Well at this stage I've pretty much made the decision to run with Gawn at F1. I can't ignore that he's going to be somewhat a POD and combined with potential VC option I'm slightly frothing at the mouth at this opportunity. God speed with your ruck selections.
I've landed here also. I see 4 likely outcomes.
1. Drops to 100-105, gets DPP - That's close to keeper forward at least.
2. Sustains average - This is a fine result, DPP would make it even better but is less likely in this situation.
3. Grundy get's injured - History says he will at this point, Gawn is a ~130 guy in that scenario. Huge win if it's early.
4. Gawn gets injured - Always possible, just goes into the regular hope he's done well to there and trade school.
There's the 5th outcome I think is very unlikely that he falls off a cliff and averages 90 odd, that's a disaster but you'd probably bail very quickly if that's happening (knowing my ruck history of late, that would be the week before Grundy get's injured...)
I'd say all 3 of those outcomes is somewhere in the acceptable to great range.
I still think Witts is the top scoring ruck this year but I don't feel that confident in it and he wont be much more expensive than he starts if he is so Gawn allows me to confirm or reject that hypothesis.
I've officially ruled out English in SC (will take in RDT I think), the durability record just isn't worth it, albeit scoring potential and upside are great.
I think Darcy is probably the 2nd best ruck but I can't pick him with Jackson looming over his scoring and his durability record.
Witts then Darcy would by in play for me if I need the cash from Gawn elsewhere but don't think I do or will, would basically take no 120k rookies available round 1 to cause that.
Marshall the defensive/upside play, at least I've already planned a trade for this position this year so if I can escape at just one for that slot then I've got 11 more to go to get to last year, if he can make it far enough he'll make cash at least. He's basically not relevant until he gets injured this year so I don't see a need to create an extra ruck position to fret over until that happens. Probably be around round 6 just to maximise the hurt it inflicts.