- Joined
- 14 Jul 2020
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- Collingwood
Hey BH,
the only rule is, that I don't do rate my team type questions.
It's a tricky question, and not because of the number of options you present, but more because, the answer really depends on where you stand now, and where you want to go from here.
Are you League oriented, and have a tough need to win match this week?
Do you feel there will be a shortage of Rookies to come, making downgrades hard to achieve in the following weeks?
Are you sitting on a pile of cash?
Do you think we are looking at a season where compromises will need to be made, and risks taken?
The answer to these questions, and maybe a few more, could potentially change which option you take this week!
For a start, we have 3 or 4 pretty strong looking bubble boys this week. In your scenarios above, you only take one of them. Maybe like some, you went early on Poulter last week, but even if you did, there's a pretty good push, that you should go double downgrade this week, and grab two of the others. It would seem unlikely, that we will have downgrade options as strong as these guys, in the next few Rounds!
If that doesn't fit your agenda, and you are locked into one of the options above, then ....
Option 1
Bowes $484,300 BE 85 Ave 103.8 - having somewhat of a breakout season, and his price has dropped back to only $33k above where it started. The worrying thing is, his 2 best scores were Rounds 1 and 2, and he has only averaged 95 since then, which is about what he is priced to score.
Weitering $498,000 BE 41 Ave 97.8 - would even be here, if he hadn't scored 156 last week? Probably not. He's never gone over 75 in a season, and is now priced close to 100. I'm not sure he fits any job description you are looking for, other than a Hail Mary POD maybe.
Docherty $534,000 BE 98 Ave 104.4 - looked better 2 of the last 3 weeks. I think he faced a really big hurdle this season, and still potentially does. The combination of multiple knees and testicular cancer has to have some affect on his ability to see out a strong season. Can he go 105+ from here, all the way to the end? It's possible, but I have my doubts.
Lloyd $558,800 BE 112 Ave 107.4 - SC Royalty the past 3 seasons, and probably the safest of these 4 options. The question is, if you think we might be struggling to fund a full team this season, then $560k is a big chunk of change!!!
Bowes the value pick Lloyd the safe pick, if you think you can fully fund your team from here.
Option 2
Sloane $523,500 BE 70 Ave 114.3 - known to miss multiple games in a season. Averaged 88, 103, 97 the past 3 seasons, and his good scores this season were when Adelaide fired at home early on. I think he\s 103 player with the risk of missed games. Not for me.
Mitchell $525,800 BE 60 Ave 107.3 - finally got a decent DT to SC ratio last week. Apart from 2019's broken leg, he hasn't missed a game since 2015. Averages over the past 3 seasons 114, 129, 119. Not sure I would consider Sloane over him, unless you were desperate for POD's.
Ellis $522,500 BE Ave 99.9 - Averaging 100, and his history says he's a 100 player. No interest when he's the same price as Mitchell.
Mitchell easy, and every time!
Option 3
Impey $451,100 BE 78 Ave 98.2 - surprisingly still only in 33% of teams, I thought he'd be close to 50% by now. Priced below his average, but his scoring can be up and down. 64, 74, 84 mixed in with 5 x 100+ scores. Averaging 113 in those 100+ games. If he can continue in the mid to high 90's he still represents value.
Marshall $533,700 BE 124 Ave 93.8 - I think he could prove to be a pretty useful player in the run home, but I'm also convinced we'll get him cheaper. Shares a bye with Gawndy, which is problematic. Yes plan to get him, but not yet.
Hall $419,500 BE 30 Ave 79.3 - seems to be a bit of the flavour of the month. Has averaged 117 in his past 3 non-injury affected games. Hasn't averaged over 79 in the past 3 seasons. Has 2 injury affected games, and a missed game already this season. He's a very high risk selection, but given injuries to Anderson, Stephenson and to a lesser extent, McDonald and Tyson, Hall really has a chance to shine for the next few weeks. I'm not sure he's a long term prospect, and in aseason where we are all burning trades, that's a worry, but he has the potential to give you a quick point boost, and possibly a $100-$150k along the way.
Sidebottom $495,500 BE 117 Ave 86.6 - Usually averages around or just over 100, and that's usually on the back of a couple of monster scores. Outside of those couple of games, he averages around 90, like he is now. Does he still the monsters in him? Can he stay on the park? Both those things make him a risk in my eyes.
Plan to get Marshall, but not yet. Grab Hall if you haven't smashed through your trades, as he'll probably need to be traded out again, otherwise get Impey.
Decision.
Not sure I like finishing your Def line yet. If you do need to make some compromises, D6 is a good place to start! This might not matter, if you are holding Highmore and another deadwood Rookie, and you are worried about coverage. If you are happy with your trade count situation, take a punt on Hall, but I reckon he's 4 to 6 weeks at most, then he could become a liability again. Otherwise, choose between Mitchell and Impey. It might come down to what your coverage and depth is like, and where you are leaking the most points. Gun to head, without knowing anything more than I do, go Impey, as it leaves you some cash for next week!
the only rule is, that I don't do rate my team type questions.
