Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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do you like tuohy as an option at geelong?

could be aloud to get a lot more of the ball now

and slots straight into enrights position
 

Rowsus

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Howdy mate.

I have a dilema.
I am keen on too many mid price defenders.
I have 5 who I am keen on, but that seems way too risky.
Which of these would you give a crack?

Cutler
Howe
Lloyd
Martin
Hammer

Thanks Row.
Howdy Juzzo,
at the moment I have a 5-0-3 Def line, and have none of them. The only one I seriously considered was Howe. History shows that around 97% of the time, Midpriced Defs are regrettable.
 

Rowsus

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do you like tuohy as an option at geelong?

could be aloud to get a lot more of the ball now

and slots straight into enrights position
Nope.
Changing clubs doesn't change who and what a player is.
There's not too many examples of a non-relevant SC player changing clubs, and instantly becoming relevant. This is especially the case, if they have a number of seasons and games under their belt.
 
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Morning t.t6,
unfortunately I'm going to have to give you a boring answer here.
The Rookies should determine your structure. It's more important to get the right Rookies, as they will determine how well, and how quickly, you can fill your team. Also, and obviously, the more you get right early, the less corrective trades needed. While I have an idea of a structure I'm working towards, it could suddenly flip right over, depending on Rookie performances and subsequent selection.
I thought that might be your answer :p I guess we'll have a better idea closer to the JBTLABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ Series :p

Thanks mate.
 

Blue Dragons

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Hey Mike,
I'd say you are looking at around 90-92 for Defs, for Mids around 105-107, and Fwds around 92-94

This your the MN appears to be around 5442, so your 5450 looks close enough.

Players that fit the description you are seeking are mainly Mids. You could look at:
Boak, Curnow, Davis, Douglas, Duncan, Ebert, Foley, Gaff, Gray R, Lobbe, Roughead, Ryder, Sidebottom, Thomas and Waters
Thanks Row much appreciated
 

Darkie

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Hi Darkie, it's not an easy question to give you a set percentage or dollar amount. A lot depends on the player, and how much you think he will outperform the players just below him.
Shaw in 2016 is a good example. Many had him as a near good thing to finish 6 to 10/game in front of the eventual D2, and were therefore happy to pay a premium for him. I wasn't, as I was happy to say IF he finished D1, it might be 2 or 3/game in front of D2, and I was nearly prepared, at the theoretical odds I imagined from everyone's confidence in Shaw, willing to bet he might not be D1 at the end of the season.
The other thing that muddies the water is the prospect of using the player as a Captain option. It is nearly impossible to put a dollar amount on the utility of a players Captaincy prospects.
We expect a player that performs at around last years average to drop around 7% in price by around Round 6 or 7. If you "overpay" for a player you need to be pretty certain that the downside is small.
Your two Captain selections aside, I don't think you should overpay for any player. The possible exception being, when you've picked your starting line up, with your 12-14 Keepers, and you have a little cash left over, you might consider bumping one of your Keepers up to a player you believe is a safer option, even though you think you are overpaying by 5-10%.
Thanks Row - you make some interesting points.

I am usually very averse to overpaying, but I did start two players last year that I thought I was overpaying for. I did it on the basis that I couldn't find better starting picks (it's obviously a relative game, and I disliked all but one ruck), and had the cash to do it, as you say. It sounds like your thoughts are similar.

I'm pretty sure there are some very good coaches that would (/do) take a contrary view ... sometimes it's hard to know whether, for example, they do well because they are less dogmatic about it, or whether they would do better again if they didn't overpay. My sense is that paying a risk premium for a lock top scorer is quite a viable strategy in the right circumstances, albeit that I am much more inclined to try to receive a risk premium than to pay one.
 
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What does D Swallow have to average to earn 150k within 6-8 rounds?
Using KLo's planner (http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/3329-Merry-Christmas) I get this:

Averaging 100 he will make 157k end of round 6, and 184k end of round 8 (priced at 464k before his bye).
Averaging 95 he will make 139k R6, 163k R8 and be 443k.
Averaging 90 he will make 121k R6, 142k R8 and be 422k.
Averaging 85 he will make 104k R6, 121k R8 and be 401k.

I don't know exactly what MN settings this sheet uses but that should serve as a rough guide.
 

KLo30

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Using KLo's planner (http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/3329-Merry-Christmas) I get this:

Averaging 100 he will make 157k end of round 6, and 184k end of round 8 (priced at 464k before his bye).
Averaging 95 he will make 139k R6, 163k R8 and be 443k.
Averaging 90 he will make 121k R6, 142k R8 and be 422k.
Averaging 85 he will make 104k R6, 121k R8 and be 401k.

I don't know exactly what MN settings this sheet uses but that should serve as a rough guide.
Well done Leroy.

Currently the Planner has last years MN, and Rowsus posted above that the MN is around the 5442 mark, which is significantly down from previous year where it was around the 5900 mark. I'll calculate and update soon. Glad you found that tool useful.
 
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do you think hannebery could become the new pendlebury as in being very consistently good?

could he have more improvement now that mitchells gone?

or will mitchell going make it harder for him?
 

Rowsus

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do you think hannebery could become the new pendlebury as in being very consistently good?

could he have more improvement now that mitchells gone?

or will mitchell going make it harder for him?
I'd be surprised.
Hannebery's improvement in the past two seasons is nearly totally down to him lifting his fitness levels. When they waiver, his score drops significantly. Pendlebury around that same age would still mange to eke out a 100+ score, even when playing under a cloud. Hannebery hasn't shown an ability to do that.... yet!
I actually don't think Mitchell leaving will affect Hannebery one way or the other. I don't think he really depended on Mitchell too much, to feed him the ball etc., so Mitchell not being there shouldn't alter things for him.
 

Rowsus

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Morning Rowan,

Who are your breakout candidates for 2017?
Morning t.t6,
To be fair, I haven't actually looked into that sort of thing yet.
I'll bookmark this question, and return to it well before the season starts.
 
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Morning t.t6,
To be fair, I haven't actually looked into that sort of thing yet.
I'll bookmark this question, and return to it well before the season starts.
That's fair - I look forward to your answer on this one :)

Have a great Christmas and New Year mate!
 
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whats your personal opinion on brodie grundy?

had a very good run after the bye not scoring below 88

and the rule of the same rucks are never the top 2 2 years in a row could be true with grundy being 1st or 2nd

and clearly has improvement by not giving away so many free kicks and is at a good age and games played amount
 

Rowsus

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whats your personal opinion on brodie grundy?

had a very good run after the bye not scoring below 88

and the rule of the same rucks are never the top 2 2 years in a row could be true with grundy being 1st or 2nd

and clearly has improvement by not giving away so many free kicks and is at a good age and games played amount
of the Rucks that have never made it to the top 2 or 3 in SC previously, Grundy in my opinion, is the most likely to do it this season.
 
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thanks for the reply great to know you agree about grundy being a good pick

i actually have a 2 for 1 hope thats ok :)

whats your opinion on jasper pittard?

hardly been seen in any teams due to rd 9 bye?

do you think that makes much if any difference?

much if any chance of a forward tag in your opinion?


2nd one is jeremy howe

another one who hasnt been seen much around with collingwoods backline from last year changing quite a bit will that help or hinder him in your opinion?

surely he doesn't play forward again after playing so well in the back line?
 
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