Hey Rowsus, just wondering if you'll be doing the brownlow thread again? Will you be making any changes this year or will it be the same as last year? Cant wait! 
Opinion Questions For Rowsus
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Yes, there will be a running week to week Brownlow thread again. Fraction Quartered (FQ) was the star last year, picking Ablett first with 27.75 votes, and Selwood second with 27.5. It was only 0.75votes away from picking first and second, in order, with their scores correct! So this year it is fraction quatered and a slightly adjusted RAMP that will get published weekly.
Hi Beached az,
There's no statistical data to back this up, just my opinion. This year it looks like cash will be harder to make than any other season. That being the case, I suggest you maximise your opportunities to make money, and let the loophole doughnuts present themselves when they will. It will undoubtedly happen, and usually early. I can't remember the last time I had all 30 players playing in round 3.
There's no statistical data to back this up, just my opinion. This year it looks like cash will be harder to make than any other season. That being the case, I suggest you maximise your opportunities to make money, and let the loophole doughnuts present themselves when they will. It will undoubtedly happen, and usually early. I can't remember the last time I had all 30 players playing in round 3.
I have Mitchell because he only averaged 86 minutes per game last year to Parkers 94. Although Mitchell seems to get injured I think there is more potential and Sydney have a better draw than last year. I find Roughead a real unknown this year without Buddy. More opportunity or more opposition attention? His minutes per game went up last year, could this be reduced with a more durable ruckman in McEvoy?
If forced to pick between Parker and Mitchell, I'd probably go Mitchell too. He has more potential upside.
Roughie is an interesting one. Everyone keeps throwing him up as spending time in the Ruck. He just didn't do it last year, or was completely terrible at it!
In 2013 Roughie only recorded 60 Hitouts (27 of those recorded in 3 games, leaving the rest at 1.5/game!!!), or 2.4/game! If he won the Hitout in 40% of his contests, that's 6 contests/game. I'd guess he'd be in that many contests just from Forward pocket throw ins each game! To compare, in 2012 he had 212 Hitouts, at 9/game.
As to the extra attention with Buddy gone, I'm not worried about that. They are different type of players, and draw different kind of opponents. Gunston should fill the Buddy role, so Hawthorns structure, and therefore Roughies opposition, should be largely unchanged.
Roughie is an interesting one. Everyone keeps throwing him up as spending time in the Ruck. He just didn't do it last year, or was completely terrible at it!
In 2013 Roughie only recorded 60 Hitouts (27 of those recorded in 3 games, leaving the rest at 1.5/game!!!), or 2.4/game! If he won the Hitout in 40% of his contests, that's 6 contests/game. I'd guess he'd be in that many contests just from Forward pocket throw ins each game! To compare, in 2012 he had 212 Hitouts, at 9/game.
As to the extra attention with Buddy gone, I'm not worried about that. They are different type of players, and draw different kind of opponents. Gunston should fill the Buddy role, so Hawthorns structure, and therefore Roughies opposition, should be largely unchanged.
Hey Rowsus, what are your thoughts on the empty Adelaide midfield (now missing Douglas), and Matt Wright? Extremely risky pick, but do you think he has the potential to be in the top 10 forwards this year? Hasn't been in my side at all, but tossing up between him, Caddy and Higgins. If you had to pick one of them who would it be?
Love Goldstein, had him last year with no hesitation and was confident he'd ruck alone without currie. He has been in my draft side all preseason and has only left for the first time today for minson. Purely for byes. Gives me 8-11-11 outs for the 3 weeks. If I switch back to Goldstein it's 9-10-11.
Does it really matter? Lol. Do I just go for who I think will do better overall, hard to split them but even though I a dog I have the soft spot for goldy. Though if currie is named which I doubt I'd go big will.
My post pasted from rucks. After reading jays article even though it's what I thought anyways I'm even more encouraged how I sit. I've always said don't let byes dictate decisions too much just consider them etc...
But with this one I guess I'm asking do I consider the byes with will vs goldy to leave me with only 8'outs the first bye. I already know you like goldy over will in general (so do,I) but interested in your thoughts taking into account the byes
Does it really matter? Lol. Do I just go for who I think will do better overall, hard to split them but even though I a dog I have the soft spot for goldy. Though if currie is named which I doubt I'd go big will.
My post pasted from rucks. After reading jays article even though it's what I thought anyways I'm even more encouraged how I sit. I've always said don't let byes dictate decisions too much just consider them etc...
But with this one I guess I'm asking do I consider the byes with will vs goldy to leave me with only 8'outs the first bye. I already know you like goldy over will in general (so do,I) but interested in your thoughts taking into account the byes
While in theory 8-11-11 is the ideal structure, I wouldn't change my team just because I had a 9-10-11. There's nothing wrong with that structure either.
I prefer to look at the structure numbers with the bench Rucks out, as it is unlikely they will play.
My current structure is 9-11-10, but with the bench Rucks out is 9-11-8!
I prefer to look at the structure numbers with the bench Rucks out, as it is unlikely they will play.
My current structure is 9-11-10, but with the bench Rucks out is 9-11-8!
I've only looked at last years Defenders for this analysis. I used the top 10 Defenders from each of the three different catagories: Average, Aggregate and PIT65. For those new here, PIT65 is the total/average you get when you replace a Defenders score for missing a game with a Rookie, who we will assume scored 65. The percentage section of the table shows how their average score varied from their overall average score. It is broken up into wins and losses, and then by margins in wins and losses.
Individually there is quite some variance, but when we look at the bottom line, there is no great surprise. I was a little out with my 5-7% guess, as the variance is 4.5% (I will give myself a B, or 7/10 for my guess). We can see a predictable trend when those wins and losses are broken up into smaller and larger margins, too.
I've only looked at last years Defenders for this analysis. I used the top 10 Defenders from each of the three different catagories: Average, Aggregate and PIT65. For those new here, PIT65 is the total/average you get when you replace a Defenders score for missing a game with a Rookie, who we will assume scored 65. The percentage section of the table shows how their average score varied from their overall average score. It is broken up into wins and losses, and then by margins in wins and losses.
Individually there is quite some variance, but when we look at the bottom line, there is no great surprise. I was a little out with my 5-7% guess, as the variance is 4.5% (I will give myself a B, or 7/10 for my guess). We can see a predictable trend when those wins and losses are broken up into smaller and larger margins, too.
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