I've prepared some driver and teams break evens going into round 14 which is this weekend.
Drivers: Russell -21, Vettel -6, Max 1, Gasly 3, Gio 7, Kimi 9, Dan Ric 21, Mazepin 29, Schumacher 31, Latifi 37, Stroll 38, Alonso 40, Leclerc 42, Ocon 59, Perez 64, Tsunoda 68, Bottas 75, Hamilton 88, Norris 99, Sainz 104
Teams: Williams 19, Alfa 29, Aston 32, Haas 35, Red Bull 40, Alpha 65, Alpine 73, McLaren 77, Mercedes 99, Ferrari 106
Is this as cheap as Red Bull will get?
With the results from Great Britain now dropped and Hungary about to be dropped, Max (who actually increased by $0.5M this round) and the Red Bull cars are about to start going back up. And not by small amounts either. Both could go back up by $2M+ next round. If you are missing one of those pieces, you will likely need to prioritise trading them in this round.
Do we know who the number 4 driver is yet?
There still isn't much separating Perez, Norris, Leclerc, Sainz and Gasly. It could come down to form or penalties and we may still be trading this position throughout the last few rounds of the season. Gasly is the safest option this week BE wise (also he won at Monza last year) and Norris presents terrific value at around $10M in two rounds time.
(Maybe the best option would be Gasly in a Red Bull car but we have to work with what we have.)
Is it too late to catch up to the top 25 teams?
Not at all. Most of the top 25 teams have a current team value between $170M and $175M. That's not at full premium level which currently requires about $195M. And as the Red Bull's increase in value, it may not be that easy for the top 25 teams to make up the missing money. For example the current top team contains Ferrari, Alonso and Ocon, and maybe they don't have the funds to upgrade them.
If you have funds for double Red Bull, double Mercedes, Max and Lewis in your team, you'll go straight past a number of teams very quickly.
Trades
It's another sprint qualifying round so make sure to get your trades in after FP1 on Friday.
If you've been gaining cash from Ocon/Alonso and Alpine, its time to sell. There isn't much value in the teams outside of Red Bull, but Russell, Vettel and Gasly are all drivers with good money making potential this round.
I'll be looking to upgrade Ocon and whilst I could afford either of Perez, Norris or Leclerc now, I'm also considering getting Gasly for one round and making sure I've get extra funds for any unexpected trades required later in the season.
Out: Ocon
In: Perez/Norris/Leclerc/Gasly
Max C, Hamilton, Bottas, Perez/Norris/Leclerc/Gasly
Mercedes, Mercedes, Red Bull, Red Bull
Bank $0.5M-2M