Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Blue Dragons

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Hi Mike,
sorry for the late reply. I would have said Zorko, and if not him Dahlhaus.
I hope you chose well! :)
My fault i left it too late. I was thinking them two and chose Zorko which looks like the wrong move!
 

Ben's Beasts

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Hi Rowsus. Would you please be able to give me an estimate on the prices of Stevie J and Cotchin after their games this weekend?
 
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Hi Rowsus. Would you please be able to give me an estimate on the prices of Stevie J and Cotchin after their games this weekend?
Scared to see what Cotchin price will be. I want to trade him because I just totally given up on him for this season even though he was meant to be a keeper but the pain of how much value he has lost is hard to watch go down the drain as you press trade button :(
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus. Would you please be able to give me an estimate on the prices of Stevie J and Cotchin after their games this weekend?
Scared to see what Cotchin price will be. I want to trade him because I just totally given up on him for this season even though he was meant to be a keeper but the pain of how much value he has lost is hard to watch go down the drain as you press trade button :(
Cotchin -
Opening Price - $572,000
Peak Price - $572,000 (Opening Price)
After Round 11 - $504,500 B/E 123
After Round 12 - $486,000 B/E 124

Round 13 Richmond plays Fremantle at MCG - since 2010 vs Fremantle Cotchin has scored:
2013 rnd 17 MCG Rich by 27 - 137
2013 rnd 5 PS Freo by 1 - 144
2012 rnd 21 PS Freo by 22 - 122
2012 rnd 11 MCG Freo by 12 - 107
2011 rnd 7 MCG Rich by 49 - 130
2010 rnd 15 ES Rich by 19 - 68
2010 rnd 5 PS Freo by 39 - 79

Johnson S -
Opening Price - $625,000
Peak Price - $633,100 (after Round 7)
After Round 11 - $564,100 B/E 193
After Round 12 - $519,700 B/E 133
Round 13 Geelong plays St Kilda at SS - since 2010 vs St Kilda Johnson has scored:
2013 rnd 18 SS Geel by 101 - 120
2012 rnd 21 ES Geel by 42 - 102
2011 rnd 13 MCG Geel by 28 - 83
2011 rnd 1 MCG Geel by 1 - 88
2010 rnd QF MCG St K by 4 - 32
2010 rnd 13 MCG St K by 24 - 75


edit - it looks like I messed up SJ's B/E calculation. I have adjusted it above. Sorry.
 
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Philzsay

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I didn't realise SJ's b/e would still be so high. Might be some rationale to holding bringing him in for another week. Then again despite the moderate record one would think that he could easily beat up on this years Saints!
 
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I didn't realise SJ's b/e would still be so high. Might be some rationale to holding bringing him in for another week. Then again despite the moderate record one would think that he could easily beat up on this years Saints!
Even though he might drop in price again I think he is now really good value for what he can score. I agree with you Philzsay about this years Saints being a different proposition. Also I have Watson and Tyson (who looks like losing a lot of money in the next few weeks) so I need to bring in 2 mids. My plan was going so well until this weekend. I hate it when a plan falls apart.:(
 
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Hi Row, got myself in a bit if a dilemma.

I brought in Buddy last week when I heard that Hallahan was out by putting Dusty in my midfield. I planned to trade out Petrie.

But now with Petrie scoring well I want to hold him another week to see if he can back it up. But now I have 7 fwd premiums!

I haven't got enough trades to bring in a donut and loophole him and F7. Can I keep Dusty in my midfield and trade out Cotchin instead of Petrie? Do I trade out another forward? Do I do nothing?

Keep in mind I STILL don't have Pendlebury

EDIT: should I trade Buddy now that Tippets out and keep Petrie? I JUST DONT KNOW :(
 
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Hey Rowsus, who would you pick up right now out of Fyfe, Steve Johnson, Sloane and Nick Dal? Will get two of them this week, and the third next week.
 

Rowsus

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I didn't realise SJ's b/e would still be so high. Might be some rationale to holding bringing him in for another week. Then again despite the moderate record one would think that he could easily beat up on this years Saints!
Even though he might drop in price again I think he is now really good value for what he can score. I agree with you Philzsay about this years Saints being a different proposition. Also I have Watson and Tyson (who looks like losing a lot of money in the next few weeks) so I need to bring in 2 mids. My plan was going so well until this weekend. I hate it when a plan falls apart.:(
It looks like I messed up SJ's B/E calculation. It is being reported as 133. Sorry.
 
