Strategy 2024: Round 8 Trades
- Thread starter Tamuhawk
- Start date
Thinking ...
Out: Grundy, Roberts, Dempsey
In: Bont, D.Moore, Sweet
Sweet plays on field. Bont was my planned trade in this week. I looked at Dylan Moore preseason up forward, but his illness scared me off. Looks fit & firing lately with a low BE.
Powell survives for now, but Reid will slide down into F6 if Powell's form & role stay shaky.
Out: Grundy, Roberts, Dempsey
In: Bont, D.Moore, Sweet
Sweet plays on field. Bont was my planned trade in this week. I looked at Dylan Moore preseason up forward, but his illness scared me off. Looks fit & firing lately with a low BE.
Powell survives for now, but Reid will slide down into F6 if Powell's form & role stay shaky.
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Be careful about using the “Top 6 keepers” as RD0-RD7 are lost points and shouldn’t come into consideration. If Fyfe had scored another 80 odd score last week, would have anyone cared and elevated him up their watchlist as an upgrade target/trade in?
Recorded his highest disposal tally since RD13 of 2019 and the handball happy role this season limits his ceiling to push out from the low to mid ninety range over an extended period, without factoring in the possibility of management (rests, sub, etc). Exit plans need to be in place and will this restrict future upgrades if it occurs at any stage across the next month and will he be held through injury/rest or facing a high breakeven with a sub score in the price cycle?
Now or never was RD1.
Recorded his highest disposal tally since RD13 of 2019 and the handball happy role this season limits his ceiling to push out from the low to mid ninety range over an extended period, without factoring in the possibility of management (rests, sub, etc). Exit plans need to be in place and will this restrict future upgrades if it occurs at any stage across the next month and will he be held through injury/rest or facing a high breakeven with a sub score in the price cycle?
Now or never was RD1.
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Definitely going down the "Sweet" rabbit hole, but was unsure who to trade out.
Not expecting too much, but confident he can deliver 85's to 95's over the next month, and make us a truck load of cash.
Those points seems they would be waisted at R3, so short time pain for long time gain.
After going through so many scenarios, I'm thinking of unleashing the boost button.
Grundy to Sweet.
Massimo to Luke Ryan.
Sharp to Dawson.
Not expecting too much, but confident he can deliver 85's to 95's over the next month, and make us a truck load of cash.
Those points seems they would be waisted at R3, so short time pain for long time gain.
After going through so many scenarios, I'm thinking of unleashing the boost button.
Grundy to Sweet.
Massimo to Luke Ryan.
Sharp to Dawson.
I'm going to hold Grundy at R2 over Sweet for one more week.
76 BE so might add a few dollars and means I get another look at Sweet against a ruck who didn't cop a knock in the first quarter.
If Sweet looks solid there are some solid premos shedding dollars that can be picked up more easily (looking at Luke Ryan or Petracca for example).
76 BE so might add a few dollars and means I get another look at Sweet against a ruck who didn't cop a knock in the first quarter.
If Sweet looks solid there are some solid premos shedding dollars that can be picked up more easily (looking at Luke Ryan or Petracca for example).
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After a bit of a down week was surprised to only drop 46 spots to be 58th overall. If someone said i'd be in the top 100 after round 7 at the start of the year i'd have taken it so need to get over the bad week and look forward and hope a couple of my PODs can bounce back. Looking at you Zorko! and Mckay and McGovern to a lesser extent.
This week think i'm going Xerri to Sweet and Powell to Moore. Had Moore in most of my pre-season teams before he got struck down with glandular fever. Can see him being a top 6 fwd from here so think he's good value. Really happy with how starting Xerri worked out but Sweet too much value and have Jackson to cover him if he bombs out. Either way he's going to make money over the next 3-4 weeks where i can hopefully turn him into English.
359k ITB to hopefully allow 1 up 1 down over the next 2 weeks to get in Petracca and 1 of Rozee/Butters/Neale
This week think i'm going Xerri to Sweet and Powell to Moore. Had Moore in most of my pre-season teams before he got struck down with glandular fever. Can see him being a top 6 fwd from here so think he's good value. Really happy with how starting Xerri worked out but Sweet too much value and have Jackson to cover him if he bombs out. Either way he's going to make money over the next 3-4 weeks where i can hopefully turn him into English.
