Collingwood, GWS, Gold Coast, Geelong and West Coast have no need for talls. If any team there does, it'd be GWS but they've already come out and said they're only looking for 1 tall in their first 3 picks and that's far more likely to be Lever. It would be similar to Brodie Grundy, a touted top 3 selection slipping to pick 18 because no team had need for a ruckman at the time. I doubt it as well, but it's definitely not out of the question.
I agree with you there, it is strange, but it seems De Goey is rated higher than Weller in club land. Apparently De Goey is under strong consideration as high as pick 5 with Collingwood.
Talls you pick for at least 2-3 years down the track. With Cloke 28 and White a spud, there's every possibility Collingwood think they need another to develop. It could also mean Moore works on his defensive side a bit more to be versatile, and Witts/Grundy are focused more on being rucks, with Wright in the forward line. A lot of height can work, it'd be a similar setup to what's at Hawthorn now.
Gold Coast? Wright would be a massive upgrade on potential rookie-listed Preuss and there's only about 4 others who can play KPF; Nichols, Smith and Gorringe can't.
West Coast need someone to replace Glass and Cox on the list, so there's a spot for a tall there. There's no one under 22 there next season in that KPF/R range so list-wise it could work.
As for Geelong who knows what they want. Reliant on getting mystery-box Clark in to help Hawkins it could backfire and he's not exactly a spritely youngster. The rest are either spuds, constantly injured or more likely to go back, where there's a pressing need too (thus the Goddard talk).
Which leaves GWS who are already getting Finlayson with Cameron, Patton, Tomlinson, McCarthy with other plenty of rucks. So I think there's a case for most of the other teams needing Wright before him.
That is all assuming that "BPA" is out of the equation.
With 9 forwards or rucks 190cm or above (Blicavs, Clark, Kersten, McIntosh, Murdoch, Simpson, Stanley, Vardy and Walker) I think speed through the midfield with Varcoe and Christensen gone would be a bigger priority, which could be realized through a Ahern or Weller. But there's no doubt you could still take Wright regardless.
Wow, Murdoch is 190cm! He doesn't play tall at all. Stanley played most of last season as a defender didn't he? I wouldn't be surprised if he's utlilised there more, especially considering Lonergan and Rivers aren't going to be around for much longer. Going tall and getting Durdin and Goddard would make sense too.