It's a tricky question, and not because of the number of options you present, but more because, the answer really depends on where you stand now, and where you want to go from here.
Are you League oriented, and have a tough need to win match this week?
Do you feel there will be a shortage of Rookies to come, making downgrades hard to achieve in the following weeks?
Are you sitting on a pile of cash?
Do you think we are looking at a season where compromises will need to be made, and risks taken?
The answer to these questions, and maybe a few more, could potentially change which option you take this week!
For a start, we have 3 or 4 pretty strong looking bubble boys this week. In your scenarios above, you only take one of them. Maybe like some, you went early on Poulter last week, but even if you did, there's a pretty good push, that you should go double downgrade this week, and grab two of the others. It would seem unlikely, that we will have downgrade options as strong as these guys, in the next few Rounds!
If that doesn't fit your agenda, and you are locked into one of the options above, then ....
Option 1
Bowes $484,300 BE 85 Ave 103.8 - having somewhat of a breakout season, and his price has dropped back to only $33k above where it started. The worrying thing is, his 2 best scores were Rounds 1 and 2, and he has only averaged 95 since then, which is about what he is priced to score.
Weitering $498,000 BE 41 Ave 97.8 - would even be here, if he hadn't scored 156 last week? Probably not. He's never gone over 75 in a season, and is now priced close to 100. I'm not sure he fits any job description you are looking for, other than a Hail Mary POD maybe.
Docherty $534,000 BE 98 Ave 104.4 - looked better 2 of the last 3 weeks. I think he faced a really big hurdle this season, and still potentially does. The combination of multiple knees and testicular cancer has to have some affect on his ability to see out a strong season. Can he go 105+ from here, all the way to the end? It's possible, but I have my doubts.
Lloyd $558,800 BE 112 Ave 107.4 - SC Royalty the past 3 seasons, and probably the safest of these 4 options. The question is, if you think we might be struggling to fund a full team this season, then $560k is a big chunk of change!!!
Bowes the value pick Lloyd the safe pick, if you think you can fully fund your team from here.
Option 2
Sloane $523,500 BE 70 Ave 114.3 - known to miss multiple games in a season. Averaged 88, 103, 97 the past 3 seasons, and his good scores this season were when Adelaide fired at home early on. I think he\s 103 player with the risk of missed games. Not for me.
Mitchell $525,800 BE 60 Ave 107.3 - finally got a decent DT to SC ratio last week. Apart from 2019's broken leg, he hasn't missed a game since 2015. Averages over the past 3 seasons 114, 129, 119. Not sure I would consider Sloane over him, unless you were desperate for POD's.
Ellis $522,500 BE Ave 99.9 - Averaging 100, and his history says he's a 100 player. No interest when he's the same price as Mitchell.
Mitchell easy, and every time!
Option 3
Impey $451,100 BE 78 Ave 98.2 - surprisingly still only in 33% of teams, I thought he'd be close to 50% by now. Priced below his average, but his scoring can be up and down. 64, 74, 84 mixed in with 5 x 100+ scores. Averaging 113 in those 100+ games. If he can continue in the mid to high 90's he still represents value.
Marshall $533,700 BE 124 Ave 93.8 - I think he could prove to be a pretty useful player in the run home, but I'm also convinced we'll get him cheaper. Shares a bye with Gawndy, which is problematic. Yes plan to get him, but not yet.
Hall $419,500 BE 30 Ave 79.3 - seems to be a bit of the flavour of the month. Has averaged 117 in his past 3 non-injury affected games. Hasn't averaged over 79 in the past 3 seasons. Has 2 injury affected games, and a missed game already this season. He's a very high risk selection, but given injuries to Anderson, Stephenson and to a lesser extent, McDonald and Tyson, Hall really has a chance to shine for the next few weeks. I'm not sure he's a long term prospect, and in aseason where we are all burning trades, that's a worry, but he has the potential to give you a quick point boost, and possibly a $100-$150k along the way.
Sidebottom $495,500 BE 117 Ave 86.6 - Usually averages around or just over 100, and that's usually on the back of a couple of monster scores. Outside of those couple of games, he averages around 90, like he is now. Does he still the monsters in him? Can he stay on the park? Both those things make him a risk in my eyes.
Plan to get Marshall, but not yet. Grab Hall if you haven't smashed through your trades, as he'll probably need to be traded out again, otherwise get Impey.
Decision.
Not sure I like finishing your Def line yet. If you do need to make some compromises, D6 is a good place to start! This might not matter, if you are holding Highmore and another deadwood Rookie, and you are worried about coverage. If you are happy with your trade count situation, take a punt on Hall, but I reckon he's 4 to 6 weeks at most, then he could become a liability again. Otherwise, choose between Mitchell and Impey. It might come down to what your coverage and depth is like, and where you are leaking the most points. Gun to head, without knowing anything more than I do, go Impey, as it leaves you some cash for next week!
Thank you massively, Sorry again for the tricky question, but yeah you seemed to answer it perfectly in my eyes