359k ITB to hopefully allow 1 up 1 down over the next 2 weeks to get in Petracca and 1 of Rozee/Butters/Neale
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Just about locked in is:
Bonner > Bont
Cadman > Sweet
Weighing up between:
Comben > Rogers
and
Steele > Dale
Comben > Rogers is the more traditional approach. Don't love the Rogers pick. Obviously has the 98 for two price cycles, his first one isn't fully capitalised due to the 28 that is paired with it. Other than the North game, he doesn't have a great upcoming run where I can see an 80+ type score to restart his cash gen when the 98 falls out. Think he goes at 50-60, JS will be good (a rest has been hinted though) but don't see him scoring that great. We can't overlook the 28. Also fills up my M9-11 with all MID only players along with Clark and McAuliffe.
On the other side of the trade, Comben has a great matchup in St Kilda, and I could very easily see him restarting his cash gen. He has shown a ceiling so I kind of want to persist, and he's not a terrible on field option if required.
Steele > Dale is the more modern and risky approach that I'm leaning towards. Have lost all my faith in Steele. He's shown multiple times in the past that he will play through injuries and his scoring will suffer severely. He had a LOT of strapping on that knee last week and had absolutely zero the weeks prior. Had 15 disposals and 10 contested possessions. His outside game was clearly hampered by the knee injury. Just by watching the game, you could easily tell he was injured. He lacked the speed out of contest that he possessed in the first 5 rounds. I can either sell now when he has 600k attached to him or I can hold off until his bye when I'll upgrade him at a much lower price point as I can't envision him being a top 10 MID anymore. It makes sense to me to trade him now.
I see Dale as a D7. I believe I'm getting a D7 at 457k to score at ~100. He does look like he wants to prove a point after the starting sub incident, and he couldn't have responded any better. Richards will head back to defence unless Bevo keeps him in the midfield (it is Bevo...) which will somewhat revert Dale's scoring back to where it should be, but I'm hoping that motivation can give me a bit of a sugar rush before returning to his regular scoring rate. Slightly nervous of a Maginness tag this week but I'm expecting Libba to cop it.
If I go through with the Steele > Dale trade my team looks like this with $57,700 in the bank:
Pretty happy with it. Have a team value of $13,305,800 which looks great, although I feel it gives me a false indication of where my cash gen is at because a lot of my premiums are at their peaks, particularly in defence.
Currently have exactly 4 premiums on each bye except Round 15 which has 5. Grundy may go next week allowing Sweet to move to R2, moving my number of Round 12 premiums down to 3.
I'm finding it very hard to find players who have the Round 12 and 13 byes that I'd like to upgrade to after their bye. For Round 12 potential targets I have Whitfield, Dunkley, Neale, Gulden, LDU, Zorko, Greene. Basically all of them are that tier below. Whitfield shaping up as the prime candidate right now which would move Dale to D7 and complete my defence. For Round 13 potential targets I have Young, Clark, Butters, Rozee, Brayshaw. Other than Butters once again all of them are that tier below. Means I'll be holding off from Butters despite the incoming price drop.
Sorry if I wasted your time, I waffled on for longer than I wanted to. Appreciate any advice or feedback.
Bonner > Bont
Cadman > Sweet
Weighing up between:
Comben > Rogers
and
Steele > Dale
Comben > Rogers is the more traditional approach. Don't love the Rogers pick. Obviously has the 98 for two price cycles, his first one isn't fully capitalised due to the 28 that is paired with it. Other than the North game, he doesn't have a great upcoming run where I can see an 80+ type score to restart his cash gen when the 98 falls out. Think he goes at 50-60, JS will be good (a rest has been hinted though) but don't see him scoring that great. We can't overlook the 28. Also fills up my M9-11 with all MID only players along with Clark and McAuliffe.
On the other side of the trade, Comben has a great matchup in St Kilda, and I could very easily see him restarting his cash gen. He has shown a ceiling so I kind of want to persist, and he's not a terrible on field option if required.
