Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Joined
6 Jul 2012
Messages
2,064
Likes
310
AFL Club
Carlton
Hey Rows,
Best of luck for season. I think it will be a bit different this year.
Any thought to getting the human meatball ?
Good finish to last season.
 

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Hey Rows,
Best of luck for season. I think it will be a bit different this year.
Any thought to getting the human meatball ?
Good finish to last season.
Hey Slams,
Different? I'm not even sure we are actually playing the same game at all this season!
It will be interesting as to what "changes" carry over into 2021!
Prestia (Mid $550,200) had a 10 game streak from Rnd 16 to the Prelim final where he averaged 120.5.
He did only average 76 in his first 4 games last season.
In 2014, when he had a 22/106 season, he had a 6/85 streak, and a 5/127 streak, as well as starting the season 13/113.
He's hot and cold, and I'm not sure Richmonds game style/structure supports a 22/120 Mid.
Dusty nearly did it in 2017, but that really was a season out of the box. Plus I think Richmond's game has refined further again.
I will counter that with this, this season has the opportunity to throw up some ridiculous averages, due to the shortened quarters. I believe we will see more 150+ scores this season than previous seasons (when looked at on a 150+/game basis). In the next 2 or 3 years we will need to be careful how we look back on this season.
In normal circumstances, I might mark him as 19/102 this season, but this season is a long way from normal!
 
Joined
6 Jul 2012
Messages
2,064
Likes
310
AFL Club
Carlton
Hey Slams,
Different? I'm not even sure we are actually playing the same game at all this season!
It will be interesting as to what "changes" carry over into 2021!
Prestia (Mid $550,200) had a 10 game streak from Rnd 16 to the Prelim final where he averaged 120.5.
He did only average 76 in his first 4 games last season.
In 2014, when he had a 22/106 season, he had a 6/85 streak, and a 5/127 streak, as well as starting the season 13/113.
He's hot and cold, and I'm not sure Richmonds game style/structure supports a 22/120 Mid.
Dusty nearly did it in 2017, but that really was a season out of the box. Plus I think Richmond's game has refined further again.
I will counter that with this, this season has the opportunity to throw up some ridiculous averages, due to the shortened quarters. I believe we will see more 150+ scores this season than previous seasons (when looked at on a 150+/game basis). In the next 2 or 3 years we will need to be careful how we look back on this season.
In normal circumstances, I might mark him as 19/102 this season, but this season is a long way from normal!
Yeah.. I have now changed most of my team as a result. Not sure about Grundy now and looking more at players that can impact a game quickly.
 

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Yeah.. I have now changed most of my team as a result. Not sure about Grundy now and looking more at players that can impact a game quickly.
...... looking more at players that can impact a game quickly.

Sounds like the type of player, that has shown in the past, that he can have a 50 or 60 point quarter, and has done so several times.

Sounds like Grundy to me, certainly Grundy more than Gawn, though Gawn has also done that, too!
 
Joined
6 Jul 2012
Messages
2,064
Likes
310
AFL Club
Carlton
...... looking more at players that can impact a game quickly.

Sounds like the type of player, that has shown in the past, that he can have a 50 or 60 point quarter, and has done so several times.

Sounds like Grundy to me, certainly Grundy more than Gawn, though Gawn has also done that, too!
Yeah .. Just finding it hard to squeeze him in at that price without chancing a Jack Steele type in the mids
 
Last edited:

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Yeah .. Just finding it hard to squeeze him in at that price without chancing a Jack Steele type in the mids
I must admit, if I didn't see Grundy as such a good VC option in the early Rounds, I might be waivering on him, too.
Still, no matter how the game changes, spending the dollars to get the right C/VC options should still be your opening move.
 
Joined
3 Feb 2014
Messages
2,878
Likes
1,843
AFL Club
West Coast
Hi Rowsus.

Assuming external factors like rookies don't force my hand, who would you pick between Josh Kelly and Tom Mitchell?

I've had Jelly for awhile; my thinking was inspired by the idea of 'only using one trade rather than two on an injury-prone player', and in a 22 game season, I felt it would be wise to wait and see with Titch.

But with shorter games and a shorter season, and the fact that Jelly might go outside a bit more; I'm warming on Titch, especially after his showing in Marsh.

I also considered Danger and Clarry but early MDB tags have put me off.
 

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Hi Rowsus.

Assuming external factors like rookies don't force my hand, who would you pick between Josh Kelly and Tom Mitchell?

I've had Jelly for awhile; my thinking was inspired by the idea of 'only using one trade rather than two on an injury-prone player', and in a 22 game season, I felt it would be wise to wait and see with Titch.