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Interested in your thoughts on trading out Rockliff for Steve Johnson and banking the $130k. Goes against a few rules but my thinking is that both players could score the same for the rest of the season and the $130K (with some chnage I have) can get me Polec to Hannebery or Jack?
 
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Hey Rowsus

My plan this week is to trade Watson to Stevie J, and Sam Lloyd to Honeychurch (heard he should play soon)
Leaves me with $341,100 in the bank.
Next week trade J Lloyd of Sydney, leaves me with around $600K, move Dangerfield to the mids and get either B Harvey or R Gray (who should finish up in the top 8 forwards).
Good idea?? or better off getting a midfielder for under $600K and leaving Dangerfield in the forwards.

Always welcome your thoughts.
Lobo
 
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Interested in your thoughts on trading out Rockliff for Steve Johnson and banking the $130k. Goes against a few rules but my thinking is that both players could score the same for the rest of the season and the $130K (with some chnage I have) can get me Polec to Hannebery or Jack?
Rocky's BE is close to 100 and SJ's is 133. I don't think this would be the week to do that trade mate
 
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Hi Rowsus

As they say on SEN - 1st time / long time on your thread {being 1st time caller (question asker) long time listener (reader)}.

I guess the most popular question this week would be who to bring in if we need to move on Jobe Watson. I had recently completed my midfield but now need to replace Jobe (currently I have Ablett, Pendles, JPK, Beams, Selwood, K.Jack, Barlow and Watson).

I think it is almost impossible to select who will score the most points from here forward and given that all of the replacement candidates in my head are premium midfielders - my hunch is they will all avg somewhere between 105-115 for the rest of the year - with maybe the exception of 1 or 2 who might go higher or lower. I believe Jay may have written something last year about it not being so important who your premiums are - it is more the structure of the team for cash generation and points scoring (at the start of the year). Do you subscribe to this theory also?

I would say Rockliff, Libba, Sloane, Fyfe, Stevey J, Swan, Dal Santo, are all viable options - but having a method to split them is really just trying to somehow create correlations which potentially don't exist. I don't think I can justify spending the extra money (rocky / Libba) and am tempted to go either Swan (great history, not a bad draw coming up, Collingwood going well) or Sloane (not getting tagged because of Danger / ultra consistent so far this year)

Thoughts?
 
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Ok so trading out Watson not sure what i should be going for.
Can get JPK with a downgrade so use up 2 trades or go for Stevey J/Nicky Dal/Fyfe and use just the 1 trade?
Leaning towards JPK. Who do you see as the total point winner out of these guys from now to the end of the year.
 
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Bobbie

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Hi Rowsus

I'm in a bit of a pickle this week as my trade plans have been thrown out of the window with the injury to Watson (he was good while he lasted!). I have 10 trades and $98,800 (going for leagues). My current issues that need attention are:

1. D6 - I have Litherland, Cutler and Georgiou to choose from to fill this spot. I was meant to be downgrading a mid rookie (Taylor?) and upgrading Cutler this week to finish off my defence but I can't see that happening this week if I need to deal with Watson.

2. Watson - obviously needs to go but I'm not sure who to trade to. I was thinking Barlow or SJ. Kieren Jack is also tempting but if I can make a little bit of money of the trade that would be an advantage. I have even thrown Gray into the mix but not sure if I should be adding another mid/fwd player or concentrating on getting a pure mid.

3. Higgins - I think his time is up. I was considering downgrading him to Stefan Martin but I'm not sure if I should be aiming for an upgrade at this point in time? The downgrade would free up some cash for the Cutler upgrade though.

I'm just not sure what order I should be trading. Do I do option 1 & 3 this week (leave Jobe until next week) and play a rookie on field as M8? Or do I do option 2 & 3 and play a rookie in D6 until I can upgrade next week.

Any advice would be much appreciated. I need help to work out how to use my two trades effectively this week. Perhaps there is a better option you can think of. Once again, cheers for your assistance.

