Sometimes you can be too stubborn though, thinking that you're too smart to fall for the pre-season hype player. Then they come out averaging 110 in the first month and you're wondering why you didn't just follow the pack. Gulden is getting to that point now where it's probably safer to just pick him.
I think it really comes down to structure, He's an awkward price where many will have to shuffle the deck chairs significantly to fit him in and if you're comfortable with your team I'm not sure it's worth it.
As you say, the risk is getting less and less each day starting him. With so many trades and options below his price point to hit that missed mid-price or rookie option like Fyfe, Bruhn, Ziebell, Flanders, Allen etc. I see no issue running him from round 1 unless horse comes out and blatantly says he won't be part of the midfield rotation.