But with shorter games and a shorter season, and the fact that Jelly might go outside a bit more; I'm warming on Titch, especially after his showing in Marsh.

I also considered Danger and Clarry but early MDB tags have put me off.
Hi Eagling,
well, I have Jelly, and never really entertained Mitchell. I just don't trust Mitchell to bounce back to his old self, though the likely break in the season can only help the likes of Mitchell!
In a normal season I would say to forget things like MDB when picking your team. However, this is far from normal, and you want to get out of the blocks quickly this year, so maybe considering MDB is a good idea!
In a normal season, having MDB in Round 1 is nearly ideal. It only affects your price once, and clears the path for the rest of the season!
 

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Will the lower mins of games effect some higher players and others and the like
Yes. We probably need to find more impact players, and less grinders. If you are tossing up 2 players that both averaged 110 last season, and one did it on 85% TOG and the other 70% TOG, if there are no mitigating factors, you should probably take the player who did it with the 70%% TOG.
 
Joined
3 Feb 2014
Messages
2,878
Likes
1,843
AFL Club
West Coast
Hi Eagling,
well, I have Jelly, and never really entertained Mitchell. I just don't trust Mitchell to bounce back to his old self, though the likely break in the season can only help the likes of Mitchell!
In a normal season I would say to forget things like MDB when picking your team. However, this is far from normal, and you want to get out of the blocks quickly this year, so maybe considering MDB is a good idea!
In a normal season, having MDB in Round 1 is nearly ideal. It only affects your price once, and clears the path for the rest of the season!
Thank you for the response, Rowsus. I'd like to start out the blocks smoothly and even though Danger could bounce back v Gold Coast, and Oliver could do the same in Round 5, based on a bit of Marsh and Jelly's pre-season, I'm happy to gamble on him (not least because I can reasonably trust Oliver and Danger's fitness if I trade them in, whereas Jelly is a trade in, trade out risk).

I'll probably start Jelly with your response, unless rookies force my hand and I need the $7k.
 
Joined
3 Feb 2014
Messages
2,878
Likes
1,843
AFL Club
West Coast
Probably my last pre-lockout question.

I currently have BJ Williams D8, hoping he'll be named next week; and looping Starc into Brander.

I'm thinking of taking BZT over McAsey, but I can get both if I switch Jelly to Oliver. Is McAsey worth the compromise?
 

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Probably my last pre-lockout question.

I currently have BJ Williams D8, hoping he'll be named next week; and looping Starc into Brander.

I'm thinking of taking BZT over McAsey, but I can get both if I switch Jelly to Oliver. Is McAsey worth the compromise?
No.
In this instance you are better to take the Prem you want, as we talking about unknown quantities with the Rookies.
I think I'd back BZT over McAsey.
 
Joined
16 Jun 2013
Messages
2,942
Likes
1,990
AFL Club
Adelaide
Hey Rowso.

With plentiful trades this season, does an occasional premo swapping strategy sound feasible? ie, trade premos who will lose value and maybe a non-favourable opposition run for premos who will gain value and have a favourable opposition run?
 

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Hey Rowso.

With plentiful trades this season, does an occasional premo swapping strategy sound feasible? ie, trade premos who will lose value and maybe a non-favourable opposition run for premos who will gain value and have a favourable opposition run?
Only if it is very occassional. Once we get into upgrade season, any sideways trading just puts you one trade behind everyone else. You still need to try and get a complete team as soon as is practical to achieve it.
 
Joined
3 Feb 2014
Messages
2,878
Likes
1,843
AFL Club
West Coast
Do you have any thoughts on the new price change system and how it effects swapping rookies? Whilst we have plenty of trades, I'm wondering if you're robbing Peter to pay Paul to trade say Cavarra to Sturt, assuming the 100 is potentially an outlier and their scores could reverse. Do we jump on every good scoring Round 1 rookie? If Sturt scores 30 and Cavarra 100, we've lost a trade for nothing.
 

Rowsus

Statistician
Joined
19 Mar 2012
Messages
19,547
Likes
12,277
AFL Club
Melbourne
Do you have any thoughts on the new price change system and how it effects swapping rookies? Whilst we have plenty of trades, I'm wondering if you're robbing Peter to pay Paul to trade say Cavarra to Sturt, assuming the 100 is potentially an outlier and their scores could reverse. Do we jump on every good scoring Round 1 rookie? If Sturt scores 30 and Cavarra 100, we've lost a trade for nothing.
The simple answer is yes, jump on them. You only need to "save" 2 trades across the whole season (or conversely, use no trades in the very last Round), so there's really no reason not to grab the Rookies with the best B/E's.
 
Top