE proj" and "New Price Proj" figures are forward looking before the start of next round ...
- I will provide another update before the start of next round with the "actual" BE's for the remaining teams left
- So if a player didn't play then there will be no price change
- Also if a player hasn't played 3 games yet then the starting BE for the next round will actually be different (hence point 2)

 

[Tails]

Round 14 BE calcs:

- Please point out any gremlins as this is a combined formula / manual process ...
- MN hasn't been amended as of yet ... will update it if does ...
- Will also update if / as any O/S players are confirmed to have departed ...
- Also note that "ADE" players have a bye this week ...

 

[Tails]

Round 14 Game 1 update:

Note: Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...