Steele > Dale is the more modern and risky approach that I'm leaning towards. Have lost all my faith in Steele. He's shown multiple times in the past that he will play through injuries and his scoring will suffer severely. He had a LOT of strapping on that knee last week and had absolutely zero the weeks prior. Had 15 disposals and 10 contested possessions. His outside game was clearly hampered by the knee injury. Just by watching the game, you could easily tell he was injured. He lacked the speed out of contest that he possessed in the first 5 rounds. I can either sell now when he has 600k attached to him or I can hold off until his bye when I'll upgrade him at a much lower price point as I can't envision him being a top 10 MID anymore. It makes sense to me to trade him now.
I see Dale as a D7. I believe I'm getting a D7 at 457k to score at ~100. He does look like he wants to prove a point after the starting sub incident, and he couldn't have responded any better. Richards will head back to defence unless Bevo keeps him in the midfield (it is Bevo...) which will somewhat revert Dale's scoring back to where it should be, but I'm hoping that motivation can give me a bit of a sugar rush before returning to his regular scoring rate. Slightly nervous of a Maginness tag this week but I'm expecting Libba to cop it.
If I go through with the Steele > Dale trade my team looks like this with $57,700 in the bank:
Pretty happy with it. Have a team value of $13,305,800 which looks great, although I feel it gives me a false indication of where my cash gen is at because a lot of my premiums are at their peaks, particularly in defence.
Currently have exactly 4 premiums on each bye except Round 15 which has 5. Grundy may go next week allowing Sweet to move to R2, moving my number of Round 12 premiums down to 3.
I'm finding it very hard to find players who have the Round 12 and 13 byes that I'd like to upgrade to after their bye. For Round 12 potential targets I have Whitfield, Dunkley, Neale, Gulden, LDU, Zorko, Greene. Basically all of them are that tier below. Whitfield shaping up as the prime candidate right now which would move Dale to D7 and complete my defence. For Round 13 potential targets I have Young, Clark, Butters, Rozee, Brayshaw. Other than Butters once again all of them are that tier below. Means I'll be holding off from Butters despite the incoming price drop.
Sorry if I wasted your time, I waffled on for longer than I wanted to. Appreciate any advice or feedback.
I’ve currently got both Graham and Clohesy on field. But it is a good point around Roberts, I think I just see his strength being his reliability. He is putting down good on field points and so trading him probably means more volatile options on field - might mean a slightly better upgrade this week but that is meaningless if I’m dropping 30-40 points on the rookie.
I see Powell differently.. only 1 decent score in the last 4, clear signs of being vulnerable in role, and now at a point he will start losing cash. Better to jump now rather than in 2-3 weeks with a $50k hit, especially as he doesn’t have the proven history that suggests he turns it around.
Using your “last trade out” scenario, who would you rather be your last trade, Powell or Roberts? For me Roberts is the better pick in the better role with better scoring patterns.
I see Powell differently.. only 1 decent score in the last 4, clear signs of being vulnerable in role, and now at a point he will start losing cash. Better to jump now rather than in 2-3 weeks with a $50k hit, especially as he doesn’t have the proven history that suggests he turns it around.
Using your “last trade out” scenario, who would you rather be your last trade, Powell or Roberts? For me Roberts is the better pick in the better role with better scoring patterns.
Roberts is the rookie in the equation. It’s only his second season and first full season. Prob will tire as the year goes on. And he’s taking up a prime premium spot in your team. This year the points are in the mids and defenders. Not the forwards.
Held too long, Roberts will leak more points being on field than it might seem. alternatives at just $200k more going 30-40 better than him. Can’t hold him on field forever!
The bar is lower on Powell in the forwards I’m backing him in. He’s my F5 after Fyfe. Who are the really great alternatives Powell is leaking points to?
Held too long, Roberts will leak more points being on field than it might seem. alternatives at just $200k more going 30-40 better than him. Can’t hold him on field forever!
The bar is lower on Powell in the forwards I’m backing him in. He’s my F5 after Fyfe. Who are the really great alternatives Powell is leaking points to?
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