Edit - I have just had a play with trades and can go Watson > Barlow and Higgins > Gray but it only leaves $16,200. This means risking a potentially low score (or even a donut) in D6 until I can generate the cash for an upgrade. Otherwise if I trade Higgins to S Martin I end up with $342,600 for a Cutler upgrade (~$555K to spend in total).
 
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HirdofMe?

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Hi Rowsus,

I have narrowed down my options for Jobe to 7 :confused:. Who would you take out of these options?

StevieJ, Jack, Ward, Fyfe, Sloane, Barlow, Stokes

Thanks again
 
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G'day Rowsus, trading out Watson.. am thinking of getting StevieJ next week but this week getting Zorko.

Also thinking Watson could be traded for Rockliff or JPK or RGray or Boomer v Zorko, i.e.. the money or the guns

...my team has holes everywhere so the Zorko trade allows me some much needed cash to be redirected elsewhere next week.
BUT I like the scoring of the guns to replace Watson but then the cash is gone. again.
Please if you have time to have a squiz at my team I'd like to know your thoughts, thanks Rowsus.

(please assume the Hartung>O'Brien trade done and $142,600 left)
 
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Rowsus

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Hi Row, got myself in a bit if a dilemma.

I brought in Buddy last week when I heard that Hallahan was out by putting Dusty in my midfield. I planned to trade out Petrie.

But now with Petrie scoring well I want to hold him another week to see if he can back it up. But now I have 7 fwd premiums!

I haven't got enough trades to bring in a donut and loophole him and F7. Can I keep Dusty in my midfield and trade out Cotchin instead of Petrie? Do I trade out another forward? Do I do nothing?

Keep in mind I STILL don't have Pendlebury

EDIT: should I trade Buddy now that Tippets out and keep Petrie? I JUST DONT KNOW :(
Hi Bloke,
you have made a pickle of a problem.
We can't be 100% sure that Buddy's SC fate is Tippett related, but there is strong evidence there.
I guess your decision comes down to, who do you have less faith in?
Petrie - has he turned the corner?
Buddy - does he need to hunt the ball, rather than be the main hit up man?
Cotchin - is he hampered beyond repair, and will be lucky to score over 100/game from here?
Let's assume if you trade one of those 3 out this week, that semi-disaster strikes, and you are stuck with the other 2 for the rest of the season. Under those circumstances, you'd probably keep Cotchin even though we are expecting restricted return from him, from here. So it comes down to can Buddy shoulder the load, or can Petrie cash in on his easy draw? Given Petries score largely came in one quarter last week, I'd be tempted to choose Buddy over Petrie.
The other way to look at it, is what will cause you more frustration? Changing your plans, and keeping Petrie on the back of one good quarter, and then seeing him cough up 60's and 70's again? Or trading Petrie out, only to see him out perform Buddy, who you suspected might drop off a bit without Tippett there?
If in doubt, it means there isn't strong evidence to change your mind. That means your original plan is probably best.
Good luck :)
 
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Hi Bloke,
you have made a pickle of a problem.
We can't be 100% sure that Buddy's SC fate is Tippett related, but there is strong evidence there.
I guess your decision comes down to, who do you have less faith in?
Petrie - has he turned the corner?
Buddy - does he need to hunt the ball, rather than be the main hit up man?
Cotchin - is he hampered beyond repair, and will be lucky to score over 100/game from here?
Let's assume if you trade one of those 3 out this week, that semi-disaster strikes, and you are stuck with the other 2 for the rest of the season. Under those circumstances, you'd probably keep Cotchin even though we are expecting restricted return from him, from here. So it comes down to can Buddy shoulder the load, or can Petrie cash in on his easy draw? Given Petries score largely came in one quarter last week, I'd be tempted to choose Buddy over Petrie.
The other way to look at it, is what will cause you more frustration? Changing your plans, and keeping Petrie on the back of one good quarter, and then seeing him cough up 60's and 70's again? Or trading Petrie out, only to see him out perform Buddy, who you suspected might drop off a bit without Tippett there?
If in doubt, it means there isn't strong evidence to change your mind. That means your original plan is probably best.
Good luck :)
It's a tough decision.
I think I'll hold off this week and asses next week. Petrie has a relatively low BE so shouldn't be affected much even if he spuds up. Thanks for your help Rowsus
 
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