Opinion Questions For Rowsus

[Rowsus]

Hi rowsus,

I see everyone is onboard with docherty as a lock, do you see any upside in not starting him as i believe he will start slow (not playing for 2 years and coming back from a bad injury) or he could injure himself early on since he has done the same acl twice in training situations, afl intensity could undo the weakness he clearly has in his knee.

I dont think i fall too far behind in a worst case scenario of not starting him, but i could catch anything when he is managed or misses games, unlikely he plays 20+ games after missing 2 years.

Would love your opinion on this,
Thankyou

Hi Chaqby,
I certainly don't see him as a must have. He's in 48% of teams, and he might be worth betting against if he get's much higher.
I see him as a bit of a nothing pick at the moment. I reckon having him or not having him won't be a season make or break decision. I currently have him, but will be keeping an eye on his ownership %. I think you've summed the risk up nicely, and also the potential reward.

 

[Rowsus]

Hello Rowus new to the site, only a 3rd year coach.

Wingard vs Parish for F3.
Currently F1 Whitfield F2 Greenwood

appreciate any insight you may share.

Hello Vicwood,
welcome to the site. It's always good to see new members actively posting. Keep it up.
Both Wingard and Parish have only averaged 18 games/season in the last 3 or 4 seasons. Wingard seems to have stagnated a little. People are always looking for him to run through the Midfield, but if he didn't do it successfully last season, I can't see how it will happen this season. For that reason, and for the fact Wingard is coming into his 9th season, with over 160 games, and Parish is only coming into his 5th season, with 76 games, I think Parish has the better potential upside. I'm not overly keen on either, but gun to the head, give me Parish.
Greenwood might lose some popularity after his M2 match, and it might be worth investigating MacPherson, who is a little cheaper.

 

[Vicwood]

Hello Vicwood,
welcome to the site. It's always good to see new members actively posting. Keep it up.
Both Wingard and Parish have only averaged 18 games/season in the last 3 or 4 seasons. Wingard seems to have stagnated a little. People are always looking for him to run through the Midfield, but if he didn't do it successfully last season, I can't see how it will happen this season. For that reason, and for the fact Wingard is coming into his 9th season, with over 160 games, and Parish is only coming into his 5th season, with 76 games, I think Parish has the better potential upside. I'm not overly keen on either, but gun to the head, give me Parish.
Greenwood might lose some popularity after his M2 match, and it might be worth investigating MacPherson, who is a little cheaper.

Thank Rowsus, after Wimgard stank up the field duiring yesterday game he will be lucky to be named for RD1. Currently Greenwood sits at F3 but MacPherson looks promising 2 good preseason games off the back of a good 2019 year in a poor team.

 

[Leroy]

Hi donny,
Lycett (Ruck $550,600) averaged 121 in playing 9 out of 12 matches from Round 11 last season. He had a low score of 85, and a high score of 180 in that period.
He's played 93 games, which has him in the break out window, but he's coming into his 10th season, which has him beyond his break out period. I will say, that can be different for Rucks, and Lycett is 27, which can be a good age for Rucks to peak.
Lycett hit season career highs/game in: Kicks, H'balls, Hitouts, R50's, I50's, Clearances, CP's and 1%'s.
That's a lot of career highs, and you have to ask, is that the new norm for Lycett, or does it represent a spike of sorts.
While a fast finish to a season can be an indicator of good things to come, in the following season, I'd prefer it in someone who had a more obvious upside window, age for Rucks aside. I wouldn't be surprised if he improved on his 18/101 season, but I'm not sure he can continue on his 120+ rampage. He needs to score at around 108-110 to maintain his price, if you were thinking of upgrading him at some stage. The other unknown is, how do Port structure up this season? Dixon is fit, Ryder is gone, Ladhams is on the rise. Where does Westhoff play, back or forward? All these things will have some affect on Lycett. Lycett has a fantastic Draw ....... after his bye! Before the bye, he has Goldy, NicNat, Grundy in Rnds 3, 4 & 5, then Gawn in Round 8.
I don't think he'll be a hopeless pick, but I'm not sure he'll be a ragingly good pick, either. He might potentially be a good slingshot trade after his bye, if cracks are appearing in Gawndy.

If Lycett or Marshall have some down games before their bye, a slingshot from one of GG through the byes could be on.
Remembering that Gawn and Grundy play each other the week before their bye, which usually means one of them doesn't even hit 100.
Say Grundy -> Lycett for 200k in R12. Grundy scores 80 vs Gawn in R12, week off in R13. You could be up 200 points if Lycett (or Marshall even) goes bang. Wait for the down game to cycle through and trade back in...

 

[Mudflap]

Hi Rowsus

The rucks have got me again. I have had Grundy, ROB locked in my team for weeks now but am starting to have doubts on ROB. What are your thoughts on him?
I do not want to go up to Gawn (will require a structure change) so if I was to take him out by going down in price should I go all the way down to a Naismith or Z Smith or is there anyone around the same price you would consider?

 

[Buddy Starmart]

What’s a reliable amount of rookies to start with.

 

[Buddy Starmart]

is it ok for doc d1 robbo d2 and noble d3 as this gets me 6 mids and first few upgrades in defence then or time it well.

 

[toxic]

is it ok for doc d1 robbo d2 and noble d3 as this gets me 6 mids and first few upgrades in defence then or time it well.

Big/massive kahunas

 

[stephen]

If Lycett or Marshall have some down games before their bye, a slingshot from one of GG through the byes could be on.
Remembering that Gawn and Grundy play each other the week before their bye, which usually means one of them doesn't even hit 100.
Say Grundy -> Lycett for 200k in R12. Grundy scores 80 vs Gawn in R12, week off in R13. You could be up 200 points if Lycett (or Marshall even) goes bang. Wait for the down game to cycle through and trade back in...

I love this kind of move when the stars align for them but gee you're getting in early with the planning for it!

 

[Leroy]

I love this kind of move when the stars align for them but gee you're getting in early with the planning for it!

Never hurts to have a plan !

 

[Babylove]

Your thoughts on starting 4 premium mids versus 5. I’ve had 5 for most of preseason, but am currently playing with four and spending the cash in my defence and forward lines.

 

[Courtesans]

Hi Rowan, hope you are well. Kill it this year, fast or slow. Keith

 

[Buddy Starmart]

Big/massive kahunas

What do you mean it massively good or bad

 

[toxic]

What do you mean it massively good or bad

Just ballsy

Plenty of different left strategies over the the years have a yielded massive/poor results.
There is no "one size fits all " SC strategy

 

[Darkie]

Hi Row, I hope you are well and that your team is taking shape in a way you’re happy with.

My question is: in terms of expected points over the season, what do you see as the impact of the change to Houston’s bye?

 

[donnybuang]

Hi donny,
Lycett (Ruck $550,600) averaged 121 in playing 9 out of 12 matches from Round 11 last season. He had a low score of 85, and a high score of 180 in that period.
He's played 93 games, which has him in the break out window, but he's coming into his 10th season, which has him beyond his break out period. I will say, that can be different for Rucks, and Lycett is 27, which can be a good age for Rucks to peak.
Lycett hit season career highs/game in: Kicks, H'balls, Hitouts, R50's, I50's, Clearances, CP's and 1%'s.
That's a lot of career highs, and you have to ask, is that the new norm for Lycett, or does it represent a spike of sorts.
While a fast finish to a season can be an indicator of good things to come, in the following season, I'd prefer it in someone who had a more obvious upside window, age for Rucks aside. I wouldn't be surprised if he improved on his 18/101 season, but I'm not sure he can continue on his 120+ rampage. He needs to score at around 108-110 to maintain his price, if you were thinking of upgrading him at some stage. The other unknown is, how do Port structure up this season? Dixon is fit, Ryder is gone, Ladhams is on the rise. Where does Westhoff play, back or forward? All these things will have some affect on Lycett. Lycett has a fantastic Draw ....... after his bye! Before the bye, he has Goldy, NicNat, Grundy in Rnds 3, 4 & 5, then Gawn in Round 8.
I don't think he'll be a hopeless pick, but I'm not sure he'll be a ragingly good pick, either. He might potentially be a good slingshot trade after his bye, if cracks are appearing in Gawndy.

Thanks, yeah, thought being a ruck, the later peak might've a possibly been in his favour. I guess he spent many years in nicnat's shadows too.
Now though, with the bye and his injury on the weekend, probably not worth the risk.
Thank you

 

[Yikes]

Hi rowsus, how would you rank the following forward rookies: Davis, Crocker, King, Rankine, Budarick?

 

[Leroy]

Hi Row, I hope you are well and that your team is taking shape in a way you’re happy with.

My question is: in terms of expected points over the season, what do you see as the impact of the change to Houston’s bye?

I know Darkie always asks good questions but I'm a bit confused reading this. Don't Port play 22 games like everyone else?

Or is it more directed at the fact that you MUST take a rookie score for Houston in R11 (I'm assuimg nobody has 7 def premos by then) vs the fact that players with a later bye could be covered by a premium on another line?

 

[Darkie]

I know Darkie always asks good questions but I'm a bit confused reading this. Don't Port play 22 games like everyone else?

Or is it more directed at the fact that you MUST take a rookie score for Houston in R11 (I'm assuimg nobody has 7 def premos by then) vs the fact that players with a later bye could be covered by a premium on another line?

You’re on the right track with your second para. Arguably the key difference is that his bye is not a best 18 week, unlike most other players.

There’s a long discussion in the Defenders thread about how the change to Houston’s bye may make him no longer viable as a starting pick (especially if you have Roberton).

Personally I have both, and see it as a minor rather than a major change ... but given Rowsus always gives good answers, I thought I’d check his view!

 

[Rowsus]

If Lycett or Marshall have some down games before their bye, a slingshot from one of GG through the byes could be on.
Remembering that Gawn and Grundy play each other the week before their bye, which usually means one of them doesn't even hit 100.
Say Grundy -> Lycett for 200k in R12. Grundy scores 80 vs Gawn in R12, week off in R13. You could be up 200 points if Lycett (or Marshall even) goes bang. Wait for the down game to cycle through and trade back in...

I love this kind of move when the stars align for them but gee you're getting in early with the planning for it!

Off the top of my head, there are only 3 scenarios you'd try this.
1) You are absolutely trade rich, and can afford the trades to make this "fiddle play".
2) You are trade and cash poor, and need the $$$ generated to help you get close(r) to a complete team.
3) You are thinking there is a fair chance, the Ruck traded in will perform to such a level, you don't need to trade whichever of Gawndy you traded out, back in again.